4:37: As it was when I wrote about the hurricane season earlier, it is the Atlantic that is active, rather than the Caribbean or the Gulf, and as I noted, the Atlantic itself is plenty hospitable for tropical development. We now have Humberto, and more pressing, an area that stands to sustain more development as it tracks through the Bahamas later this week.

8:36PM Here are the forecast tracks of a still unnamed storm. It will pass over the Dominican Republic overnight tonight, which will certainly slow down any real development. As it get into the Bahamas we are probably then looking at a Tropical Storm (Imelda), which then looks like a Cat 1 hurricane along the Outer Banks. Maybe. Stay tuned.