Tag Archives: New Haven

Fuel

One of the major ingredients for thunderstorms is warmth at the surface.  After a cool day on  Monday, that ingredient was introduced in New Haven on Tuesday. The thunderstorms followed later in the week, but we saw all the kindling gathered before that.  Victoria-Weather though there would be a little bit of precipitation on both Monday and Tuesday as a system coming out of the Great Lakes staged in New England, but it did not, and that coast us a share of the victory. Instead, it was WeatherNation who earned the W.
Actuals: Monday – .02 inches of rain, High 52, Low 45,
Tuesday – High 69, Low 46

Grade: B-D

Jackson, Tennessee to New Haven, Connecticut

Hey gang, let’s hit the road, shall we? We’re going to take a 2 day trip through the Appalachians and on to southern New England. The distance between the towns of Jackson and New Haven is about 1,100 miles, which we will cover at a pace of about 65mph. We’ll make day one a slightly shorter day, calling it good after about 519 miles, which might actually get us through the entire state of Tennessee!


DAY ONE (Wednesday)

High pressure is wedged into the southeastern part of the country, and will be very good to us for our drive on Wednesday, with sunshine dotting our entire journey. We will hit the Smokeys late enough in the day that the typical fog that gives the mountains their name will not be present. Wei’ll just bounce into Radford, Virginia, nary a care in the world and call it a day after a pretty nice day of travel.

DAY TWO (Thursday)
An area of low pressure moving through the Canadian Maritimes is draping a cold front through the Great Lakes, and it will weaken and drift south towards New York City and Connecticut by Thursday. We’ll run into some wet weather, perhaps around Allentown, with the threat lingering for the rest of the drive into New Haven. By that point, it will be much weaker with storms more widely scattered. An advancing system in the Plains will force the boundary to act more as a warm front, which will lead to precipitation to fall more as generalized high base shower activity. What I’m saying is, if it has to rain, it could be way worse. Enjoy steam New Haven!

New Haven, Connecticut

We’re back in Connecticut tonight, visiting the western coast of the Nutmeg State. Let’s see how spring is treating them.

At 1253AM, ET, New Haven was reporting a temperature of 46 degrees with overcast skies. A departing area of low pressure lies over New England, with some clouds winding back into the region from the northwest. There continues to be a threat for some shower activity thanks to this low, though for the time being, it is lingering further north into the Hudson Valley.
The upper level trough is embedded into a broader wave running along the Gulf Stream. This will help the shorter waved trough deteriorate and eventually continue to the northeast. Rain showers will continue through the day tomorrow, with the threat for precipitation finally ending late in the morning on Tuesday. Any cool air brought on by this feature will be short lived, with warm air quick in pursuit, thanks to an advancing ridge.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with showers possible. High 53, Low 42
Tuesday – Isolated showers early, then sunny and much warmer, High 73, Low 45

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies. Slight chance of a rain shower. High 53, Low 40
Tuesday – Mainly sunny.  High 73, Low 42

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy and cool with a passing shower or two High 55, Low 42
Tuesday – Partly sunny, pleasant and warmer High 70, Low 42

NWS: Tomorrow – A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 4pm. Mostly cloudy High 54, Low 41
Tuesday – Sunny, High 70, Low 43

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers High 52, Low 39
Tuesday – Sunny, not as cool, High 68, Low 42

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, High 54, Low 42
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, High 70, Low 43

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy starting overnight. High 57, Low 42
Tuesday – Partly cloudy until morning. High 74, Low 44

A few spritzes of rain in my forecast. This low doesn’t seem to want to leave, but that extra precipitation might not reach the ground. Here is the beautiful satellite, showing off the well defined circulation in New England.

Workplace productivity on the rise

The worst thing about summer is that it’s really hard to stay at the office, working. The sun is out, the kids are out of school and your entire body screams for the outdoors. I am happy to report that this week in New Haven, that was not the case! It was cool and cloudy as a dual low passed off the coast and through New England. The good news was, it wasn’t as rainy as forecasts had envisioned, but it was just as miserable. Great days to be at work. Your boss savored it, I’m sure.
Tuesday – .02 inches in rain, High 55, Low 51
Wednedsay – High 69, Low 50

Grade: B-C

New Haven, Connecticut

All right, I think this is going to be a fun forecast. All the enjoyment of a mid-Atlantic forecast with none of the pressure of forecasting for New York!

At 1253PM, ET, New Haven was reporting overcast skies with a temperature of 61 degrees. The region was smothered in clouds as an area of low pressure lurked off the Delmarva Peninsula. To the southwest, a broad swath of rain was moving through central New Jersey, bearing down on New York City, while where skies had cleared, and an advancing upper level trough was sinking into the region, isolated thunderstorms were popping up east of Scranton in Pennsylvania. Both the surface low and the thunderstorm activity are interconnected, and both are advancing on New Haven.
The surface system will bring some light rain, potentially, to the area, but the bulk of it will continue to slide south of Long Island. The upper low producing thunderstorms in the eastern Great Lakes will be robbed of its instability, but rain will continue to barrel southeast towards Connecticut. The stratiform rain will be a persistent threat through the day Tuesday and into Wednesday morning. Fortunately, the wave is shortwaved enough to be progressive, and will clear out for a pleasant Wednesday afternoon.
Tomorrow – Rain intermittently throughout the day, cloudy HIgh 55, Low 47
Wednesday – Rain in the morning, then clearing and much nicer, High 65, Low 47

TWC: Tomorrow – Thunderstorms in the morning will give way to steady rain in the afternoon. High 57, Low 51
Wednesday – Cloudy skies early will become partly cloudy later in the day. Slight chance of a rain shower. High 67, Low 50

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy and cooler with spotty showers High 59, Low 51
Wednesday – A stray morning shower; otherwise, cool with clouds breaking for some sun High 62, Low 50

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy drizzle and fog with a chance of showers. Cloudy, HIgh 58, Low 52
Wednesday – A 50 percent chance of showers or drizzle. Cloudy HIgh 61, Low 50

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy with a chance of showers with a patch of drizzle, High 55, Low 48
Wednesday – Cloudy with a chance of showers and drizzle, High 62, Low 48

WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with chance of light showers, High 57, Low 52
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers High 61, Low 50

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain until evening. High 58, Low 51
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy until afternoon.High 70, Low 51

That’s an unfortunate forecast. You shouldn’t be burdened with high temperatures in the 50s in June. Here is the radar, with all that rain to the south of Long Island, and a pop up storm in Pennsylvania

Dry But Chilly

While a trough swung its way through the New Haven region to start the week, conditions were such that they didn’t really need to worry about precip in the area. That turned out to be the case and outside of the relatively chilly temperatures, wasn’t too bad of a start to the week. Weatherbug took home the win.

Monday: High 35, Low 15.
Tuesday: High 28, Low 9.
Forecast Grade: A

New Haven, Connecticut to Danville, Illinois

A day and a half is all it will take to travel from Connecticut to about shorteast distance into Illinois you can get and still say you are in Illinois. That will cover 900 miles at a pace of 65.3 mph. That will leave us with a 522 miles day on Tuesday, with less than 400 to go on Wednesday. Manageable, and the weather should be brilliant.

DAT ONE (Tuesday)
New Haven
High pressure will only be getting stronger over the Great Lakes through the night tonight and into the day tomorrow. Expect some mostly cloudy conditions to give way to mostly sunny skies. A good dividing mark will be the higher terrain of central Pennsylvania, with sunny skies really emerging in Ohio. The day will end in Akron.

DAY TWO
The last little bump on this trip will be even less variable. Just sun until about 2pm, when we arrive in Danville. Temperatures will even be kind of warm, with any snow in the area melting in the January thaw.
DanvilleIL

New Haven, Connecticut

Let’s go to New England. That’s always a good time, climatologically, this time of year.

At 853PM, ET, New Haven was reporting a temperature of 38 degrees with clear skies. Aloft, New Haven was clearly found at the eastern third of an upper level trough, however a tropical jet across Florida was doing an excellent job of allaying any cyclonic development along the Eastern Seaboard.The upper trough was simply producing a few flurries in the Catskills.
As a vorticity maximum at the base of the trough rotates through the New Haven area tomorrow morning, some marine fog and clouds may develop, lasting through the early afternoon. The perturbation will pitch into the Gulf Stream, causing a more rapid cyclogenesis out at sea. No precipitation will happen over land, however a response will come, with cold air driving south into southern New England.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 30, Low 16 (Non standard)
tuesday – Sunny, High 31, Low 11

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny, High 30, Low 16
Tuesday – Sunny skies, High 32, Low 11

AW: Tomorrow – Windy and colder with sun and some clouds; a flurry around in the afternoon High 32, Low 18
Tuesday – Plenty of sun, but cold High 30, Low 15

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 32, Low 17
Tuesday – Sunny, High 28, Low 8

WB:Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny, High 32, Low 16
Tuesday – Sunny, High 28, Low 8

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 32, Low 18
Tuesday – Sunny, High 28, Low 9

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy in the morning. High 36, Low 16
Tuesday – Clear throughout the day. High 29, Low 13

The rare dry cold front coming through during winter in the northeast. There are worse fates. Here is the satellite, which isn’t particularly active this ervening.
New Haven

Only flurries? Hardly worth mentioning

With as much snow as the northeast has seen lately, it seems almost passe to mention just a few flurries in the forecast. That’s the best explanation I have for Forecast.io and the New Haven forecast. Model trends had been steering rather aggressively towards snow starting on Saturday, rather than Sunday as was the forecast early in the week. I think everyone recognized that significant accumulation will continue to wait until Monday, however there was a good chance that the city would at least see some flurries. FIO was the only outlet to leave them out, and it ultimately cost them the victory in Connecticut. Victoria-Weather wasn’t far behind on temperatures, and we had the proper precip forecast. Victory!
Actuals: Friday – High 24, Low 9
Saturday – Trace of snow, High 30, Low 21

Grade: C

New Haven, Connecticut to Missoula, Montana

Let’s see if this westward journey will be as enjoyable as Anthony’s trip was yesterday. We’re going to be taking a 5 day trip that covers 2459.8 miles. That should work out to about 65mph with a daily pace of nearly 520 miles a day. The 5th day will be a bit shorter. This is going to be a little bit more grueling than yesterday’s trip, isn’t it?

DAY ONE (Saturday)
New Haven
The Northeast has been assaulted by snow lately. Connecticut has been particularly hard hit, though it was rougher in the eastern and northern part of the state. There will be a little bit of light precipitation as we start on our way from New Haven, but the good news is, it will be falling as rain. The bad news, of course, is that it may be freezing on contact. Oops. Slick conditions with a little bit of freezing drizzle will continue through Williamsport. After we get to western PA, things will clear out, and the rest of the day will be marvelous. We’ll end the day in Richfield, Ohio, south of Cleveland, which will also be marvelous.

DAY TWO (Sunday)
An organizing area of low pressure along a mostly stationary boundary in the Great Lakes will begin to churn things up across our route on Sunday. It will be raining lightly as we begin our drive in Richfield. We’ll be driving almost directly through the central low pressure in northern Indiana, which means that we’ll see light rain all the way through Chicago. Sometime around Rockford, some light snow may begin mixing in with the rain, and by the time we hit Madison, it should be all snow. We won’t go much further than Madison, stopping for the day in Portage, Wisconsin.

DAY THREE (Monday)
The area of low pressure that brought us the light rain and snow on Sunday will safely be tucked away in New England, bringing a ton of snow to Boston again, and perhaps a bit of ice to New Haven. Our day will be significantly less stressful. The drive through western Wisconsin and Minnesota will be pretty relaxed. Mostly sunny skies with dry roads will take us through Saint Cloud, at which point we will be reaching a weak warm front producing some light precipitation and a fairly dense overcast. The day will end in Peak, North Dakota, a small town near Valley City, still under the threat for light snow.

DAY FOUR (Tuesday)
It’s going to snow overnight in eastern North Dakota, and there is a pretty decent chance that wet snow will continue through western North Dakota as we make the trip. They close roads in the Plains if the winds are too strong in the midst of snow storms, but that shouldn’t be an issue on Tuesday, so we’ll be left to muddle through the snowy conditions. Things will begin to wrap up shortly after we’ve passed through Glendive. It will be cloudy with chances for lighter snow than we saw in North Dakota (it will remind of what we see in Wisconsin) as we pass through eastern Montana. The day will end, still under the auspice of flurry activity, in Ballantine, which is in suburban Billings.

DAY FIVE (Wednesday)
High pressure and upsloping is going to develop in Montana through midweek. This means we will see chilly but dry conditions throughout the plains in Montana, but by the time we start climbing into the Rockies, temperatures will start to climb.There is a pretty good chance that by the time we reach Missoula it will be back in the 40s.
Missoula