Tag Archives: Lima

Burlington, North Carolina to Lima, Ohio

It’s not like we aren’t in a well populated part of the country, but our route is interesting in how few large cities it touches in its 529 mile journey. Expect it to last just under 9 hours at a pace of about 60.5mph. So let’s knock this day of driving out and see what weather is in the forecast.

BurlingtonNC
There will be a little bit of lingering moisture up in the high terrain of western North Carolina as we awake on Saturday. A trough developing off shore will increasingly steal moisture from the Carolinas, though, and we will get underway with partly cloudy skies, some spotty ground fog, but really no other sizeable concerns. Well, not with this system. A wave moving out of the Upper Midwest will extennd a warm front through the Great Lakes. While it is doing that, it may draw some of that moisture across the Appalachians. Don’t be surprised if there is a dose of light rain around Charleston, and as far to the northwest as Chillicothe. The great news, though, is that we will be in the clear through the remainder of Ohio. Expect a bit of a heat wave, Ohio! Lima will feel like the one in Peru upon our arrival.
Lima

Lima, Ohio to Janesville, Wisconsin

It’s a road trip! There was a bit of snow throughout this area yesterday, but we will be be navigating the ground at about the perfect time. Not only that, but we will be making the trip on a Sunday, so the traffic in Chicago will be manageable. It’s 6 hours between the two cities, and only about 336 miles between the two. Our pace for the day long journey will be a glacial 56.8mph, but rest assured, we will still manage to cover all the ground we need to. Heck, we’ll do it before dinner.

Lima
High pressure is swiftly retreating from the eastern seaboard, which will help eliminate the strong west winds over the Great Lakes. It will be dry through northern Indiana, which was really the only part of the trek where we would need to worry about lake effect snow on this particular day. At the back end of the ridge, return flow will begin importing moisture north towards Chicago, with a wintry mix possible Sunday afternoon, but we should skate through Chi-town before there is any significant impact to us. Janesville will be seeing increasing clouds and a brisk east wind when we arrive.
Janesville

It could have been worse

It appeared as though the weather in Lima could have been a real wreck if things had come in a bit colder. Temperatures climbed all the way to the mid 50s over the weekend, indicating that the warm sector worked much farther to the northwest than anyone really anticipated. This meant that there was no cold air at the surface in which to produce freezing rain on Saturday as precipitation moved in, which is great news. Temperatures actually started climbing right after midnight, and it was 35 when it started raining. The Weather Channel did nearly peg the high temperature on Saturday, to be honest, but even they had a little freezing rain in the forecast. The real hay was made when it came to the non standard low on Sunday. The Weather Channel didn’t extend hourly forecasts that late into the forecast period, otherwise they likely wouldn’t have lost so much ground to Accuweather, the only other outlet who had an inkling that temperatures would get so warm. If they had just provided a little more information, The Weather Channel would have been in the mix, but instead, Accuweather gets the W fairly easily.
Actuals: Saturday .83 inches of rain, High 55, Low 28
Sunday – .18 inches of rain, trace of snow, High 53, Low 24

Grade: B-D

Lima, Ohio to Cleveland, Tennessee

Today we embark on a one-day trip through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Only 455 miles separate Lima, OH and Cleveland, TN, will be be a easy trip, or will weather slow our arrival? Let’s find out!

Lima

A strong area of low pressure is lifting northeast through the Eastern Great Lakes, trailing a strong cold front down along the Appalachians into the Central Gulf of Mexico. Luckily, the heavy rains and thunderstorms that have been affecting the Deep South will have pushed east of our route by the time we start the day, so that’s one less thing to worry about. Some light fog and rain showers will be scattered around the area as we head south towards Cincy. As we push through eastern Kentucky, there might be some rain/snow showers as the temperatures in the region start to plummet behind the cold front. They won’t be particularly strong though, and shouldn’t inhibit our progress as we continue into Tennessee. A couple light showers might persist into the evening as we approach Cleveland, but overall the afternoon and evening hours should be quieter than how we started the day.

clevelandtn

Lima, Ohio

It’s the second forecast of the year, and we’re headed for northwest Ohio. This should get a little bit messier than it was in Poughkeepsie yesterday.

At 1153AM, ET, Lima was reporting a temperature of 33 degrees with clear skies. West winds were being dictated by a departing area of low pressure in easttern Canada, as well as the northern end of a ridge that has remained over the eastern third of the country for the last several days.
A deep, plunging jet over the southern Plains is angling the exit segment of a trough northeast from Texas to the southern Great Lakes. As the jet arrives in the southern Plains, it has begun to develop into a surface low, tapping into Gulf moisture. It is firing some of the moisture north along the exiting jet streak, which also defines a strong warm front. By tomorrow morning, Lima will be seeing a wintry mix, with some sleet and freezing rain for an hour or two. By the late morning, temperatures will climb above freezing and heavy rain will take over. The inundating rain will persist through the rest of the day. It will finally clear out just before sunrise on Sunday, and behind all this rain will be cold air and lighter precipitation. The transition back to snow will be smoother, but the cool down, along with the potential for a couple inches of rain will lead to freezing on roadways. Even an inch or two of snow on Sunday will be extremely slick. Temperatures will be non standard on Sunday as well.
Tomorrow – Sleet and ice, turning to rain, of which a couple inches may be possible. High 48, Low 29
Sunday – Rain initially changing to snow late, High 48, Low 20

TWC: Tomorrow – Rain/Freezing Rain, High 54, Low 31
Sunday – PM Rain/Snow/Wind. High 53, Low 36

AW: Tomorrow – Warmer with rain High 52, Low 31
Sunday – Windy and colder with a couple of showers of rain or snow High 53, Low 21

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of snow and freezing rain before 9am, then rain. High 47, Low 30
Sunday – A chance of rain before 8am, then a chance of snow showers. Cloudy, High 47, Low 24

WB: Tomorrow – Rain…possibly mixed with freezing rain in the morning…then rain in the afternoon. Ice accumulation up to one tenth of an inch. High 48, Low 30
Sunday – Cloudy. Chance of snow showers…possibly mixed with rain in the morning…then chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Windy High 48, Low 21

WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with Chance of Light Freezing Rain High 46, Low 27
Sunday – Cloudy with Chance of Wintry Mix High 46, Low 32

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain throughout the day (snow/sleet early). High 47, Low 30
Sunday – Light snow (under 1 in.) in the morning and afternoon and breezy in the morning, High 44, Low 22

Looks gross for Lima. I really appreciate Forecast.io’s easy to use page, and find that Weatherbug and WeatherNation remain unmitigated disasters in accessing granular forecasts. Here is the satellite. It’s pretty disorganized complex right now, but model guidance is pretty uniform in the expectation that things will deteriorate this weekend.
Lima

Dodging drops

I noted on Thursday when the forecast for Lima was issued that the success or failure of the forecast would come down to precipitation forecasts, and that was accurate. The Weather Channel was the only outlet to keep Lima dry, and indeed, showers and storms artfully dodged northwestern Ohio. A little shower came close last night, but faded just before it arrived. Strong storms veered north of the area and heavy rain stayed in southern Ohio. TWC wasn’t the best precipitation forecaster though, as that honor went to WeatherNation. Those two outlets ended up tied atop the leaderboard.
Actuals: Friday – High 89, Low 61
Saturday – High 84, Low 70

Grade: A

Lima, Ohio

This is not a forecast for Peru. We’ve never done that before.

At 1153AM, ET, Lima was reporting clouds and a temperature of 73 degrees. High pressure has developed over the Great Lakes, but there was a swath of low clouds was in the midst of burning off along the southern Michigan border and into northwestern Ohio. An area of low pressure over the Upper Midwest will help siphon warm moist air north into the Great Lakes.
An upper level ridge will hold firm across the region through the day tomorrow, causing the boundary over the western Great Lakes to stall and deliver torrential rain to Wisconsin, Illinois and the UP of Michigan, while allowing for a dry end to the week in Lima. As the weekend begins, the ridge will break down, and a weak upper level trough will begin to move into the area. The surface low pressure will be lifting towards Labrador, which will limit the energy working into northwestern Ohio, so the heavy precipitation seen to the west will be unlikely in Lima.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 82, Low 55
Saturday – Rain expected, particularly in the afternoon, High 84 Low 64

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 84, Low 60
Saturday – Partly Cloudy High 87, Low 70

AW: Tomorrow – Warm and humid with intervals of clouds and sun; a shower or thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 85, Low 59
Saturday – Variable clouds with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm, mainly later; very warm and humid High 89, Low 68

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 85, Low 60
Saturday – A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Partly sunny, High 86, Low 69

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny (late rain).High High 85, Low 60
Saturday – Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall High 86, Low 70

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 84, Low 61
Saturday – Partly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 86, Low 70

That is a very wide array of temperature forecasts. It will be interesting to see how this plays out. Rain will definitely be the primary factor in who wins and loses in Lima. Satellite shows the clouds that are still hanging on in Lima
Lima

Battle Creek, Michigan to Lima, Ohio

We are making up a post today, so we will actually have another road trip later. This was to have been put together on Saturday, but was moved because of the 4th of July. It’s just a few hours between the two cities and a grand total of 161 miles, giving us an average speed of 59mph. We have another quick trip later, so lets get this shorty out of the way!

Battle Creek
For as short as this trip is, it will be pretty adventurous. A strong trough moving through the Great Lakes is forecast to arrive in Michigan and Ohio by tomorrow morning. The heaviest of the thunderstorms are universally forecast to be in northeast Indiana around the time we pass through the region, and then following us into northwest Ohio. Taking a composite of the most widely respected models, heavy rain will be possible south from Coldwater, Michigan, and the chance increases around US-6 in Indiana. The quick drive around Fort Wayne looks like it will be the best shot at severe weather, though frankly, some early afternoon severity will be possible all the way from Battle Creek to Lima.
Lima

Ending April in Style

As expected, a couple tiny showers passed through Lima on Monday, although a few hours later than expected. Afterwards, Tuesday was a gorgeous sunny day, as everybody had predicted. Oddly, they reported 0.01″ of precip on Tuesday, but have no idea where it came from. Clear skies were reported and no beginning/ending time of the precip was reported either. I chalk it up to something goofy in the sensor. In any event, Victoria-Weather brought home the win, as we nailed the temperatures exactly on Tuesday.

Monday: Trace of rain from midday shower. High 66, Low 54.
Tuesday: High 77, Low 52.
Forecast Grade: A

Lima, Ohio

Off we go to western Ohio, to a city that shares its name with the capital of Peru!

At 853pm EDT the temperature at Lima, Ohio was 59 degrees under overcast skies. A broad disturbance has been causing some havoc over the Eastern US last couple of days. Training thunderstorms over TN yesterday caused flash flooding, leading to multiple people in need of water rescue. Thankfully, today has been a bit quieter over the region, with showers passing through during the day today. Most of this activity will slowly move out of the Ohio Valley during the early morning hours before drying out during the day Monday. A ridge of high pressure will start to nose its way into the region on Tuesday, as this ridge extends all the way up into Greenland, creating what’s known as an Omega block. Basically, this pattern makes storm systems lift up and over it before crashing southward on the opposite side of it, much like the shape the Omega symbol makes. This all means that the system developing over the Plains is pretty much going to stall east of Ohio over the next couple of days, making for some nice, warm midweek weather!

Monday: An isolated early morning shower, dry by mid-morning, clouds breaking up late afternoon. High 70, Low 53.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 77, Low 52.

TWC: Monday: Isolated morning shower, then partly cloudy. High 71, Low 52.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 78, Low 52.

AW: Monday: Warmer with a passing shower. High 72, Low 54.
Tuesday: Partly sunny, nice and warm. High 81, Low 56.

NWS: Monday: Isolated shower in early morning, becoming partly sunny. High 71, Low 53.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 78, Low 54.

WB: Monday: Few morning showers, then partly cloudy, High 71, Low 52.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 78, Low 55.

Here we see a few passing showers linger over the IN/OH area. After these get out of the area tomorrow morning, should be a nice few days!