It’s the second forecast of the year, and we’re headed for northwest Ohio. This should get a little bit messier than it was in Poughkeepsie yesterday.
At 1153AM, ET, Lima was reporting a temperature of 33 degrees with clear skies. West winds were being dictated by a departing area of low pressure in easttern Canada, as well as the northern end of a ridge that has remained over the eastern third of the country for the last several days.
A deep, plunging jet over the southern Plains is angling the exit segment of a trough northeast from Texas to the southern Great Lakes. As the jet arrives in the southern Plains, it has begun to develop into a surface low, tapping into Gulf moisture. It is firing some of the moisture north along the exiting jet streak, which also defines a strong warm front. By tomorrow morning, Lima will be seeing a wintry mix, with some sleet and freezing rain for an hour or two. By the late morning, temperatures will climb above freezing and heavy rain will take over. The inundating rain will persist through the rest of the day. It will finally clear out just before sunrise on Sunday, and behind all this rain will be cold air and lighter precipitation. The transition back to snow will be smoother, but the cool down, along with the potential for a couple inches of rain will lead to freezing on roadways. Even an inch or two of snow on Sunday will be extremely slick. Temperatures will be non standard on Sunday as well.
Tomorrow – Sleet and ice, turning to rain, of which a couple inches may be possible. High 48, Low 29
Sunday – Rain initially changing to snow late, High 48, Low 20
TWC: Tomorrow – Rain/Freezing Rain, High 54, Low 31
Sunday – PM Rain/Snow/Wind. High 53, Low 36
AW: Tomorrow – Warmer with rain High 52, Low 31
Sunday – Windy and colder with a couple of showers of rain or snow High 53, Low 21
NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of snow and freezing rain before 9am, then rain. High 47, Low 30
Sunday – A chance of rain before 8am, then a chance of snow showers. Cloudy, High 47, Low 24
WB: Tomorrow – Rain…possibly mixed with freezing rain in the morning…then rain in the afternoon. Ice accumulation up to one tenth of an inch. High 48, Low 30
Sunday – Cloudy. Chance of snow showers…possibly mixed with rain in the morning…then chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Windy High 48, Low 21
WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with Chance of Light Freezing Rain High 46, Low 27
Sunday – Cloudy with Chance of Wintry Mix High 46, Low 32
FIO: Tomorrow – Rain throughout the day (snow/sleet early). High 47, Low 30
Sunday – Light snow (under 1 in.) in the morning and afternoon and breezy in the morning, High 44, Low 22
Looks gross for Lima. I really appreciate Forecast.io’s easy to use page, and find that Weatherbug and WeatherNation remain unmitigated disasters in accessing granular forecasts. Here is the satellite. It’s pretty disorganized complex right now, but model guidance is pretty uniform in the expectation that things will deteriorate this weekend.