Tag Archives: Santa Barbara

Santa Barbara keeps the beach open

Despite a couple of systems pummeling the Pacific Northwest, it seemed as though Santa Barbara transcended all climatological concerns. The sun was out for the most part, but there were a few clouds to prevent too much sunburn in case anyone forgot the sunscreen.  In general, the flow off the Pacific was less robust than the forecast called for, which resulted in temperatures being a hair warmer than anticipated during the day. Overnight, however, the weaker flow meant clear skies, which are nice, right up until those temperatures start dropping. With no marine layer, overnight lows dropped to the upper 40s, which allowed Victoria-Weather to rise up and take the victory in the very pleasant Santa Barbara.
Actuals: Wednesday – High 72, Low 47
Thursday – High 70, Low 49

Grade: C-D

Santa Barbara, California

We’re on the way to the beach in southern California, which sounds like an altogether wonderful idea.

At 953PM, PT, Santa Barbara was reporting a temperature of 54 degrees with clear skies. The entirety of southern California was seeing a sky full of stars, and satellite indicates that the marine layer is non-existent tonight.
A strong area of low pressure will be moving towards the Pacific Northwest through the day tomorrow, and arrive by late in the day. As it advances eastward, and then lingers over Washington on Friday, a steady onshore flow should bring a few clouds to the higher terrain inland from Santa Barbara, and a refreshingly cool flow to town.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 68, Low 50
Thursday – Sunny, High 68, Low 52

TWC: Tomorrow – Except for a few afternoon clouds, mainly sunny. High 70, Low 53
Thursday – Except for a few afternoon clouds, mainly sunny. Slight chance of a rain shower. High 70, Low 53

AW: Tomorrow – Sunny to partly cloudy and pleasant High 71, Low 53
Thursday – Pleasant with periods of clouds and sun High 72, Low 55

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny,  High 72, Low 56
Thursday – A 20 percent chance of rain before 10am. Mostly sunny, High 70, Low 58

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 70, Low 55
Thursday – Partly cloudy, High 69, Low 55

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 72, Low 56
Thursday – Psrtly cloudy with isolated showers, High 70, Low 58

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy starting in the morning. High 69, Low 58
Thursday – Partly cloudy until evening. High 69, Low 58

Temperatures are dropping much faster than guidance had indicated. My forecast reflects an anticipation of that trend continuing. A look at the satellite shows the entire lack of clouds.

Santa Barbara, California to Decatur, Alabama

I like that Google helpfully informs that you can get from city to city in less than 6 hours if you fly. Where is the fun in that? No, we’re looking at a 4 day trip, covering 2070 miles at a pace of 69mph. That means our first three days will be done after 552 miles, with a shorter day to finish things off. The trek is predominantly along I-40, so at least we won’t get lost.

DAY ONE (Saturday)
Santa Barbara
Santa Barbara will very likely be a bit foggy as we head out for the day, but then when we hit the mountains just inland, we’ll be able to look briefly westward upon the cloud covered shores, before we descend eastward and inland. We’ll spend the rest of the day in the desert, but it won’t be as bad as all that sounds. It won’t be as hot as it could be, and it’s rained recently, so plants may have opened up and flowers will be in bloom. It will be pretty! And the night will end in Flagstaff, which has plenty of options to spend the night, which doesn’t always happen when driving through the desert.

DAY TWO (Sunday)
Low pressure will be moving in waves through the northern United States, but the southern United States will be quite dry. It might be a little breezy, but the warmth won’t be intolerable, especially in the higher terrain along the Arizona-New Mexico border. We’ll make it inside the Texas border by the end of the day, ending the day in Adrian, Texas.

DAY THREE (Monday)
Southerly flow reemerged as we head towards the Ozarks, and this will likely lead to a few questions. There is likely to be an isolated thunderstorm starting in eastern Oklahoma, followed by some more widespread light rain across Arkansas in the higher terrain. One thing seems clear, that when the terrain gets a bit rougher, we should expect a better threat for clouds, drizzle or not. We will make it about an hour into Arkansas with this drizzly threat before we call it a day in Lamar, which I hope people call “Lamarkansas”

DAY FOUR (Tuesday)
Expect a lingering but week warm front to stretch from the Ozarks to the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday, which is a pretty narrow path, but also rather unfortunate. You see, that’s exactly where we intend to drive on Tuesday. Expect things to start off dry before the heat of the day sets off a few showers and storms. There will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms from Corinth, Mississippi right on in to Decatur.
DecaturAL

What’s this? No rain?

After a week in which our forecasts took us through a stalled boundary and flooding persistent rain, it was easy to forget that a lot of the country was still dry. Santa Barbara, for example, had some morning fog but not threat of rain. Temperatures were cooler than expected as the marine layer was slower to depart than models anticipated, which resulted in a victory for the Weather Service and Weatherbug.
Actuals: Monday – High 72, Low 61
Tuesday – High 75, Low 60

Grade: A

New Orleans, Louisiana to Santa Barbara, California

From the Gulf Coast (okay, slightly inland from the coast) to the West Coast, our 1,987 mile trip will take us from sea level, through the Rockies, and back down to sea level. Not a moment to waste for this 4-day trek, so let’s get moving!!

New Orleans

DAY ONE

Might as well call this the I-10 vacation, since that’s what we’ll be taking for about 95% of the trip. Onshore flow over the western Gulf has been kicking up some early morning showers from the eastern TX coastline through southern LA, and this morning won’t be much different. We’ll have to dodge some activity as we head out of New Orleans and past Baton Rouge, but should be a little less active as we cross the border into Texas by midday. There might be a few stray showers or an isolated thunderstorm as we travel past Houston in the mid-afternoon, but should die off late afternoon/early evening as we pull into San Antonio, our stop for the 1st night.

DAY TWO

A quiet start to the day is expected as we head out of San Antonio. A large upper ridge of high pressure continues to sit over the Southwest, keeping most of the storms at bay. In fact, it should be a pretty quiet day all the way into El Paso, our stop for the second night. Driving all day and we’re still in the same state! Egads!

DAY THREE

A shorter day in store today, since we’ll be going through some mountains. It’ll be a hot day to be sure, and we’ll be heading right through prime monsoon country! We’ll probably see some storms start to go up as we make our way through far southwestern New Mexico and into Arizona. Our best chance at seeing some storms will be as we negotiate our way by Tucson as they roll off the mountains north of town. Eventually we end our day in Phoenix.

DAY FOUR

The final leg! Pretty much a straight shot west out of Phoenix on I-10 through the scorching desert, passing Blythe, Indio, Palm Springs, and San Bernardino before finally making it through Los Angeles. Well, as fast as we can given how bad traffic usually is around the city. We’ll be out of Arizona before the monsoon activity kicks up, so it should be a clear and dry day as we finally pull into Santa Barbara!

Santa Barbara

Santa Barbara, California

Today we saunter off to the sunny, beachside city of Santa Barbara. Will their proximity to the ocean keep their temperatures down, or will it be a hot start to the week? Let’s find out!

At 707PM PDT, the temperature at Santa Barbara, CA was 72 degrees under fair skies. Loyal readers can probably remember previous posts talking about the intense heat that hit the Southwest over the last week before finally subsiding a tad over the last couple of days. Well the dome of high pressure is still intact over the region, just to a lesser degree and shifted somewhat further to the east. This ridge is expected to shift back towards the west a bit over the next couple of days, but thankfully temperatures should remain shy of their record-setting levels. What this means, however, is that the weather in Southern California should be sunny and dry. Thankfully, for Santa Barbara anyways, the Pacific should keep them fairly pleasant compared to the rest of the region. Enjoy the week!

Monday: Marine layer burns off by mid-morning, then sunny. High 75, Low 59.
Tuesday: Sunny and pleasant. High 77, Low 58.

TWC: Monday: Partly cloudy. High 79, Low 61.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High 83, Low 63.

AW: Monday: Areas of low clouds, then sun. High 68, Low 58.
Tuesday: Few morning clouds, then sunny. High 76, Low 57.

NWS: Monday: Patchy AM fog, then sunny. High 75, Low 61.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 77, Low 60.

WB: Monday: Sunny except for some patchy morning clouds/fog. High 75, Low 61.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 77, Low 60.

Here we see a rather uneventful setup for SoCal, with monsoon activity remaining over the Four Corners region.
SBAsat

Santa Barbara, California

There is going to be snow around here this week. I am in no mood to talk about snow quite yet. Off to SoCal!

At 953AM, PT, Santa Barbara was reporting a temperature of 62 degrees with sunny skies. Weak flow was back in Southern California, a return to the typically docile pattern of Santa Barbara.
The trough aloft isn’t very strong, but is quite broad. This indicates little change to the overall pattern for the next couple of days for the entire country, including southern California, where things will remain quite pleasant through the weekend.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy early, then clearing, High 64, Low 43
Sunday – Still warm and sunny, High 67, Low 40

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny High 68, Low 47
Sunday – Mostly Sunny High 70, Low 47

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny High 65, Low 45
Sunday – Mostly sunny high 64, Low 44

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 66, Low 49
Sunday – Sunny, High 70, Low 51

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 66, Low 49
Sunday – Sunny, High 70, Low 51

Everyone is calling for a bit of a warm up as the marine layer breaks down in Santa Barbara. Well, except Accuweather.

A dash of drizzle

This post could also be titled “DISASTER STRIKES SOCAL” Santa Barbara reported a hundredth of an inch of rain yesterday, all of it falling (all of it.. hah) before 10AM. The top spot went to Weatherbug and Victoria Weather, who tied a few points ahead of everyone else.
Actuals: Thursday – High 73, Low 56
Friday – .01 inches of rain, High 71, Low 61

Grade: C

Santa Barbara, California to Champaign, Illinois

4 days from the California Coast to the Plains. That should be interesting. Wall, it will be be a pretty stark change in scenery at least. The drive is 2096 miles, which, as I said, we will cover in 4 days. Those days will be 538.7 miles apiece (save for a shorter final day, though not by much) at 67.3mph. That’s a swift pace for some mountain driving! Let’s go ahead and take this show on the road, shall we?

DAY ONE

The main feature across the country this weekend will be a broad area of low pressure over the Pacific Northwest that is going to bring a bit of a nastiness for the middle of the month up in the Cascades. But that’s the Pacific NORTHwest. We will be driving in the southwest. No problems for us as we sidle on up to Parks, Arizona, west of Flagstaff.

DAY TWO
A lee trough will begin developing over the Front Range in southern Colorado, and there will be some showers and storms developing in southern New Mexico in the late afternoon. This won’t be a problem for us in northern Arizona and New Mexico, but is likely a sign of things to come. The day will end in San Jon, New Mexico. San Jon? Awesome. We will be between Tucumcari and the Texas border.

DAY THREE
A cold front will really take shape across Oklahoma as we try to make our way through the Sooner State. The early part of the day should be pretty good, and we will make it through the Texas Panhandle unscathed, simply collecting dust. The front will be a stalled boundary that lies essentially along I-44. We will need to take I-44. The threat for thunderstorms will begin around Elk City, but will really pick up as we approach Oklahoma City. As we head north for the last few hours of the day, we will be in prime severe weather territory. It’s not going to be a solid squall, I don’t think, but when we hit those massive storms, our ground speed may be matched only by the crosswinds created by the thunderstorm downdrafts. It might be time to pull off the road around Fairland in northeastern Oklahoma. This part of the world has had an awful track record for severe weather of late, so be aware, if you are a believer in karma, or bad vibes.

DAY FOUR
The system, at least where it stands as a severe threat, will be short lived. Latent moisture and a little bit of a disturbed flow will make Missouri and southern Illinois cloudy. There is a chance for showers through the day, with that threat picking up the closer we get to Champaign, though even then, the threat won’t be very high, as another system rears it’s ugly head in the upper Midwest, introducing a clearing, warming flow over the Plains.

Santa Barbara, Califonia

My understanding is that Santa Barbara is a nice place.

At 253PM, PT, Santa Barbara was reporting a temperature of 73 degrees. It was mostly cloudy, despite a gentle off shore breeze. Satellite indicated that the patch of clouds over Santa Barbara was very small, and the sun will soon be out.
Models indicate some low level moisture hugging the coast for the next two days, with little organized synoptic structure. This probably means a pair of mornings dealing with low clouds and fog. There may be a spot of drizzle as well, but by afternoon, expect the sun to poke out.
Tomorrow – Morning fog and drizzle, High 72, Low 57
Saturday – More clouds and fog, with a bit of drizzle early, High 67, Low 56

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 76, Low 60
Saturday – Partly Cloudy High 70, Low 57

AW: Tomorrow – Low clouds followed by some sun High 73, Low 57
Saturday – Low clouds followed by some sun High 68, Low 55

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, drizzle after 11pm High 76, Low 62
Saturday – A chance of drizzle before 11am. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, High 69, Low 59

WB: Tomorrow – Low clouds and fog in the morning then partly cloudy. High 74, Low 60
Saturday – Low clouds and fog in the morning then partly cloudy. High 70, Low 59

V-W and ourselves are the only ones calling for drizzle. Interesting, to say the least. Satellite shows a little splotch of clouds over Santa Barbara.