Tag Archives: San Diego

Seaside showers

The upper level trough that will be the culprit for the late week blizzard and severe weather outbreak over the mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys that is getting underway right now moved through California to begin the month of April. Even on the sunny beaches of southern California, they saw some rain out of this system, including over a quarter of an inch reported in San Diego. Temperatures were more variable than many had anticipated, but not Accuweather, who had the best forecast.
Actuals: Tuesday – .05 inches o rain, High 66, Low 56
Wednesday – .22 inches of rain, High 65, low 55

Grade: A

San Diego, California

We are off to one of the most beautiful cities in the America for our forecast. They hosted opening night for the baseball season last night. What do the next few days have in store?

At 751AM, PT, San Diego was reporting a temperature of 57 degrees with clear skies. There are a few clouds on satellite around San Diego, but there is not a marine layer today. Generally speaking, flow is off shore across the San Diego area. The region the bears watching is a spot of showers moving into northern California.
The rain is associated with a Pacific low within an upper level trough moving into the coast. It is fairly isolated from the rest of the upper level flow, and the trough is going to slow down significantly upon arriving on the coast. The initial cold front will move into town by tomorrow morning, bringing only clouds and some very light rain. The surface low will continue to spin over Northern California, and westerly flow will carry low level moisture into San Diego on Wednesday morning as well.
Tomorrow – Overcast with some light showers. High 65, Low 53
Wednesday – Clouds, morning haze and light rain remain possible, High 63, Low 51

TWC: Tomorrow – AM Showers High 62, Low 58
Wednesday – Showers, High 61, Low 56

AW: Tomorrow – Considerable clouds and breezy; morning rain, then a couple of showers possible in the afternoon High 64, Low 56
Wednesday – Clouds and breaks of sun; breezy with a couple of showers High 63, Low 55

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers, mainly before 11am High 63, Low 57
Wednesday – Showers likely, mainly before 11am. High 61, Low 56

WB: Tomorrow – Showers in the morning…then partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. High 63, Low 57
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy with numerous showers in the morning… Then partly cloudy with scattered showers in the afternoon. High 61, Low 56

WN: Tomorrow – Showers High 63, Low 57
Wednesday – Numerous Showers High 61, Low 55

I like how dramatic this forecast is. It makes it sounds so rainy! I bet they get maybe .10″. If that. Here is a pretty quiet satellite image.
San Diego

A 6 horse race

For the first time, we have a verification including all 6 outlets we monitor here at Victoria Weather. WeatherNation entered the forecasting fold, and while they weren’t bad, they couldn’t approach The Weather Channel’s forecast in San Diego. An area of low pressure was sliding right down the coast towards San Diego, but it didn’t arrive as soon as most anticipated, and there were no reports on Sunday. The weather turned on Monday, with almost a tenth of an inch of rain in the drought stricken town. The Weather Channel and Accuweather had the only correct precipitation forecasts. They were also the top two temperature forecasts, with TWC winning the first forecast of February.
Actuals: Sunday – High 62, Low 48
Monday – .09 inches of rain, High 62, Low 52

Grade: A

San Diego, California

Today is the day the calendar ticks over to February, and also the day that we will begin using WeatherNation as one of the sites we verify against. With the kerfuffle between DirecTV and The Weather Channel, the emerging WeatherNation started making headlines, and will now start making appearances here at The Weather Blog. Their forecast will be the 6th one listed, under “WN”. Welcome and good luck!
Hopefully, San Diego will be a fairly easy way to break into the forecast!

At 351PM, PT, San Diego was reporting a temperature of 62 degrees with clear skies. A brisk west wind was producing some clouds in the high country east of town, but it was a generally quiet night for southern California, and the ocean to the west was clear of any evident low clouds, to the Marine Layer doesn’t appear to be of significant concern.
Aloft, things are a bit more interesting. A weak upper level trough is going to see stronger flow through it over the next 48 hours. The unusually warm winter that the west has been seeing will take a break over the next 48 hours, and a low pressure center will ride the western leg of the trough south along the California coast. Rain will arrive in the San Diego area late tomorrow night, and will continue into the morning. The 540 thickness line will dip south of San Diego, which in other locations might mean residents should look out for snow. Obviously, this won’t be a concern for San Diego, but is just an indicator of how cold the air mass is. The rain will end by late morning on Monday, and warmer temperatures will return fairly quickly in the afternoon, but the return of nightly haze and clouds seems likely.
Tomorrow – Rain in the evening, High 64, Low 44
Monday – Rain showers early, High 61, Low 50

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny High 64, Low 46
Monday – Rain High 61, Low 52

AW: Tomorrow – Some sun High 61, Low 46
Monday – Periods of sun with a shower possible; cool High 59, Low 52

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny (late rain/storms) High 61, Low 48
Monday – A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny High 58, Low 51

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy (PM rain) High 61, Low 47
Monday – Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning…then partly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. High 57, Low 51

WN: Tomorrow – Scattered Showers High 61, Low 46
Monday – Scattered Showers High 57, Low 52

So there you go, WeatherNation makes their debut. Visit them at www.weathernationtv.com. Here is a nice visible satellite, allowing us to investigate more closely the cloud picture. Just some up in the mountains to the east, as you will note, but not much going on off shore.
San Diego

Smothered

San Diego had a change in flow early on Saturday which meant chilly and Pacific air was redirected inland, and a persistent, thick marine layer became parked over the area for the past two days. Sunny southern California wasn’t so sunny. The temperatures never climbed out of the 60s, either as highs or lows. One outlet, The Weather Channel, had this forecast nailed and won the day.
Actuals: Saturday – High 66, Low 60
Sunday – .01 inches of rain, High 66, Low 62

Grade: A

San Diego, California to Barnstable, Massachusetts

It doesn’t get much longer than this 6 day journey from southern California to Cape Cod. It will be a 3107 mile drive, and we will be able to average a 65.2mph pace, which means our first 5 days will average 521.5 miles. This is going to be a pretty long trip.

DAY ONE
San Diego
As we leave tomorrow morning, we will likely be in the midst of some marine layer activity. Patchy fog will be a possibility all the way up the 5 towards LA, but when we get to the eastern side of the San Bernadino Mountains, life will be good. In our wake, drizzle chances will increase in San Diego, but our drive through the desert will be, get this, dry. The day will end in southwestern Utah in the town of Paragonah.

DAY TWO
The low developing off of San Francisco Bay is going to move slightly inland, and a southerly flow will give way to the first monsoon day of the Rckies for the Spring just as we are driving through. Rain and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely in the Colorado Rockies, particularly west of the Loveland Pass, where we will spend most of our time on Monday in Colorado. There is a shot at some light rain early in the day along the Wasatch as well, but we won’t spend enough time there for it to be terribly likely, and the rest of Utah will be an arid wasteland. We will call it a night, probably a dry night, in Dumont, Colorado, not long after we get through the Pass.

DAY THREE
This malformed wave will try to move out of the Rockies, and after the monstrosities we have seen this winter, it seems odd to think that of all things, THIS system will be producing any weather. But alas, with the advance of warm air, stratiform rain showers will move to cover most of Nebraska and eastern Colorado. We will try to dodge this precipitation throughout the day, and there might even be a rumble of thunder embedded in one of the scattered showers. I find it hard to believe that the wet weather will be problematic or severe. The day will end in Greenwood, Nebraska, which is a few clicks past Lincoln.

DAY FOUR
The relatively disorganized but active pattern will continue. There is a decent enough chance for rain early in the day, until we reach Iowa, after which point clearing skies and warmer temperatures can be expected. That slow moving trough that is lumbering through the southeast is going to try to meet us in the Great Lakes on Wednesday. Scattered showers will return in Illinois and continue as we stop for the night in Hobart, Indiana. That’s frustrating.

DAY FIVE
We are between two weak areas of low pressure. There should be enough juice for some clouds, but not enough energy to do anything beyond that. Sure, maybe some drizzle in the morning before the really dense clouds burn off, but it will be gone by the time we set out through northern Indiana, Ohio and Pennsylvania. The low that was once a cut off trough and will, by Thursday be an amorphous rain blob, will mosey on into western New York by the time we arrive in Pembroke, which is east of Buffalo.

DAY SIX
Almost there! Overnight the remnant trough will hook up with the jet stream again at long last and rocket off to the northeast giving us a mostly clear drive to Barnstable. The models are a little tentative this far out, and there is a lot of green on the forecast maps, but this is attributable to uncertainty. That said, the little slice of America we are driving through on Friday will be one of the best spots in the country for avoiding wet weather. The best bet to get wet is to jump in a sailboat at Hyannisport.
Barnstale

San Diego, California

It’s a California kind of day here at Victoria-Weather. Which is great, given the slice of winter in the Plains.

At 751AM, PT, San Diego was reporting a temperature of 66 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Upper level ridging was dominating the western third of the country, leading to very dry and warm conditions. Most of the Coastal Mountains were under red flag warnings, and there were, in fact, fires being reported north of the San Diego area.
Fortunately for firefighters, there is a pattern change coming. A weak upper level trough will start to see stronger flow aloft move through it, and as a response, a weak area of low pressure will begin to spin up off the coast of northern California. Southwesterly flow will begin to come off the of the chilly central Pacific, which will mean a reemergence of a marine layer on Sunday morning, as well as cooler temperatures and some drizzle by the end of the day Sunday.
Tomorrow – Cooling and becoming cloudy High 72, Low 59
Sunday – Cloudy with morning fog and drizzle late, High 70 Low 59

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 68, Low 60
Sunday – Drizzle High 65, Low 60

AW: Tomorrow – Cooler with areas of low clouds, then sun High 69, Low 58
Sunday – Low clouds breaking for some sun with a shower in spots High 69, Low 59

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy dense fog before 11am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny high 69, Low 58
Sunday – A slight chance of showers after 11am. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, High 66, Low 58

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning…becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Cooler. High 69, Low 58
Sunday – Patchy fog in the morning. Cloudy in the morning…then partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. High 66, Low 58

Well, that’s certainly not the weekend one would typically expect in southern California. Satellite only shows some high clouds in the area for now.
San Diego

It DOES Rain In Southern California

This past weekend wasn’t kind to the West Coast, as a series of storms dumped a ton of rain and mountain snows over the Sierras and Cascades. Personally, I was in Palm Springs, CA enjoying some vacation with family. It was sunny and in the upper 70s there! However, in San Diego, clouds stuck around for most of the weekend and kept the temperatures pretty steady throughout Sunday and Monday. Both days reported a trace of rain, a 9min shower on Sunday and 15min shower on Monday, but otherwise it was a benign couple of days. The NWS’s inclusion of a chance of showers both days propelled them to the top position.

Sunday: Trace of rain. High 68, Low 62.
Monday: Trace of rain. High 68, Low 60.
Forecast Grade: A

New York City, New York to San Diego, California

Crisscrossing the nation, we are. The trip will cover 2805 miles and will nose into a 6th day again. It’s actually a bit shorter than yesterday’s trip (by an hour) but that’s still really long. We will cover 520 miles a day at a speed of 65mph. This is a seriously long and nasty trip, so we had better get on our way!

DAY ONE

An area of low pressure moving trhough Canada is producing a cold front that will strafe the Great Lakes tomorrow. As we head west, the system will head east. We will intersect with this line of showers with embedded thunderstorms around Pittsburgh (or rather, south of Pittsburgh). The heaviest rain will likely be as we drive through the sliver of West Virginia we will encounter, including the city of Wheeling. The rest of our drive through Ohio will be fairly rainy as well, though it will finally begin to taper off as we arrive in Columbus, the destination for day one.

DAY TWO
The next system is already going to be moving through Canada on Monday as we make our way west. Lingering moisture after the front moves through will lead to some cloudy skies and drizzle across most of the route on Monday. We will pass through Indianapolis and St. Louis on our way to St. James, Missouri, in the middle of the state. Expect conditions to be very near to clearing up when we arrive. The cold front associated with the second system will be just off to our west when we arrive.

DAY THREE
For the first several hours of our drive, likely until we arrive in the Tulsa area, where showers and storms will lurk just off to our southeast. The system will be close enough to us that we may see some drizzle, or at the very least some occasionally breezy winds thanks to the downdrafts of collapsing storms. After Tulsa, however, clear, dry skies will be on the horizon until we reach Elk City in western Oklahoma, where we will call it a night.

DAY FOUR
Finally, a day with no inclement weather. We will make it from Elk City and across the Panhandle of Texas and through most of New Mexico with no weather problems. Some hill country out west might cause engine problems if we decide to take the ’89 Caravan, but otherwise, we should roll into Prewitt, New Mexico with no issues. (Prewitt is about a third of the way from Grants to Gallup)

DAY FIVE
We should stay prety dry again on Thursday, finishing our last hour or so in New Mexico, and then 7 more in Arizona. We will cross the state diagonally, cutting through Phoenix and headed towards Yuma, stopping about 30 miles east of town in Wellton. Late in the day, there is a chance to see some light showers north of Phoenix after we get through the city, but it shouldn’t impact us in any way.

DAY SIX
Finally an end to our long drive, as we head towards San Diego. We won’t see any real problems, except, perhaps, for some toasty weather in southern California, and some early clouds in Wellton. It may be cloudy as we descend into San Diego, but that’s not really a problem, is it?

San Diego, California

It’s our second trip to California this week, and it’s actually been fairly active there.

At 905AM, PT, San Diego was reporting mostly cloudy skies with a temperature of 64 degrees. An overriding onshore flow has made things cloudier at the midlevels than usual, but the low level marine layer hasn’t been as active as it could be lately.
A strong area of low pressure in the eastern Pacific Northwest will continue to drive southwesterly flow into the San Diego area through the day tomorrow, while a strong, finishing cold front gets drawn south. It is expected to arrive in San Diego in the early morning on Monday. This may produce a few showers on the western exposures of coastal mountains before sunrise. Expect things to finally clear out later in the day on Monday, finally putting an end to what has been a fairly dreary week.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 66, Low 58
Monday – Rain early, then clearing, High 67, Low 57

TWC: Tomorrow – PM Showers High 65, Low 58
Monday – Few Showers High 65, Low 57

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy High 66, Low 57
Monday – Clouds giving way to some sun High 68, Low 56

NWS: Tomorrow – A 10 percent chance of showers after 4pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, High 66, Low 61
Monday – A 30 percent chance of showers before 10am. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly sunny, High 67, Low 59

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy in the morning…becoming mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Slight chance of rain. Local visibility one quarter mile or less at times in the morning High 66, Low 60
Monday – Patchy fog in the morning. Cloudy with a chance of rain in the morning…then partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain in the afternoon. Local visibility one quarter mile or less at times in the morning High 67, Low 59

A little murkiness as we continue the weekend. The weather should begin to turn next week though. Finally, good weather in southern California. Satellite shows a cloudy weather pattern off the coast from San Diego and LA.