Temperatures for the beginning of the week in Lafayette were supposed to be well off the pace of their scorching summer thanks to a slow moving cold front that brought nearly an inch of rain last Monday and Tuesday. Still and all, Lafayette was able to climb back into the 80s on Monday, and nearly made it again on Tuesday. The forecast was a little warmer than anyone thought, but it was still much more comfortable that it’s been through the rest of August. Forecast.io had the winning digits. Actuals: Monday High 83, low 67 Tuesday – High 79, low 64
I kept looking at the schedule (even marking it incorrectly on the coming soon post) and thinking we were forecasting for the Lafayette in Louisiana. Nope! I mmisread it the whole time, and we are going back to my old stomping grounds, the home of Purdue University and Lafayette, Indiana.
At 754PM, ET, Lafayette was reporting a muggy 78 degrees with fair skies. Indiana and Illinois were in the process of being overcome by some high stratus, precediing an area of low pressure in the Lower Missouri Valley. The rest of the evening looks to be fair, though still humid under continued southerly flow. The sharp cut off low in the Plains is going to associate with the mean upper level flow and slow down significantly. The leading edge of rain and thunderstorms will arrive in central Indiana by mid-day tomorrow, but the cold front itself will generally be occluded. A broad area of steady rain is possible through the day, through a few rumbles of thunder are likely to be embedded. The low will track just south of Lafayette early on Tuesday morning, which will bring the heavy precipitation to an end. Still, in the afterglow of this system, there will be a bit of light rain through most of the day on Tuesday. High pressure will move in late in the evening, but not in time to salvage the day. Tomorrow – Rain with embedded thunderstorms, High 77, Low 66 Tuesday – Mostly cloudy with a smattering of shower activity, High 75, Low 68
TWC: Tomorrow – Thunderstorms. High 80, Low 66 Tuesday – Mixed clouds and sun with scattered thunderstorms. High 75, Low 67
AW: Tomorrow – Considerable clouds, humid; a couple of afternoon showers and a heavy thunderstorm High 79, Low 67 Tuesday – Mostly cloudy, a shower or thunderstorm around High 77, Low 68
NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm High 78, Low 65 Tuesday – A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, High 77, Low 68
WB: Tomorrow – Showers and chance of thunderstorms. High 78, Low 68 Tuesday – Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms, High 76, Low 68
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered storms, High 78, Low 65 Tuesday – Mostly cloudy with showers likely, High 77, Low 68
FIO: Tomororw – Rain starting in the afternoon, continuing until evening. High 79, Low 68 Tuesday – Rain starting overnight, continuing until morning, and breezy starting in the afternoon, continuing until evening. High 77, Low 66
I’ve made my return to Lafayette, but it looks like I couldn’t bring any good weather along the way. Here is the satellite, showing clouds rolling in, as the beginning of a bummer of a week approaches.
Today we embark on a lengthy, 5-day road trip from southern LA to the far reaches of the Pacific Northwest. 2,552 miles lay between us and our destination, so let’s not waste any more time!
There could be some scattered shower/thunderstorm activity developing over the region as we begin our trip this morning as has been the pattern over the last several days along the Gulf Coast. They shouldn’t affect us for very long, thankfully, as we travel away from them up towards Shreveport then continue westward into northern Texas. Most of the remainder of the day will be dry with increasing clouds as we pass by Dallas, but a chance of storms exists as we finish the day in Wichita Falls, TX.
Our trip continues a westward direction as we finish our Texas leg and push into New Mexico. Unfortuantely, the tail end of a boundary continues to linger over the Red River Valley, keeping showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for much of the day from Wichita Falls through at least Amarillo. Conditions should quiet a little bit as we pass Tucumcari, but a late evening flare up of storms could kick on our wipers as we make our way into Albuquerque for the night.
Some isolated shower could be lingering in the area when we head northwestward out of Albuquerque in the morning, but most of the morning in NM should be fairly quiet. Dry weather will continue as we pass on by the Four Corners are into southwest Colorado. Some scattered shower and thunderstorm activity will be possible again in the late afternoon/evening hours as we push into southeastern Utah, particularly as we get to Moab. Activity will dwindle during the late evening hours, however, and should be quiet as we finish in Price, UT.
High pressure building down over Southern Canada, mainly from Manitoba to Alberta, is keeping much of the diurnal monsoon thunderstorm activity down today, with isolated activity popping off only the highest areas in northern UT and western MT, with spotty activity found in N NV and S OR as well. Pretty much the entire day will be quiet weatherwise as we head by Salt Lake City and Ogden and then into southern Idaho where we’ll see Twin Falls and Boise before we finish our day in Ontario, OR, just a stone’s throw over the Snake River into Oregon.
A very quiet day is expected for the remainder of our trip as high pressure persists over the Pacific Northwest. Lots of sunshine is anticipated as we push through northeast Oregon and eventually into southern Washington near Kennewick and pass on by Yakima. The late-afternoon and evening hours will be quiet as we pass by Seattle and eventually finish our trip in Bellingham!
Another quick little trip, playing catch up tonight. The last three trips will include Beaumont, which is fantastic, if you ask me. This trip will last only about 2 hours, covering 134 miles. That means an average speed of about 64mph, all along one dang highway. Let’s turn this car around and make our way to the east.
The difference between the last road trip and this one is that we will be driving through the area a day sooner. As a result, the wave moving into the Plains will still be hung up in eastern Montana, and a weak area of high pressure will lie over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. This is the perfect set up to cycle onshore some low level moisture into east Texas and southern Louisiana. Expect considerable overcast with some showers from Beaumont to Lake Charles, but some clearing from that point to Lafayette. Not a complete washout, but disappointing, compared to the previous trip, covering much of the same ground!
The South is a hot and humid place during the summer months, and Lafayette is no exception. Scattered thunderstorms are the norm throughout the season thanks to the ever-present humidity, but they dodged ’em both days to start of the week. Temperatures varied a bit more than most outlets had them pegged to be, but Weather Channel took home the win.
Monday: High 97, Low 80.
Tuesday: High 90, Low 72.
Forecast Grade: B
A few technical difficulties last night, but we are back, and we are forecasting for Lafayette now, today. Anthony will be back with something a little later tonight. Who knows that that will be about.
At 1PM, CT, Lafayette was reporting a temperature of 93 degrees with mostly sunny skies. The primary feature east of the Rockies is a cutoff low in the Upper Midwest moving towards the Great Lakes. Flow south of the system is from the northwest until it reaches central Louisiana, where it begins to meander at the upper levels. The point for Lafayette is that there isn’t a sea breeze to speak of, and instead a languid, hot day will close out the weekend.
As the low continues to shift to the northeast, the cooler drier air at the back end will barrel southward towards Louisiana. This will trigger some showers and storms as soon as tomorrow morning. Unfortunately for Lafayette, as the parent low shifts to the northeast and unravels, the motivation for the boundary to continue to move southward will be limited. The threat for showers and storms will therefore continue through the afternoon and into Tuesday morning. Expect clouds and fog to develop in the mornings as well to help keep temperatures down a little bit, but the humidity will still be quite high.
Tomorrow – Showers and occasional thunderstorms possible, with morning haze, High 96, Low 78
Tuesday – Overcast early, then clearing with some showers and storms, High 92, Low 77
TWC: Tomorrow – Isolated thunderstorms, High 97, Low 76
Tuesday – Sunny, High 93, Low 73
AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny with a shower or thunderstorm around High 95, Low 77
Tuesday – Partly sunny with a thunderstorm High 92, Low 74
NWS: Tomorrow – A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, High 96, Low 77
Tuesday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, High 93, Low 75
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 95, Low 75
Tuesday – Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 92, Low 75
WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Scattered Storms High 95, Low 77
Tuesday – Partly Cloudy with Scattered Storms High 93, Low 75
FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain starting in the afternoon. High 94, Low 75
Tuesday – Light rain starting in the afternoon, continuing until evening.High 89, Low 70
We can look at the satellite imagery and just see where the tail of the boundary is getting tied up. HINT: It’s the Ozarrks.
Whenever we do a short trip, it always seems to be through Indiana, for some reason. This trek will only last 3 hours and cover 178 miles. The drive will be at a pace of 61.2mph, thanks to some lower roads in western Indiana. I guess we should probably get going.
A head of a broad area of low pressure across the High Plains, moisture will be pumping north into the Mississippi Valley. A vorticity maximum will be the focal point for heavier rain and thunderstorms, and will be centered around Cape Girardieau, Missouri. This will keep rain fairly light around Springfield, and perhaps we will even see some dry conditions through Champaign. The rest of the stretch will likely be pretty drizzly, however, with light rain continuing from the home of the University of Illinois to the home of their contemporary, Purdue University in Lafayette (well, Purdue is in West Lafayette, but you get the point).
Enclosed in this video, please enjoy a verification for Lafayette, Louisiana, the announcement of the March Forecaster of the Month, and a quick chat about the pending thunderstorm threat for the Ohio Valley area.
Hey gang! We’re going with a video forecast this time around!
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 78, Low 61
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy High 79, Low 62
TWC – Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 80, Low 61
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy, High 81, Low 63
AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy High 81, Low 61
Wednesday – Rather cloudy with a shower or thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 81, Low 63
NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, High 82, Low 61
Wednesday – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, High 81, Low 62
WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. High 82, Low 61
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 81, Low 62
WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Patchy Fog High 82, Low 63
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy with Isolated Storms, High 71, Low 63
FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 78, Low 60
Wednesday – Foggy in the morning. High 79, Low 61
Not much variance. High temperatures will greatly depend on insolation. Hope you enjoy the video!
Mid-week in southern Louisiana seemed so promising. Temperatures were as warm as 64 degrees on Tuesday, the sun was shining and then the bottom fell out. A strong upper level trough dragged cold air from the Arctic all the way to the Lafayette area. While temperatures were warm in the morning on Thursday, temperatures fell off quickly in the afternoon. It was a midnight low that dropped just below freezing late yesterday. A sign of things to come. Outlets that forecast hourly all the way to the end of day two had the best forecasts, with Victoria-Weather leading the way.
Actuals: Wednesday – High 64, Low 31
Thursday – High 56, Low 30