Tag Archives: Gainesville

Gainesville, Florida to Napa, California

One of the first road trips we ever took on Victoria-Weather many, many moons ago, was from Gainesville to Chico, California. This won’t be terribly different in terms of route or distance, but I should hope almost 10 years later, that the trip itself will be a little different. It will take us 5 complete days, covering 2731 miles, at a pace of 68mph to reach Napa. We will cover 546 miles a day in our efforts to cross the country.

DAY ONE (Thursday)

Boy, is the forecast map looking more and more like summer, expecially in the southern United States. The NAM and GFS are looking at sea breeze thunderstorms along the Gulf Coast with varying degrees if intensity. With these small scale events, the NAM’s precision often makes it the better model. If that is indeed the case on Thursday, watch out for strong thunderstorms with heavy rain, particularly over southern Alabama as we navigate our way north towards Hattiesburg. We will see more isolated thundershowers in Mississippi as the day winds down, and the stop for the night will come in Magee, about 50 minutes southeast of Jackson.

DAY TWO (Friday)
A little vort max is expected to develop around the Mississippi Delta by the afternoon, so the threat for organized thunderstorms along our route will be fairly low. Still, with latent moisture still high, and heat in the afternoon, don’t be surprised to see a smattering of showers over northern Louisiana and Texas as the heat of the afternoon sets in. We’ll dodge rain drops most of the day, which is fine, because we will need to keep the windows rolled up and the AC on the whole day. We’ll stop for the night in Bellevue, Texas, which is about 45 minutes southeast of Wichita Falls.

DAY THREE (Saturday)
The drive through north Texas and northern New Mexico will be fairly active. Most of the region will be under the influence of a broad, weak area of circulation, with a smattering of showers early in the day, with thunderstorms filtering in later. The rain will back into New Mexico as the day progresses, with thunderstorms butting up against the higher terrain that makes up the spine of the Land of Enchantment. We will almost definitely get a bit of precipitation, but it certainly won’t be a washout. The day will end on the west side of Alburquerque.

DAY FOUR (Sunday)
Showers and thunderstorms are going to be a thing of the past, especially as we cross northern Arizona. There might be a few isolated spots of rain in New Mexico, but that activity will wait to develop until after we have left the state. Northern Arizona will provide us with no problems, and the only issue we will have in southern California will be finding a place to stay. Incredible that the coast can be so populous, and inland, it’s so empty. Let’s say around the Camino Airstrip by Bigelw Cholla National Wilderness, we will stop for our final evening.

DAY FIVE (Monday)
High pressure! Ridging! Driving through California will be a piece of cake! Except for any traffic through the bigger towns of the central Valley, of course, but traffic through inland towns is so much easier to manage. The day will end in Napa, with sun and a glass of wine.


The clouds followed thunderstorms over the weekend in Gainesville in north Georgia. Temperatures were able to reach 80 degrees despite some thunderstorms in the morning on Saturday, but a stalled boundary in the Tennessee Valley brought a thick layer of clouds to Lake Lanier and Gainesville. Temperatures stalled at 72 degrees, even though the rain was essentially done by 2pm. The more pessimistic the forecaster, the better things worked out. This worked out best for Weatherbug, who had the lowest forecast temperatures.
Saturday – .67 inches of rain in thunderstorms, High 80, Low 67
Sunday – .14 inches of rain, High 72, Low 58

Grade: B

Montgomery, Alabama to Gainesville, Georgia

A nice short adventure for today’s trip. And an adventure it will be, as we attempt to navigate the Atlanta metro on our way to Lake Lanier and Gainesville, Georgia on its shores. It should only be about 3 hours and 15 minutes between the two towns, but of course, traffic could significantly impact that. I things go according to plan, our drive will be at a blistering 65.5mph to cover the 215 miles to the lake. One Saturday joy ride coming up!

I noted in the forecast for Gainesville earlier that the shower activity likely wouldn’t be terribly widespread. It looks a lot dicier for northern Alabama, and I-85 between Atlanta and Montgomery looks like the southeastern periphery of where heavy rain and embedded thunderstorms will line up in Alabama tomorrow. A lot of the rainfall will actually dissipate as the day moves on, because much of the cloud coalescence will be driven by the cool mmorning temperatures. What does this mean, in road trip terms? The best chance for a shower or storm will come between Montgomery and Columbus. There might be a stray shower the rest of the way, but but that stretch will be the rainiest. I think I wouldn’t risk this trip just to go to Lake Lanier, but if you’re going there anyway, you might be able to enjoy an afternoon on the water.

Gainesville, Georgia

Just like the one in Florida, Gainesville, Georgia is in the northern half of the state. What do we have in store for this particular part of the world?

AT 1153AM, ET, Gainesville was reporting a temperature of 76 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. A stationary front remains north of Georgia, and despite model prognostications to the contrary, is drawing moisture away from Gainesville and aiding in the region’s dry conditions this morning.
Dirtier flow over western Tennessee portends to what is to come as the upper level trough in the Great Lakes sharpens and becomes progressive. Heavy rain and widespread overcast are likely never to be a concern over the weekend in Gainesville, but there should be enough instability borne of the front and increased humidity and slightly lower temperatures induced by the trough will contribute to lower LCLs, which may mean an increased chance for light rain, particularly on Sunday morning, but with slighter chances on Saturday morning as well.
Tomorrow – Light rain possible in the morning, otherwise partly cloudy, High 82, Low 65
Sunday – Rain more likely, with a it of thunder possible, High 78, Low 64

TWC: Tomorrow – Isolated T-Storms High 81, Low 66
Sunday – Scattered T-Storms High 74, Low 63

AW: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sun with a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon High 80, Low 66
Sunday – Intervals of clouds and sun with a shower or thunderstorm High 77, Low 63

NWS: Tomorrow – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Partly sunny High 78, Low 66
Sunday – A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 9am. Mostly cloudy, High 73, Low 63

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning…then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 78, Low 65
Sunday – Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 75, Low 58

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms High 79, Low 66
Sunday – Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 73, Low 63

A little showery for the next few days, but nothing too off the wall. Satellite shows us where that stationary boundary is today.

Good times in Gainesville.

It was awfully chilly in north Georgia by their standards over the past couple of days. Morning lows were at or below freezing on Thursday and Friday, despite a little bit of warming in the forecast. Temperatures were pretty nice in the afternoon, with sunny skies during the day. I’m not sure I would have gone out on the Lake, but it would have been nice to be outside. Next door neighbors to Gainesville, The Weather Channel, took down the top forecast.
Actuals: Thursday – High 52, Low 32
Friday – High 63, Low 30

Grade: B

Gainesville, Georgia to Huntsville, Alabama

Somehow, it’s a longer drive from Gainesville to Huntsville than it is from Louisville to Knoxville. It will take a little more than half a day, with a total coverage of 242 miles. The drive through Atlanta will really slow us down, and our rate of speed will be a mere 56.3mph. Let’s get ready to rumble.

High pressure lies over the southeastern United States right now, and there appears to be no significant threat (from the weather) for our journey tomorrow. It will be a pleasant day in the 60s, maybe even in the low 70s by the time we get to Huntsville. Watch out for traffic in Atlanta, but otherwise, enjoy the drive.

Gainesville, Georgia

There is more than one Gainesville in the world, and the one we visit on this occasion is in far northern Georgia. Let’s hurry and take care of this forecast!

At 1253PM, ET, Gainesville was reporting a temperature of 62 degrees with overcast skies. A cold front was reflected on radar as a weak line of showers northwest of Atlanta. The activity trails a field of scattered clouds, of which there is a bit thicker layer presently over Lake Lanier. Moisture is going to continue being pulled north towards a developing low in the Mid Atlantic, and the cold front will sweep through town before the afternoon is through.
The pool of cold air will not be long for the Georgian atmosphere, as high pressure will begin to build into the southeast again by tomorrow afternoon. Sunny skies are expected for the next two days, as well as increasingly warm, humid air, after what looks to be a chilly morning tomorrow.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 55, Low 32
Friday – Even warmer, still sunny, High 64, Low 35

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny High 51, low 30
Friday – Mostly Sunny High 62, Low 32

AW: Tomorrow – Breezy and cooler with a full day of sunshine High 51, low 30
Friday – Mostly sunny, breezy and warmer High 61, Low 34

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 48, Low 30
Friday – Sunny High 62, Low 34

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny…windy High 49, Low 30
Friday – Sunny High 62, Low 34

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny High 48, Low 30
Friday – Mostly Sunny High 63, Low 34

I went a bit warmer than the models suggested for highs, because the skies will be so sunny, and warm air will be available from the Gulf. Here is the current radar, with a very tiny band of showers to the northwest of Atlanta and Gainesville.

Dodging Storms

Pretty much every day between April and November means chances of thunderstorms over the Florida Peninsula. That’s what happens when you’re 75% surrounded by water. Everybody had a chance at them for both days at Gainesville, but only Sunday saw some rain, and a piddly 0.01″ at that. Monday had a thunderstorm in the vicinity, but Gainesville stayed dry. Weather Channel took home the top spot as their temperature forecast was fairly spot on.

Sunday: 0.01″ of precip in an afternoon rain shower. High 89, Low 72.
Monday: high 89, Low 70.
Forecast Grade: B

Gainesville, Florida to Fort Worth, Texas

A nice, easy two day trip is in store for us to begin next week. It’s 1066 miles between the two cities, and we will be able to keep up a 66mph pace, which is rather fleet. Thank goodness we get to hang out on the same interstate for quite a while. It’s going to be about an even split on driving distance between the two days, but day one will be a hair longer at 528.1 miles. Head west, young man!

There is a weak area of low pressure off the Louisiana Coast that will only continue to develop overnight tonight and into the day tomorrow. The beginning of our drive will be dry, but that won’t last long. We will first encounter the rain in Live Oak, and the rain will only become more persistent and heavier as we head west. Moderate rain will be possible between Marianna, Florida and Mobile, with torrential downpours the rest of the way to Madisonville, Louisiana, which is on the north end of Lake Pontchartrain.
The good thing about this developing system is that it will finally provide a little motivation, so the pattern begins to change along the Gulf Coast. After days upon days of rain in Texas, east Texas will be abe to see the sun. There might be a little drizzle early on, but by the time we reach Lafayette, maybe an hour into the day, it looks pretty good. Sunny skies in Fort Worth!

Burlington, North Carolina to Gainesville, Florida

Say, what’s this? Only a 1 day trip? We can manage this, no problem! The busiest city we will pass through is Jacksonville, Florida, as we will bypass most of the major metropolitan areas of the Carolinas (we will start near Greensboro and pass through the west side of Savannah, but that isn’t much either.) It’s 536.9 miles between the two cities, and our 9ish hour drive will mean a pace of 59.9mph. Not very fast, but it’s not a very long trip, either.

A weak surface wave moving out of Georgia will be bringing showers and storms to the Burlington area as we depart. We will get into some clearer air not far south of Greensboro, but there will still be a few scattered showers throughout the remainder of North Carolina, and even through most of South Carolina. South of Charleston and through Georgia we will find some dry skies and some good driving. Some robust sea breeze storms will be possible between Jacksonville and Gainesville, however, so make sure to be on the look out for some rapidly changing weather conditions. Still, it’s warm, so no complaints. It will be winter soon.