Well, I was supposed to be off to the Minnesota Twins game tonight, but they pushed the game back until about 10pm, so instead, here I am preparing a forecast for you. Everyone wins.
At 1114PM, ET, the Bay City area was reporting a temperature of 72 degrees with clear skies. surface high pressure was in place across the region, with the jet itself presently running through northern Ontario. There was a light southerly breeze over eastern Michigan, ensuring that it remained warm and clear overnight and into tomorrow morning.
Low pressure in the Upper Midwest was producing a complex of strong to severe thunderstorms making their way through southern Wisconsin. The system is surface born, and as a result, guidance is having a difficult time deciding what to do with it. The consensus seems to be that there may be a rogue shower as far north as Bay City tomorrow, though the severe threat will be to the south. A secondary wave will bring a bit more upper level support to low pressure development on Thursday. The threat for severe weather will be centered around Iowa, but a well organized warm front will bring some general showers and storms to the area through the PM hours.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a few showers and storms. High 86, Low 68
Thursday – More clouds and thunderstorms, High 82, Low 69
TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy early. Scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day. High 90, Low 63
Thursday – Scattered thunderstorms High 84, Low 67
AW: Tomorrow – Some sunshine giving way to clouds and humid; an afternoon shower or thunderstorm High 88, Low 66
Thursday – Humid with periods of clouds and sun High 85, Low 70
NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Partly sunny, High 89, Low 66
Thursday – A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Partly sunny, High 81, Low 67
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy until 2PM then partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 86, Low 65
Thursday – Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 77, Low 70
WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms high 90, Low 66
Thursday – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms High 81, Low 68
FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain starting in the afternoon, continuing until evening. High 88, Low 65
Thursday – Rain starting in the afternoon. High 85, Low 65
It seems like a dicey forecast, but everyone came through with the same on precip. Here is the satellite, showing that huge complex in the Upper Midwest.