Tag Archives: wheeling

Weather Wayback… Aiming to impress

Back in Mid-November last year, Anthony remarked upon his knowing someone that lived in our forecast city, Wheeling, West Virginia. He wanted to make sure that he would give a good impression by nailing this forecast. Close, I guess. It was a challenging forecast all around, so nobody had a perfect forecast, but Forecast.io  came through with the top forecast by going warm on the 16th, but more importantly, staying cool on the 17th. Was Anthony’s friend impressed? Maybe, but this wasn’t necessarily our best shhowing.
Actuals: November 16th – Trace of rain, High 47, Low 36
November 17th, High 44, Low 35

Grade: B-D

Wheeling, West Virginia

Earlier this evening, I was conversing with a friend about a music festival we’ll be attending in a few months. My friend lives in Wheeling, WV currently. I better make it a good forecast or she’ll mock me ruthlessly!

At 953pm EST, the temperature at Wheeling, WV was 45 degrees under overcast skies. An area of low pressure is shifting through the Great Lakes tonight, pushing a cold front through the Ohio Valley and into the Northeast during the day tomorrow. Some spotty shower activity is found in the area currently but will continue shifting towards the east as we push towards dawn. Dry weather is expected behind the front on Thursday but breezy conditions will keep the day fairly brisk tomorrow. Winds calm down as high pressure moves overhead Thursday night into Friday, so temperatures will drop somewhat sharply. Luckily, southwesterly flow on Friday will perk temperatures back up a few degrees, so Friday should be much nicer to be outside compared to Thursday.

Thursday: Isolated early morning rain shower, then overcast and breezy throughout the day. High 44, Low 34.
Friday: Partly cloudy. High 47, Low 30.

TWC: Thursday: Cloudy with some early morning showers. High 47, Low 35.
Friday: Partly cloudy. High 48, Low 29.

AW: Thursday: An early morning downpour possible, then rather cloudy, breezy. High 41, Low 34.
Friday: Partial sunshine. High 47, Low 27.

NWS: Thursday: A chance of morning rain/snow showers, then rain in afternoon. High 41, Low 33.
Friday: Partly sunny. High 49, Low 29.

WB: Thursday: Considerable cloudiness with a chance of rain and slight chance of snow showers. High 42, Low 34.
Friday: Partly cloudy, evening rain showers possible. High 46, Low 31.

WN: Thursday: Mostly cloudy with chance of light wintry mix. High 45, Low 34.
Friday: Partly cloudy. High 49, Low 29.

FIO: Thursday: Mostly cloudy throughout the day, possible early AM shower. High 50, Low 37.
Friday: Foggy starting overnight, isolated snow showers late. High 44, Low 32.

Some isolated shower activity has shifted east of Wheeling during the late evening hours, and should clear out of the area as the day progresses.

Right in our Wheel-ing house

Mere hours after we announced that Victoria-Weather was the forecaster of the month, we also get to do a verification for Wheeling, which we forecast for last weekend as a heat wave gripped the Upper Ohio Valley. The warm up seemed due to end, however, as a cold front rolled through town, bringing showers and storms on Sunday and Monday, dropping a considerable amount of rain, and steadily dragging temperatures down on Monday. Fortunately for Wheeling, they were far enough south that they didn’t have to worry about snow, like they saw in the Northern Plains as a result of this system. Fortunately for Victoria-Weather and Forecast.io, the weather behaved enough that we compromised on a victory (F.io was warmer on highs and V-W was cooler on lows, which both ended up being right.)
Actuals: Sunday – .17 inches of rain, High 86, Low 57
Monday – .54 inches of rain, High 80, Low 54

Grade: C-D

Wheeling, West Virginia

West Virginia is lucky enough to have two Panhandles. Our trip today will take us to the northern edition.

At 353PM, ET, Wheeling was reporting a temperature of 71 degrees with clear skies. A dissapating warm front was parked just north of Wheeling, with a broad area of clouds with a few embedded showers between Wheeling and Lake Erie. To the south, West Virginia was sunny and warm. Along the lake shore, it was 30 degrees cooler in the clouds and rain.
The warm air will continue to pump north through the day tomorrow. With this warm, moisture rich air rolling over the Appalachians, there could be a few showers quite a few clouds across southeastern West Virginia especially, though a few may filter north to the Ohio Valley.  The warm front and this moisture infusion are a byproduct of a strong area of low pressure moving from the southern Plains to the Upper Midwest by Monday. A strong cold front will become weaker through the forecast period as it approaches Wheeling. Expect a few showers and storms as the boundary arrives on Monday afternoon. Just because of the warmth that Sunday will bring, there is a chance that some of those storms may be briefly severe.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, warm with some isolated showers, High 82, Low 59
Monday – Early afternoon thunderstorms, then clearing and cooling off, High 75, Low 55 (Non standard)

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. A stray afternoon thunderstorm is possible.High 88, Low 61
Monday – Thunderstorms likely in the morning. Then the chance of scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 75, Low 68

AW: Tomorrow – Clouds and sun with a thunderstorm in the area; the temperature breaking the record of 83 from 2012 High 86, Low 61
Monday – Some sun, then clouds; a strong t-storm, breezy and not as warm; storms may bring damaging winds High 73, Low 58

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 86, Low 60
Monday – Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 7am. Mostly cloudy, High 77, Low 61

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Unseasonably warm. High 85, Low 62
Monday – Showers and thunderstorms likely. high 71, Low  58

WN: Tomorrow – Party cloudy, High 86, Low 61
Monday – Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely, High 77, Low 64

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain starting overnight, continuing until afternoon. High 88, Low 60
Monday – Light rain starting in the morning, continuing until evening. High 77, Low 58

The Weather Channel and Weathernation don’t go far out into the future to see what they really think of the low on Monday night. Below is the satellite, showing the warm front pretty well to the north of Wheeling.

Clouds keep it cool

The result of a developing system over the Mid Atlantic, at least for the Ohio Valley, was a moist fetch off of the Great Lakes, particularly at elevations high enough that they wouldn’t mean rainfall in the valleys. It did, however, mean there would be a thick layer of overcast for the area, of which Wheeling had in spades. Temperatures checked up towards the lower end of forecasts because of the overcast, which meant that cooler forecasts were the ones that scored best. In this case, it was a tie between Accuweather and Weatherbug.
Actuals: Friday – High 26, Low 19
Saturday – High 31, Low 12

Grade: A-C

Wheeling, West Virginia

Wheeling is in the northern Panhandle of West Virginia on the shores of the Ohio River. Tehy happen to be enjoying a bout of high pressure right now. How long will that last?

At 1153PM, ET, Wheeling was reporting a temperature of 24 degrees with clear skies. High pressure sat in place over the eastern two thirds of the country,
A trough over the Mid Atlantic is shifting swiftly off shore and generating a feature off the coast. This will contribute a brisk westerly flow through the Upper Ohio Valley.  That wind will taper off by Saturday, lending to a cool but tolerable weekend in northern West Virginia.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, breezy, High 28, Low 18
Saturday – Calmer, clearer – High 32, Low 15

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy, High 31, Low 21
Saturday – Sunshine early then becoming cloudy later in the day. High 35, Low 17

AW: Tomorrow – Cold with periods of clouds and sun High 27, Low 18
Saturday – Partly sunny High 31, Low 14

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy High 30, Low 18
Saturday – Sunny, High 32, Low 14

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 27, Low 19
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 31, Low 15

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 30, Low 18
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 32, Low 14

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy starting overnight, continuing until evening.High 33, Low 21
Saturday – Mostly cloudy starting in the afternoon. High 33, Low 17

Pretty laid back in the Mountaineer State. Satellite shows a few clouds over the southern part of West Virginia, but nothing threatening precipitation.

Nicer Than Expected

The forecast called for scattered showers and thunderstorms to linger around Wheeling on Thursday, and while that was indeed true, they only saw a brief, early-afternoon rain shower, only amounting to a trace of precip. Otherwise, the rest of the day was fairly pleasant. Friday went off as expected, with mostly sunny skies and temps once again in the mid 70s. Everybody had temps in the upper 70s for Friday, so that was pretty much the only fly in the ointment in this forecast, so to speak. Victoria Weather brought home the win!

Thursday: Trace of rain in an early afternoon shower. High 76, Low 59.
Friday: High 76, Low 54.
Forecast Grade: A

Greenville, North Carolina to Wheeling, West Virginia

We’re doing it guys. We’re hitting the road for the 4th day in a row. I think we can take it a little bit easier this time, as we are only going to be driving for a day. It’s 576 miles between the two cities, which we will cover at a pace of about 63.9mph. If you don’t want to do the math, that means in total, it’s 9 hours between the two cities by almost any route.

It appears as though the eastern Carolinas will be sufficiently capped tomorrow morning, which means that, despite the instability and remnant surface boundaries and triggers across the region, we should kick off our day dry, albeit with some cloudy skies all around. As we head west and then north into the Virginias, I think we will avoid the free car washes. About the time we cross into southern West Virginia, however, things will likely change. For the entire drive through the Mountaineer State, we could see some fairly heavy downpours. The best chance for thunderstorms will be from Bluefield to Parkersburg (which is moist of the state) with some diminishing showers to finish the drive into Wheeling.

Wheeling, West Virginia

Back to the forecasting grind, right on the shore of the Ohio River today. Let’s check out Wheeling.

At 353PM, ET, Wheeling was reporting a temperature of 80 degrees and clear skies. The clear skies aren’t expected to last long. Radar indicates thunderstorms are developing from the south into the Wheeling area, and will likely be there before this paragraph is written. There is widespread convection across the eastern third of the country, but a swath of stronger cells runs from Lima to Mansfield, Ohio and then southeast between Wheeling and Parkersburg. Storms are generally moving to the east, and the threat of hail and local downdrafts has led to a few warnings, while the persistence of the rain and the rocky terrain has led to a flash flood watch for Wheeling.
Many are analyzing a stationary front around the Wheeling area, but in truth, the region is under an advancing area of upper level ridging. The ridge is fairly weak, but flow will intensify through the jet stream through the day tomorrow, however it looks like another stormy day in Wheeling tomorrow. The strengthened jet will enhance a trough running from Quebec to the western Atlantic. This will be the feature that clears Wheeling out for Friday, as surface circulation over the Atlantic will help induce a flow change away from the moist southwesterly flow that has been the contributing force to the showers and storms in Wheeling today. The week will end with sunny skies and fairly pleasant conditions.
Tomorrow – Scattered thunderstorms, High 76, Low 59
Friday – Cloudy early, then sunny and pleasant. High 78, Low 56
TWC: Tomorrow – Rain High 77, Low 58
Friday – Mostly Sunny High 79, Low 53

AW: Tomorrow – Periods of clouds and sunshine with a shower in places High 76, Low 57
Friday – Mostly sunny and beautiful High 78, Low 56

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers, mainly before 4pm. Mostly cloudy High 76, Low 60
Friday – Mostly sunny High 79, Low 57

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. high 75, Low 60
Friday – Mostly sunny. High 78, Low 56

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 75, Low 61
Friday – Partly Cloudy High 79 Low 55

Not as much thunder in the forecast tomorrow as I would have though. Too much energy in the atmosphere for there not to be a little bit of thunder, I think. Here is the radar we had to start with.

Wonderful in Wheeling

Temperatures in Wheeling were around 80 each of the past two days, which sound pretty good for most of the country experiencing temperatures in the 90s. There was a little splash of rain on Sunday, but not enough to wreck a weekend. Victoria-Weather had the top forecast (tied with the Weather Service), which for me, anyway, made the weekend even better.
Actuals: Saturday, High 78, Low 49
Sunday – Trace of rain, High 81, Low 60

Grade: A