Tag Archives: Savannah

Savannah dodges a tropical storm

Last weekend, as Harvey was bringing devastation to east Texas, there was another area that seemed like a possibly organizing tropical feature over north Florida. Much to the surprise of nearly everyone, the feature never became a tropical storm, and it only grazed Savannah with a little bit of light rain on Sunday and Monday. The narrow temperature trends were well anticipated by everyone, and the collective forecast was pretty good. The Weather Channel nosed the rest of us to claim a razor thin victory.
Sunday – .07 inches of rain, High 84, Low 75
Monday – .03 inches of rain, High 79, Low 70

Grade: A-B

Savannah, Georgia to Santa Cruz, California

We continue to monitor the situation in the western Gulf, which is expanding in scope from the Houston area to southern Louisiana, but this lengthy trip should give us a good cross section of the weather elsewhere in the country. Our trip will take 5 days to cover 2685 miles. As a special treat, this will take exactly 5 days to cover, meaning the math is pretty easy to figure out. We’ll go 67.125 miles a day and covering 537 mile a day.

 

DAY ONE (Wednesday)

Harvey is finally, mercifully on the move, and will really begin to break down as he moves into the Lower Mississippi Valley. As he becomes unravelled, the heavy rain will spread in their coverage, spilling into Georgia, Alabama and Mississippi. Showers and thunderstorms, including some isolated tornadoes, will become increasingly possible as we head west through the day, with rain becoming quite heavy west of Birmingham. Amid the deluge, we will stop between Tupelo and Memphis in the town of New Albany, Mississippi. They might see a couple inches of rain, but it still won’t compare to the Texas coast.

DAY TWO (Thursday)
Harvey will move up the Mississippi River towards Memphis, and we will be within the heavy rain, and make our nearest pass to the center of circulation as we head through Memphis. Fortunately, by this point, Harvey’s breadth will be reduced, and we should drive out of the rain somewhere around Little Rock. High pressure is what is forcing Harvey along, and will be the culprit for our much calmer afternoon. We’ll stop on the east side of Oklahoma City, with sunny skies and hot weather in our immediate future.

DAY THREE (Friday)
Friday will also be mercifully dry, but afternoons will be getting even warmer. The monsoon is getting organized out west, especially with Harvey clearing the moisture pipeline and allowing the wet weather in. Some isolated storms will pop up in the 4 corners, but it will be over the higher terrain of northern New Mexico, rather than the dusty east part leading up to Albuquerque. It will be just us and the road as we arrive in Albuquerque for the night.

DAY FOUR (Saturday)
We’ll be headed into the hottest part of the country, if not the world on Saturday, in the midst of another west coast heat wave. We’re going to move through the relatively cool northern Arizona and bake by the time we hit the Colorado River along the border with California, calling it a night in Needles, which isn’t far from the border. One more day to drive!

DAY FIVE (Sunday)
Sunny California. We’ll see most of it, from the deserts of southeastern California through the lush central Valley and then the undulating and beautiful Monterey Bay. We won’t see many clouds until we get right up on the coast, where there might be a hint of a marine layer as we arrive in Santa Cruz.

Savannah, Georgia

Our most recent forecast was for Columbia, while tonight’s will be just a bit to the south in Savannah. The change will likely be considerable, given the threat for Irma to develop.

At 153AM, ET, Savannah was reporting a temperature of 77 degrees with fair skies. There was a northeasterly flow across the region, feeding a tropical feature organizing over north Florida. As it shifts offshore though tomorrow morning, the storm will likely organize into a low grade Tropical Storm, with moisture organizing and becoming more widespread, spreading into the Georgia coast by afternoon.
The heaviest rain will remain off shore no matter how well it organizes. There is a great deal of discrepency between short range models and the GFS over the feature’s intensification, but at present within the North American modeling matrix, the NAM has been initiating better, and it seems likely that a rainier solution is in the offing. The feature will move fairly quickly, and by the end of the day Tuesday, expect the skies to begin clearing.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, with rain, High 82, Low 75
Monday – Rain, clearing late, High 80, Low 73

TWC: Tomorrow – Thunderstorms likely in the morning. Then the chance of scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 83, Low 75
Monday – Thunderstorms likely in the morning. Then the chance of scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 80, Low 73

AW: Tomorrow – Rather cloudy and breezy with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm High 84, Low 75
Monday – Mostly cloudy and breezy (scattered rain early/late) High 83, low 72

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 7am. Mostly cloudy, High 83, Low 75
Monday – A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, High 83, Low 73

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 82, Low 75
Monday – Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 80, Low 74

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, High 82, Low 75
Monday – Mostly cloudy with isolated storms, High 82, Low 73

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain throughout the day and breezy starting in the afternoon. High 82, Low 75
Monday – Rain throughout the day and breezy until afternoon. High 79, Low 74

Here is a look at the spaghetti plots for the wave in over Florida. Nothing organized, and no direct shots at Savannah.

Patricia departs

The remnants of Patricia didn’t remain long in Savannah after we issued a forecast on Tuesday night. There was a little splash of rain on Wedensday morning, but after that, it got a bit drier. The lingering fog allowed for cooler temperatures on Thursday, but the real surprise was how quickly things cleared out on Wednesday. Temperatures were in the mid-80s in the afternoon, despite the recent passage of a remnant tropical feature. Impressively, the forecasts actually turned out all right, despite these oddities, with Weatherbug and Accuweather tying atop the leaderboard.
Actuals: Wednesday – .02 inches of rain, High 85, Low 68
Thursday – High 81, Low 62

Grade: B-C

Grand Junction, Colorado to Savannah, Georgia

Hello! Let’s go road trippin’ again. We’re headed east this time, chasing Patricia out of the country after the country has been soaked enough. It’s a 3 1/2 day trip, which we will cover at a pace of 67.5mph, meaning days 1, 2, and 3 will average about 540 miles. Let’s see if it’s going to be dry.

DAY ONE (Wednesday)
Patricia is winding up into a doozy of a storm over the Great Lakes. The kind of storm tomorrow that will put intracontinental shipping interests in jeopardy. OF course, we are driving over land, and with all the energy across North America (pretty much) getting drawn towards Patricia, there won’t be much left for the central Rockies or central Plains. We’ll make it into western Kansas and the small town of Collyer without any threat from the weather, though northwest winds will be chilly and brisk in the open prairie.

DAY TWO (Thursday)
High pressure will develop between Patricia and the next upper level trough, parked over the Plains. Hey! Tat’s where we’re driving! Indeed, the winds will be much lighter, and the drive from western Kansas to St. Louis will be very easy. We’ll stop near Lambert airport on the west side of the STL.

DAY THREE (Friday)
That wonderful dome of high pressure will follow us into the Tennessee Valley. The drive through Kentucky and Tennessee will be sunny and dry. Nice. There may be a little bit of haze in the Smokey Mountains, thanks to the rainfall that’s fallen across the region in recent weeks, but we should make it to Kennesaw in the outskirts of Atlanta before we are done for the day.

DAY FOUR (Saturday
The trough out west will be getting stronger by this weekend. For our purposes that will mean that the surface ridge will be kicked east over Goergia. That’s right. 3 1/2 days of driving with nary a problem. Enjoy Savannah!
savannah

Savannah, Georgia

We’re headed down south to Savannah. How is Patricia faring in the Southeast?

AT 953PM, ET, Savannah was reporting a temperature of 70 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. While there was a break in the clouds from Charleston to Savannah, there was a smattering of light showers off the coast of South Carolina and inland through Georgia Most of the rainfall was already north of the Mason-Dixon line, and through the southeast, the remnants of Patricia were only manifesting as a splash of rain in many locations in the south. In fact, the Carolinaa were the rainiest places across the region.
Expect this rainy pattern to continue across the region for at least another 24 hours. While the bulk of the rain is well to the north of Savannah, the scouring cold front that will emerge as the system becomes extratropical is still parked closer to the Mississippi Valley. The primary plume of moisture will feed off the Gulf stream rather than through the Gulf by Thursday morning, which will lead to drier conditions in Savannah, however, expect clouds to remain until that front can find its way through town on Friday.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers, High 78, Low 69
Thursday – Mostly cloudy- High 77, Low 66

TWC: Tomorrow – AM Thunderstorms, High 81, Low 70
Thursday – Partly cloudy, High 81, Low 65

AW: Tomorrow – Variable cloudiness with a shower or thunderstorm around; humid and warmer High 82, Low 67
Thursday – Humid with times of clouds and sun High 80, Low 63

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy High 81, Low 66
Thursday – Sunny High 80, Low 60

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. Arrreas of fog in the morning. A chance of thunderstorms, showers likely. Higgh 81, Low 68
Thursday – Sunny, High 81, Low 60

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy with Showers Likely High 81, Low 66
Thursday – Mostly Sunny High 81, Low 61

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain until evening.High 89, Low 69
Thursday – Drizzle overnight.High 79, Low 64

Interesting spread of temperatures and even a little extra rain for FIO. The big thing will be how quickly everything can clear out of Savannah. I’m not as optimistic. Here is radar, showing some light showers just off shore.
Savannah

Savannah, Georgia to Steubenville, Ohio

Well, it was a short-lived trip to the Georgia beach. We head back north to Steubenville, OH along a 715 route. No time to waste!

savannah

DAY ONE

An area of low pressure will start to move out of the Gulf and over the Southeast US, bringing widespread rain and some embedded thunderstorms over southern GA as we start the day. It’ll be a soggy drive as we push through South Carolina, but conditions will improve as we continue through western NC. It’ll be cloudy but dry as we end our day in Wytheville, VA.

DAY TWO

It should be a nice start to the way as we make our way into West Virginia. Clouds will increase as we make our way into southeast Ohio, and a few showers might even slow us down over the final few miles as a weak mid-level disturbance over the Great Lakes could kick up some activity in the late evening.

Steubenville

Lafayette, Indiana to Savannah, Georgia

Today we embark on a 2-day, 845-mile trip from Lafayette, IN down through the Ohio and TN Valleys to good ol’ Savannah. Hope you’re looking to one last beach getaway of the season! Let’s see how the trip there will be

lafayette

DAY ONE

Strong high pressure continues to sit over the Northeastern quadrant of the country, keeping every high and dry. The only issue is if there is some morning fog to burn off, but even if there is, it will only last an hour or two after sunrise. As we travel through Kentucky, there will be some cumulus clouds starting to bubble up around midday, and we could even see an isolated shower as we make our way into Nashville. These should be short-lived, however, and of little consequence as we push our way into Chattanooga, our stop for the night.

DAY TWO

There’s a disturbance that’s slowly shifting from the FL Panhandle up towards the southern Appalachians, and this is expected to bring some pretty decent rainfall to the Southeast. As we head into Northern Georgia, our trip will slow down some as we hit these showers and thunderstorms, and will continue to have to deal with them as we move through Atlanta. Activity should lighten up some in the afternoon as we make our way into Savannah, but will increase once again during the late-evening and overnight hours after we arrive. Guess the beach will have to wait one more day.

savannah

Savannah, Georgia to Kennewick, Washington

In response to yesterday’s 2 hour road trip, we are taking a 5 day trek, slicing through the country for about as long a distance as geography allows. It’s 2754 miles between the two cities, which we will cover at a pace of about 65mph thanks to some freeways through the central Plains. This rapid rate means day one through 4 will tick 520 miles off the odometer, while the 5th day will be even longer. Let’s hit the road, because we have a lot of driving to do.

DAY ONE
savannah
We’re off! The departure from Savannah will be quite pleasant. The light rain in southeast Georgia will be off shore, and sunny skies a pretty dry, calm day is in store for Georgia and Tennessee, the two states we will spend time in on Wednesday. The biggest issue will be traffic in Atlanta and Nashville, and our day will end in Pleasant View, Tennessee, between Nashville and Clarksville.

DAY TWO
Thursday promises to start well, with warm air continuing through Tennessee and Kentucky. A cold front will be moving through Missouri, however, and somewhere between Marion and Mount Vernon in southern Illinois we will see our first bouts of rain and thunder. We will hit the front right around St. Louis, with some strong, potentially severe storms between Maryland Heights and Wentzville in the northwest St. Louis Metro. Heavy rain will continue throughout a large chunk of Missouri. We will finally get out of the rain around the US 66 exit (Sedalia and Marshall) so we should see dry, cooler weather by the time we arrive in Kansas City, where we will stop in the east side of town.

DAY THREE
High pressure again. We will be in perfect tornado chasing country, but instead, there will be nothing but sunny skies. The sun will likely make it a little warm, especially as we pass into Colorado, but if that’s our biggest problem, then we should be just fine. The day will end in Limon in eastern Colorado.

DAY FOUR
The next round of nasty weather will be coming out of the Rockies as we ourselves approach them. We should be fine as we make our way through the rest of Colorado, and even Cheyenne. As we head into the higher terrain of southern Wyoming, we will start to encounter the rain. The strong storms will develop around Cheyenne after we have passed through, but with the wave moving through aloft, there will still be heavy rain to be found in the Rockies. We will find most likely after we have slipped through Rock Springs. Our day will end in rural southwest Wyoming. Reppin’ Exit 28, yo.

DAY FIVE
Low pressure is still going to be getting organized over the front Range, while low pressure will linger over the Gulf of Alaska. There won’t necessarily be anything going on directly over the Pacific Northwest, but there will be a decent level of instability. Our drive through northern Utah, including Salt Lake City, should be dry, but as we pass through southern Idaho, expect to see clouds gathering on the higher terrain around the Sun Valley. By Boise, and then on through northeastern Oregon into Kennewick, unfortunately, we will probably be dealing with chances for light rain. But hey, 5 days in the car are finally over!
Kennewick

Augusta, Georgia to Savannah, Georgia

Just a wee little trip today, as we take a two hour trip through the same corner of the state. The two towns of Augusta and Savannah are 137 miles apart, but with so many towns to drive through, instead of past, as we would do on the interstate, our pace will only be a paltry 57mph. It’s cool though. This should be a beautiful drive.

AugustaGA
Flow will be off of the Gulf Stream through the day today and into the morning tomorrow, so it should be steamy as we head out from Augusta. It’s a bit too early in the year to get “sweltering” but it is going to be warm. The front will arrive in north Georgia by the time we leave Augusta, and while it shouldn’t touch anything off by the time we hit Savannah, there will be a little bit of drizzle cropping up over the northern part of the route by the time we get to Savannah, just tin time for lunch. We left at the perfect time! We went in the right direction too, as the particularly heavy rain will stay north of Savannah.
savannah