Tag Archives: Montgomery

Near Perfection

It’s been quite toasty in the Southeast lately, and the forecasts for Montgomery had them approaching some record highs for the city. Ultimately, they fell 2 degrees short each day but still, hitting the upper 80s for a sweltering early-October weekend. There was a thunderstorm nearby Saturday afternoon, but no rain was recorded as the cell just missed the city. Incredibly, WeatherNation took home the win as their forecast missed perfection by a single point.

Friday: High 89, Low 64.
Saturday: High 88, Low 66.
Forecast Grade: A

Montgomery, Alabama to Gainesville, Georgia

A nice short adventure for today’s trip. And an adventure it will be, as we attempt to navigate the Atlanta metro on our way to Lake Lanier and Gainesville, Georgia on its shores. It should only be about 3 hours and 15 minutes between the two towns, but of course, traffic could significantly impact that. I things go according to plan, our drive will be at a blistering 65.5mph to cover the 215 miles to the lake. One Saturday joy ride coming up!

I noted in the forecast for Gainesville earlier that the shower activity likely wouldn’t be terribly widespread. It looks a lot dicier for northern Alabama, and I-85 between Atlanta and Montgomery looks like the southeastern periphery of where heavy rain and embedded thunderstorms will line up in Alabama tomorrow. A lot of the rainfall will actually dissipate as the day moves on, because much of the cloud coalescence will be driven by the cool mmorning temperatures. What does this mean, in road trip terms? The best chance for a shower or storm will come between Montgomery and Columbus. There might be a stray shower the rest of the way, but but that stretch will be the rainiest. I think I wouldn’t risk this trip just to go to Lake Lanier, but if you’re going there anyway, you might be able to enjoy an afternoon on the water.

Montgomery, Alabama

I’ve been to Montgomery before. I ate at Arby’s and watched a basketball game.

At 1053AM, ET, Montgomery was reporting a temperature of 85 degrees with clear skies. Alabama was dominated by warm air and clear skies, but an overriding southerly flow into a deep area of low pressure over eastern Canada will likely lead to some thickening clouds and increasing humidity, though dew points in the upper 60s are plenty humid already.
The tail end of a cold front associated with the low pressure center, and being enhanced by the remnants of Simon, which dissipating in the Rockies right now. While the rain will fill into low surface pressure, the overriding, more moist flow will also be into cooler temperatures aloft, which ultimately will lead to clouds. That said, the upper level trough responsible for the genesis of the boundary will be peeling into the North Atlantic, and the front won’t be given a chance to advance into southern Alabama, leaving a dry but sticky beginning to the weekend in Montgomery.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 89, Low 63
Saturday – Cloudy, High 88, Low 65

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny High 90, Low 65
Saturday – Sunny High 90, Low 65

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and warm with the temperature tying the record from 2010 High 91, Low 65
Saturday – Warm with the temperature approaching the record of 90 set in 1954 with times of sun and clouds High 89, Low 66

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, Showers and storms late High 88, Low 66
Saturday – Partly sunny Showers late, High 87, Low 66

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning Thunderstorms late, High 88, Low 65
Saturday – Partly cloudy. Showers late, Hiigh 88, Low 65

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Patchy Fog High 88, Low 64
Saturday – Partly Cloudy High 88, Low 66

Hot and sticky. A couple outlets foresee some rain. You can see all the storms kicking up north of Alabama.

Montgomery, Alabama to Knoxville, Tennessee

Time for the 3rd trip of the week, but this time, it will be a bit more manageable, as we head only from Alabama to Tennessee. It will be a one day trek, covering 342 miles and lasting just over 5 hours. That’s barely a tank of gas! Our average speed will be about 64mph, but only if we follow the speed limit everywhere. (They drive fast in Birmingham)


Tomorrow is going to be unusually cold for the south. Even from Montgomery north through Alabama, we might now reach freezing at any point of the day. There will be fairly calm winds between some return flow showers along the Texas Coast and our advancing cold front north of Tennessee. We will have one issue that always seems to come up on road trips. It will be chilly when we leave, but sunny through the trip, so the car will heat up. Your jacket will be unbearable, and you will attempt to take it off while driving. That’s obviously dangerous. It will also be frustrating if you have to stop for gas and get out in the cold before Knoxville.

Detroit, Michigan to Montgomery, Alabama

Another day, another road trip. This one is going to take us a day and a half. Not too bad. It’s a drive of 815 miles, and our pace will be 62.8mph, so the first day will be done after about 502.6 miles. This is going to be downright manageable.


An area of low pressure moving through the southeast is very weak, if you are only considering the depth of the low. It’s quite active if we begin talking about the shower activity associated with it, or the widespread thunderstorms it is kicking up. South from Detroit, we will not have any problems with the wet weather through Ohio. By the time we hit Kentucky, the northern end of the system will be drying out. There will be a chance for rain, yes, but it’s going to be wrapping up. As we get to the Tennessee border, however, a reinforcing dose of heavy rain will be on it’s way. Pack an umbrella, is what I’m saying. The day is going to end just across the Tennessee border, north of Nashville in Cross Plains.

The good news is, the system is really going to really pick up steam overnight tomorrow, meaning things are going to be pretty smooth as we drive through Tennessee and a good chunk of Alabama. The bad news? There is no bad news. Montgomery is a very nice town.

And then…. it rained

Montgomery enjoyed itself a rather pleasant Monday. Temperatures were cool in the morning, dropping down to 32 degrees before it warmed to 62. The clouds came in Tuesday morning though, and the rains came. It started raining around 7AM. And it kept raining. Allllllll day. It only added up to just over a half an inch, but it was persistent. The Weather Channel and Accuweather enjoyed the top forecasts in Alabama’s capital.
Monday – High 62, Low 32
Tuesday – .54 inches of rain, High 68, Low 55

Grade: B

Montgomery, Alabama to Green Bay, Wisconsin

A little family travel to the shores of Lake Michigan, perhaps? The drive will be almost two full days, and really isn’t that challenging. I have done a Minneapolis-Montgomery drive before, and it was easy over two days. Of course the weather over this 955 mile trek may be a little dicey. We will average 61.3MPH, which means the goal on Tuesday is 490 miles


We will wake up in Montgomery to some clouds, with rain not far behind. The early morning will be drizzly, but should be dry soon after we bypass Birmingham. The clouds will break apart by the time we arrive in Huntsville, but don’t expect too long a respite. By the time we hit Nashville, and throughout the drive in Kentucky, the chance for thunderstorms will be with us. After we cross the Ohio River from Louisville into southern Indiana, the rain will be torrential and constant. We will end the day in Austin, Indiana, which is about half an hour into the state, north of Louisville.

Wednesday will be an adventure in mixing precipitation. It will remain rainy, though intermittently so for the rest of our drive in Indiana. The precipitation will begin to change to a rain/snow mix in Chicago, but the precipitation will nearly be at it’s end when we cross the state line into Milwaukee. They have barely seen a flake in that part of the world, so the drive north into Green Bay should go off without a hitch.

Montgomery, Alabama

It’s going to get interesting in Montgomery in a couple of days, so lets pay attention to the forecast, OK?

At 1153PM, CT, Montgomery was reporting a temperature of 27 degrees with mostly clear skies. The temperature’s were quite cool for the the region following the passage of a deep, digging cold front late last week, but the real system to watch was a strong low presently centered over El Paso, which will eventually gather intensity and moisture and barrel eastward.
The low at one point had been cut off over the desert Southwest, but is now tied to a laminar jet and will be fused with an additional jet over the Ohio Valley, which will give the system a guide for which to travel. Southerly flow ahead of the system, while warming, will also bring the chance for a few prefrontal showers on Tuesday morning, with the threat only intensifying through the afternoon, when eventually, a thunderstorm will be a possibility.
Tomorrow – Warmer and mostly sunny, High 65, Low 34
Tuesday – Rain, with some thunder late, High 71, Low 50

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly to mostly cloudy High 66, Low 33
Tuesday – Cloudy with showers High 68, Low 51

AW: Tomorrow – Pleasant with sunshine mixing with some clouds High 64, Low 33
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy and mild; showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon High 68, Low 49

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 64, Low 33
Tuesday – Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High 73, Low 53

WB: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy, High 65, Low 35
Tuesday – Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. High 67, Low 48

The Weather Service and Weatherbug, for once, are dramatically different. Who will nab the victory? I suspect the Weather Service, just because I know they followed the models a little more closely. Satellite Is not very active…. yet.

So much for that front

Montgomery was awaiting the arrival of a weak late season front that all forecasters expected, at the very least, to knock temperatures down a few degrees. So much for that. Instead, the boundary came through and introduced clear skies and slightly drier weather that allowed temperatures to keep climbing all the way up to 99 degrees yesterday. The Weather Channel had the top forecast for the city, though they were too chilly (if you can call 93 chilly) as well.
Actuals: Saturday – Trace of precip, High 96, Low 74
Sunday – High 99, Low 72

Grade: C

Montgomery, Alabama

We’re headed down south, where fall and winter are on their way into town, which makes forecasts a little bit more diverse than “hot, with thunderstorms possible”.

At 1053AM, CT, Montgemery was already reporting a temperature of 89 degrees with sunny skies. Cold high pressure was driving into the eastern part of the country, while a staunch southerly flow continued to ripple north from the Gulf of Mexico, aided in no small part by the remnants of Tropical Storm Hermine, which is presently centered over western Kentucky.
A strong low and it’s associated deep digging trough in the center of the country will latch on to those remnants over the next 24 hours, and a weak surface boundary will push in the southeast, generating widespread thunderstorms tomorrow, but causing some clearing over the northern half of the state by Sunday. That said, expect some isolated storms over the far southern part of the state to filter into Montgomery even on Sunday.
Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms, High 93, Low 73
Sunday – Mostly sunny, thunderstorms south of town. High 93, Low 74

TWC: Tomorrow – Becoming partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms developing during the afternoon. Hot and humid. High 96, Low 73
Sunday – Isolated thunderstorms High 92, Low 74

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny with a shower or thunderstorm around in the afternoon High 93, Low 72
Sunday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a shower or thunderstorm around High 93, Low 72

NWS: Tomorrow – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly cloudy, High 93, Low 73
Sunday – A chance of showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy High 90, Low 75

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of thunderstorms, High 95, Low 72
Sunday – Partly cloudy, a 30% chance of showers in the morning, High 92, Low 73

Looks like whatever moves through won’t be all that strong. A look at the satellite shows some bright tops north of Alabama.