Tag Archives: Longview

Weather Wayback…. Always in Longview

It seems as though Anthony is the only one to ever forecast in Longview, and this Eastertime forecast was the second in a row that he did that we looked at a verification a few months later. It was something of a secret because of a certificate issue with Weather Underground, the best almanac for historical weather on the web. I figured it out, though, and saw that Easter did turn out to be wonderful in east Texas. There was a threat for some isolated thunderstorm activity in the area, but it held off until Monday, and even then was light enough that it certainly didn’t ruin anyone’s day. Victoria-Weather was the only outlet with a proper precip prognostication, but Weatherbug had a spot on temperature forecast, earning a victory in this weather wayback.
Actuals: April 16th, High 84, Low 65
April 17th – Trace of rain, High 80, Low 67

Grade B-C

Longview, Texas to Pueblo, Colorado

Our trip today will take us through the dustiest part of the Plains, from north Texas to eastern Colorado. It will be a day and a half from Longview to Pueblo, covering 808 miles. The first day, as always, will be a full day, at a pace of 63.6mph, which means we will be 509 miles into the trip when we call it a day. If only there was a freeway around here.


DAY ONE (Friday)

We are starting at the very easternmost part of the state of Texas, and we won’t leave it. We’ll make it through Dallas-Fort Worth, Wichita Falls and barely pass by Amarillo before the day is over. Most of north Texas will be dry, but the tail of a cold front will touch off some thunderstorms over the Texas Panhandle. Low pressure is going to develop in the Mid-Atlantic, with a strong cold front emerging from east to west from Tennessee to the Panhandle. The Panhandle will be at the tail of the front, so rain and thunder won’t be widespread but this being the Texas Panhandle, whatever does develop could be jumbo sized. The chance we get clipped by one is fairly low, though, maybe 10-20%, and even then, likely when we have stopped in Bishop Hills, on the outskirts of Amarillo.

DAY TWO (Saturday)
There will be a pair of features threatening our route on Saturday morning. There will be lingering thunderstorms at the tail end of that cold front, while a wave moving through the Rockies will generate clusters of storms in the in the higher terrain, aided by monsoonal flow. We will have a corridor, however, through the Panhandles and southeastern Colorado. Some clouds with an isolated shower may peek over the Rockies and bring some afternoon showers to Pueblo, but I wouldn’t count on it.

Longview, Texas

Today we take a look at eastern TX, to see what the residents of Longview will encounter for Easter. Will their walk into church tomorrow be full of sun or will they have to dodge some storms?

At 653pm CDT, the temperature in Longview, TX was 80 degrees under fair skies. High pressure controls much of the Southeast US, the effects of which will trail off over eastern TX over the next couple of days. A frontal boundary found from the Great Lakes into the Central Plains won’t be of much concern on Easter, although some scattered shower activity looks to pop up over Central LA during the afternoon hours. The front gets much closer on Monday but still looks like it will stall out to the north of the region. However, scattered shower and thunderstorm activity in the afternoon and evening hours looks possible. Easter shouldn’t be too much of a concern, but some afternoon sports practices should keep an eye to the sky on Monday.

Sunday: Increasing afternoon clouds. High 83, Low 63.
Monday: Mostly cloudy, scattered early evening showers and thunderstorms possible. High 83, Low 65.

TWC: Sunday: Cloudy, slight chance of showers. High 84, Low 62.
Monday: Morning clouds, afternoon sun. Slight chance of showers. High 83, Low 64.

AW: Sunday: A thunderstorm in spots. High 85, Low 63.
Monday: Cloudy, a couple of thunderstorms. High 83, Low 64.

NWS: Sunday: Slight chance of thunderstorms. High 83, Low 64.
Monday: Chance of thunderstorms. High 82, Low 64.

WB: Sunday: Mostly cloudy, 20% chance of showers. High 83, Low 64.
Monday: Chance of thunderstorms. High 81, Low 66.

WN: Sunday: Partly cloudy with isolated storms. High 82, Low 64.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with scattered storms. High 82, Low 64.

FIO: Sunday: Mostly cloudy, drizzle in evening. High 84, Low 64.
Monday: Light rain possible in evening. High 86, Low 66.

Some isolated shower activity is found off to the east over Northern LA this evening. Similar conditions are expected tomorrow afternoon, but more widespread activity looks to be in the cards for Monday.

Weather Wayback… Another time,, the same Longview

I have issued a forecast for Longview, Texas in the time since Anthony issued his own forecast on January 30th. Back at the end of January, it had become clear that Texas had already lost its taste for winter. Temperatures were in the mid to upper 70s for highs in the afternoon, and never got any cooler than the upper 40s. That’s unusual for the transition from January to February for almost everyone, so Longview needed the unwavering analytical mind of the Forecast.io robot to steer them right. Forecast.io did indeed have the best forecast, as their highs were a handful of degrees warmer than the human forecasters.
Actuals: Tuesday, January 31st – High 77, Low 48
Wednesday, February 1st – High 76, Low 56

Grade: B-C

Shenanigans!

Just before midnight on Sunday night in Longview, Texas, there was a report of light rain. It was at the regular observing time from an automatic station. Skies were clear. Skies were clear everywhere around Longview. I looked at the radar. Nothing. All signs point to this being an erroneous observation by a robot hopped up on too much late night petroleum (or whatever robots drink). The problem is that a couple of outlets DID forecast rain, and you can’t always just dismiss these random reports. The only fair thing, in my mind, was to let it go, and not worry about precipitation for this particular forecast, and let it boil down to temperature analysis. In that regard, Accuweather (who DID have rain in the forecast) earned the top spot, while Victoria-Weather (who did NOT) followed in close pursuit.
Actuals – Sunday – Precipitation – ???, High 85, Low 57
Monday – High 87, Low 63

Grade: C

Longview, Texas

It’s been quite a while since we stopped by Texas for a forecast. Let’s do it!

At 153PM, CT, Longview was reporting a temperature of 72 degrees with overcast skies. There was a big swath of overcast across the Big Piney Woods, thanks largely to dew points that lingered in the low to mid 60s. Visible satellite showed that this thicket of clouds was at the tail end of a cold front extending from the coastal Carolinas, and the vector analysis in the region suggested a weak area of low pressure east of Dallas.
High pressure is moving into the region, however, both at the surface and aloft, which will prevent any further convective development. Moisture off the Gulf will be pulled towards eastward, towards Louisiana, as most synoptic activity will be in eastern Canada or off the Eastern Seaboard. Expect temperatures to be much warmer than average.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 83, Low 62
Monday – Partly cloudy, High 84, Low 61

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies early, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 82, Low 61
Monday – Partly cloudy skies. High 83, Low 60

AW: Tomorrow – Periods of clouds and sunshine with a shower in spots High 84, Low 62
Monday – Partly sunny and very warm High 84, Low 61

NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny High 83, Low 62
Monday – Sunny High 85, Low 59

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning, then clearing. High 80, Low 62
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 81, Low 62

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 82, Low 63
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 84, Low 59

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy until afternoon. High 84, Low 62
Monday – Clear throughout the day. High 82, Low 61

Boy, that’s a comfortable forecast, exactly the kind of weather I want in my life. It’s stuck in Texas for now, though. Here is a look at the satellite, with clouds settling in right on top of Longview.

Longview, Texas

Today we take a trip to the Lone-Star State and take a gander at what’s happening down that way. Hopefully it’s less gloomy than it has been up our way the last several days!

At 753pm CST, the temperature at Longview, TX was 50 degrees under fair skies. Broad high pressure that is parked over the Gulf of Mexico is keeping much of the Southern Plains to the Deep South high and dry today and looks to continue through Tuesday. Wednesday sees an area of low pressure develop along the OK/TX border. While no precip is expected on Wednesday from this system, clouds will be on the increase. There’s a slight chance of precip on Thursday and Friday from this feature as it lingers in the region, but as far as the next couple days are concerned, it’s looking like a great way to end the month!

Tuesday: Sunny and warm. High 75, Low 47
Wednesday: Increasing afternoon clouds. High 73, Low 51.

TWC: Tuesday: Sunny. High 75, Low 49.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 72, Low 53.

AW: Tuesday: Sunny and warm. High 73, Low 44.
Wednesday: Very warm with some sun. High 74, Low 51.

NWS: Tuesday: Sunny. High 72, Low 46.
Wednesday: Partly sunny. High 72, Low 52.

WB: Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 72, Low 47.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. High 72, Low 54.

WN: Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 72, Low 46.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 72, Low 52.

FIO: Tuesday: Clear thoughout the day. High 78, Low 46.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy starting in the morning, continuing until night. High 75, Low 53.

As evidenced by the satellite picture, there really isn’t much of anything going on in East TX tonight. Not much is going to happen in the next couple of days either.

Wallowing in a west wind

There was record heat out in the Pacific Northwest the past couple of days, with 90s in Portland and mid to upper 80s in Longview. Things changed a bit when a weak trough swung through the region and brought a more oceanic flow. There was no rain, but there was definitely a change in air mass, as temperatures only reached the low to mid 70s in Longview on Monday and Tuesday. Debby Downers Accuweather had the coolest forecast, but I guess this time around, it was the most accurate forecast, as Longview failed to even reach model guidance.
Actuals: Monday, High 76, Low 54
Tuesday, High 73, Low 60

Grade: B-C

Longview, Washington

New schedule, and away we go! Southwest Washington is the first destination.

At 715PM, PT, Longview was reporting clear skies. Curiously, their most recent observation failed to include a temperature. Temperatures in the area were around 90 in Portland and in the mid 80s towards Seattle. Mid-upper 80s seems like an appropriate estimate for the area in this case. Longview, despite not having a valif temperature observation, was in a heat advisory. Laminar flow was allowing for surface high pressure in the Pacific Northwest, and the terrifically warm temperatures.
A kink in the upper level flow will move into the region starting overnight Monday into Tuesday. Even though everything seems to lead to rain in the Pacific Northwest, this upper level trough will actually be counterproductive to thunderstorm development, as the fetch will be out of the very dry Great Basin. A weak area of low pressure in Southern California is also working hard to absorb any available moisture that would be drawn into the region. Longview looks to be in good shape until the trough clears the region, and westerly flow off the Pacific takes hold in the region. That said, the approaching wave will lead to an increase in mid and upper level clouds, which will keep temperatures in check.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 81, Low 69
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy, High 76, Low 58

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 79, Low 59
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy, High 74, Low 56

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and not as warm but pleasant High 77, Low 58
Tuesday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine High 73, Low 56

NWS: Tomorrow – Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, High 79, Low 59
Tuesday – Patchy drizzle before 11am. Mostly cloudy, High 74, Low 58

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy in the morning…Then partly sunny. High 78, Low 59
Tuesday – Cloudy in the morning…Then partly sunny. Patchy morning drizzle. High 74, Low 58

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 79, Low 59
Tuesday – Mostly Cloudy with Patchy Light Drizzle High 75, Low 59

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 80, Low 59
Tuesday – Partly cloudy throughout the day. High 74, Low 56

That’s quite the expected cooldown, and it hinges on those clouds that are inching into the Washington coast here on satellite. I just don’t think that lower level sludge will make it in time to really inhibit temperatures tomorrow. The NAM sure does, as it sits about 7 degrees cooler than the GFS output.
Longview

Santa Fe, New Mexico to Longview, Texas

Texas is a monstrous state. That’s why a trip just from the next state over will take us a day and a half to complete. It’s a 767 mile journey from Santa Fe to Longview, and we will cover it at a pace of 63.9mph, which means the first day of travel will net us 511 miles of the travel. There will be storms in the southern Plains tomorrow, will we run into any on our drive?

DAY ONE (Saturday)
Santa Fe
Low pressure initially generated by the lee of the Rockies, and then enhanced by the upper level wave emerging into the Plains will cycle moisture back into the Rockes, where it will fall as rain, primarily in the higher terrain. There may be a splash of rain as we depart Santa Fe and head south towards I-40, but when we turn east, we will be in the clear for a while. We’ll catch up with the back end of the system very near to the end of the day, but post frontally, we’ll only see some rain, rather than the nasty severe storms they will be seeing around our destination. The day will conclude in Henrietta, Texas, and we’ll only be in the rain between about Electra and Henrietta.

DAY TWO (Sunday)
Hey, Sunday will be pretty nice! We’re going to drive through the Metroplex and continue on to Longview in a post-frontal environment, with sunny skies and incresingly hot conditions. I hope your AC is working, or that you enjoy driving with the windows down. MAybe there is a pool in Longview, because it will be in the upper 80s when we check in.
Longview TX