Tag Archives: Lakeland

Lakeland, Florida to Lawton, Oklahoma

We’re finally going on a road trip together for the first time in a while. You’ve been out and about with Anthony, but it’s my time to take you on a two day trek, this from central Florida to southwest Oklahoma. The drive will take us two days and cover 1284 miles, slicing through the southeastern US. It will be warm, certainly, and that second nearly 11 hour drive will be fairly grueling, but we will be moving at a pace of 68mph, and will cover 544 miles on our first day, leaving the rest of the meat on the bone for Monday. We should get on the road and beat the heat.

DAY ONE (Sunday)

Despite an embedded vorticity maximum within a stalled cold front over the Lower Mississippi Valley, we will be in good shape as we begin our day Sunday. The Florida Peninsula will be in great shape, and we will be in the Peninsula for the first several hours of our day. In the Panhandle, isolated thunderstorms will begin to crop up, starting around Lake City, but certainly by the time we reach Tallahassee, we will have seen at least a bit of rain. Scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms, appearing more like sea breeze storms than frontal activity. We will encounter stronger, synoptic scale showers and storms not long after we Panama City, and there is a threat for some gusty winds and stronger thunderstorms all the way to Lucedale, Mississippi, just north of Gulfport, northwest of Mobile.

DAY TWO (Monday)
Another lower level eddy will be getting kicked up Sunday night over south Texas, and will be bringing some moisture inland early in the morning on Monday. There will be some rain in Lucedale as we depart, but as we drive north towards Jackson, it will clear out. The warm weather will give rise to increasing thunderstorm activity, which we will battle from Monroe, Louisiana to Longview, Texas. Much more manageable activity will continue through Dallas, but traffic will undoubtedly slow us down. Another thunderstorm may crop up in the last hour or so from Wichita Falls to Lawton, but if we don’t, we will leave the stratus behind and only see sun between the showers.

Dangerous storms take a swipe at Florida

The real story of the wet weather in Lakeland over the weekend played out overnight Saturday into Sunday. Everyone knew there would be wet weather, but few anticipated until later in the day on Saturday, just how intense it would be. There was a very strong area of low pressure, a full scale synoptic feature, rarely seen this far south, that organized in the Gulf. There was enough energy to generate an EF-2 tornado as close as Duette, 30 miles to the SSW of Lakeland. EF-2s are rare in Peninsular Florida, and there were two lives lost because of the intense storm. If there was any good news about the intense development, it was that the system gathered momentum as it gathered intensity, and it shifted through the region very swiftly. Forecast.io was the best outlet in terms of temperature forecast, and they were also aided by the fact that the storm blew into town just before midnight, and they were the only ones who had mention of rain in their Saturday forecast.
Actuals: Saturday –rain reported, not measured, High 77, low 51
Sunday – Rain reported, not measured. High 68, Low 55

Grade B-C

Lakeland, Florida

Off we go to the Sunshine State! Someplace I’d love to go right now considering the weather here is going into the minus teens this weekend. Brrrrrrr.

At 1155pm EST, the temperature at Lakeland, FL was 54 degrees under fair skies. Rather pleasant conditions are expected today as a system shifted through the state earlier today. Just some partly cloudy skies and plenty of warm sunshine will greet us to kick off the weekend. Things will change rapidly overnight, however, as an area of low pressure shifting out of the Southern Plains will rapidly push eastward through the Northern Gulf of Mexico and swing through the Sunshine State during the early morning hours on Sunday. Thunderstorms are expected in the pre-dawn hours, and a couple could even be strong as the low barrels through the state. Luckily, it’ll move through so quick, the afternoon should clear up, although it’ll be noticeably cooler and windier

Saturday: Partly cloudy, increasing clouds late. High 78, Low 53.
Sunday: Thunderstorms in the morning, some strong. Clearing in afternoon and windy. High 68, Low 49.

TWC: Saturday: Partly cloudy. High 78, Low 54.
Sunday: Thunderstorms early, then partly cloudy and windy. High 66, Low 50.

AW: Saturday: Fog in the morning, partly sunny. High 77, Low 55.
Sunday: Heavy rain and a thunderstorm. High 67, Low 50.

NWS: Saturday: Areas of fog, then mostly sunny. High 77, Low 57
Sunday: Severe thunderstorms, then scattered thunderstorms. High 68, Low 53.

WB: Saturday: Partly cloudy. High 77, Low 57.
Sunday: Thunderstorms. High 68, Low 52.

WN: Saturday: Partly cloudy with areas of fog. High 77, Low 57.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with thunderstorms. High 70, Low 55.

FIO: Saturday: Light rain overnight. High 77, Low 52.
Sunday: Rain in the morning. High 67, Low 51.

Here we see the Southeast is fairly quiet right now, as an earlier system pushes out of the state. The system spinning up over TX/OK is what’s going to fuel our Sunday storms.


Lakeland with no ponds

With a large system moving through the Northeast, there was speculation that the moisture feeding it would wrap from the Gulf of Mexico, through Florida and into the system. As a result, everyone had rain or thunderstorms in the forecast for Lakeland on Sunday and Monday. Everyone except for Victoria-Weather. Credit the NWS and WeatherNation, who came through with only 1 degree of error on their temperature forecast, however V-W was only off by 2 degrees. We secured victory, because, in fact, there was no rain in Lakeland the last two days;
Actuals: Sunday – High 82, Low 64
Monday – High 82, Low 64

Grade: A-B

Detroit, Michigan to Lakeland, Florida

All right! We’re all caught up! This trip is only a two day adventure, covering 1175 miles. The average speed will actually be a little swifter, despite traveling through a more well populated part of the country. Apparently Atlanta doesn’t slow things down nearly as much as Chicago. 1175 miles stand between Detroit and Lakeland, as I noted, and we will cover that ground at a pace of 65.2mph, which will work itself out to 521 miles on the first day. Let’s get on with this second road trip of the day.

DAY ONE (Sunday)
This is going to be a tough drive. Light snow will be falling in southern Michigan, including Detroit, as we head out for the day, and will only get heavier as we leave and head south. It will probably start snowing hard enough to cause traffic to come to a standstill somewhere between Bowling Green and Findlay. Visibilities of under a mile in heavy wet snow will continue to be a possibility as we continue south to at least Dayton. The good news is, as we make our way to the south, the system will be making its way to the east, which will improve visibilities, but on the other hand, snow will have accumulated more significantly on roadways. Somewhere between Dayton and Cincinnati, precipitation will slowly turn to to rain. It won’t be precipitating nearly as heavily when we reach Kentucky, and when the precipitation is falling as rain, naturally, but there will still be light rain all the way to Knoxville, which is where the day will end.

DAY TWO (Monday)
High pressure will be developing behind the system that will plague us on Monday will be great for the Ohio Valley. Unfortunately, we will be south of the Ohio Valley, and driving through the base of the ridge. There will be light showers through north Georgia, as far south as Macon, and then another threat for some more significant thunderstorms in the afternoon when we cross into Florida. The threat for thunder will last until Ocala, but after that we should finally be in the clear. 80 degrees is well deserved after such a terrible drive through Ohio!

Lakeland, Florida

We’re headed for Florida today, one of the parts of the state that’s still warm. I’m looking forward o seeing some of these PMnumbers.

At 915PM, ET, Lakelan was reporting a temperature of 64 degrees with overcast skies. There was a heavier thunderstorm to the east of Port Charlotte, while scattered showers remained just to the north of Lakeland, getting ready to cross I-4 into the city. The activity littered the state as the tail of a cold front lay just south of Ocala, discernable by a sharp drop in dew points. It was 64 in The Villages, and only 52 in Ocala.
A weak high level jet was helping to destabilize the Florida Peninsula, with the left exit region intersecting with the end of the boundary, and leading to seom weak cyclogenesis in the area. The jet will break down through the period and so too will the shower threat. A favorable zone for shower development will remain on the Atlantic coast through the remainder of the period, but it will be significantly reduced by tomorrow afternoon in Lakeland. As a system moving through the Ohio Valley approaches New England, it will tap into the Gulf of Mexico, drawing moisture across the Florida Peninsula and up the Gulf Stream. There may be some convective development overnight in north Florida Sunday into Monday, but for Lakeland, expect only continued cloudiness.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, with some clearing. High 82, Low 63
Monday – Mostly cloudy, High 81, Low 64

TWC: Tomorrow – PM Thunderstorms, High 83, Low 62
Monday – Partly cloudy, High 83, Low 62

AW: Tomorrow – Warmer with clouds and breaks of sun; a shower in the afternoon High 82, Low 64
Monday – Some sunshine giving way to clouds High 80, Low 64

NWS: Tomorrow – Scattered showers, mainly after 4pm. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, High 81, Low 64
Monday – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, High 82, Low 64

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Isolated showers in the morning…then scattered showers in the afternoon. High 82, Low 65
Monday – Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 82, Low 65

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Showers High 81, Low 64
Monday – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms High 82, Low 64

FIO: Tomorrow – Rain starting in the afternoon.High 79, Low 64
Monday – Foggy in the morning.(ealy rain) High 81, Low 65

So, everyone thinks it will rain the next couple of days? Everyone but me? All right then. HEre is the current radar.

Cold front brings only clouds

Lakeland, Florida was very Floridian the past couple of days. Highs in the 80s, humid, warm at night. One thing they didn’t see was rain, but as a weak cold front slid down the Peninsula, a few cloud formed, keeping those overnight lows fairly warm. The top forecast belonged to the National Weather Service. Hooray!… I guess.
Actuals: Tuesday: High 84, Low 68
Wednesday – High 80, Low 68

Grade: B

Lakeland, Florida

Lakeland is just outside of the Tampa metro. Bays, lakes, it’s almost as if Florida is surrounded by water.

At 1255PM, ET, Lakeland was reporting mostly cloudy skies with a temperature of 82 degrees. A slow moving cold front has stalled over north Florida, and Tropical Storm Rafael lies north of Puerto Rico. The trades don’t have a deep fetch, so today’s thunderstorm threat will come strictly from the sea breeze, which hasn’t been terribly active over the last couple of days, though a few cells are cropping up from Cape Canaveral to Sarasota and Venice.
The front will gradually drift south through Florida, but without much energy. The boundary will only become active again after Rafael shifts north, and an easterly flow with a greater fetch can interact with the boundary in central Florida. It will probably stay pretty quiet in Lakeland tomorrow, but on Wednesday, don’t be surprised if there is a little bit more thunderstorm activity across the area.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 84, Low 65
Wednesday – Scattered thunderstorms, High 81, Low 64

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 85, Low 69
Wednesday – Isolated T-Storms High 82, Low 65

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and less humid High 84, Low 67
Wednesday – Times of clouds and sun with a shower or thunderstorm around High 81, Low 62

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 86, Low 67
Wednesday – A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy High 79, Low 67

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. High 86, Low 68
Wednesday – Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. High 83, Low 66

We’re all looking at the same thing. Looks like there might be enough cloud cover to cause temperatures to fall off a degree or two on Wednesday. That’s the assumption everyone is making, anyways. I grabbed the satellite, though the radar is getting a little bit more active too. Note Rafael off to the east. It’s a pretty cool image. No regrets!

Bucking the trend

After several days in a row where the temperature maxed out at 84, Lakeland went out and did something unusual… they checked in at 82 the last two days. This gave Victoria-Weather the top forecast, thanks more to our accurate low temperature forecasts, but at least we weren’t predicting a spike in temperatures, like The Weather Channel.
Actuals: Sunday, High 82, Low 62
Monday, High 82, Low 60

Grade: B

Lakeland, Florida

There is a MAJOR severe weather outbreak today in the central Plains. Please consult your local weather providers for updates on the developing situation from Iowa to Texas, or if you fancy Victoria-Weather’s guidance, please feel free to use the “buy a forecast” form at the top of the page. For the blog, the post is going to take us to central Florida.

At 456PM, ET, Lakeland was reporting a temperature of 78 degrees and a mostly cloudy sky. Easterly off shore wind was indicative of the stability across central Florida, while high pressure reinforced that stability on a synoptic level.
As the system in the Plains continues to move east through the weekend, it will provide even more subsidence across the Florida Peninsula, with wind beginning to stream from the southeast, lengthwise across the state. Expect sunny conditions for Lakeland, thanks in some part to the massive outbreak of severe weather in the Plains.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 84, Low 61
Monday – Sunny, High 84, Low 62

TWC: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sunshine. Near record high temperatures High 88, Low 65
Monday – Partly cloudy. High 89, Low 66

AW: Tomorrow – Sunshine mixing with some clouds; breezy in the afternoon High 83, Low 66
Monday – Sunshine mixing with some clouds High 84, Low 64

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 85, Low 61
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 85, Low 61

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 85, Low 61
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 85, Low 61

The Weather Channel is going very warm for you, Lakeland. I don’t know why. A look at the satellite for the Caribbean shows some quiet seas.