We’re off to western New York. I would say it’s no longer lake effect season, but it definitely still is.
At 1154PM, ET, Buffalo was reporting a temperature of 28 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. The northeastern United State is currently within a shallow upper level trough, which isn’t enough to produce precipitations, but it holding the warmth seen to the south and west at bay.
The stronger jet that is near Buffalo will lift northeast through New England while a deeper trough, which will tap into a surface wave that is being seen over the Lower Mississippi Valley. As the trough wraps around the system, it will begin to kick it to the northeast. By the time Friday turns to Saturday, some precipitation will begin to move into the Buffalo area. Meanwhile, the northern jet will be fed by a trough that will develop over central Canada. This trough will pivot into the Buffalo area by Saturday afternoon. In the late afternoon, temperature profiles will be right for some snow to mix in with the light rain falling through the day, and will be amplified by an inverted trough extending into southern Quebec. Only a half inch or so of snow is expected for Buffalo, but resultant westerly winds will mean some lake effect snow through the night and into Sunday.
Tomorrow – Increasing clouds, but pleasant High 46, Low 24
Saturday – Showers, with snow mixing in late, High 42, Low 32
TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 51, Low 20
Saturday – Showers, High 42, Low 36
AW: Tomorrow – Milder with some sunshine giving way to clouds High 49, Low 26
Saturday – Cloudy with a couple of showers (snow late) High 44, Low 35
NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 44, Low 22
Saturday – Rain, High 44, Low 35
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy High 49, Low 19
Saturday – Cloudy with a chance of rain. High 39, Low 37
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 45, Low 23
Saturday – Cloudy with Light Rain High 45, Low 37
FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 44, Low 24
Saturday – Light rain until evening, starting again overnight. High 42, Low 34
That Saturday low will come at midnight, so this verification is going to come down to the wire. Here is a pretty calm satellite…. for now.