Tag Archives: Waco

Waco, Texas to Lynchburg, Virginia

Everything is telling me that we are planning a road trip at absolutely the right time, through absolutely the right territory. It’s been a warm February thus far, but part of that is owing to an active pattern, drawing warm air north. We’re going to take two days to drive from Texas to Virginia, covering 1248 miles. The first day will be the shorter day, of 8 hours, with the second lasting 10. We will average a pace of 68.5mph, with the 8 hour day accounting for 547.6 miles of our journey.

DAY ONE (Monday)

OK, so, immediately I can tell you I was wrong. We will not be departing for Lynchburg between systems, as an area of low pressure moving through the Dakotas will be dangling a cold front through the Plains, with the tail of this boundary slicing into Texas, drawing in moisture off the Gulf of Mexico and touching off heavy rain and embedded thunderstorms as early as midnight and continuing until sunrise when we depart Waco. The line of showers and storms will extend north to Kansas. The line of storms will move slower than we will, which means that as we continue eastward, we will eventually get out ahead of the line. Our trek through east Texas will be quite stormy, though. The best bet for breaching that line will be somewhere around Mount Pleasant, Texas, but there could be some showers east towards Texarkana. The good news is that the afternoon drive through Arkansas will bee dry as we arrive under high pressure. We’ll make it to sunny Memphis for our pit stop. Hopefully, we have a bit more good luck on Tuesday.

DAY TWO (Tuesday)
The area of low pressure in the Plains will move towards Hudson Bay, which will slow the cold front own. A secondary area of low pressure will develop at the tail of the front in the Gulf of Mexico, which will stem the flow of moisture into the southern United States. This is good news, because it means the drive through Tennessee and Virginia will be dry and mostly sunny. There might be some overcast overnight in Lynchburg, accompanied by some drizzle, but that’s not so bad. We’re going to be done driving, after all.

Autumn comes crashing in

After a long stretch of unseasonably warm weather to extend an always hot Texas summer, things abruptly and unexpectedly cooled off in Waco as the weekend drew to a close. Instead of temperatures near 90 on  Sunday, showers and storms rolled in just as heating of the day started to get amped up. Temperatures barely crested 80, and were almost 10 degrees cooler than everyone had anticipated. With a low peak, the valleys were a little deeper as well. The cooleest forecast all around belonged to Accuweather, who won the day.
Actuals: Sunday .39″ of rain in thunderstorms, High 81, Low 71
Monday – Trace of rain, High 74, Low 65

Grade: C

Waco, Texas

Down to central Texas this afternoon for a look at the home of Baylor University

At 151PM, CT, Waco was reporting a temperature of 91 degrees with mostly sunny skies. There were isolated showers and storms popping up between Waco and Dallas ahead of a developing cold front that still sat west of Abilene. An upper level trough over the Desert Southwest provides an anchor for that boundary in west Texas, so for now, isolated storms induced by the Gulf flow will be all that should be expected along the I-35 corridor today.
An area of low pressure associated with the parent trough is moving through the northern Plains. Tomorrow, and particularly into the overnight, the northern feature will begin to drive cooler air towards central Texas, changing the orientation of the front in Texas. This will make it a more effective trigger point in the DFW and Waco area until the northern trough moves far enough away that the front truncates, but not after cooler air spills into the region. This will make tomorrow increasingly stormy, with those thunderstorms lasting through the morning on Monday.
Tomorrow – Increasing showers and thunderstorms, High 91, Low 76
Monday – Showers and storms early,  Much cooler, High 73, Low 65

TWC: Tomorrow – Scattered thunderstorms developing during the afternoon High 86, Low 73
Monday -Thunderstorms in the morning will give way to cloudy skies late. High 76, Low 68

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a shower or thunderstorm in spots in the afternoon High 87, Low 74
Monday – Mostly cloudy and cooler with a shower or thunderstorm in spots High 73, Low 65

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy High 88, Lo 77
Monday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, High 78, Low 66

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms possible in the morning, but more likely in the afternoon. High 87, Low 74
Monday – Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 76, Low 66

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered storms, High 88, Low 73
Monday – Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely, High 79, Low 46

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain throughout the day. High 89, Low 73
Monday – Light rain until afternoon. High 78, Low 67

Scattered storms in Texas. It’s been a long enough break since the flooding that this isn’t completely ominious. Still, not a great end to the weekend, though. Here is the current radar, which will be busier as the week goes on.

waco

Grand Forks, North Dakota to Waco, Texas

After several days in a row of very quiet weather, we can look forward to a busy road trip through the Plains. Anticipate a 2 day journey, with the second day of travel lasting substantially longer than the first. It’s 1238 miles between the two towns, and we will be moving at a pace of 66.2mph, which means day one will be through only after we have covered almost 530 miles. Let’s see some open road and head south to Texas.

DAY ONE
Grand Forks
The first leg of this adventure will take us through the unseasonably warm Dakotas and into Iowa. An area of low pressure is projected to descend into the High Plains overnight tonight. Much of the associated moisture will be housed in the Northern Rockies, but as the low comes into phase over eastern Montana and the Dakotas, a southerly flow will tap into some Gulf moisture, and rain will pick up over Minnesota and Iowa. We will skate a thin line through the day on Saturday as we make our way along the route, but most of the wet weather will be to our east, and we will be driving within a dry slot. The best chance for wind, as well as breezy weather, will be in McPaul, Iowa, as we stop for the night.

DAY TWO
The cold front will move through overnight, and we will wake up to chilly, windy conditions. It won’t move through with any moisture, and will begin to touch off storms in the same relative area on Sunday as the wet weather was on Saturday. Indeed, these storms may well be strong and briefly severe, but we are in for some post frontal wash, with strong west winds kicking up some dust, but driving through Kansas, Oklahoma and north Texas will be pretty easy for us. Heck, it will still even be warm in Waco when we get there.
Waco

Bowling Green, Kentucky to Waco, Texas

It seems like most of the northern tier of the country is frozen under the worst arctic outbreak of the season so far, or is gonna get buried under a foot of lake effect snow in the next 3 days. Let’s go somewhere a little bit warmer! We’ll travel 821 miles from Bowling Green, KY to Waco, TX. It’s GOTTA be warmer than the -35 to -50 wind chills the Upper Midwest is seeing, right?!

bowlinggreenKY

DAY ONE

A ridge of high pressure is nosing its way into the Mid-Mississippi Valley while the center of it remains over the Dakotas. The tail end of a cold front has works its way out of the region and other than being a bit chilly to start the day (mid 20’s), it should be a quiet, dry day from southwest Kentucky past Nashville and Memphis and into Little Rock for the night.

DAY TWO

More of the same from yesterday it seems, with high pressure now dominating the central US. Mostly sunny conditons are expected for our trip out of Little Rock through Texarkana and Dallas, then eventually southward to Waco. Some increased clouds are possible as we get towards Waco, but nothing really to worry much about. Looks like the low 60’s in the early evening when we get there, sounds good to me!

Waco

Waco, Texas to Medford, Oregon

I am back from my own little road trip, and we will spell out a road trip that covers 4 days and 2032 miles. That breaks into 62.46mph and daily chunks of 499 miles. This forecast is already late, so let’s get to it!

DAY ONE

Dry weather is the name of the game for the Southern Plains this week. Obviously, it’s been very dry for the region, so dusty weather may be a problem for air filters, and if you smoke, don’t toss any lit cigarettes out the window. Otherwise, buckle up and enjoy the ride to Santa Rosa, New Mexico.
DAY TWO
Monsoonal thunderstorm activity is showing up very late in the day and mostly staying confined to higher elevations of Arizona and New Mexico. IF the models can be believed, we should be through Holbrook, Arizona by the time storms get going in the southern Rockies. We will end the day at rural exit 139, which is between Seligman and Ash Fork, Arizona.
DAY THREE
The theme of dusty weather will continue. One mdel is painting some rain in eastern Nevada on Wednesday, but I for one, am not buying it. I think we will stay dry all the way to Hawthorne, Nevada. A little too dry. And yes, people actually live out here.
DAY FOUR
What? Another day with no significant weather? This road trip is incredibly easy, unless you have anxiety issues due to loneliness or agoraphobia. Medford is surrounded by some hills though, so that will be nice.

Feeling the heat

Temperatures in Waco were uncomfortable. They skied to 104 and 106 in the past two days, which were higher than anyone had anticipated. Well, higher than anyone except Weatherbug, who had far and away the best forecast in town. Dew points were well into the 60s, so it wasn’t even a dry heat, which makes it all the more unbearable. Yuck.
Actuals: Friday, High 104, Low 80
Saturday, High 106, Low 77

Grade A

Waco, Texas

Waco may have a bit of a bed reputation, still stemming from the David Koresh, Branch DAvidian incident, as well as the fact that the name of the town looks like it could be pronounced “whack–o”. It’s not that bad.

At 951AM, CT, Waco was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 86 degrees. Southerly flow was producing some low stratus south of town as flow was taking moisture off the Gulf, towards a lingering boundary along the Red River. Hot, dry air will erode at that layer of clouds and dominate the Waco for much of the foreseeable future.
A weak jet running through the the southwest will give rise to a surface trough, which will cause air to be imported from near Monterrey. The pattern may get a little bit blustery, but more than anything, it will be very warm in Waco.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 99, Low 74
Saturday – Warmth continues, High 102, Low 73

TWC: Tomorrow – Windy with a few clouds from time to time High 103, Low 78
Saturday – Windy with a mix of sun and clouds High 105, Low 76

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and windy High 104, Low 77
Saturday – Mostly sunny, breezy and hot High 102, Low 76

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and hot High 103, Low 76
Saturday – Mostly sunny and hot High 105, Low 77

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 105, Low 79
Saturday – Mostly sunny High 106, Low 77

Hot. Once again, Weatherbug’s text forecast doesn’t line up with the image for high temperatures. (Text was 5 degrees lower). I’m a little cooker than the rest, going more towards model guidance, and the likelihood of some higher dew points. Satellite shows clouds to the south.