Tag Archives: Vineland

Cleveland, Tennessee to Vineland, New Jersey

We’re taking a quick day and a half excursion from southeastern Tennessee to southern New Jersey. I think it will be pretty ok for the 712.75 miles we travel. We will have a quick pace of 64mph, which means 512 miles on day one, and 200 for Friday. Let’s head for the Garden State!

DAY ONE (Thursday)
clevelandtn
The best thing about this trip is tht we will sneak east of the Appalachians pretty early in the day. We won’t stray too far to the east from the hills on I-81, but a weak trough moving through the region won’t be able to carry moisture over the chain, and we will be far enough east to stay dry. Maybe we will see a stray cloud or two, but that’s about it. We will take an eastward turn towards D.C. and end up in Markham, Virginia at the end of the day.

DAY TWO (Friday)
Regardless of what happens on Thursday, I can say with confidence that it will be dry on Friday. The biggest issue is that our drive takes us through Washington, Baltimore and the south side of Philadelphia, and navigating that much traffic will certainly be a chore. No weather to worry about, however.
vinelandNJ

Vineland, New Jersey

We’re headed for the south Jersey shore. There was quite a bit of rain in the mid-Atlantic earlier this week, but is there nicer weather on the way?

At 854AM, ET, it was 71 degrees with clear skies. The area of low pressure that rotated through the region continues to rotate in southern Quebec, but the leading boundary has pushed off to sea. A secondary trough is kicking up a few clouds over the Appalachians at this hour, and it’s too early to say that Vineland will be dry for the next 24 hours.
The secondary trough will move into the area tomorrow night. There is a chance for a little bit of light rain overnight tomorrow, but the more immediate and likely result will be overcast skies and drizzle. Dry air will move in by sunrise, and a sharp westerly flow will enforce a very pleasant day on Friday.
Tomorrow – Drizzle, with some rain in the late evening, High 81, Low 59
Friday – Early morning clouds with a little drizzle before sunrise, clearing to a pleasant afternoon High 80, Low 55

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny High 81, Low 58
Friday – Sunny, High 78, Low 56

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and pleasant High 79, Low 57
Friday – Mostly sunny and beautiful High 78, Low 55

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 82, Low 57
Friday – Sunny, High 81, Low 55

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 82, Low 57
Friday – Sunny, High 81, Low 55

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 82, Low 59
Friday – Mostly Sunny High 81, Low 55

I’m the most pessimistic, it appears, but I think weird things can happen along the coast overnight when enough moisture is in the area. Satellite looks mostly ok.
Vineland

Its good to be out east

The first monster system of the season is rolling through the Upper Midwest, and left parts of the Dakotas with 3-4 FEET of snow. A system this strong is going to generate some interesting weather all around it. There were tornadoes around Sioux City, Iowa, with reports of more than a dozen injuries, and early indication that at least one of the tornadoes was a mile wide. Further away, most notably along the east coast, a strong southerly flow induced in large part by this wave pattern led to temperatures climbing into the mid-80s yesterday in places like Vineland. Only Accuweather truly appreciated how warm it would get in southern New Jersey, and easily won that particular forecast. The system has slowed down compared to initial model guidance. Might they get a few more days of warm weather out east?
Actuals: Thursday – High 82, Low 57
Friday – High 84, Low 55

Grade: B

Vineland, New Jersey

Our trip today will take us to the Mid-Atlantic. The seasons are about to change, and this part of the world can get especially quirky this time of year.

At 154PM, ET, Vineland was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 82 degrees. The region had successfully avoided an off shore wave, as well as a boundary that attempted to bring shower activity into the eastern Seaboard over this weekend, and warm sunny conditions remained in place.
Upper level ridging is expected to remain in place over the eastern third of the country for the next two days, but a strong system is getting organized in the northern Rockies. This system will press eastward into the upper Midwest. A surface warm front will develop on the northern slope of the Appalachians, and this will likely mean that most of the associated precipitation will remain well west of Vineland, however by late on Friday, a dirtier southerly flow may mean an increased threat for clouds leading into the overnight.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 79, Low 59
Friday – Increasing clouds late, High 80, Low 59

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 79, Low 60
Friday – Partly Cloudy High 82, Low 61

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and very warm High 81, Low 57
Friday – More humid with times of clouds and sun High 83, Low 59

NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, sunny, High 80, Low 58
Friday – Mostly sunny High 82, Low 58

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny High 80, Low 58
Friday – Partly sunny. High 82, Low 58

So this is weird. The model generation put together by NCAR (the same models that everyone looks at) is still functional in the government shutdown. We could all access that. MOS (Model output statistics) are automatically generated with the model production, so they are out there, however the web site that hosts the MOS data is shuttered until the shutdown ends. That’s just strange to me. Anyways, here is the satellite for southern New Jersey, showing very little in the way of weather activity.
Vineland

Quiet Start to the Week

Despite an active pattern over the northern tier of the US these past few days, Vineland remained mostly quiet these 2 days. There were a couple reports of very light snow on Monday, but didn’t amount to anything more than a trace. Overcast skies throughout Tuesday, however, kept the temperature from dropping too much, leading to a low temp recording significantly higher than anybody anticipated. VW and AW tied for the win, narrowly edging out the others.

Monday: Trace of snow. High 30, Low 17.
Tuesday: High 39, Low 28.
Forecast Grade: C

Vineland, New Jersey

Off to southern New Jersey. This would be the part of the state that falls under the “Philadelphia area” jurisdiction. I think. I don’t know. In the northern part of the state, we will see the Super Bowl next year.

At 1254AM, ET, Vineland was reporting clear skies with a temperature of 32 degrees. Despite their clear skies in Vineland, the region was littered with clouds. Some of the clouds working their way out of the Appalachians were also responsible for flurries near the Nation’s Capital. An area of low pressure moving north along the coast was within the sharpest point of an upper level trough, but a disorganized but still strong element of the trough was riding over the Rockies. As a result, a weak but broad disturbance was bringing snow showers to the central Appalachians and eastern Great Lakes.
A mean trough will set up, dampening out the sharp offshore trough. Weak perturbations are expected to ride through the main jet axis as flow becomes more uniform. Most of the inclement weather will be expended in the eastern Great Lakes, unable to find its way to the coast. One of the weak little waves may induce cyclogenesis offshore overnight Monday into Tuesday, which could cause a dusting of snow.
Tomorrow – Isolated flurries late, otherwise mostly cloudy, High 32, Low 20
Tuesday – Snow showers before sunrise, High 37, Low 22

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny (PM snow) High 32, Low 22
Tuesday – AM Snow Showers High 35, Low 25

AW: Tomorrow – Sunshine mixing with clouds and breezy (snow late) High 32, Low 21
Tuesday – Partly sunny (early snow) High 37, Low 23

NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny (PM snow) High 31, Low 21
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy (early AM snow) High 37, Low 21

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny (PM snow). High 31, Low 21
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy (early AM snow) High 37, Low 22

Maybe an inch or so of snow overnight Monday into Tuesday for southern New Jersey. I think an inch is probably way high on the estimated accumulation scale though. Satellite illustrates the cloudy mosaic for the region.
Vineland

A common forecast

Everyone had the same low temperature forecast in Vineland for Tuesday. Three outlets had the same low and high on Thursday. The fact that this forecast isn’t graded an “A” is a poor reflection on the meteorology industry. The Weather Channel and Weatherbug tied for the top spot.
Actual: Tuesday – .01 inches of rain, High 88, Low 64
Wednesday – High 84, Low 64

Grade: B

Vineland, New Jersey to Abilene, Texas

Time for a 4-day, 1,652-mile trip from the Garden State to the Lone Star State! Will we have a pleasant trip, or will Issac throw a monkey wrench into our plans? Let’s find out!

DAY ONE

Well, it’s going to be a nice start to our trip! High pressure sitting over the Great Lakes will ease its way towards the Northeast late in the day, making for lots of sun and calm weather throughout the day from Southern New Jersey down through Baltimore and D.C. We’ll continue along the spine of the Appalachians as we continue down I-81 through most of Virginia and stop for the night in Wytheville, VA.

DAY TWO

Some clouds are expected as we start our day heading for northeast Tennessee as high pressure continues over the Mid-Atlantic states. Luckily, its just strong enough to keep some of the stray showers from Issac off to the south. Clouds will increase as we travel westward through the Volunteer State through Knoxville and Nashville and into Western TN. A few more showers will find their way into Western TN however, so it might be a bit of a wet end to the day as we pull into Jackson, TN for the night.

DAY THREE

Some light showers are expected as we start our day traveling towards Arkansas. However, it’s going to quickly turn downhill. The remnants of Issac will have moved into eastern Oklahoma, streaming plenty of rain up into Arkansas throughout the day. It’s going to be slow going for pretty much the entire day as we move through Memphis and Little Rock. Rain, winds, and just an overall really crappy day. That’s why we’re only going to make it to Texarkana for the evening. Hopefully our hotel there isn’t waterlogged!

DAY FOUR

Well it rained a bunch overnight, so good thing we kept the car windows rolled up overnight. Luckily, the remnants have continued to lift northward, so while the morning will be plagued with clouds and rain showers, they’ll continue to dissipate during the late morning as we make our way towards Dallas. Clouds will linger around a bit into the afternoon, but the rest of the trip after midday will be fairly dry! Hooray we made it!

Vineland, New Jersey

The original track for Isaac seemed to follow a path that closely resembled Irene’s from last year. Instead, it looks more like Katrina, and southern New Jersey is tropical storm free today.

At 1034AM, ET, Vineland was reporting a temperature of 82 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. A surface trough along the coast has triggered a band of thunderstorms that extends from Plainfield to Lindonwold, and is moving to the northeast. The trak of these storms and the potential for redevelopment suggests Vineland could be in for an isolated shower or storm at some point this afternoon.
A broad trough is rotating through the eastern US, but the associated surface boundary isn’t terribly strong. Still, this afternoon through tomorrow morning, some scattered showers will be possible as the boundary trudges through the Mid Atlantic. Expect high pressure to settle in for midweek, however, with sunny skies taking over.
Tomorrow – Morning showers, becoming clearer, High 86, Low 71
Wednesday – Partly cloudy, High 82, Low 61

TWC: Tomorrow – solated T-Storms High 85, Low 71
Wednesday – Mostly Sunny High 80, Low 64

AW: Tomorrow – Clouds and sun with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm; humid High 84, Low 71
Wednesday – Mostly sunny, pleasant and less humid High 83, Low 63

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm. Partly sunny High 88, Low 71
Wednesday – Sunny High 83, Low 63

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 88, Low 71
Wednesday – Sunny. High 83, Low 63

And here is the radar with showers and storms from NYC to Philly. Models are hinting at the 88 that the NWS and Weatherbug are going for, but I think it will be too cloudy early for that to happen.

Thoroughly soaked

There has been a slowly occluding, unraveling low over the mid-Atlantic that refuses to go anywhere or do anything but rain, rain, rain. The dry slot has inched slowly north towards southern New Jersey and Vineland, and that was reflected in a bit less rain Wednesday than on Tuesday. If temperatures were any indication, however, the weather was still disgusting and un-Maylike. The Weather Service delivered the bad news most effectively, so feel free to blame them, southern New Jersey, if you haven’t cared for the weather lately.
Actuals: Tuesday – .20 inches of rain, High 68, Low 60
Wednesday – .14 inches of rain, High 68, Low 59

Grade: A