Tag Archives: Valdosta

Valdosta, Georgia to Modesto, Califronia

Well hello! School should be letting out any time now, so do you know what that means? Road trip! This will be a week long adventure. Well, a work week long adventure, at any rate, lasting 5 days and covering 2620 miles. That will put us on a pace of 64.9mph, which will result in a daily conquest of 518.9 miles. Let’s see how that does.

There isn’t much going on aloft across the southeast, but a moist flow through the region could touch off some clouds and isolated shower activity. We wil be into some drier air after we reach Atlanta and head westward, and it should be mostly sunny until we reach New Albany, Mississippi, which is about 20 minutes past Tupelo.

We have another round of heavy rain and thunderstorms moving through the Upper Midwest tomorrow. We have a moderate risk for severe thunderstorms from Iowa to Kansas. The cold front associated with this system isn’t going to move very quickly. We should get through Memphis and Little Rock without any problems, but west of Little Rock, we might meet a bit of shower activity west of Russellville. The meat of this cold front will be betwee Fort Smith and Shawnee, Oklahoma, where we should anticipate a threat for large hail, gusty winds, and year, even some tornadoes. When we are driving through, the line will be discrete cells when we pass through on I-40. That means we could completely miss everything, or we could end up driving right through a cell with 3″ hail. I’m sure this will incredibly stressful, so we’re going to call it a night in Oklahoma City, just after the storm threat has passed.

There is a nonsensical model inndicating postfrontal rain through eastern Oklahoma, the Texas Panhandle and eastern New Mexico, developing after noon. Like I said, this looks like nonsense. There is no way that moisture is going to wrap in from the south end of this low through west Texas. We’ll be fine. We will end the day east of Albuquerque in Morarty, New Mexico

Finally, Wednesday we will reach some thermal ridging and be out of the threat for rain. Driving through western New Mexico and northern Arizona should be free and clear, with our day ending in Yuca, on the western part of the state. It’s going to be hot.

We’re looking at another day of wam weather without much going on with the weather. Sunny skies, not even much by way of fog in the valley in the morning, and we can check intto a very nce, very quaint Modesto.

Valdosta, Georgia

We are going to run off to south Georgia for the last forecast of the work week. Are you ready for a steamy weekend?

At 1153AM, ET, Valdosta was reporting a temperature of 84 degrees with clear skies. While there was a deep trough over the center of the country, there was also a strong ridge located over Georgia.
Through tomorrow morning, the upper level trough producing the wet weather for the Mississippi Valley will lose amplitude and form a broader trough north of the Ozarks. The jet streak that had formed the exit region of the trough will dissipate rapidly. Still, there will be flow off the Gulf into the region, even if there isn’t much forcing to sweep it away. Expect a hot, humid weekend with isolated, general thunderstorms across the region. It will be the first truly summerlike weekend of the season! IT should be warm enough on Sunday that the atmosphere is capped, and thunderstorms are unlikely.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, humid with a chance for rain, High 86, Low 66
Monday – Even warmer, still mostly cloudy, High 89, Low 65

TWC: Tomorrow Scattered T-Storms High 87, Low 68
Sunday – Isolated T-Storms High 90, Low 67

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy and humid High 88, Low 65
Sunday – Partly sunny High 90, Low 63

NWS: Tomorrow – A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, High 89, Low 66
Sunday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny High 92, Low 63

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the morning…then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 88, Low 64
Sunday – Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 91, Low 63

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Showers High 90. Low 66
Sunday – Partly Cloudy with Scattered Storms High 91, Low 63

Weathernation has significantly improved their site. I feel like this could lead to more competitive forecasts. In the mean time, chec out the monster system moving through the Plains.

Was this even for the right city?

Something went terribly awry in Valdosta. Across the board, forecasts were alternately too cool and too warm, and not just by a little bit either. On Wednesday, despite the heavy rain that the area saw, temperatures soared into the low 90s. Everyone was way off. Then, behind the shower activity, thick overcast invaded southern Georgia, and temperatures couldn’t even crawl out of the 70s. Everyone was way off. The funny thing is, everyone had forecast highs that were about the same, in the mid to upper 80s, both on Wednesday and Thursday. The Weather Channel, who has seemed to refine the art of the awful forecast lately, had the top numbers in Valdosta.
Actuals: Wednesday – .20 inches of rain, High 91, Low 73
Thursday – High 77, Low 66

Grade: D

Valdosta, Georgia

Now that we are headed into autumn, these southern US forecasts can be a bit more interesting. Let’s see just how interesting it will be in Valdosta.

At 1153AM, ET, Valdosta was reporting a temperature of 78 degrees with cloudy skies. A weak surface boundary over the lower Mississippi Valley and a surface low over Florida is exchanging moisture, which allowed for shower activity across north Florida, and widespread clouds over Georgia. At this time, there is only a little bit of shower activity, found in the Perry, Florida area.
The boundary over the Mississippi Valley is a byproduct of a short wave aloft, and will be allowed to press rather quickly eastward. The low over Florida will also shift east and begin to ride the Gulf Stream out to sea. As the boundary passes over Valdosta tomorrow, things will get quite rainy during the day. Instead of acting as a scouring influence, however, the boundary will act as an inverted trough appended to the low over the Atlantic. It won’t be as rainy on Thursday as it will be tomorrow, but clouds and drizzle can be anticipated.
Tomorrow – Rain likely, High 85, Low 70
Thursday — Mostly cloudy, chances of showers, High 86, Low 69

TWC: Tomorrow – Scattered T-Storms High 86, Low 69
Thursday – Partly Cloudy High 84, Low 69

AW: Tomorrow – Rather cloudy with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm High 87, Low 71
Thursday – Times of clouds and sun with a passing shower High 87, Low 70

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy,High 86, Low 69
Thursday – A slight chance of showers before 8am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm. Partly sunny High 87, Low 68

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy. Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning…then a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon High 85, Low 69
Thursday – Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms in the morning.High 87, Low 68

Pretty level pegging on the forecast front in Valdosta. Here is a look at the radar, which isn’t as active as it will be tomorrow.

Valdosta, Georgia to Fort Smith, Arkansas

This is a similar trip to the last one we ran. Today, we are heading west from Valdosta on our way to Fort Smith. It will take us two days to cover the ground, where the ground is an expanse of 837 miles. The pace we will be about 59 miles an hour, which isn’t so quick, but we ARE in the south, after all. This means day one will cover 473 miles. Let’s mosey, shall we?


Things are looking up after an active couple of weeks. We will be in the midst of a high pressure regime in the southeast tomorrow. No worries for us, certainly. The drive northwest from Valdosta will be quite pleasant, so enjoy the countryside with windows down. The day will end in New Albany, Mississippi, which is just northwest of Tupelo.

I think we’re going to be fine on day two as well, but a little disturbance over Texas will draw moisture north into Louisiana and southern and western Arkansas. We will stay dry, I think, all the way to Fort Smith, but clouds may start to thicken after we pass west of Little Rock. Fort Smith should be fine for our time there. Or it might not be. I don’t know, this is just a road trip forecast.

Summer heat not gone yet

The biggest surprise to reach Valdosta to begin the week, at least in my mind, was the pervasive heat. The Weather Service may have been surprised that it stayed dry on Monday. Still, the Weather Service, with their warm forecast, ended up having the top forecast in town. A pretty healthy thunderstorm strafed town on Tuesday.
Actuals: Monday, High 91, Low 64
Tuesday, .91 inches of rain in thunderstorms, High 90, Low 69

Grade: A

Valdosta, Georgia

Off to the Georgia-Florida line, ready to see what the beginning of the week will bring us.

At 1253PM, ET, Valdosta was reporting a temperature of 72 degrees with cloudy skies. Low clouds were strewn across southern Georgia behind a weak boundary that had moved into Florida. The lower clouds were expected to disperse as the afternoon rolls forward.
A finger of rather strong high pressure lie across the East Coast, with it’s base over Georgia. It was inducing an easterly breeze that was importing the moisture that was seen overhead in Valdosta. The high pressure is expected to hold until a sharp trough in eastern Canada moves through, and helps disrupt the ridge, allowing some rain to develop late in the day Tuesday.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 85, Low 63
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy, late showers, High 88, Low 68

TWC: Tomorrow – Some clouds and possibly an isolated thunderstorm in the afternoon High 89, Low 63
Tuesday – Scattered thunderstorms High 88, Low 67

AW: Tomorrow – Sunshine and patchy cloudsHigh 86, Low 63
Tuesday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a shower or thunderstorm around High 88, Low 67

NWS: Tomorrow – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy High 90, Low 64
Tuesday -A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, High 88, Low 69

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon High 88, Low 66
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms High 88, Low 67

It doesn’t look rainy in Valdosta. I would have been more inclined to say “no rain Tuesday” than “rain on Monday”, so those forecasts from The Weather Channel, the NWS and Weatherbug come as something of a surprise. Here is the satellite, which looks bleaker than it is.

Valdosta, Georgia to Gadsden, Alabama

I have to believe there aren’t many places with a “DSD” in their name, so Gadsden is obviously a desired destination. It’s going to take about 6 hours to cover the distance of 348 miles. This is a glacial pace, of course, of only 58 miles an hour. Let’s be on our way!

The cold front that brought all those storms I mentioned yesterday is going to be moving very slowly through the country, and no slower than in the southern part. It’s going to get Atlanta about the same time we do. Well, we may see a few showers as soon as McDonough, but it will be stormy after we get to the ATL. It’s going to be intermittent, but I would say there is a good chance that those storms will come and go from then all the way to Gadsden. At least it will be nice when we leave Valdosta.

The south sizzles

After a devastating string of tornadoes rumbled from Mississippi to Virginia, and especially through Alabama, high pressure filtered back into the region, bringing with it hot air and sunny skies, good weather for cleanup and recovery efforts. Our benchpost was Valdosta in south Georgia. Temperatures there didn’t quite reach 90, but it was quite toasty nevertheless. Weatherbug had the top forecast, narrowly edging the competition.
Actuals: Saturday – High 88, Low 53
Sunday – High 89, Low 57

Grade A

Valdosta, Georgia

Our forecast today takes us to southern Georgia, which fortunately was far enough south that they avoided the devastation on Wednesday. What does the weather look like the next two days? Unfortunately, I was unable to come up with anything for a blog roundup. Too bad.

At 853AM, ET, Valdosta was reporting clear skies with a temperature of 64 degrees. With the strong, devastating cold front sweeping off the coast at long last, the south was being dominated by a welcome ridge of high pressure.
The upper level pattern is taking on a later season look, shifting ever so slightly to the north. Even with troughing over the Rockies, with the jet so far north, it will be hard to bring a necessary clash of airmasses as far south as Valdosta any time in the next 2 1/2 days. Additionally, daytime convection hasn’t yet developed over the southeast, so it looks like a dry couple of days in southern Georgia
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 87, Low 50
Sunday – Sunny, High 88, Low 53

TWC: Tomorrow – A mainly sunny sky High 88, Low 52
Sunday – Abundant sunshine. High 91, Low 58

AW: Tomorrow – Pleasant with abundant sunshine High 84, Low 53
Sunday – Sunny to partly cloudy High 88, Low 55

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 87, Low 51
Sunday – Sunny High 89, Low 56

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 88, Low 51
Sunday – Mostly sunny High 90, Low 57

It’s going to get toasty in Valdosta. A look at the satellite shows the clear conditions across the entire region.