Tag Archives: Sarasota

Back to normal ahead of schedule

One thing that seemed certain when the forecast for Sarasota was put together was that the effects of the Gulf of Mexico would soon supersede the cool, dry air mass in place over the southeastern US. We were right, but not in the way we though. Everyone had forecast a substantial warm up, but that never came, because it was the moisture that returned first. Clouds and a splash of rain prevented temperatures from rising more than a degree at the top end, and everyone whiffed on that drizzle. The National Weather Service narrowly surpassed the crowd, but it wasn’t our best effort.
Actuals: Friday – High 66, Low 38
Saturday – High 67, Low 48

Grade: C-D

Sarasota, Florida

Finally! A little bit of breathing room for me, and I am back with a forecast. Let’s take a look at south Florida, where this winter has been unusually brisk, with freezing temperatures all the way down to Orlando and Tampa. Is Sarasota next?

At 1053AM, ET, Sarasota was reporting a temperature of 42 degrees with clear skies. Temperatures and clear skies throughout Florida remained much cooler than the locals are accustomed to, and an undercutting trough held in place by a surface ridge promises to keep temperatures fairly cool for a little bit longer.
Fortunately, as the upper level trough shifts away from the area, the winds will moderate. While there will remain an unusually Arctic air mass atop South Florida, temperatures will trend upwards, thanks to the relatively warm Gulf just to the west. Expect the sun to continue into the weekend.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 62, Low 34
Saturday – Sunny High 66, Low 51

TWC – Mostly sunny. High 65, Low 37
Saturday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine in the morning with more clouds for later in the day. High 71. Low 47

AW: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sunshine in the morning with more clouds for later in the day. High 64, low 35
Saturday – Nice with times of sun and clouds High 68, Low 46

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny,High 62, low 38
Saturday – Partly sunny, High 68, Low 47

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. High 63, Low 34
Saturday – Partly sunny, High 70, Low 45

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 63, Low 36
Saturday – Partly cloudy, High 68, Low 47

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy until night. High 64, Low 39
Saturday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 69, Low 50

Gradual improvement! We’ll take what we can get, I suppose. Below is a satellite image, showing that its not even active in the Tropics

Sarasota, Florida to Norwich, Connecticut

This is a bummer of a trip. Sarasota to Connecticut? In December? Boo. Of course, with Christmas on the way and Haunakkah already here, this is probably a fairly common trek, with retirees coming up north to visit family for the holidays. The drive will take us 2 1/2 days and cover 1315 miles. If you don’t want to work out the math, that would be an average pace of 65.1mph, which is actually pretty good, considering the high traffic areas we will be driving through. Friday and Saturday will see us cover 521 miles, leaving the rest for a short drive on Sunday.

DAY ONE (Friday)
As if to tease us as we leave Florida, we will cover the entire stretch of the Peninsula without a drop of rain and only a photogenic smattering of cumulus clouds. The threat for denser clouds will be possible right as we cross the border into Georgia. Things will clear out a bit again as we pass Savannah, and mostly clear skies will greet us in Gable, South Carolna, which is east of Sumter and our destination for Friday night.

DAY TWO (Saturday)
By the time we head out the door on Saturday morning, a wave moving through the southeastern US will have arrived in South Carolina. Expect some light showers for the rest of our drive through the Palmetto State, but nothing more ominous than that. Some of those showers may linger all the way to Fayetteville in North Carolina, and it will be drizzly and cloudy, potentially, as far north even as Richmond. When the precipitation clears we will be north of a boundary that has been lurking for the last several days. Fully within the trough, the temperatures will be cooler, despite some sunshine. Get your jacket out when we stop for the night in Perryville, which is in northwest Maryland.

DAY THREE (Sunday)
Unfortunately, it will be significantly colder on Sunday in the mid-Atlantic than it was on Friday in Florida, and even on Saturday in the Carolinas. Fortunately, it will be dry, if a bit cloudy throughout New Jersey, New York and southern New England. It will be cloudy and chilly when we check in with the family in Norwich.

Vacation Weather

Well, for us here in the Upper Midwest, this would be great weather to have for a vacation in Sarasota. For them, it’s just another normal day. With sunny skies and temperatures in the 80’s, it was a gorgeous end of the weekend for people celebrating Mother’s Day. Sunday morning lows threw people off a little bit, but otherwise most forecasts were good, minus Weatherbug’s heat wave. VW and NWS tied for the top spot.

Sunday: High 82, Low 59.
Monday: High 86, Low 63.
Forecast Grade: B

Sarasota, Florida

I am looking forward to maybe just kicking back on the beach today. Or at least forecasting for a place where I could do that.

At 1253PM, ET, Sarasota was reporting a temperature of 80 degrees with clear skies. A light on shore breeze suggested the possibility for some thunderstorms across the Peninsula today, but nothing other than standard garden variety activity. Recent frontal passage and low dew points will keep any activity extremely isolated, however.
Over the next few days, pressure gradients will be very weak, and the temperature disparity between the sea and Peninsula will be nearly non-existent. This will mean a pair of sunny, warm days for the Florida Gulf Coast.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 83, Low 64
Monday – Sunny, High 85, Low 64

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny High 84, Low 65
Monday – Sunny High 84, Low 67

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 86, Low 64
Monday – Bright and sunny High 86, Low 65

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 84, Low 64
Monday – Sunny High 86, Low 64

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny. High 89, Low 62
Monday – Partly cloudy High 89, Low 64

Weatherbug is calling for a heatwave, it seems. The area is in a red flag warning, which means it has been another dry spring for Florida. Satellite shows not much going on for the peninsula.