Tag Archives: Saint Louis

Record breaking

The big news on Twitter over the weekend (before the Oroville Dam nearly overwhelmed its spillways and Cee-Lo wore a gold helmet at the Grammys) was the 99 degree temperature in western Oklahoma on Saturday. The warm air didn’t stop in Oklahoma, moving into St. Louis as well, and bringing about record highs on Saturday. It was 74 in the afternoon, but dropped off to 57 for a high on Sunday. Forecast.io did the best job with the temperature swings and had the best forecast for the weekend in St. Louis.
Actuals: Saturday, High 74, Low 45
Sunday — High 57, Low 37

Grade: B-F

Eau Claire, Wisconsin to Saint Louis, Missouri

This is a trip that would lend itself to a scenic trip down the Mississippi, but the fastest route is actually through central Wisconsin and Illinois. Oh well. It will take just about a full day of driving, with a pace of 69mph allowing us to cover the 530 miles in under 8 hours. We won’t follow the River, but on the plus side, when we arrive, we will get a nice look at that Arch.


It is unusually warm through the center of the country, with 70s reaching St. Louis on Friday, and it nearly hitting 50 in Eau Claire. Something has to give. A weak surface perturbation will run from Missouti to northern Indiana through the day, but thanks to the elevated condensation levels caused by the warmer temperatures, there won’t be enough instability to produce any precipitation along our route. There will be plenty to produce some gloomy looking clouds, however, and we shouldn’t be surprised if there is widespread overcast for our drive, particularly for the last few hours, from Bloominhton onward. If there is a drip of rain, it would be from Bloomington to Edwardsville, but I would guess the threat is very low. Sunset in St. Louis will be visible, and the Arch will look very good at dusk.

Saint Louis, Missouri

We’ve made it to the weekend! We’re going to be headed for Saint Louis for the forecast this weekend. There are a bunch of warnings blanketing Missouri, but this time, they are Red Flag warnings. That should tell you something about what you can expect.

At 251PM, CT, Saint Louis was reporting a temperature of 70 degrees with overcast skies and a brisk southwest wind. A strong ridge is building into the center of the country, and at this point, St. Louis is on the right side of the local warm front. An embedded wave sliding into the Plains will tap into some of the moist Gulf Air tonight into tomorrow morning, which will result in cooler temperatures for the weekend, as well as a bit of overcast.
A high amplitude and tilted trough is pointed towards the Desert Southwest, allowing for the warm southerly flow, but also will set up a favorable environment for cyclogenesis in the northern Plains. That feature will hook up with the disturbance gliding southeast of Saint Louis tonight, and encourage the overcast to move on. Colder air will rotate around the developing system in northern Plains, and cooler air will spill back south into the mid-Mississippi Valley to conclude the weekend.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 68, Low 46
Sunday – Mostly sunny, High 49, Low 35

TWC: Tomorrow – A mix of clouds and sun early, then becoming cloudy later in the day. Slight chance of a rain shower.High 65, Low 45
Sunday – Partly cloudy. High 55, Low 37

AW Tomorrow – Cloudy with the temperature near the record of 72 set in 1999; an afternoon shower in spots High 67, Low 46
Sunday – Cloudy, breezy and cooler, High 53, Low 35

NWS: Tomorrow – A 20 percent chance of light rain after 4pm. Patchy fog before 10am, then patchy fog after 4pm. Otherwise, cloudy, High 64, Low 50
Sunday – Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny High 57, Low 37

WB: Tomorrow -Mostly cloudy, Patchy fog through the day. 20% chance of light rain in the afternoon, High 68, Low 47
Sunday – Breey, cooler. Mostly cloudy early in the morning, then clearing. High 58, Low 46

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, High 64, Low 52
Sunday – Partly cloudy, High 41, Low 43

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy starting overnight. High 69, Low 47
Sunday -Mostly cloudy starting overnight. High 57, Low 35

Things are going to cool off pretty quickly in the Gateway City, but all things considered, that’s not a bad forecast for the middle of February.
All outlets with hourly forecasts through the weekend have non-standard days for Sunday, setting up for a chilly beginning to the week. The field of clouds lifting from the south is all very near the surface. You can really only make them out over north central Arkansas when looking at the national infrared.

Almost a good day

Temperatures in St. Louis didn’t really go the direction we were expecting as meteorologists. It was actually a degree warmer on Thursday than it was on Wednesday, but there is a very wonderful reason for that. A weak cold front inched through the region on Wednesday night. Not only did it steer clear of any thunderstorm production at the airport, but it also brought in dew points that were merely in the mid 60s. The initial forecast had been for the boundary to stall atop St. Louis, which would have meant more clouds, some rain and lower temperatures. The boundary advanced a few miles further south than expected. As a result of the warmer temperatures, really all around, the warest forecaster, The Weather Channel, had the top forecast.
Actuals: Wednesday – High 91, Low 73
Thursday – High 92, Low 69

Grade: B-C

Albany, New York to St. Louis, Missouri

Time for a trek! Two days from Albany to St. Louis. There is a bit of cooler, drier air penetrating the center of the country, so I think that should make it a bit more tolerable for those driving with the windows down. It’s a 1052.8 mile journey that will last about 2 days on the nose. This means a pace of about 64.3mph, which will allow us to cover 514 miles per day. Let’s see how how it’s going to go.

DAY ONE (Wednesday)
Albany
There may be a little bit of convection in the higher terrain of the Appalachians tomorrow, but by and large, the greater threat for showers and storms will be up in the higher terrain of the central Appalachians. The cap won’t break as we head west towards Buffalo, which means dry conditions in western New York. I think we will be in good shape through Erie and Ashtabula, but an approaching cold front will be touching off some heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms in southeast Michigan and Ohio. We might — might — see some thunderstorms out pacing the primary line of storms in Cleveland and south towards Akron. The heavier, more widespread shwers and storms will remain to our west, but if we do get grazed by something, it will bring a chance for torrential downpours. We will end the day west of Akron in Lodi, Ohio.

DAY TWO (Thursday)
The front will pass through Lodi as we sleep, and when we arise in the morning, it will be quite pleasant. It may not cool off much, but the humidity will be significantly less oppressive. Drive with the windows down through Indianapolis and west right into St. Louis.
St Louis

St. Louis, Missouri

St. Louis is one of my favorite places to visit. The Arch is fun, and the metro area is vibrant and full of things to do. If you are visiting, what will the weather have in store?

At 751PM, CT, St. Louis was reporting a temperature of 93 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Worse than that was the dew point in the city was at 74, but in outlying areas, the dew point was 80 degrees. An area of low pressure swinging through the Canadian prairies extended a diminishing cold front through Iowa. There is some thunderstorm activity, even a watch, along the Iowa-Missouri border, but the greatest threat for St. Louis is that light southerly flow and some oppressive temperatures.
The remnant boundary will sag south to lie near St Louis by tomorrow evening. With the parent low shipped off towards Hudson Bay, there won’t be much energy for thunderstorms tomorrow night. Instead, expect moisture to pool across the area, and a soupy overcast dominating the region tomorrow. Drier air will descend overnight from Wednesday to Thursday. The sun will be out, and so too will be residents, able to breathe in the outdoors again.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, humid, High 91, Low 75
Thursday – Drier and mostly sunny, High 89, Low 72

TWC: Tomorrow – PM Thunderstorms High 91, Low 75
Thursday – Mostly Sunny, High 90, Low 68

AW: Tomorrow – Hot with intervals of clouds and sunshine; an afternoon shower or thunderstorm in the area High 92, Low 74
Thursday – Pleasant with plenty of sunshine High 89, Low 67

NWS: Tomorrow – A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, High 93, Low 78
Thursday – Sunny High 89, Low 70

WB: Tomorrow – Hot and humid. Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms High 93, Low 75
Thursday – Mostly sunny High 89, Low 70

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Scattered Storms High 91, Low 79
Thursday – Mostly Sunny High 90, Low 70

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain until afternoon. High 92, Low 76
Thursday – Clear throughout the day. High 90, Low 69

No radar or satellite tonight, but check out how blanketed in excessive heat advisories Missouri is This will be lifted on Thursday.
St Louis

Sweaty St. Louis

St. Louis got under a warm front yesterday, causing temperatures to climb all the way to 96 with dew points well into the 70s. They had to pay their dues on Wednesday though, before those temperatures spiked to tropical levels. They saw three quarters of an inch of rain as that front passed through town on Wednesday and even then, temperatures were still in the Mid-90s. Such is summer in Saint Louis. Weatherbug had the top forecast in the STL.
Actuals: Wednesday – .74 inches of rain, High 94, Low 74
Thursday – High 96, Low 75

Grade: B

Saint Louis, Missouri to Billings, Montana

We’re essentially headed west from the end of yesterday’s trip for our 2 and a half day trek from St. Louis to Billings. We’ll cover 1276 miles in total, and 538.9 a day. Lots of interstates and a whole lot of South Dakota means that our pace will be at 67.3mph. Pretty swift. Let’s be on our way.

DAY ONE

A system is getting ready to explode over Siouxland, as it’s known, between Sioux Falls and Sioux City (South Dakota and Iowa, respectively). The associated warm front will be pushed north of Saint Louis, and the entirety of Missouri for that matter by the time we hit the road. Expect quality conditions for most of the day, only to see them dramatically deteriorate as we approach Omaha. Depending on how things go earlier in the day, things could be particularly nasty north of town with supercell thunderstorms just beginning to develop for the day between Omaha and Sioux City. We’ll be happy to end the day in North Sioux City, especially if the thunderstorms are still raging.

DAY TWO
The general troughy pattern of the northern Plains will continue as we start our Friday drive. Showers and thunderstorms, though not as impressive as we will see Thursday, will crop up over northern South Dakota. Some of them could definitely sneak south to over I-90, our route for most of the day. Let’s again make it clear: Nothing as strong or severe as what we are expecting Thursday. The rain may even end by the time we reach Rapid City. We’ll keep soldiering on into Montana by the end of the day, and the town of Hammond in the far southeastern corner of the state.

DAY THREE
No complaints on Saturday. It’s going to be beautiful, cool for the beginning of the day, warming up into the 80s by the time arrive in Billings. Hopefully won’t show up with hail damage (or as I call it, speed dimples)

Saint Louis, Missouri

I believe that this is the first time my forecast parade has taken me to St. Louis, the Gateway to the West. One of my favorite cities out there.

At 251PM, CT, St. Louis was reporting a temperature of 87 degrees with mostly cloudy skies and dew points in the mid 70s. A line of thunderstorms has erupted southeast of the city but north of Cape Girardeau, indicative of the weak troughing that has been rippling through the Mid-Mississippi Valley for the past several days. A mostly stalled boundary was running through northern Missouri and Kansas, triggering another line of thunderstorms for that area. The Storm Prediction Center was indicating a slight risk for severe thunderstorms for the area.
The jet runs west to east just north of St. Louis, so not much change is expected over the next 36 hours or so. Some training lines of thunderstorms should be expected across most of Missouri until a ripple appears along the jet. At the tail end of the jet, there is a weak perturbation that will evolve for the next several days. An area of low pressure will develop over the Dakotas and start lifting a warm front north away from St. Louis. Expect things to eventually quite down then on Thursday with temperatures climbing to the 90s.
Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms, High 90, Low 77
Thursday – Morning showers and storms, then hot, High 97, Low 75

TWC: Tomorrow – Scattered thunderstorms. A few storms may be severe. High 78, Low 78
Thursday – Times of sun and clouds (AM Storms). High 95, Low 77

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, hot and humid with a shower or thunderstorm around; thunderstorms can be severe High 92, Low 79
Thursday – Hot and humid with intervals of clouds and sunshine High 97, Low 79

NWS: Tomorrow – A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy High 91, Low 75
Thursday – Partly cloudy (AM Thunderstorms) High 95, Low 78

WB: Tomorrow – Hot and humid. Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 93, Low 78
Thursday – Hot and humid. Partly cloudy (AM Thunderstorms) High 96, Low 77

Looks to be hot and muggy in Saint Louis. Just another summer day. You can see the storms off to the southeast of town pretty well on satellite.

Harrisonburg, Virginia to Saint Louis, Missouri

Back in the 1800s, the Mississippi seemed like some mythical destination for residents of the original Colonies. People would pack up and take weeks to get from the coast to a city like Saint Louis. Well, now it takes a day and a half to get from Harrisonburg to Saint Louis, a trip that covers 746 miles. That means we get to cover 510 miles per day at 63.6mph. Let’s do what the pioneers couldn’t and cover this ground quickly!

DAY ONE

The drive tomorrow, Wednesday, is going to be appalling. A cold front is going to set itself to stall east to west right along I-64. Yes, we will be taking I-64 almost the entire day, how did you know? Essentially, we’ll be OK right up until we get to that interstate in West Virginia. Before we reach it, the drive will likely be mostly sunny with a few hit or miss showers. Then after we reach Beckley, WV, it will be almost nonstop thunderstorms. Some of them will have gusty winds, some of them will have hail, and almost all of them will have torrential rain. Ironically, the drive will end in Carefree, Indiana, which is west of Louisville.

DAY TWO
The drive on Thursday will be easier than the one n Wednesday, no doubt. The will be some more rain to be sure, likely from when we get up in Carefree until about Mount Vernon, Illinois, but this rain will be associated with a warm front and will likely be more rain than thunder, and won’t create the torrential downpours we’ll see on Wednesday. Heck, by the time we arrive in St. Louis, we can expect sunny skies. Hot, sure, but sunny.