Tag Archives: Muncie

The Tropics bring autumn

Wait, that doesn’t seem right, does it? Well, it seemed like it in Muncie. The clouds and light rain associated with the remnants of Tropical Storm Lee kept temperatures from climbing above 70 at all for the last two days. Sounds like fall to me. Victoria-Weather had the top forecast in town.
Actuals: Thursday – .21 inches of rain, High 62, Low 54
Friday – .06 inches of rain, High 68, Low 58

Grade: A

Brunswick, Georgia to Muncie, Indiana

Off for a day and a half, but it won’t be the best weather, what with rain expected for a food portion of the 857 miles. Thanks to time spent off of interstates, we will move at a pace of 62mph, so our first day will cover 496 miles, which really isn’t that much. But it’s all about the fun of the open road, yes?

DAY ONE

Things will actually work pretty well diving on Thursday. Georgia will be in good shape. South Carolina will be in good shape. North Carolina will be good, up until the Appalachians. A few little spits of rain might find our windshield when we pass through Asheville and eventually into Tennessee. We won’t see really heavy rain, certainly, but it’s something to think about in the mountains. Our day will end on the northwest side of Knoxville.

DAY TWO
When we finally get to the western edge of the Smokey Mountains, we will have some drier air and a little bit of sun through Tennessee and southern Kentucky. The clouds and showers that will be associated with the remnant trough that was once Lee will begin around Lexington. It’s almost all going to be clouds with only a little bit of drizzle, but it’s still going to be a pretty dreary drive through the Ohio Valley. The muck will be waiting for us in Muncie.

Muncie, Indiana

Muncie. Back again.

At 153PM, ET, Muncie was reporting a temperature of 57 degrees with cloudy skies. The remnants of Lee were centered over southern West Virginia, and the impressively cool temperatures, as well as the smattering of rain across eastern Indiana were due to the slow progression of Lee to the northeast.
Hurricane Katia in the Atlantic is moving quickly westward towards the Atlantic coast. It won’t bring any rain to Muncie, or hurricane conditions anywhere in the United States, but rather will cause the pattern across the US to stall and shear apart Lee even further. The stalling fronts will generate a malformed trough across the Ohio Valley that will allow for enough instability that scattered rain showers are going to be possible through the day both tomorrow and Friday. Temperatures will probably recover a little bit, but it will still be cool.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers with overcast conditions, High 64, Low 53
Friday – Clouds and showers continue, High 68, Low 56

TWC: Tomorrow – Overcast with rain showers at times. Thunder possible High 66, Low 57
Friday – Slight chance of a thunderstorm High 71, Low 57

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with showers High 66, Low 58
Friday – Mostly cloudy with a passing shower High 69, Low 58

NWS: Tomorrow = A 40 percent chance of showers. Cloudy High 64, Low 55
Friday – A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, High 68, Low 54

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers High 64, Low 55
Friday – Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers High 68, Low 54

This is probably the coolest forecast we have had here in a while. Don’t worry though, it’s not a season changing forecast, it’s just a tropically influenced forecast. In the 60s. Right. Here is radar, with some spits of rain seen across Indiana.

Quite the opposite

While temperatures were widely varied across the various forecasts, there was one thing all forecasters agreed upon in Muncie: A warm front would move through and kick temperatures way up on Sunday. Well, no. The front stalled southwest of Indianapolis and the rain and ceilings meant temperatures were actually cooler than they were on Saturday. A collective failure, but the Weather Channel was the coolest of all forecasters and had the top spot.
Actuals: Saturday – .73″ of rain, High 80, Low 68
Sunday – .05″ of rain, high 75, Low 66

Grade: B (which if you ask me is still pretty amazing)

Muncie, Indiana

Tonight we head to the home of Ball State University. It’s not the best school in Indiana (I went to Purdue, that get’s my vote) but it certainly is A school in Indiana

AT 953PM, ET, Muncie was reporting a temperature of 78 degrees with clear skies. Weak flow aloft was interacting with a lot of surface energy and contributing to a weak surface trough over the southern Plains and a of of showers and storms over the center of the country.
A more well defined upper trough over the Canadian prairies and will help develop a system in that area. The weak troughing action over the southern Plains will enhance thanks to this system and kick up more widespread showers and storms over the Lower Ohio Valley. The northern trough is expected to stall, which will cause the entire pattern to stall. The weaker system directed by the one to the northwest will maintain a mostly stationary front through southern Indiana, that will act as a warm front, so stratiform rain, with a few occasionally strong lines of thunderstorms will be possible tomorrow, and after a quiet morning, especially on Sunday evening.
Tomorrow – Rain and a few thunderstorms, High 81, Low 68
Sunday – Clear in the morning, with strong thunderstorms late, High 84, Low 66

NWS: Tomorrow – Scattered thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon. A few storms may be severe High 80, Low 68
Sunday – Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. A few storms may be severe High 82, Low 68

AW: Tomorrow – A couple of strong thunderstorms around; warm and humid with clouds and breaks of sun High 86, Low 69
Sunday – Mostly cloudy and humid with a couple of thunderstorms around High 87, Low 72

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy High 84, Low 68
Sunday – Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny High 85, Low 67

WB: Tomorrow – Thunderstorms likely High 85, Low 70
Sunday – Thunderstorms likely High 85, Low 68

Satellite shows a lot of high clouds for the fine folks of Muncie, as well as the Ball State Cardinals.

Awash in shoddy forecasts

The first round of rain in Muncie really set the tone for the past two days. The rain came pouring down early in the late morning on Wednesday. The rain totaled over an inch and kept things cool for the entire day, capping the high 10 degrees off from the forecasts. The cooler day time temperature meant a cooler overnight low as well the next day, so Thursday’s low was about ten degrees off. The Weather Channel had the best forecast in Muncie, but it wasn’t a particularly good one.
Actuals: Wednesday – 1.04 inches of rain High 60, Low 51
Thursday – Trace of rain, High 82, Low 50

Grade: C

Muncie, Indiana

I used to live in Indiana, back when I was in school. I can honestly say that I never went to Muncie.

At 253PM, ET, Muncie was reporting a temperature of 68 degrees with cloudy skies. A stiff westerly breeze is being seen behind a warm front that has swung through the area overnight. The system is rapidly occluding as it passes through the Midwest, and the associated cold front isn’t far behind. The clouds and previously seen showers will effectively stamp out the threat for thunderstorms in the area tonight, with the strongest storms likely south and west of Muncie.
A deep trough with weak bounding flow is swinging into the southern Plains through the next 12 hours, likely to develop the next system. The cold front associated with the low bringing rain to their east right now will connect with the developing system. The boundary will become mostly stationary from New Jersey to Nebraska, generally triggering showers and storms for the region along that boundary, including Muncie. As the system develops, the boundary over Indiana will lift north as a warm front, creating a brief warm up before showers and thunderstorms arrive in town again Thursday afternoon, with severe thunderstorms a distinct possible.
Tomorrow – Rain and isolated thunderstorms likely. High 70, Low 52
Thursday – Warm, with strong thunderstorms in the afternoon, High 82, Low 62

TWC: Tomorrow – Showers early then scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day High 69, Low 50
Thursday – Scattered thunderstorms possible High 82, Low 57

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy with periods of rain and a thunderstorm in the afternoon High 68, Low 49
Thursday – Breezy and warmer with rain and a thunderstorm High 79, Low 61

NWS: Tomorrow- A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy High 69, Low 51
Thursday – Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy High 80, Low 63

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. High 69, Low 51
Thursday – Breezy…warmer. Thunderstorms likely High 78, Low 58

Looks pretty sloppy for Muncie coming up, that’s for sure. Here is the well wrapped system over the Great Lakes.