Tag Archives: Mount Vernon

Lessons Learned

Mount Vernon offered up two important reminders as we reviewed the verification today. The first was how difficult it is to move past 32 degrees, either with an increase or reduction in temperature. That’s where the low stopped on Tuesday morning. Wednesday offered a lesson of it’s own. It’s cloudy in the Pacific Northwest, and clouds keep temperatures from falling off. Maount Vernon dipped to 28 degrees, which matched the warmest forecast available. Weatherbug remembered these valuable meteorological lessons, and had what was clearly the best forecast.
Actuals: Tuesday – High 44, Low 32
Wednesday – High 44, low 28

Grade: A-C

Providence, Rhode Island to Mount Vernon, Washington

This drive is going to be quite lengthy as we head from the East Coast to the West. It will take nearly 6 full days to cover 3,091 miles. We’ll see a great deal of the northern US as we track along at a pace of 67.2mph. The 6th day will be shorter than the first 5, with the first days averaging 537.6 miles. This is a time of year where a drive through this part of the country can be pretty rough, so let’s hope for some good luck.

DAY ONE (Wednesday)

The beginning of our long journey will take us from Providence to western Pennsylvania. There is an area of low pressure in the Gulf of Maine, and a trailer is going to develop overnight over Lake Ontario. It will do a good job of cleaning up the coastal area, though there will be some clouds thanks to a light onshore flow. A weak cold front associated with the system will produce a west wind and some snow showers on the western exposures of the Pennsylvania Appalachians. The best chance of snow will be for the last hour of the day, from Dubois to Grove City, where we will stop for the night, right across the border from Ohio.

DAY TWO (Thursday)
We will be post frontal on Thursday as we head through the southern Great Lakes. There will be a westerly flow through the region, so lake effect snow will be ongoing in Michigan and just across the border, in northern Indiana and Ohio. After we have passed the Goshen, Indiana area, we will see a change. The sun will come out, and while it will be quite chilly, the threat for precipitation will end as well. We’ll make it all the way to Wisconsin, just across the border from Illinois in Beloit.

DAY THREE (Friday)
High pressure will remain over the Upper Midwest. A warm front may produce some snow showers over southwestern Minnesota, but we will manage to stay north of this swath. We’ll make it to Moorhead, just across the Red River from Fargo, without any real worries.

DAY FOUR (Saturday)
The whole time we spend driving through the eastern US, another monster of a system will be organizing out west. The leading edge of this system will emanate a wave of showers, both rain and snow, that will reach the eastern Dakotas by the time we get going on Saturday. We’ll see a bit of a mix from Fargo to Bismarck, with some clearing over the western part of the state into Montana. There will be some clouds, but more importantly, it will be unseasonably warm. We’ll stop in Saunders, Montana, in the eastern part of the state.

DAY FIVE (Sunday)
The low will continue to churn in the Great Basin, and it will come to bear in the northern Rockies. We will encounter the first bouts of snow between Butte and Missoula, and from Missoula to Stull, just across the state line into Idaho, we will really get slammed. This looks like the type of snow that could lead to a road closure, particularly in the twisting terrain of the northern Rockies. Precipitation will be very heavy, and winds will be picking up through the valleys. Let’s try to make it to Stull, and hope that Monday will be better.

DAY SIX (Monday)
Low pressure over the Olympic Peninsula will help usher the heavy snow out of the Idaho Chimney. Not all of it, but some. There will be a few flakes through Couer d’Alene, but in the Cascade rain shadow, we will enjoy our last bit of dry pavement. In the Cascades, light surface precipitation will be preceded by some heavier snow in the mountains. Ah, well, it will be cloudy with some light rain in Mount Vernon. It’s not the Puget Sound without a little bit of dinginess?

Mount Vernon, Washington

Time to head to the West Coast for once. I’m not used to this!

At 815PM, PT, Mount Vernon was reporting overcast skies with a temperature of  degrees. The overcast was persistent on the eastern side of Puget Sound, but there was some clearing on the Olympic Peninsula. A mostly stationary front lies over central Washington, with some precipitation coming to the Cascades. The westerlies fueling this precipitation are also responsible for the overcast in the area.
The upper level support for this boundary is going to retreat towards the Plains, so flow across the mountains will be much weaker, and rain will end in Washington. The flow will continue to produce some mid layer clouds around Puget Sound, however, as low level moisture continues to lazily fill in, though the break may lead to some cooler morning lows.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 43, Low 30
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy, High 43, Low 22

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 44, Low 30
Wednesday – Sunny skies. High 44, Low 26

AW: Tomorrow – Clouds breaking for some sun High 44, Low 29
Wednesday – Mostly sunny and chilly High 43, Low 24

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 46, Low 30
Wednesday – Sunny, High 45, Low 26

WB: Tomorrow – Breezy. Mostly sunny. High 44, Low 32
Wednesday – Breezy, Sunny. High 43, Low 28

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 46, Low 34
Wednesday – Sunny,  High 46, Low 27

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy until morning.High 44, Low 29
Wednesday – Clear throughout the day. High 39, Low 23

I have things significantly cloudier than the rest, but we are all on board with the same temperatures. Here is the satellite, showing clearer conditions over the Olympic Peninsula.

Mount Vernon, Washington to Pascagoula, Mississippi

This time last year, I was heading out on a road trip of my own that took me to Macon Georgia, then on to Fort Myers, Florida and back again. This trip will take 5 days and will be through 2848 miles of country that we don’t often slice through. Without a nice long stretch of road to spend a big chunk of time on, our pace will be around 67.3mph. The first 4 days will be through after 538.6 miles, while Sunday will be a little bit more strenuous. All right, let’s resolve to get through this mighty road trip!

DAY ONE
Mount Vernon
The western US is starting the year are right. As soon as we clear the Cascades, we won’t have a cloud in the sky over Washington Oregon or the sliver of Idaho we will find ourselves in. The temperatures will even be comfortable for most of the trip, but it will definitely start to cool off in as we arrive in Caldwell, Idaho, the destination for Wednesday evening.

DAY TWO
It’s fairly incredible how nice things will be for the first two days of our trip, given how active the pattern has been almost everywhere in the country lately. Don’t expect any major problems as we finish the drive in Idaho and move on to Utah and Wyoming. Temperatures will start to get a little cooler, but even as we arrive in Bitter Creek, Wyoming for the night, we won’t see any real weather worries.

DAY THREE
Friday will take us through Cheyenne and Denver and out of the mountains and into the Plains. So much plains. So little weather though .High pressure will continue to reign, and we won’t need to contend with any tricky spots of weather. There might be some breezy weather around the Colorado high plains, but nothing beyond that on the way into Mingo, Kansas, which is going to be just shy of an hour inside the border from Colorado.

DAY FOUR
A weak clipper moving through the upper Midwest won’t generate any precipitation, but the chance for some breezy conditions between Wichita and Tulsa, followed by some cooler temperatures, particularly compared to what they would normally expect in eastern Oklahoma. We will continue south to McAlester, Oklahoma before calling it a night.

DAY FIVE
A cold front, in fact the same one lying along the Gulf coast right now, will have only drifted into the Gulf by the time we arrive. This is part of the reason why the entire pattern has stalled under high pressure for the route to this point, and why the clipper I mentioned on Day 4 was inactive. For the Lower Mississippi Valley, the direct result of the front lying off the coast is a brisk northerly flow that will keep things sunny when we reach Pascagoula, but not quite beach weather.
Pascagoula

Mount Vernon, Washington to Hartford, Connecticut

Surprise! I was doing a little bit of house keeping, and I realized that I should have included this behemoth road trip in the schedule last Saturday. Oops! So instead, here we go with a 6 day, cross country trip, covering 2996 miles. Our average speed will be 65mph, which will be beneficial for a lengthy trek like this. This means 521.8 miles a day, which will be most helpful. Let’s rock and roll!

DAY ONE

A cold front over the northern Pacific is approaching the Washington coast, and will make its landfall along the Olympic Peninsula in the early morning hours tomorrow. As luck would have it, the associated rainfall probably won’t stretch across Puget Sound by the time we turn right and make our way over the Cascades, but I would have to guess that there will still be low clouds and some light rain along I-5 through Seattle. After we get east of Snoqualmie Pass, the rest of the drive to Missoula, the day’s endpoint, will be dry and mostly sunny.

DAY TWO
Montana is a large state, and we won’t be leaving it on Saturday. The day will take us from Missoula, where there might be a stray shower, or even a snowflake in the peaks around town as we leave. The threat will be over by the time we reach Butte, however, and we will have the High Plains to contemplate our existence on this vast planet. We will end the day in Broadus in rural southeastern Montana.

DAY THREE
An area of low pressure developing over the Front Range will move into the Great Lakes. This is going to remain east of our route, but it will begin to pull some cooler air south into South Dakota as we pass through the Rushmore State. It may be a bit cool in Beaver Creek, Minnesota, just across the South Dakota border, when we arrive, but I’m not worried about any rain.

DAY FOUR
Another dry day is in store as we head through the Upper Midwest. The biggest problem with today will be the toll roads in Chicago, which are surprisingly expensive, frankly. The day will end around Hoffman Estates in the Chicago suburbs with some serious jacket weather, but no rain. All of that will have shifted into Canada by this point.

DAY FIVE
There is a tendril of moisture emerging into the Great Lakes in the long range models. Of course, it’s way too far out to take it seriously as a definitive forecast. This is why I would say there is a chance that this moisture could spill far enough south that some rain showers could fall from South Bend east towards Cleveland as we ride the tollway through northern Indiana and Ohio. Instead of taking the Pennsylvania Turnpike, we actually ride some freeway in Pennsylvania, and spend the night on Tuesday in Day, PA, which rhymes, and is near Clarion.

DAY SIX
High pressure will be parked over the Mid Atlantic and southern New England as we finish this mega-trip. I can’t say it will be hot when we arrive in Hartford, but it will certainly be tolerable and sunny. Not bad after 6 long days in the car!