Tag Archives: Milwaukee

Hot and Steamy

No, that’s not the description being used for a certain best-selling book going around these days. It does accurately describe the weather in Milwaukee the last couple days. The temperature for Tuesday is skewed upwards a bit since the boundary didn’t shift through until 2am, meaning the high temp for the day happened at 1am. The daytime high only reached 77, a good 9 degrees below the 1am temperature. Wednesday cleared out some after the warm front moved through, sending temperatures skyrocketing into the 90s, well above what some of the forecasts prognosticated. This helped fuel some strong thunderstorms that moved through the area early this morning around 2am. All that being said, the NWS and Weather Channel tied for the top spot.

Tuesday: High 86, Low 71, 0.15″ of rain in early morning thunderstorm. High was at 1am, daytime high was 77.
Wednesday: High 96, Low 69, 0.25″ of rain in morning thunderstorm.
Forecast Grade: B

Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Milwaukee comes from the Algonquin phrase for “The Good Land”, or at least, that’s what Alice Cooper tells me.

At 352PM, CT, Milwaukee was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 98 degrees. Westerly flow was keeping things clear and is preventing Lake Michigan from cooling things off in Milwaukee. There was a weak stationary front to the north that was providing a focal point for showers and storms across southern Wisconsin. Some were developing along the Iowa border already.
The front that is setting up through Wisconsin is associated with a low moving through Ontario. The angle of the front in relation to the low will lead it to move very slowly and become dissociated. Rain and storms will be possible overnight into the early morning tomorrow. A boundary will remain inactive over Milwaukee as a low develops in the lee of the Rockies, sending moisture to interact with the boundary through most of the day Wednesday, which will lead to a fairly stormy day. The clouds and the boundary pivoting south will lead to a cool down through mid week.
Tomorrow – Morning rain, becoming mostly cloudy, High 84, Low 75
Wednesday – Showers and storms in the evening, High 88, Low 69

TWC: Tomorrow – Isolated T-Storms High 83, Low 72
Wednesday – Scattered T-Storms High 94, Low 70

AW: Tomorrow – Times of clouds and sun with a shower or thunderstorm around High 84, Low 74
Wednesday – Times of clouds and sun with a shower or thunderstorm around; humid High 86, Low 69

NWS: Tomorrow – A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy High 84, Low 73
Wednesday – A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. High 93, Low 71

WB: Tomorrow – Not as warm. Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. High 79, Low 73
Wednesday – Hot and humid. Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. High 84, Low 73

Looks like we can break the heat this week in Milwaukee. I prefer the weather to be really warm, otherwise I would say it’s good news. Radar shows a few showers to the west.

Um…. oops?

A compendium of forecasts for Milwaukee, that were to verify yesterday.:
V-W: Warmer, with some light drizzle late
The Weather Channel: Partly cloudy
Accuweather: Mainly cloudy with a shower
National Weather Service: A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny
Weatherbug: Partly sunny. Slight chance of light rain showers in the morning…then chance of light rain showers in the afternoon
Now, what was happening at 936 last evening in Milwaukee:
Thunderstorms, with winds gusting over 40mph. So yeah, sorry for understating that one. The Weather Service ended up with the top forecast.
Actuals: Saturday – High 61, Low 38
Sunday – .30 inches of rain in heavy thunderstorms High 66, Low 38

Grade: B

Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Had the Brewers won the National League Championship, this forecast would cover the World Series. Alas, it is not the case. Of course, the games that are going to fall within the forecast period would be in Texas anyways. So never mind, I guess.

At 452PM, CT, Milwaukee was reporting a temperature of 55 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. A very deep area of low pressure over eastern Canada continues to generate a shield of clouds over Canada, though they are pulling away into Canada.
The pattern is weak and found well to the north of Wisconsin. An inactive trough will slide through tonight, but the next round of potentially interesting weather will come late on Sunday, as a weak warm front will arrive in Milwaukee. There isn’t going to be a lot of moisture with the system, as there isn’t much vorticity with this low, and thus not much entrained air. Still, clouds and a little bit of drizzle are possible to end the weekend.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 58, Low 41
Sunday – Warmer, with some light drizzle late, High 63, Low 43

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny. High 62, Low 35
Sunday – Partly cloudy High 64, Low 40

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 56, Low 39
Sunday – Mainly cloudy with a shower High 63, Low 44

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 63, Low 37
Sunday – A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny High 63, Low 42

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny. Patchy frost in the morning. High 60, Low 38
Sunday – Partly sunny. Slight chance of light rain showers in the morning…then chance of light rain showers in the afternoon. High 62, Low 46

A somewhat varying set pf fprecasts for Milwaukee. Here is the satellite. Note the sludge still sitting over the LP of Michigan.

I definitely screwed something up

First, in the process of creating the forecast for Milwaukee, I transcribed the forecast from Weatherbug incorrectly. It was about 15 degrees off on the Friday high for everyone else. Of course, the forecast was flat out wrong for everyone else anyways. Clouds and some pretty substantial cold advection knocked temperatures down to the low 30s for a high Friday and in the 40s on Saturday. Of the forecasters that ended up getting their appropriate forecasts in, the best was Victoria-Weather and the Weather Channel. But it was nothing to be proud of.
Actuals: Friday, High 33, Low 27
Saturday – High 42, Low 29

Grade: D

Milwaukee, Wisconsin

We’re forecasting today in Wisconsin’s largest city. But can anyone find a beer?

At 1252PM, ET, Milwaukee was reporting cloudy skies and gusty winds to about 35mph. A strong area of low pressure has developed rather rapidly over the center of the country, and wrap around moisture had found its way as far north as the south side of Chicago, with the mid and high clouds extending into southeastern Wisconsin. The pressure with this low was such that strong winds were being seen all around the low pressure center.
If there is any good news, it is that the rain should stay south of Chicago as the system continues to wind to the east, bound by a polar front to the north that has brought about the chilly air in Milwaukee and will prevent the low from moving to the north. The upper level pattern is very shortwaved, which indicates rapid eastward propagation. Expect a quick warm up for Saturday, followed by some late showers Saturday night, though they will not be heavy as the next system sets up a warm front across central Wisconsin.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 40, Low 22
Saturday – Increasing clouds with an isolated late night shower, High 50, Low 32

TWC: Tomorrow – Mainly sunny.High 41, Low 23
Saturday – Mostly Cloudy. High 53, Low 31

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 42, Low 21
Saturday – Increasing cloudiness (late rain) High 49, Low 31

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 43,L ow 23
Saturday – Mostly sunny (rain after 8pm), High 54, Low 32

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny High 59, Low 28
Saturday – Partly sunny. High 51, Low 32

A look at the satellite shows an impressive looking system over the center of the country. That is a Spring system if ever there was one.