Tag Archives: Lexington

Lexington, Kentucky

Today we head off to Lexington, KY, which is where I was around 9 months ago watching one of my best friends get married! Weather was perfect that weekend, will this one be just as nice? Let’s find out!

At 1154pm EDT, the temperature at Lexington, KY was 72 degrees with light rain falling. The Lexington area is caught between a large high pressure area over the Northeast and a strengthening low pressure over the Northern Plains. This pattern has opened up the Gulf to abundant moisture streaming northward through the MS River Valley. There’s a weak mid-level disturbance sitting over the OH Valley as well, and this will help enhance scattered to widespread shower and thunderstorm activity throughout the afternoon and evening hours. Not much will change into Sunday other than the pattern shifting a bit to the east. That won’t help the Lexington area stay dry, however, as broad southwesterly flow continues directly over the area. Once again, scattered showers and thunderstorms will kick up for the afternoon hours. Storms shouldn’t be severe, but you can expect some brief torrential downpours should they move overhead. It’ll be a couple active days around the area!

Saturday: Widespread showers and thunderstorms. High 81, Low 69.
Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 86, Low 69.

TWC: Saturday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 81, Low 68.
Sunday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 87, Low 70.

AW: Saturday: An afternoon thunderstorm. High 84, Low 68.
Sunday: A couple of thunderstorms. High 87, Low 68.

NWS: Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. High 82, Low 69.
Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 84, Low 68.

WB: Saturday: Thunderstorms. High 82, Low 70.
Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 84, Low 68.

WN: Saturday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. High 82, Low 68.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with scattered storms. High 84, Low 66.

Here we see some light rain showers shifting north through the Lexington area. This activity will be a lot more widespread during the afternoons over the weekend!
LEXrad

Asleep at the switch

I said in the forecast for Lexington that Accuweather must have been in a dream world, as their forecast was very warm, given how rainy and cloudy it appeared like it would be. Sure enough, the high temperatures proffered by AW missed by about 10 degrees. The rest of us were too warm as well, as the rainy days in Lexington meant temperatures that couldn’t get out of the 60s. The Weather Service had the best forecast, but it wasn’t great.
Actuals: Sunday – .97 inches of rain, High 64, Low 58
Monday – .04 inches of rain, High 69, Low 58

Grade C

Lexington, Kentucky

Headed to the Bluegrass State for our Saturday afternoon forecast. Will they get a blue sky forecast?

At 454PM, ET, Lexington was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 78 degrees. A stalled boundary that lied east-west lay between Berea and London and was triggering some strong to severe thunderstorms along I-75, including one passing as close as through Richmond, though the heaviest activity was being seen further south, from Corbin to points southwest. Dew points along the boundary were pooling and a couple degrees higher, though it was apparent that the front was acting as a barrier between moisture regimes, as sites along the Ohio River were much drier than those along the Tennessee border.
The strong jet will shift out of the country, taking with it any remnant of the cold front that had swept through and keeping the country in a very quiet regime at the upper levels. There is a weak wave with almost no flow through it over the Rockies that will slowly drift into the Tennessee Valley. At the surface, there will be little to no reflection, however it’s influence in upper levels of the atmosphere will be enough to generate fairly widespread thunderstorms throughout Kentucky each of the next two days, however the heaviest rains will come early on Monday.
Tomorrow – Isolated showers and thunderstorms, High 73, Low 59
Monday – Showers and storms more widespread, High 74, Low 62

TWC: Tomorrow – Showers and scattered thunderstorms High 74, Low 59
Monday – Morning showers, possibly a rumble of thunder High 73, Low 62

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a shower or thunderstorm around High 78, Low 59
Monday – Mostly cloudy and breezy with showers and thunderstorms High 77, Low 61

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, High 73, Low 58
Monday – Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy High 72, Low 60

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms until midday…then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. High 75, Low 58
Monday – Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. High 74, Low 60

I don’t know what kind of dream world Accuweather is off in, but it must be warm. Here is the radar, looking deliciously summer like.