Tag Archives: Kalamazoo

Kalamazoo, Michigan

And we are off. Another forecast, this one for the southwestern corner of Lower Michigan. What kind of weather is headed towards the Great Lakes?

At 1053PM, ET, Kalamazoo was reporting a temperature of 79 degrees with clear skies. There were showers and thunderstorms across southeastern Wisconsin, moving into Lake Michigan. Ahead of the boundary, most of Michigan is clear and warm, but this system has a history of producing a great deal of rain as it has moved through the Upper Midwest.
The boundary will move through the region during the early part of tomorrow, with showers and thunderstorms lasting no later than the early afternoon. Clearing skies and a more comfortable air mass will be in place to begin the weekend.
Tomorrow – Rain in the morning, then much more pleasant, High 86, Low 65
Saturday – Sunny, High 81, Low 62

TWC: Tomorrow – A widely scattered shower or thunderstorm is possible early. Then cloudy skies through the afternoon hours. A few storms may be severe. high 84, Low  68
Saturday – Sunshine and clouds mixed High 82, Low 62

AW: Tomorrow – Intervals of clouds and sun with a shower or thunderstorm around; humid High 84, Low 68
Saturday – Mostly sunny and nice High 81, Low 61

NWS: Tomorrow – A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 8am and 2pm. Mostly cloudy, High 87, Low 66
Saturday  – Mostly sunny, High 81, Low 61

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy until midday, then clearing High 83, Low 68
Saturday  – Mostly sunny, High 79, Low 62

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with isolated storms, High 88, Low 64
Saturday – Partly cloudy, High 81, Low 61

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain until afternoon. High 85, Low 67
Saturday – Partly cloudy in the morning. High 83, Low 58

Some storms will move across Lake Michigan overnight, resulting in tomorrow afternoon, as well as Saturday being pretty nice. Here are those storms on rada.

Kalamazoo

Craziness in Kalamazoo

The forecasts figured it was going to be a crazy couple of days in western Michigan, with freezing rain and light snow giving way to heavy rains as a strong area of low pressure shifted through Kalamazoo. However, they didn’t figure on temperatures warming up nearly as much as they did as the rain moved in, causing forecasts to lie in ruins temperature-wise at the end. Weatherbug “won”, if you want to call it that.

Saturday: 0.10″ in freezing rain, rain, and snow. High 49, Low 24.
Sunday: 1.20″ of rain. High 53, Low 47.
Forecast Grade: C

Kalamazoo, Michigan

Another part of the world that has seen copious amounts of snow lately is western Michigan. IS Kalamazoo ready for a recovery?

At 1253PM, ET, Kalamazoo was reporting a temperature of 25 degrees. Winds were from the south, effectively cutting off the lake effect machine, while also allowing for some melt through the afternoon today. Flow aloft through the region is mostly zonal, however a weak wave around Hudson Bay will work to draw energy northward and an upper level trough moving into the southern High Plains will play a role in the weather this weekend in Kalamazoo.
The snowpack will slow the warm up, even as warmer moist air will override the region tomorrow morning. Though precipitation will be fairly light, it will likely prove to be significantly impactful, falling as freezing rain through about noon. After the region is freshly glazed, expect light rain to continue through the afternoon, hopefully leading to a little bit of melt. Meanwhile, in the Lower Mississippi Valley, heavy rain will be developing as the sharper upper level trough folds into a developing, broader upper level trough. The activity will begin to move swiftly north into what by Sunday afternoon should be a warm armosphere over western Michigan. By evening, expect very heavy rain, featuring a few thunderstorms as well. The biggest threat out of this storm will be wind as the parent low will track directly over western Michigan. The SPC doesn’t have a risk for thunderstorms in the region quite yet, however it appears as though Kalamazoo may see some significant weather Sunday night.
Tomorrow – Freezing drizzle in the morning, turning to light rain, High 39, Low 22
Sunday – Significantly warmer, with rain in the morning, becoming heavy late, with some thunderstorms and gusty winds. High 49, Low 36

TWC: Tomorrow – Showers (freezing drizzle early) High 42, Low 19
Sunday – Rain, High 47, Low 40

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a little rain (freezing Rain early) High 44, Low 19
Sunday – Intermittent rain, becoming steadier; areas of fog in the morning High 49, Low 41

NWS: Tomorrow – Rain or freezing rain, becoming all rain after 7am. High 43, Low 20
Sunday – Rain. High 50, Low 42

WB: Tomorrow – Rain…possibly mixed with freezing rain until midday… Then light rain showers likely in the afternoon. High 45, Low 20
Sunday – Rain, High 52, Low 42

WN: Tomorrow – Cloudy with Rain High 43, Low 27
Sunday – Cloudy with Rain High 50, Low 41

WeatherNation’s impossible to figure out hourly/36 hour forecast information will screw them over. Here is the satellite, which shows clear skies for now. Enjoy it, Kalamazoo!
Kalamazoo

Unmet Expectations

It seemed like we were in for a pretty easy forecast in Kalamazoo as we headed into the weekend. It didn’t quite work out exactly as we had hoped, however. Temperature on Saturday were the primary culprit, with highs falling about 3 degrees short of the consensus high forecast. If there was any good news, it was that the lows were about 5 degrees warmer than average. I guess that’s not that great of news, now that I think about it. Accuweather avoided the pitfalls of this forecast a little bit more efficiently than their competitors, and despite some flaws had the top forecast in Lower Michigan.
Actuals: Friday – High 70, Low 45
Saturday – High 72, Low 50

Grade: B

Kalamazoo, Michigan

Back on the forecast bandwagon this afternoon. We’re headed to the Lower Peninsula for a good time today.

At 553PM, ET, Kalamazoo was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 64 degrees. Finally, a ridge is developing over the Great Lakes and is doing an excellent job of suppressing moist air from emerging from the south.
The upper level ridge is leading to atmospheric warming, but a northwesterly flow off of Lake Michigan should prevent temperatures from reaching uncomfortable levels. Thunderstorms will ride the south end of the ridge and continue to bring enormous hail like they have been seeing this afternoon in Pennsylvania, but will Michigan will see a fantastic beginning to the holiday weekend.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 68, Low 46
Saturday – Sunny, High 75, Low 45

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 69, Low 47
Saturday – Mostly Sunny, High 75, Low 46

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 70, Low 46
Saturday – Sunny much of the time and pleasantly warm High 75, Low 45

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 68, Low 49
Saturday – Sunny High 75, Low 45

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 70, Low 45
Saturday – Sunny High 76, Low 44

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 68, Low 48
Saturday – Mostly Sunny High 75, Low 45

Looking good, Kalamazoo. Check out the massive complex in the front range from New Mexico and Texas to Colorado.
Kalamazoo

Mostly sunny and nice

That was the forecast for Kalamazoo from Accuweather for the past two days. It was a little bit editorialized for my taste, but it got the point across. There was sun, temperatures didn’t climb above the low 70s. Accuweather’s wordy forecast turned out to be the best, and they earned top marks for the western Michigan forecast.
Actuals: Thursday – High 73, Low 40
Friday – High 73, Low 39

Grade: B

Kalamazoo, Michigan

I recently stopped at the Meijer in Kalamazoo on my way home from Niagara Falls, I also got gas and at Arby’s there. Great time in Kalamazoo.

At 1253AM, ET< Kalamazoo was reporting a temperature of 66 degrees with sunny skies. High pressure has inserted itself into the eastern third of the United States, building west to the Great Lakes and Mississippi Valley. A deep trough over the Rockies was giving the impression of a front through the Upper Midwest, but little threat is expected from this system. High pressure will remain entrenched across Michigan, even as an area of low pressure glides NNE from the 4 Corners to the Upper Midwest over the next 48hours, and the remnants of Karen attempt to retrograde into the mid-Atlantic. Expect sunny, enjoyable autumnal conditions through the next two days. Tomorrow - Sunny, High 70, Low 46 Friday - Sunny, High 73, Low 47 TWC: Tomorrow - Sunny High 71, Low 44 Friday - Sunny High 73, Low 44 AW: Tomorrow - Mostly sunny and nice High 73, Low 43 Friday - Mostly sunny and nice High 73, Low 45 NWS: Tomorrow - Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, sunny, High 73, Low 44 Friday - Sunny High 73, Low 47 WB: Tomorrow - Sunny High 73, Low 44 Friday - Sunny High 73, Low 47 Not a bad week to be in Michigan, is it? Kalamazoo

Kalamazoo, Michigan to Flagstaff, Arizona

We are on the road again. If you plan on taking this trip, I would guess that you are off to visit the Grand Canyon with the family for a summer vacation. It’s a three day drive from Michigan to Arizona, if you don’t have to make a lot of stops. In general, we should manage 66.5mph over 177 miles. Days one and two will be through after 532 miles of driving, leaving the last step a bit longer than the first two. Turn on those back seat DVD players for the kids, because we are on our way to Flagstaff!

DAY ONE

When we leave Kalamazoo, it will be warm, increasingly humid and sunny. Through the day, rain and a few thunderstorms will move into Michigan as a weak area of low pressure comes sliding in, but by that point, we will be headed south of there, on our way to Missouri. It will be hot, steamy and sunny the whole way down. In Missouri, with a bit of vegetation, it’s going to be very humid. The night will be marked by fitful sleep in the sticky conditions of Jerome, Missouri, right between Fort Leonard Wood and Rolla.

DAY TWO
More hot weather, more humidity, and our drive on Friday won’t be long enough to reach the dry line, so it should still be steamy. It’s going to be hot and dusty as we head west through Oklahoma City and eventually on to Texola, which is on the border with Texas.

DAY THREE
The monsoon over the Rockies has been getting going after about 4 or 5 PM, and is going to set up along our route over New Mexico. We should be well into Arizona before the storms start popping on Saturday. The change in elevation and drop in humidity will make life a lot more bearable as we arrive in Flagstaff.

So Springlike

The issue with spring and autumn is that the dynamics are such that massive systems can really affect temperatures, and if you’re near enough to one of these systems advecting great deals of disparate air masses, you are likely going to bust pretty dramatically with the temperatures. Such was the case in Kalamazoo, which was on the northern edge of the system that has brought severe weather to the southeast and Ohio Valley the past couple of days. We all tried our best estimate at temperature forecasts, but as it turned out, we all expected too much temperature variation on Sunday, and the cool down on Monday was several degrees cooler than anticipated. Curiously, instead of snow, Kalamazoo reported some freezing rain at the back end of the system, an unusual sight away from a warm or stationary front, but no snow as some of us anticipated. The top forecast for this disaster belonged to Victoria-Weather, but it isn’t exactly a point of pride.
Actuals: Sunday – Rain observed but not measured, High 37, Low 32
Monday – Rain and freezing rain observed, but not measured, High 34, Low 21

Grade: D

Kalamazoo, Michigan

I feel like any aspirations Kalamazoo may have had in it’s existence were severely hampered by the fact that it is named Kalamazoo.

At 553PM, ET, Kalamazoo was reporting a temperature of 30 degrees with light snow. A weak surface wave was rippling through the Great Lakes and dumping a bit of snow on Lower Michigan, though the heaviest of the activity was found just off to the north, from Muskegon and Grand Rapids to Flint. This trough is a short waved surface trough, and will move very quickly out of Michigan.
Tomorrow morning, resultant westerly flow will mean a continued threat for some flurries and clouds, through there should be some clearing by midday, as the flow becomes more easterly as a strong system begins to take shape over the southern Plains. There is actually a chance for some showers later in the day for Kalamazoo tomorrow with a push of warm air from the system in the Plains, however that rain will turn to heavy, wet snow by Monday morning as the fast moving system slides off towards New England. The good thing about the intensity of this system is that it will import dry, if cold air quickly, and there is a good shot at sunshine by the end of the day Monday.
Tomorrow – Morning flurries, then late showers, High 40, Low 26
Monday – Wintry mix early, changing to snow, then sun in the afternoon, High 39, Low 29

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy (showers late), High 43, Low 26
Monday – A few morning showers. High 40, Low 38

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy (early snow, late rain) High 40, Low 21
Monday – Breezy with rain, then snow late in the day High 41, Low 28

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of rain after 1pm. Mostly cloudy (Snow before 1AM) High 40, Low 24
Monday – Rain and snow showers likely before 1pm, then a chance of snow showers. Some thunder is also possible. Cloudy high 40, Low 29

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of light rain in the afternoon (AM snow). High 40, Low 24
Monday – Rain and snow showers likely until midday…then a chance of light snow in the afternoon High 40, Low 35

Right now the radar only shows that surface trough and the snow it is bringing to town. Monday morning’s radar is likely to be more interesting.