Sorry for the late posting, holidays will kinda do that to you! But no worries, I haven’t forgotten about the fair people of Lower Michigan!
At 11:56PM EDT, the temperature in Jackson, Michigan was 52 degrees under overcast skies. While conditions are benign right now, that will radically change over the next 48 hours. An upper-level trough is digging in over the Western US right now and will push over the Plains by Monday evening. Over the last couple of days, there has been a stalled out boundary from the Northeast through the Ohio and Mid-MS Valleys trailing back to the Southern Plains where a broad low-pressure system is located. With the upper-level trough acting to intensify this low pressure system in the Plains, it will also finally start to push it towards the northeast, after days of lingering over the Central US. The warm front will lift towards southern Michigan during the day Monday, with rain and scattered thunderstorms sliding along north of it. Some heavy rains are possible as storms are expected to train along the front through the early morning hours of Tuesday. The low pressure will shift over WI/IL by afternoon and begin to occlude, with some scattered strong thunderstorms possible in the afternoon as the triple point passes through the Great Lakes. Conditions will dry out some on Tuesday evening into early Wednesday, but don’t relax just yet. More showers and storms are possible for midweek as another low pressure lifts into the region. No rest for the weary!
Monday: Rain increases in afternoon, thunderstorms possible. High 57, Low 46.
Tuesday: Heavy rain possible early morning, a few scattered stronger thunderstorms. High 70, Low 48.
TWC: Monday: Rain expected, possible thunder. High 56, Low 47.
Tuesday: Scattered strong thunderstorms. Windy. High 65, Low 51.
AW: Monday: Rain. High 59, Low 45.
Tuesday: Thunderstorms and windy, but warmer. High 69, Low 48.
NWS: Monday: Thunderstorms possible. High 57, Low 40.
Tuesday: Thunderstorms, heavy rain possible. High 69, Low 50.
WB: Monday: Thunderstorms expected. High 57, Low 44.
Tuesday: Thunderstorms, heavy rain anticipated. High 69, Low 50.
Here we see the heavier thunderstorms over the Southern Plains. How far north will these push over the next couple days?