Tag Archives: Fort Wayne

Summer time warm up

Fort Wayne was expected to sit on the northern edge of a ridge of high pressure the last two days, and they did. The issue for many forecasters was that they were on the southern edge of that ridge, which meant they were at the same time warmer than most forecasts called for on Tuesday, but also drier on Wednesday. Forecast.io ended up with the top forecast, thanks in large part to their warm Tuesday forecast. Two in a row for the robots!
Actuals: Tuesday – .27 inches in rain, High 80, Low 54
Wednesday – High 83, Low 52

Grade: B-D

Raleigh, North Carolina to Fort Wayne, Indiana

Travelling again! We’re going to be headed from the Carolinas to Indiana, which is a deceptively quick drive. We’re actually going to cover the ground in one long day, averaging about 60mph as we cover the 637 miles over more than 10 hours. What mysteries will the open road have for us today?


raleigh
High pressure remaines in charge for a good deal of the southeastern US, however there is also a swath of lingering moisture in the southern Great Lakes. It will be translated eastward, towards the Appalachians. There will be a chance for some light rain over southern West Virginia as the moisture intercepts the mountains, from Bluefield right on through Charleston. There ll be a break in he action in southwest Ohio, but there will be heavier rain and thunderstorms with the main batch of precipitation from Sidney, Ohio the rest of the way to Fort Wayne. It won’t be persistent, and actually, the bulk of the rain will be north of Fort Wayne. We can definitely handle this.
Fort Wayne

Fort Wayne, Indiana

Wow! Another forecast! This is overwhelming!

At 1254AM, ET, Fort Wayne was reporting a temperature of 60 degrees with overcast skies. The region was nearly done with precipitation, but a band of showers extended from Muncie to Lafayette, helping to allow for higher dew points across the region, and ultimately will lead to some fog overnight tonight.
There is an area of high pressure over the southeastern US, and the moisture across the region, remnant from a system in the north Atlantic, is being pinned across the region. Despite a ridge access slicing through northern Indiana at essentially all levels, the pressure gradient will help to generate some lift across the region and persistent shower activity will be possible. A broad and strong upper level trough moving out of the Rockies will help usher a southerly flow into the region. This will dissipate the heaviest rain showers, but mostly cloudy skies and some drizzle will remain possible on Wednesday.
Tomorrow – Rain possible, High 74, Low 59
Wednesday – Mostly cloudy, light rain, High 78, Low 58

TWC: Tomorrow – Rain/Thunder: High 77, Low 59
Wednesday – PM Thunderstorms, High 81, Low 55

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm High 69, Low 57
Wednesday – Intervals of clouds and sun with a passing shower; warmer High 80, Low 54

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Cloud High 74, Low 58
Wednesday – Partly sunny, HIgh 78, Low 56

WB: Tomorrow – Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms through early afternoon…Then chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon High 74, Low 58
Wednesday – Partly cloudy. High 79, Low 56

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy with Thunderstorms Likely High 75, Low 57
Wednesday – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms High 79, Low 57

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain throughout the day. High 81, Low 57
Wednesday – Light rain starting in the afternoon, continuing until evening.High 82, Low 56

A look at the radar shows a little splash of lingering shower activity in northern Indiana tonight. It just doesn’t want to leave.
Fort Wayne

A perfect start to a holiday weekend

Fort Wayne was the place to be this weekend. Sunny skies and temperatures that warmed up above forecast highs, but not to the point that it was completely unbearable. Just a great couple of days for grilling and yard games and jumping in a pool. I might be glowing about the weather because Victoria-Weather so easily dominated the competition. Maybe.
Actuals: Saturday, High 77, Loe 46
Sunday – High 83, Low 53

Grade: A

Fort Wayne, Indiana

Great Lakes week continues here at Victoria-Weather with a trip to the Hoosier State.

At 154PM, ET, Fort Wayne was reporting a temperature of 66 degrees with mostly sunny skies. Thunderstorms have shifted south towards the Carolinas as the cold front that has caused problems in Indiana in recent days is being forced out by emerging high pressure.
There is a high amplitude ridge that is going to be parked over the Great Lakes over the next few days, with surface forcing contributing to a lee trough that has been hanging out of the Front Range. The upper level feature will be stronger than the mechanically induced surface wave. As a result, convection, no matter how strong it appears, will be kept over the Plains, leaving Fort Wayne to enjoy a sunny and warm Memorial Day weekend
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 76, Low 46
Sunday – Sunny, High 81, Low 53

TWC: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny High 75, Low 47
Sunday – Mostly Sunny High 80, Low 53

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and beautiful High 76, Low 47
Sunday – Beautiful with plenty of sunshine High 81, Low 52

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 76, Low 47
Sunday – Sunny High 81, Low 51

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 76, Low 47
Sunday – Mostly sunny High 81, Low 51

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 75, Low 46
Sunday – Mostly sunny High 81, Low 52

I guess we aren’t in for too many surprises in Fort Wayne. Everyone is following the same script. The most turbulent part of the country remains the southern Plains.
Fort Wayne

Panama City, Florida to Fort Wayne, Indiana

This is a very similar route to yesterday’s trip, but in reverse. How different will the weather be? The timing will certainly be different. The drive is about 2 days, with the second day a couple hours shorter. We will cover 874 miles at a pace of 60.9mph. That means that longer first day will cover 487 miles. Back to the Great Lakes we go!

DAY ONE

There is a weak area of low pressure off the southeastern tip of Louisiana that will develop tomorrow and help produce some southerly flow over the Florida Panhandle, which will introduce some low level moisture to beachgoers in Panama City. Any clouds, drizzle or fog will be short lived, likely clearing out as we cross into Alabama. A dissipating front will be breathing its last gasps over northern Alabama as we drive through later in the day. There may be a few showers in from Birmingham north through Huntsville, right up to the Tennessee border. Things will be clearing out as we move closer to Nashville, and eventually Ridgetop, Tennessee, which is just north of the Music City.

DAY TWO
Another round of unsettled weather is moving into the Upper Midwest overnight overnight Thursday. It will occlude with a warm front developing south of us, and the occluded front stalling in Illinois. We will see developing clouds on the western horizon through our drive in Indiana, but they will never reach Fort Wayne. OK, that’s not 100% true. They will arrive in Fort Wayne, just well after we do.

Fort Wayne, Indiana to Bridgeport, Connecticut

Did you know that you can get to Connecticut from Indiana in a mere day and a half? Fort Wayne and Bridgeport are only 706 miles apart, and because of the route taken, you would just have to drive a little over 59mph, in an attempt to cover 474 miles on that first day. Let’s forecast that trip, shall we?

DAY ONE

Expect things to be hot when we begin the day and throughout the drive through Ohio. There will be some respite from our drive through the Appalachians, where the weather will be cooler with a few clouds being kicked up by the elevation and associated moisture. We will end the day before coming out of the high country, spending the night in Buckhorn/Bloomsburg, Pennsylvania. I don’t know the exact mailing address, and they are both at the same exit.

DAY TWO
There is a cold front approaching the coast on Friday. Never fear, however, as we will beat it to Bridgeport, which means no hassles through New York City because of the weather, which is really all I can promise. Expect a hot sticky arrival in Bridgeport, with some rain on the way later.

Just under the wire

Showers and thunderstorms rolled into Fort Wayne… officially at 1130 on Tuesday, just before the day turned to Wednesday, throwing everyone’s forecast off. It came down to temperatures then, as everyone predicted the rain on Wednesday. Anthony nailed the forecast on Tuesday in ters of temperatures, but the Weather Channel only got better as temps climbed into the 90s.
Actuals: Tuesday – Thunderstorms reported, not measured, High 83, Low 56
Wednesday – .84 inches of rain in thunderstorms, High 92, Low 68

Grade: C

Fort Wayne, Indiana

Today we have a forecast back in the ol’ Midwest. It’s been a while for me hasn’t it? I wonder if there’s a Danville, Indiana…

At 3:54pm EDT, the temperature at Ft. Wayne, IN was 77 degrees under mostly cloudy skies. These clouds are breaking up pretty quickly, however, and should lead to a rather pleasant night tonight over the region with temperatures dipping into the mid-50s. Heck, that might even be a tad brisk tomorrow morning when you go out to get your papers the way this summer has been going. High pressure over the region is going to keep Northern Indiana dry for the day tomorrow with just a few clouds expected during the day. Tomorrow night, a warm front will start to approach the area as a system develops tonight into tomorrow over the Upper Midwest. Clouds will be on the increase tomorrow night and during the early morning hours on Wednesday, a few showers/thunderstorms are possible ahead of it. Warmer and more humid air will push into the region on Wednesday behind the warm front, making for dew points in the 60s up from their current levels in the low 50s. While Wednesday midday should be on the quiet side, the accompanying cold front is anticipated to swing through during the late evening hours. Showers and thunderstorms look to hit the area during the this time frame, and don’t count out the chance of some of these becoming strong to severe as well. If you happen to have a couple days off coming up, enjoy the Tuesday weather, since Wednesday looks to be a roller-coaster type of day over the Great Lakes region.

Tuesday: Sunny to start, increasing clouds. High 83, Low 55.
Wednesday: Morning showers/isolated tstm, evening thunderstorms more likely. High 87, Low 63.

TWC: Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High 85, Low 56.
Wednesday: Scattered thunderstorms and windy. High 89, Low 64.

AW: Tuesday: Partly sunny. High 80, Low 55.
Wednesday: Warmer with a thunderstorm. High 89, Low 64.

NWS: Tuesday: Sunny. High 83, Low 52.
Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms starting after 2am. High 86, Low 63.

WB: Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High 81, Low 55.
Wednesday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 87, Low 62.

Here we see some scattered clouds over the Great Lakes, but nothing to write home about. Wednesday will see a lot more activity. And in the waaaaaay in the lower right hand corner, we see our first hurricane of the 2011 season, Irene, making it’s way north of Hispaniola.

Bad luck

A small little dash of rain, that’s all it took to throw forecasts off for everyone. Fort Wayne had a trace of rain reported late yesterday. They didn’t even endure whatever caused it long enough to show up in observations, only in rain gauges. Nevertheless, everyone knew about the possibility, but nobody truly took it seriously. The top forecast on this occasion went to Weatherbug who had a fairly exceptional temperature forecast.
Actuals: Sunday – High 85, Low 61
Monday – Trace of rain, High 86, Low 65

Grade B