Just under the wire
Showers and thunderstorms rolled into Fort Wayne... officially at 1130 on Tuesday, just before the day turned to Wednesday, throwing everyone's forecast off. It came down to temperatures then, as everyone predicted the rain on Wednesday. Anthony nailed the forecast on Tuesday in ters of temperatures, but the Weather Channel only got better as temps climbed into the 90s.
Actuals: Tuesday - Thunderstorms reported, not measured, High 83, Low 56
Wednesday - .84 inches of rain in thunderstorms, High 92, Low 68
Grade: C
Fort Wayne, Indiana
Today we have a forecast back in the ol' Midwest. It's been a while for me hasn't it? I wonder if there's a Danville, Indiana...
At 3:54pm EDT, the temperature at Ft. Wayne, IN was 77 degrees under mostly cloudy skies. These clouds are breaking up pretty quickly, however, and should lead to a rather pleasant night tonight over the region with temperatures dipping into the mid-50s. Heck, that might even be a tad brisk tomorrow morning when you go out to get your papers the way this summer has been going. High pressure over the region is going to keep Northern Indiana dry for the day tomorrow with just a few clouds expected during the day. Tomorrow night, a warm front will start to approach the area as a system develops tonight into tomorrow over the Upper Midwest. Clouds will be on the increase tomorrow night and during the early morning hours on Wednesday, a few showers/thunderstorms are possible ahead of it. Warmer and more humid air will push into the region on Wednesday behind the warm front, making for dew points in the 60s up from their current levels in the low 50s. While Wednesday midday should be on the quiet side, the accompanying cold front is anticipated to swing through during the late evening hours. Showers and thunderstorms look to hit the area during the this time frame, and don't count out the chance of some of these becoming strong to severe as well. If you happen to have a couple days off coming up, enjoy the Tuesday weather, since Wednesday looks to be a roller-coaster type of day over the Great Lakes region.
Tuesday: Sunny to start, increasing clouds. High 83, Low 55.
Wednesday: Morning showers/isolated tstm, evening thunderstorms more likely. High 87, Low 63.
TWC: Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High 85, Low 56.
Wednesday: Scattered thunderstorms and windy. High 89, Low 64.
AW: Tuesday: Partly sunny. High 80, Low 55.
Wednesday: Warmer with a thunderstorm. High 89, Low 64.
NWS: Tuesday: Sunny. High 83, Low 52.
Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms starting after 2am. High 86, Low 63.
WB: Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High 81, Low 55.
Wednesday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 87, Low 62.
Here we see some scattered clouds over the Great Lakes, but nothing to write home about. Wednesday will see a lot more activity. And in the waaaaaay in the lower right hand corner, we see our first hurricane of the 2011 season, Irene, making it's way north of Hispaniola.

Bad luck
A small little dash of rain, that's all it took to throw forecasts off for everyone. Fort Wayne had a trace of rain reported late yesterday. They didn't even endure whatever caused it long enough to show up in observations, only in rain gauges. Nevertheless, everyone knew about the possibility, but nobody truly took it seriously. The top forecast on this occasion went to Weatherbug who had a fairly exceptional temperature forecast.
Actuals: Sunday - High 85, Low 61
Monday - Trace of rain, High 86, Low 65
Grade B
Fort Wayne, Indiana to Bismarck, North Dakota
I have lived in Lafayette, Indiana and Minot, North Dakota, but I have no record of either end point on our trip. That said, this two day, 994 mile trip will cover a lot of familiar ground for me. We'll travel at a rate of 61.9mph and we'll split the mileage nearly in half, going 495 miles on the first day.
DAY 1
This is road trippin' weather if you ask me. I'm used to the long drives with temperatures in the 90s, humid with either the windows down or the AC blasting. It's going to be hot through Chicago and parts of southern Wisconsin. Temperatures will begin to cool down with increasing clouds in the center of that state. By the time we reach Eau Claire, we may see some light showers or one of the isolated thunderstorms that will go up in northern Wisconsin, but we won't have much further to go. Menomonie will be the stop Monday night.
DAY TWO
The Tuesday trip may be a little long if we get a thunderstorm overnight in Menomonie, but we shouldn't have issues because of the weather. The drive through Minnesota will be down right enjoyable. It always seems unfair that you have to drive for about three more hours when you hit the North Dakota line to get to Bismarck, but such is life. It will be hot and dry in North Dakota's capital when we arrive.
Fort Wayne, Indiana
No, Fort Wayne is not named after the Batcave
At 1254PM, ET, Fort Wayne was reporting a temperature of 71 degrees with partly cloudy skies. An area of low pressure over central Illinois was generating a band of showers and thunderstorms running from Anderson and Muncie southeast into Ohio south of Dayton. Activity was moving away from Fort Wayne.
An upper level ridge was beginning to move into the southern Great Lakes, which will certainly prevent the development of any strong systems, however that won't prevent the development of a surface trough along the Ohio River. This will lead to some partly to mostly cloudy skies each of the next few days, especially if the surface low is unmotivated to move out of the region. There will probably be some showers and storms in and around the area, but the chance isn't high enough to put them in a forecast for Fort Wayne.
Tomorrow - Partly to mostly cloudy, High 86, Low 60
Monday - Partly cloudy, High 90, Low 64
TWC: Tomorrow - Some clouds in the morning will give way to mainly sunny skies for the afternoon High 86, Low 64
Monday - Mix of sun and clouds. High 89, Low 64
AW: Tomorrow - Partly sunny High 88, Low 63
Monday - Hot and humid with partial sunshine High 91, Low 63
NWS: Tomorrow - Mostly sunny, High 86, Low 64
Monday - Mostly sunny, High 88, Low 65
WB : Tomorrow - Partly cloudy in the morning, then becoming mostly sunny, High 85, Low 64
Monday - Mostly sunny in the morning, becoming partly cloudy, High 87, Low 65
Looks like some decent days, assuming the rain stays away from Indiana the next couple of days. The radar shows rain in east central Indiana.


