Tag Archives: El Paso

Not much cold to the front

The motivating factor for a lot of the forecasts for El Paso was a cold front expected to sink south through Texas on Monday morning. It was just the sad tail that was projected to be south of El Paso, and is it turned out, that sad little tail was unable to bring much cold air south. Actually, it brought no cold air south. There was no drop in high temperature on Monday vs. Sunday, thanks to a lack of air mass change and some clouds overnight, which predictably kept the lows fairly warm. Accuweather dropped the best forecast on us, though it was pretty close all things considered.
Actuals: Sunday – High 70, low 45
Monday – High 70, low 54

Grade: B-D

El Paso, Texas

El Paso has always fascinated me. It’s so far removed from the rest of the major urban areas, but is still such a large city. It’s a mystery right here in America. Have you ever heard El Paso described so romantically?

At 651, MT, El Paso was reporting a temperature of 57 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. The tail end of a cold front lies through the southeastern US and into central Texas, and feeding into it, at least aloft, there is some streaming cirrus through west Texas, likely to keep the temperatures from falling off too much overnight.
A broad, generally weak trough extends from Montana to southern California, and is indicating the flow through west Texas. The exit region of the jet will continue to run from the Baja towards the central Plains, which isn’t a particularly moisture rich course. Don’t expect precipitation for El Paso, but a continuation of the high clouds that are mottling the sky tonight.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 72, Low 48
Monday – Partly cloudy, High 65, Low 55

TWC: Tomorrow – Generally sunny. High 73, Low 49
Monday – Partly cloudy skies, with gusty winds developing during the afternoon. High 66, Low 55

AW: Tomorrow – Breezy with a blend of sun and clouds High 72, Low 47
Monday -Breezy with partial sunshine High 65, Low 54

NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, (late rain)High 71, Low 48
Monday – Mostly sunny, (early rain) High 68, Low 57

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Windy. (late rain) High 71, Low 56
Monday – Partly cloudy, windy (early rain). High 64, low 56

WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy with isolated showers, High 71, Low 48
Monday – Partly cloudy, High 68, Low 57

FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy until morning. High 72, Low 54
Monday – Breezy overnight and mostly cloudy until evening. HIgh 66, Low 54

That will feel a little brisk out in the open country around El Paso, but I tell you what, I would take a low in the mid 50s regardless of the wind. I would take a high in the mid-50s at this point. Here is the satellite, showing that cirruse traipsing over West Texas.

NOAA/NESDIS/STAR GOES-16 ABI BAND 07 OR_ABI-L1b-RadC-M3C07_G16_s20180482107190_e20180482109575_c20180482110014.nc

A few clouds cause some problems

All it took was some clouds on Sunday in El Paso to really throw temperatures off. The overnight overcast leading into Sunday morning meant temperatures couldn’t sink any lower than 59 degrees. Temperatures were supposed to drop by a degree or two, but because of the warm start to the day, it was actually warmer on Sunday than Monday. The low temperature for Monday prevented any good forecasts, but the Weather Service and Weatherbug ended up grabbing the top spot with what were nearly the least bad low temperature forecasts.
Actuals: Saturday- High 79, Low 49
Sunday – High 80, Low 59

Grade: C-D

El Paso, Texas to Battle Creek, Michigan

It’s time for a trip! It’s a 3 day trip from El Paso to Battle Creek. It will take us through a slice of the country that isn’t often traversed. That in itself makes it fun, right? It will cover 1654 miles, which puts us at a pace of 70.1mph. Holy smokes. The first day will be a little shorter than Sunday and Monday, but at that blistering pace, it will still be a long day’s journey. The first two days will have a goal of 561 miles behind us. We will be hauling.

DAY ONE (Sunday)
We’re going to start with a warm, clear day in far western Texas, but we will likely encounter some clouds on I-20 near Monahans. The dry line will be making it’s first appearance of the season, but it won’t make for much more than those clouds and a very isolated shower from Monahans to Sweetwater. As we continue to Holliday, southwest of Wichita Falls, expect things to really clear out before our stop for the night.

DAY TWO (Monday)
That dry line will hook up with a cold front emerging from the High Plains on Monday, and start touching off a few isolated showers and storms. That activity may indeed be stronger or even severe as we pass through eastern Oklahoma fairly early in the day. This activity will not be moving terribly quickly, so regardless of how many of the storms cross our path between Chickashaw and Tulsa, we will be in good shape by the time we reach Missouri. We’ll make it all the way to St. James, Missouri, just east of Rolla, before the day ends.

DAY THREE (Tuesday)
Our route will reach a directly south-north segment at very nearly the exact wrong time. The cold front will be coming into its own over Illinois, and showers and potentially thunderstorms will be increasingly more likely as the day wears on in the Land of Lincoln. Expect rain with some embedded thunderstorms from the moment we set out from St. James all the way until we turn to the east around Joliet, just outside of Chicago. That’s a most-of-the-day storm for your drive in Illinois. Fortunately, we should beat it to Chicago, and make our way around Lake Michigan to Battle Creek in incredibly balmy early March weather.

El Paso, Texas

I am on a campaign to get all these posts taken care of in a moderately timely manner. This was scheduled for yesterday, but I think we’ll be OK.

At 851AM, MT, El Paso was reporting a temperature of 59 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Cloud activity was in the form of high clouds, and the Rio Grande Valley was under no threat of precipitation. There was a weak trough in west Texas kicking up the clouds, but unable to generate any precipitation, as there was a sharp upper level ridge across the High Plains.
High pressure will remain in place across the region over the next couple of days, pressing east into the Mississippi Valley. Some return flow will allow for ridge righting showers in west Texas, though not as far west as El Paso, and the old Texas Town will remain dry and increasingly warm for the next two days.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 80, Low 51
Sunday – Partly cloudy, High 77, Low 51

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 84, Low 50
Sunday – Mostly cloudy in the morning followed by partly cloudy skies and gusty winds in the afternoon, High 82, Low 52

AW: Tomorrow – Warm with the temperature approaching the record of 84 last reached in 1925 with clouds and sun High 83, Low 47
Sunday – Remaining warm with times of sun and clouds High 81, Low 48

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 81, Low 51
Sunday – Mostly sunny High 79, Low 53

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 82, Low 51
Sunday – Partly cloudy breezy. High 80, Low 53

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 81, Low 54
Sunday- Partly cloudy, high 79, Low 54

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy throughout the day.High 82, Low 49
Sunday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 80, Low 49

Better than it would have been a month ago, right? An probably beyter than it will be in a month. Here is a look at the high clouds in the area
El Paso

A sharp cool down for west Texas

Texas, at the beginning of the week, was still in the throes of summer. It was hot and dry, and remained that way in El Paso on Monday, when temperatures peaked at 90. There was a sharp, rapid cool down on Tuesday, however, as a dry cold front swung through town and knocked temperatures down by almost 20 degrees. Weatherbug did the best work with the seasonal transition.
Actuals: Monday, High 90, Low 54
Tuesday, High 73, Low 54

Grade: B

Midland, Texas to El Paso, Texas

Just a wee little trip today. It’s a 305 mile drive between the two towns, and it will take us 4 miles to cover the ground, but still, it’s the same state! There is pretty much just the one interstate between the two towns, so our rate of speed will be a lightning quick 72.2mph. Let’s hop on that rocket and head west.

The primary concern for our drive won’t be rain or snow or anything like that, but some gusty winds that may blow tractor trailers around, so be wary of the other vehicles on the road, and keep both hands on the wheel. It won’t help that it will be hot and dry, so some of those winds could lead to blowing dust or even some tumbleweeds. Have you ever seen a tumbleweed? I drove over one once. Not pleasant. It SHOULD be pleasant in El Paso upon our arrival, however. (Segue!)

El Paso, Texas

The old West Texas town of El Paso. I have to believe this forecast will be pretty similar to that of Midland, where we went yesterday.

At 251PM, CT, El Paso was reporting a temperature of 84 degrees with clear skies. High pressure continues to arc it’s way through the southern portion of the country, with a well established jet riding through the northern tier of states.
A short waved trough will ride through the jet and pass through the central Plains tomorrow, bringing a brief but strong burst of northerly wind that will dry out the atmosphere and as an area of high pressure builds back into the area quickly. Cooler air will trail the northerly wind.
Tomorrow – Breezy but sunny. High 88, Low 60
Tuesday – Winds calmer, with sunny skies, High 73, Low 55

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny skies. Near record high temperatures High 91, Low 53
Tuesday – Mainly sunny High 76, Low 59

AW: Tomorrow – Very warm with plenty of sunshine; breezy in the afternoon High 87, Low 62
Tuesday – Cooler with a full day of sunshine High 73, Low 57

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 89, Low 56
Tuesday – Sunny High 73, Low 49

AWB: Tomorrow – Sunny. High 90, Low 57
Tuesday – Sunny. High 74, Low 52

So there you have it. Two days of west Texas forecasts, with dry days all.

El Paso, Texas to Dalton, Georgia

Sorry for the late post, I fully blame the Fall Premiere season of TV. And Real Job Inc. And butterflies (nobody EVER suspects the butterfly). But here are are, embarking off a trip through the southern US. Through the entire state of Texas to the Southern Appalachians, we’ll cover 1,448 miles over 3 days. Time to head off!


We head out eastward from El Paso, and even though we’ll travel 575 miles today, we’ll still be in the same state when we finish! Everything’s bigger in Texas, even the state itself, right? A system pushing (very slowly) out of the Four Corners region continues to bring rain to NM and west TX, so some scattered showers and perhaps an early morning thunderstorm is possible as we make our way on I-10 from El Paso to I-20. High pressure sitting over the Upper Midwest has been keeping the kibosh on most of the precip that’s been rolling out of the mountains and into the Plains. Some clusters of precip have been surviving, but for the most part have been staying north of our route. By midday, as we make our way past Midland, we should outrun most of the precip, but it’ll remain cloudy over the region. A dry trip continues as we make our way into the aptly named Weatherford for the night.


Some low clouds are expected to form in southeasterly flow during the overnight, blotting out the morning sun as we start our trek towards the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area (probaly not the best place to go through rush hour, but hey, everybody’s getting along right?). A few scattered showers will linger into midday, but most likely will be found farther north towards the Red River and places northward. Sunlight will be more prevalent as we continue into northern Louisiana by early afternoon and moreso as we pull into Jackson, MS, our end of our 464-mile 2nd day.


Remember that high pressure I mentioned earlier? By today it’s shifted over the Northeast and Ohio Valley, but its influence extends down into the Tennessee Valley. What luck! That’s exactly where we’re traveling through today! Some patchy morning fog is expected as we head on our way, but will burn off quickly by mid-morning as the sun climbs into the sky. While our trip today is “only” 414 miles, it might be some slow going as we move through the cities of Tuscaloosa and Birmingham, both of which were heavily damaged during the outbreak back in late April. Would be interesting to see how much they’ve come back from that awful day. Otherwise, it should be smooth sailing towards Chattanooga and into Dalton.

As hot as expected

El Paso lies west of the dry line, as Anthony mentioned on Thursday. They get nothing but scalding heat, a good toasty dry heat almost every day through the summer. The past two days were no different, with the highs dancing about 100, and the lows not cooling off enough for a northerner to sleep, that’s for sure. Victoria Weather and the Weather Channel tied atop the leaderboard.
Actuals: Friday, High 103, Low 68
Saturday, High 102, Low 76

Grade: B