Tag Archives: Columbus

Nuisance flurries

The nuisance flurries. Bane of the meteorology community. Sure, there isn’t much going on with the atmosphere, but it’s cold enough that relative humidity is high, then someone sneezes in Joliet and suddenly there is enough of a disturbance to squeeze out a flake in Columbus, and a forecast for mostly cloudy skies goes bust. Such is what happened yesterday in Ohio, throwing everyone off. Temperatures stayed cooler than most expected, which hurt everyone else’s forecast even more. Victoria-Weather came through with the best of the forecasts, though we too struggled mightily.
Actuals: Thursday – .01inches of snow High 25, Low 10
Friday – Flurries reported, not measured, High 24, Low 15

Grade: D

Columbus, Ohio

Ah Columbus, my old friend in the heart of Ohio. How we missed you.

At 1251, PM, ET, Columbus was reporting light snow, cloudy skies and a temperature of 19 degrees. With high pressure stretching from the Great Lakes to the Carolinas, the flurry activity was fairly unusual and confined almost entirely to the Columbus area. The explanation was steering winds above the surface, continuing to introduce moisture from the lakes into Columbus.
A deep mid-level system over eastern Canada will continue to generate instability over the eastern US, despite a mostly laminar jet. Lower level vertical velocities will help develop a surface low at the southernmost reach of the mid level system. This lower level system will scoot off to the south of Ohio and bring the chance for a stray flurry tomorrow, but a more stable batch of high pressure will take over on Friday, leading to sunnier skies. The nature of the low passing through tomorrow suggests that post frontal temperatures will be much more manageable than those seen earlier this week.
Tomorrow – Chance of snow, 1-2″ possible, High 26, Low 15
Friday – Sunny, High 29, Low 17

TWC: Tomorrow – Scattered snow showers during the morning. Then partly to mostly cloudy for the afternoon High 31, Low 16
Friday – Cloudy. High 30, Low 21

AW: Tomorrow – A bit of snow in the morning; otherwise, cloudy and cold High 28, Low 18
Friday – Chilly with intervals of clouds and sunshine High 29, Low 18

NWS: Tomorrow – A chance of snow. Cloudy High 28, Low 16
Friday – Partly sunny, High 28, Low 18

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow High 28, Low 16
Friday – Mostly cloudy, High 28, Low 17

The radar for Columbus is actually down in Wilmington, Ohio, and it’s having a tough time picking up those flurries in Columbus.

Snow Stripe

Unfortunately, Columbus doesn’t keep records for their temperatures through the night, so we don’t have an official verification for that particular town, however we do have the snowfall totals from the Remote Sensing Center.

One thing is very clear looking at this in retrospect (and was at the time, looking at radar) the snow continued to follow a jet streak in a linear fashion rather than becoming more diffuse as I had expected. The snow trained right over a line from Chicago through Columbus and on towards Louisville and Cincinnati. There wasn’t a terrible amount of moisture, but there were still reports of 4-6″ of snow from this little clipper from Bloomington to Columbus, which is certainly more than I was expecting. Now, however, AFTER the forecast period is over, the whole complex is finally falling apart.

Columbus, Indiana to Danville, Illinois

A short little trip today, but one that may be fraught with adventure. We are covering only 136 miles in just over two hours (about a 61.5mph pace, for all you speed limit buffs), but it will be a snowy mess! Stay tuned for the Blog Roundup from the Danville area!

It appears as though a clipper riding a jet ridge through the northern Plains will start nosing into our route juuuust as we are departing from Columbus. The heaviest band of snow will lie from about Danville to Columbus tomorrow morning, which doesn’t bode well for our hopes of making this journey quickly. The snow won’t really generate much in terms of wind, and the high end for snow totals is about 2 inches, which will be most likely west of Indianapolis. It’s going to be somewhat harrowing, as it always is when snow is falling, but it shouldn’t be as bad as it could be. So there’s that.

Now for the Blog Roundup from Danville
Storm Center 17’s Lee Davis last updated on the 17th, but talked mostly about his Facebook account. His counterparts at WAND TV have their own blogs here and here. And spend a little bit of time poetically and climactically welcoming the month of December. It should be noted that WAND is labeled as the Champaign-Springfield-Decatur NBC affiliate, so mentions of Danville may be spartan.

Columbus, Indiana

Our trip today is taking us to the fine state of Indiana, home state of my alma mater.

At 350PM, ET, Columbus was reporting a temperature of 35 degrees with overcast conditions. The country is in a very chilly pattern which will make things very prone to snow, with the slightest disturbance expected to be able to generate some flurries. A slight perturbation in the jet is going to do just that starting tomorrow over the upper Midwest, despite an overall ridge dominating the country.
The coupling of a pair of jets is the only upper level indication of the system, but some lower level troughing will be tied into a stout surface low over eastern Canada by the time the disturbance drifts towards the Ohio Valley. While a focused stripe is expected further to the northwest when the forcing is almost exclusively influenced by upper air dynamics, the area of snow will become more dispersed as it arrives in Indiana, and moisture will be more diffuse. Total snow in Columbus, which will arrive Saturday will be in the neighborhood of 1-3″, with 3″ being on the very high end of projections.
Tomorrow – Increasingly cloudy late, High 36, Low 22
Saturday – Wet sow, measuring 1-3″, High 34, Low 25

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy High 30, Low 23
Saturday – Snow showers possible. High 34, Low 27

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and cold High 38, Low 23
Saturday – Cold with wet snow, accumulating 1-3 inches High 37, Low 26

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 37, Low 22
Saturday – Snow likely High 34, Low 26

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy (snow late) High 38, Low 25
Saturday – Snow likely, light accumulations, High 33, Low 29

Some flurries seem to be showing up on the Indianapolis radar, probably more to do with with Lake Michigan than anything else

A different Columbus

Hey, this is going to be a weird day. I’ll start with this Columbus verification, but Anthony, who has been on vacation, will be back this evening to take care of the forecast and road trip for the day.
Back when the site first started, we always seemed to have forecasts for Columbus, Ohio. Now, we keep featuring Columbuses, but have moved further south. Does this mean we are doing well in Columbus? Eh, not really. The Weather Channel is though. They went away from covering health care reform and actually set about creating an excellent forecast. They navigated a pretty sizable temperature swing from Monday to Tuesday and blew everyone out of the water. From here on out, I’m covering politics and forecasting as an afterthought. How about that Bull Moose party?
Actuals: Monday – No precip, High 50, Low 40
Tuesday – High 68, Low 44

Grade: B

Columbus, Georgia to Gainesville, Florida

It’s a little shorty with this shift, that will take less than 5 hours. We’re headed south into Florida, a trip that will cover 279 miles. If you do the math, that means a slow pace of 59.4mph. Let’s go ahead and inch our way to Florida.

Not only will the drive be brief, it will be remarkably easy. There could be a few lingering clouds over southern Georgia, but really nothing that should hinder our drive. Things will simply clear out, probably by the time we reach Albany, Georgia. Sunny and seasonably cool conditions await us in Gainesville.

Columbus, Georgia

It’s our first return trip anywhere since the site relaunch. Good for you, Columbus.

At 1151PM, ET, Columbus was reporting cloudy skies with a temperature of 44 degrees. An area of low pressure had occluded itself over the southeast, putting Columbus into what will eventually be the dry slot. Right now, the inflow behind the occlusion is trafficking in clouds and light rain to the Florida Panhandle. The system will slow it’s easterly progress as it continues to occlude.
The occlusion process and a more north-south reorientation of an undercutting jet will send the system north along the Appalachians. Columbus will be the beneficiary, lying within the remaining dry slot. As the system pulls off to the northeast, a trailing trough may brush past the region on Monday night into Tuesday morning, bringing some overnight clouds. Expect clearing then through Tuesday with a warm up possible as winds die down.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, increasing clouds late, High 53, Low 37
Tuesday – Cloudy early, then clearing and warmer, High 68, Low 40

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies early. A few showers developing later in the day. High 51, Low 40
Tuesday – Mix of sun and clouds. High 69, Low 42

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and cool with a shower in spots High 54, Low 39
Tuesday – Warmer with clouds giving way to sun High 66, Low 41

NWS: Tomorrow – A 20 percent chance of showers before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, High 54, Low 40
Tuesday – Mostly sunny High 65, low 42

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. High 54, Low 40
Tuesday – Mostly sunny. High 65, Low 42

A look at the satellite shows us the big hairy system in the southeast.

Midday thunder

I have been anticipating a rough forecast for somewhere for a while with the upper level low covering the eastern third of the country. There was too much room for a peek of sun to send temperatures skyrocketing, or the threat for constant rain to tamp temperatures down. For Columbus, it was a line of thunderstorms moving in on Friday before the heating of the day really got ramped up. All told, things weren’t as bad as they could have been, especially since V-W netted the victory.
Actuals: Friday – .59 inches of rain in thunderstorms, High 66, Low 50
Saturday .04 inches of rain, High 54, Low 43

Grade: C

Columbus, Georgia

Will we find ourselves in southern Georgia with today’s forecast, as we try to navigate our way into a complex upper level pattern afflicting the country.

At 1251PM, ET, PM, Columbus was reporting a temperature of 68 degrees with clear skies. Just to the east, the most recent rake of rain and low clouds was continuing to drive eastward, allowing the Columbus area to see quickly rising temperatures. They found themselves 10 degrees warmer than their neighbors to the east. The overall upper pattern is still being driven by an upper low over the center of the country that extends it’s reach nearly from coast to coast.
Fortunately for the Southeast, there is only one more perturbation left in the flow of this upper level low, which will mean another round of showers and thunderstorms traversing the southeast tomorrow. If the warming trend continues today as it appears it will, there will be plenty of fuel in southwestern Georgia to generate a few significant thunderstorms around midday tomorrow. Expect some clouds and light showers on Saturday as the perturbation acts to pull down the upper low south into the Carolinas.
Tomorrow – Thunderstorms, especially in the early afternoon. Some may be severe. High 70, Low 53 (non standard
Saturday – Cloudy with areas of drizzle, High 59, low 45

TWC: Tomorrow – Scattered thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon. A few storms may be severe. High 66, Low 54
Saturday – Partly cloudy. High 62, low 45

AW: Tomorrow – A shower or thunderstorm; cloudy in the morning, then times of clouds and sun in the afternoon high 70, Low 54
Saturday – Variable cloudiness High 61, low 47

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, High 69, low 51
Saturday – Isolated showers. Mostly cloudy High 62, Low 46

WB: Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms likely High 69, Low 50
Saturday – Mostly cloudy high 62, Low 46

A look at the satellite shows some abrupt clearing for Columbus. Not bad at all.