Tag Archives: Columbia

Columbia, Missouri

Taking a quick look at central Missouri and the home of hte University of Missouri with our forecast today.

At 154pm, CT, Columbia was reporting a temperature of 73 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. An upper level trouggh is departing, which means that a return to more seasonable warmth is on its way, beginning as soon as they can see some clearing skies.
As high pressure builds over the Great Lakes, the Gulf will open up on the western flank, with warm, humid air being drawn through Missouri. Lee troughing over the southern Rockies will be able to develop and begin approaching the Ozarks by tomorrow evening. Some guidance suggests available vorticity that really doesn’t make much sense given the upper level dynamics. Guidance that doe make sense insists a lee trough attempting to advance into the southern Plains will be squashed south towards the Gulf of Mexico, while Colummbia will see mostly clouy skies, but will otherwise stay dry, if a bit on the muggy side.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, increasing clouds, High 80, Low 57
Friday – Mostly cloudy, High 79, Low 60

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 80, Low 57
Friday – Mostly Sunny High 78, Low 59

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny and pleasant High 79, Low 55
Friday – Partly sunny and nice High 80, Low 60

NWS: Tomorrow – A 20 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Partly sunny High 76, Low 56
Friday – Mostly sunny High 78, Low 59

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy in the morning…then mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers in the afternoon. High 76, Low 56
Friday – Partly cloudy. High 78, Low 59

WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Isolated Showers High 75, Low 55
Friday – Partly Cloudy Hgh 79, Low 59

A few outlets are buying into the shower and storm threat tomorrow evening, but I think if there is anything, it would be on Friday morning. More likely, there won’t be a drop. Satellite showws some good old fashioned cumulus clouds.

Cooler weather prevails

The forecast in Columbia was for a cold front to finish moving through the city on Saturday morning, giving way to a more pleasant, if cooler weekend. Well, the thing is, it was even cooler than most anticipated. The bottom dropped out Sunday, as temperatures dropped to 34, and only climbed up to 49 during the day. The top forecast belonged to Weatherbug (really?) who was the coolest outlet on Sunday, both for the high and the low.
Actuals: Saturday – .38 inches of rain, High 61, Low 43
Sunday – High 49, Low 34

Grade: B

Columbia, Missouri

Today we head off to the city that’s home to the popular University of Missouri, Columbia! I’ve visited there a couple of times myself and it really is a nice campus in a rather active city. Will they be winding their way towards finals with some good weather? Let’s find out!

At 10:54pm CDT, the temperature at Columbia, MO is 45 degrees with some light rain falling. An area of low pressure is finally pushing out of the Four Corners area and into the Central Plains. Earlier this afternoon, a squall line ahead of the cold front produced some 60-75 mph wind gusts in the TX Panhandle, as well as one of the only December tornadoes in the Amarillo area. This activity has shifted off to the east and weakened, but the precip associated with the low spent much of the day pushing through the Central Plains and Mid-MS River Valley. Some of these showers are expected to last through the early morning hours Saturday, but pretty much trail off shortly after dawn as the system continues to push towards the north and east. Some clearing is expected on the backside of this system, allowing temperatures to push up towards the low 60s. Sunday, however, will see the cooler air behind the system wraparound and into the area. So even though there should be more abundant sunshine for central Missouri, temperatures will be a good 5-10 degrees cooler than they will be Saturday afternoon. Overall though, it should be a decent weekend to get out and get some of that last minute Christmas shopping done!

Saturday: Showers trail off by mid-morning, some afternoon clearing. High 60, Low 44.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, but cooler. High 54, Low 40.

TWC: Saturday: Few AM showers, then partly cloudy, and windy. High 59, Low 44.
Sunday: Partly cloudy. High 50, Low 39.

AW: Saturday: A bit of morning rain, then cloudy. High 62, Low 43.
Sunday: Partly sunny. High 52, Low 39.

NWS: Saturday: Some early morning showers, then gradual clearing. High 61, Low 43.
Sunday: Partly Sunny. High 54, Low 39.

WB: Saturday: Mostly Cloudy, a few morning showers. High 62, Low 43.
Sunday: Partly sunny. High 50, Low 39.

Here we see the bands of rain swing through Missouri. Luckily, they shouldn’t last too long into the morning hours.

Isaac Invades Inland

Isaac hasn’t been a hurricane or a tropical storm or anything like that for days now. Instead, he is a massive rain maker over the middle of the country. We worried about Columbia on Thursday, and on Friday, our worries were validated, as over 2 inches of rain fell. There was a little less yesterday, but all told, 2.5″ inches of rain fell throughout a cloudy, murky beginning to the Labor Day weekend. The Weather Channel had the top forecast.
Actuals: Friday – 2.23 inches of rain, High 79, Low 73
Saturday – .22 inches of rain, High 78, Low 71

Grade: B

Columbia, Missouri

Columbia is host to some college football action Saturday, as the Missouri Tigers take on Southeast Louisiana State in the season opener. Both teams can talk about Hurricane Isaac.

At 654PM, CT, Columbia was reporting a temperature of 94 degrees with sunny skies. Easterly flow has already begun in response to Tropical Depression Isaac, which is inundating Louisiana and Arkansas, is centered near Ruston, Louisiana and is bleeding northwest, but is soon to be shunted back to the east by a remnant boundary through the Ohio Valley.
Rain will move into Columbia on a feeder band tomorrow after sunrise, and start the day with heavy rain and thunderstorms. Isaac will do his most rapid collapsing over western Missouri over the next 24 hours. Those initial heavy rain and thunderstorms will become steady rain with fairly breezy conditions. Initially, the the showers and storms may be coupled with a tornado threat, but that will abate later in the period.
Tomorrow – Heavy rain and thunderstorms early, becoming lighter in the afternoon, High 83, Low 68
Saturday – Rain, High 80, Low 71

TWC: Tomorrow – Rain / Thunder High 82, Low 72
Saturday – Rain / Thunder High 81, Low 72

AW: Tomorrow – Considerable cloudiness and humid; a couple of afternoon showers and a thunderstorm High 83, Low 70
Saturday – A thick cloud cover, breezy and humid with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm High 76, Low 72

NWS: Occasional rain, mainly after 1pm. High 85, Low 69
Saturday – Occasional rain. The rain could be heavy at times. High 79, Low 72

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning…then occasional rain in the afternoon. High 86, Low 70
Saturday – Occasional rain. Rain heavy at times. High 78, Low 73

The rain is coming, but at least Isaac doesn’t look as terrifying on satellite.

Columbia, Missouri to Dover, Delaware

Our first road trip of the week takes us to America’s First State, even if it is just a tiny little guy wedged onto the Delmarva. Our trip is covering 2 days and 1031 miles. The rate of speed for this trek will be a little over 60mph, and we will knock out only 481 miles on our first day on the road. This is what we get for heading crosswise into the Atlantic Seaboard.


There is a cold front moving into the Dakotas and northern Minnesota at this very hour, and it is extremely fast moving. Thre is a ton of momentum with this storm, and there will continue to be as the parent low deepens over Ontario. This means that the front and it’s associated storms will actually be able to overtake our vehicle. Storms moving this fast are destined to leave a wide swath of destruction, so buckle up. The system will slow down after it hits central Illinois, so the greatest threat to our health and safety will be early in the drive, with gusty winds moving through St. Louis and east to Vandalia, Illinois along our route. It will still storm even as we head east to Indianapolis, but the activity will not be quite as horribly dangerous as it will be during the first part of our drive. After white knuckling it, a good night’s rest will be exactly what we need. The day ends just east of Indy in Greenfield.

The front will slow down as it heads east, as they often do. We will encounter the back end of the rain around Zanesville, Ohio, and encounter the heaviest storms through the high country of West Virginia and western Maryland. We will clear the front as we head into Baltimore, but at this point, downsloping winds will interact with the moisture along the coast, and our drive over the Chesapeake Bay Bridge may be a little terrifying, especially with the potential for some large hail in those isolated storms. The trip through the Eastern Shore will be mild by comparison.

Not as advertised

Every day for the last several days, every model run, the forecast has been for widespread showers and storms, along the east coast, today in the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes, but there just hasn’t been any forcing. The savvy meteorologist downplayed thunderstorms in Columbia for the past two days. Sure, there was a little bit more instability on Monday, and they saw some rain in Columbia then, but none as we expected, on Sunday. Victoria-Weather, thereby, got the top spot.
Actuals: Sunday, High 75, Low 49
Monday, .05 inches of rain, High 76, Low 58

Grade: B

Columbia, South Carolina to Lansing, Michigan

Off on a trip! Are you ready? It will be a day and a half from the Carolinas to the Great Lakes. It’s 774 miles in the midst of an early spring warmup. We will average just short of 60mph, which means the first day will be done after 479.5 miles. Let’s head to the northland, shall we?


The first day on the road will be a bit of a struggle. Do you leave the windows open, or no? Wipers on or off? Showers will be intermittent as we move through South and North Carolina, becoming a bit less abundant in western Virginia, but there might be more rain again in West Virginia. By the time we hit southern Ohio, we will likely be north of any precipitation, and when we get to Chillicothe, Ohio, our destination for the night, the stresses of wipers or no will be long in our past.

Day two, Wednesday, will just be a quick jaunt to Michigan’s capital, with very little to concern us, except maybe where to stop for lunch in Toledo. Lansing awaits!

Columbia, South Carolina

Sorry for the late start. I had basketball on the brain for much of the day today. Off to South Carolina!

At 1156PM, ET, Columbia was reporting a temperature of 57 with clear skies. An enormous ridge was dominating the eastern two thirds of the country, though there we was an undercutting trough tapping into the warm air, setting off a few thunderstorms in the Mississippi Valley.
The low over the center of the country will get entrained with the mean flow and pulled to the northeast. With an overriding flow pattern stronger than the low, it will rapidly be sheared apart. The return flow boundary is presently along the Mississippi River, and the associated moisture will continue to be drawn eastward as the parent low is sheared apart. The shower activity will weaken considerably, and strong thunderstorms are not expected, but as the weak boundary pushes eastward, there is still a shot for some light rain on Tuesday afternoon.
Tomorrow – Sunny, High 74, Low 49
Tuesday – Increasing clouds, with a chance of late rain, High 78, Low 54

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will become overcast in the afternoon (late rain) High 71, Low 49
Tuesday – A few showers early with isolated thunderstorms developing later High 78, Low 56

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny High 71, Low 44
Tuesday – Partly sunny and very warm with a shower or thunderstorm around High 78, Low 52

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy (rain late) High 70, Low 49
Tuesday – A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, High 77, Low 54

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy (rain late), High 70, Low 47
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon High 77, Low 54

So it appears there is some thought of a bit of rain overnight Monday as well. Not buyin’ it! Satellite shows a classic comma shaped pattern with that low in the center of the country.

Columbia, Missouri to Spartanburg, South Carolina

Isn’t there a closer Columbia for Spartanburg residents to welcome guests from? Neither city is on a major interstate, and the trip will take a day and a half and cover 784 miles. Our pace will be about 62.1mph, which is rather slow, but not egregiously so. We will cover 496.9 miles on the first day in the car, which will leave us just a few hours to Spartanburg on Sunday.


The heat is building into the center of the country, and this will be especially true in Missouri and Illinois. The Gulf will pump moisture north that will begin to rise convectively almost as soon as the system arrives on shore. Some of those storms will make it’s way as far north as Tennessee. The threat for storms will come as we arrive in about Clarksville, Tennessee and stay with us for the rest of our drive. We will make it to Boma, Tennessee. There will be a chance, as I said, for wet weather, but truth be told, the heaviest weather will be south of our route.

The drive will be OK to begin, since the thunderstorms activity will taper off over night, but the Smokeys that we have to pass through will be a good instigator for a few more thunderstorms Sunday. Don’t be surprised if we see some wet weather between Knoxville and Asheville, North Carolina. The wet weather will not follow us, however, from Asheville to Spartanburg, and we should expect some nice, hot weather in Spartanburg for our arrival.