Cleveland, Tennessee
Posted by Ryan
With Lebron James losing last night, we're going to celebrate by forecasting for Cleveland. But, uh, not THAT Cleveland.
At 453PM ET, Cleveland was seeing a temperature of 69 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. Cloudy were pooled into the Chattanooga valley, but eastern Tennessee was post frontal, and should be done for the day where thunderstorm activity is concerned. A very large dry slot will fill into eastern Tennessee over the next couple of hours.
The trough that generated the extremely potent system across the eastern half of the country has stymied the advance of anything in it's wake. A massive ridge of calming high pressure will build into the southeast tomorrow and Friday, but the clear skies will allow for some chilly overnight lows and a below average day on Friday.
Tomorrow - Sunny, High 71, Low 50
Friday - Sunny and much cooler, High 66, Low 40
TWC: Tomorrow - Some clouds in the morning will give way to mainly sunny skies for the afternoon high 71, low 57
Friday - Mainly sunny High 65, Low 39
AW: Tomorrow - Pleasant and not as warm with brilliant sunshine High 68, Low 48
Friday - Sunshine against a deep blue sky and pleasant High 64, Low 36
NWS: Tomorrow - Sunny High 71, Low 53
Friday - Sunny High 65, Low 37
WB: Tomorrow - Sunny, High 71, Low 51
Friday - Sunny, high 62, Low 38
A little post frontal high pressure. Lucky for them in Cleveland. The radar shows the scattered showers sneaking into the Appalachians, away from town.
Too many storms
Posted by Ryan
I suspected that Cleveland may be in good shape over the forecast period, avoiding any real severe weather due to the timing of the thunderstorms. Well, instead the storms came through in the middle of the day on Sunday and left a swath of damage in the Cleveland metro. There was a small tornado up in Ashtabula, but most of the damage was the result of straight line winds. The airport in Cleveland reported winds of over 40mph in the early evening. The Weather Channel, as seems to be usual lately, had the top forecast.
Actuals: Sunday - .21 inches of rain in thunderstorms, High 93, Low 73
Monday - .02 inches of rain, High 82, Low 73
Grade: B
Cleveland, Ohio to Morristown, Tennessee
Posted by Ryan
And here we are, with another 1 day journey. Just an extra half hour tacked on to the end of our typical 8, but it will be through the beautiful Smokey Mountains, so who are we to complain? It's a 520 mile journey, which equates to our travel coming at a rate of 61.9mph. Shall we?
I'm not going to mince words. This drive is going to suck. We're going to be following a cold front as we head from Cleveland to Morristown. In the morning, it will likely be a general rainy type of precipitation, with a stroke of lightning intermittently lighting up the sky. By about 1 in the afternoon, three hours in, the thunderstorms will really ramp up. The heaviest of the wet weather will come between Parkersburg and Charleston, West Viriginia as we start to come into the mountains, which will only help the development of soaking thunderstorms. Between Beckley, West Virginia and Abingdon, Virginia, I wouldn't be surprised to see a break in the rain, but as we swing back southwest into Tennessee, some showers and storms will again be possible, though not as strong as we will have seen earlier in the day.
Cleveland, Ohio
Posted by Ryan
Finally, we're moving out of the Mountain Time Zone for today's forecast. Perhaps by issuing this forecast, we can convince Lebron James to stay in town.
At 1151, AM, ET, Cleveland was reporting a temperature of 78 degrees with overcast skies. A southwesterly wind was ensuring a warm wind ahead of a stationary boundary in southern Ontario. Some showers were beginning to show up over western New York and northwestern Pennsylvania, and the threat was there for some showers and thunderstorms, some heavy, this afternoon.
A weak upper level trough will gather itself over the northern Plains after having dug deep into the Rockies, which should lead to a more well established and easily defined system. It will also become more likely that the stronger showers and thunderstorms follow the jet stream, which is to the north of Cleveland. The hot humid air will still touch off a few thunderstorms as the system passes through Michigan into Canada. Sunday night into Monday morning, the cold front associated with this system will work it's way through town, another bit of luck, as this will keep the threat for severe storms to a minimum. A subsequent cool flow off of Lake Erie will keep things pleasant during the day on Monday.
Tomorrow - Scattered showers and thunderstorms, warm. High 88, Low 71
Monday - Early AM Showers and storms, cooler, High 83, Low 71
TWC: Tomorrow - Showers in the morning with isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon. A few storms may be severe. High 90, Low 70
Monday - Partly cloudy with a stray thunderstorm. High 83, Low 73
AW: Tomorrow - Clouds and sun, hot and humid with a thunderstorm, becoming breezy in the afternoon High 90, Low 68
Monday - Clouds and sunshine with a couple of showers and a thunderstorm; breezy High 83, Low 69 (non standard)
NWS: Tomorrow - chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy High 87, Low 68
Monday - A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy High 81, Low 70
WB: Tomorrow - Partly sunny...warm and humid. A chance of showers and thunderstorms High 87, Low 68
Monday - Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms High 81, Low 70
And now a look at the radar to show you were those scattered showers are.
