Tag Archives: Burlington

Washington, DC to Burlington, North Carolina

Today’s trip is much more manageable than yesterday’s, that’s for sure. We are planning a voyage of a mere 290 miles, with a drive time of just under 5 hours. It’s a pace of 60.2mph. We can do it, right?



Our short (relatively speaking) drive through Virginia and North Carolina will be one that gets progressively cloudier. After starting in sun in Washington, it will be partly cloudy by the time we hit Richmond, then mostly cloudy in Durham and points west, as we head into Burlington.

Burlington, North Carolina

Off to central North Carolina for today’s forecast. Admittedly, I don’t know a doggone thing about Burlington..

At 1154AM, ET< Burlington was reporting a temperature of 73 degree with mostly cloudy skies. A remnant boundary associated with an area of low pressure that has since moved off the coast of the Mid Atlantic lies along the boundary between the Carolinas. The system is deepening over the Gulf Stream which will reinforce northerly flow in the short term. A pattern more indicative of summer is expected to set itself up through midweek, with moisture filtering into the region. A combination of a developing low over the Lower Mississippi Valley and a trough appended to a low over the Maritimes of Canada will squeeze North Carolina. There will be a chance for some very isolated showers through the day on Wednesday, before the weak northern boundary can find it's way out of northern North Carolina. Tomorrow - Mostly cloudy, High 73, Low 45 Wednesday - Chances for a few isolated showers, High 82, Low 57 TWC: Tomorrow - Sunshine and clouds mixed (late t-storms) High 75, Low 45 Wednesday - Partly cloudy with a stray thunderstorm high 78, Low 60 AW: Tomorrow - Warm with intervals of clouds and sunshine High 76, Low 40 Wednesday - Mostly cloudy with a shower or thunderstorm around, mainly later High 84, Low 56 NWS: Tomorrow - Mostly sunny (rain/storms in the evening), High 73, Low 45 Wednesday - A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Partly sunny High 83, Low 58 WB: Tomorrow - Partly sunny (evening rain/storms). High 73, Low 46 Wednesday - Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms...mainly in the afternoon. High 83, Low 58 People are trying to say it will storm tomorrow night in North Carolina. That seems unlikely. Right now, it's not as cloudy on satellite as observations would indicate.

The heat is on

Temperatures over the New Years holiday were seasonably warm for New England. Temperatures were in the mid 40s on New Year’s Day in Burlington, which led to all precipitation in the region to fall as rain. The National Weather Service had the top forecast for Vermont, but the real winners were residents who didn’t have to drive through snow after New Year’s parties.
Actuals: Saturday – .06 inches of rain, High 39, Low 29
Sunday – .02 inches of rain, High 45. Low 30

Grade: A

Holland, Michigan to Burlington, Vermont

A trip that takes us through Canada! And oh, will it snow. It’s a 2 day trip that covers 776 miles, many of them Canadian. I hope the whole “kilometers” thing doesn’t throw me. Or even the “kilometres”. Our pace will be at a very slow 52.9mph, meaning we are assured only 423 miles, and probably a night in Ontario.


DAY ONE
We are going to be chasing some snow through the entire day on Saturday. The best chances for some flurries will be east of Ann Arbor into Detroit. By the time we exit the Windsor Tunnel in Canada, we can expect more overcast. There will certainly be flurries on the back edge of this low, but nothing that will really slow down traffic through the wide expanse of Canada. If we encounter any issues in Toronto, it won’t have anything to do with the weather. We can expect to spend New Years Eve in Bowmanville, Ontario. I understand their celebration has to be seen to be believed.

DAY TWO
There is but another wave moving through the Northern Plains, preparing to engage the Great Lakes. We will be forced to deal with some snow showers in our rearview for most of the day. Don’t be surprised if the snow, likely mixed with rain, really picks up when we make a southerly turn in Vermont on the eastern shore of Lake Champlain. A little lake effect, a little bluster associated with the advancing front, and this last half hour-hour in the car will be the nastiest of the trip, I suspect. Even then, it won’t be so bad, if you can handle driving on wet roads.

Burlington, Vermont

We recently had a guest forecaster, Steve Glazier, provide us with some insight into the weather of Burlington, but today, it’s my turn

At 154PM, ET, Burlington was reporting a temperature of 19 degrees with light snow. A jet lying across the northern portion of the country has extended the influence of a weak clipper over the southwestern Great Lakes, and has given away the future track of this system.
The clipper will swing northeast towards New England and draw influence and moisture from warmer Atlantic air, which will make things even snowier in Burlington. 1-3″ are possible in Burlington over the next two days, but the heaviest snows will fall around midday tomorrow when temperatures will be warmer, and the mix will be wet.. The strongest winds, however, will hold off until New Years Day, when another system arrives north of the Great Lakes, with a stronger pressure gradient, and subsequent blustery winds.
Tomorrow – Snowy and gray. High 40, Low 27
Sunday – Flurries and windy, High 40, Low 28

TWC: Tomorrow – Showers in the morning, then cloudy in the afternoon. High 40, Low 26
Sunday – More clouds than sun. High 40, Low 31

AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy with a little rain at times, watch for ice early in the day High 39, Low 26
Sunday – Variable cloudiness with a passing shower in the afternoon, High 44, Low 28

NWS: Tomorrow – Rain and sleet likely before 10am, then a chance of rain. Cloudy, High 40, Low 28
Sunday – A chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy High 43, Low 30

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy. Light rain and light sleet likely in the morning…then a chance of light rain in the afternoon High 39, Low 26
Sunday – Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers.High 43, Low 29

Two things… The major models are in complete disagreement on precip timing, temperature…. everything. I went with the NAM, which is cooler both days and has been more correct thus far in it’s current run. Second, there is a winter weather advisory out right now for Butlington. Thirdly, here is the radar, showing snow falling across northern Vermont.

“Showers in the morning”

Sometimes, the description of a forecast doesn’t really give a full perspective on what will happen. The title of this post was a phrase included in multiple outlets’ forecasts for Burlington on Tuesday. They got 1.46 inches of rain, all before noon. It cleared out nicely on Wednesday, but things had cooled off mightily by then. Weatherbug had the top end of the month forecast.
Wednesday – 1.46 inches of rain, High 64, Low 41 (non standard)
Thursday – High 52, Low 36

Grade: A

Burlington, North Carolina

I remain surprised on a daily basis that there are so many large cities in North Carolina. Without one of the major metro areas in the country, it’s sort of hard to believe.

At 454PM, ET, Burlington was reporting a temperature of 62 degrees with rain. The rain wasn’t heavy quite yet across the center of the state, and Burlington appeared to be one of an unlucky few sites to be seeing some drops from Burlington to Fayetteville. A broad, deep low over the southeast was bringing a lot more moisture to the Carolinas, with the leading edge of the torrential rains now over western South Carolina.
The leading edge of the really heavy rain will arrive early tomorrow morning. Parts of North Carolina could see a couple of inches by noon, with lingering rain in Burlington lasting until the early hours of Wednesday. Burlington will dry out as the leading cold front moves up the east coast, and westerly flow will be sapped by the Appalachians. Despite the dry slotting, there remains little doubt that Burlington is in for a cool down on Wednesday.
Tomorrow – Rainy, especially early, High 59, Low 40
Wednesday – Morning rain, then clearing, High 53, Low 33

TWC: Tomorrow – Showers in the morning with some clearing in the afternoon. High 63, Low 38
Wednesday – Partly cloudy skies. High 54, Low 34

AW: Tomorrow – Cooler with rain tapering to a couple of showers High 61, Low 40
Wednesday – Mostly sunny High 54, Low 35

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers likely before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny High 60, Low 40
Wednesday – Mostly sunny, High 53, Low 34

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy with showers likely in the morning…then partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon. Much cooler. High 61, Low 40
Wednesday – Partly sunny. High 52, Low 35

Clearly, other outlets don’t think Burlington will clean out as quickly as I do. But given the moisture associated with the storm, and the fact that temperatures will be colder overnight when the system shoves off, meaning there will probably be a few drops able to condense as drizzle before the sun rises. Just you wait. Currently, the radar isn’t TOO impressive yet.

Feature Forecast: Burlington, Vermont, Feature Forecaster: Steve Glazier

Steve Glazier was kind enough to provide us with a feature forecast today. His words are found below!

I am Steve Glazier, a meteorologist and reporter at WFFF-WVNY in Burlington, Vermont. I work at a Fox and ABC affiliate that covers the Adirondack Region of northern New York, all of Vermont, and northwestern New Hampshire. I have worked here for nearly a year and a half. Prior to that, I worked as a meteorologist and reporter at an ABC affiliate in Winchester, Virginia for two years. In 2008 I graduated from Lyndon State College with a BS in Meteorology-Broadcasting and AS in Television News. I am originally from Stafford, CT and am 25 years old.

Okay enough about me, let’s get to the weather. So this November has been ridiculously warm across Vermont and its adjacent neighboring states. In the first half of the month, our temperatures have been about 6 degrees above average for highs, and about +3 F at night. Today is an exception, we’re struggling to get to 40F on a cool, breezy, fall-like day. However that’s going to change once again.

High pressure will be building in from our southwest this weekend. It will keep us dry through Sunday and warm air advection will begin on Saturday. Here in VT, the warm, lighter air takes a while to mix to the surface because of the very hilly terrain. So temperatures won’t jump immediately, but will get into the upper 40s Saturday with a partly cloudy sky. In Vermont’s higher terrain, highs will likely be 40-45. Winds will increase this weekend with a tightening pressure gradient. Burlington is located in the Champlain Valley, a south-north oriented valley. In these scenarios, the wind typically gusts and is sustained higher than sheltered mountainous areas east of the city. So wind gusts could reach to 30 or 35 mph this weekend.

The windy conditions will keep our temperatures warmer than usual at night, keeping the air mixed. Warm air advection pushes into Sunday with highs jumping to the mid 50s. There will be an advancing and digging trough of low pressure. This will pass by, but with limited moisture in our region so slight chance of rain showers is possible. I’ve attached an 850 mb temp and wind map because that’s the most relevant feature for us this weekend.

If you would like to find out a little bit more about Mr. Glazier at his Bio page, under the About Us section at http://www.fox44now.com

He tweets, too! And you can find his Twitter page @Steveglazier

Thanks again to Steve Glazier!