Tag Archives: Brownsville

One last hot spot

Winter is coming, ladies and gentlemen. It’s been slow to arrive so far, but I assure you it is on its way. Brownsville, Texas is definitely not one of those cities that has to worry about the impending change of seasons. The high temperature each of the past two days hit the mid 80s, despite some showers overnight Sunday into Monday. The low temperature plummeted, however, dropping all the way to 53 on Monday morning. The Weather Service had the top forecast.
Actuals: Sunday – Trace of rain, High 85, Low 70
Monday – Trace of rain, High 83, Low 53

Grade: C

Brownsville, Texas

Just across the Mexican border for today’s forecast. Come along with us.

At 316PM, CT, Brownsville was reporting a temperature of 82 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. A cold front associated with a system in the Upper Midwest has lagged over the Texas Coast, and was producing the clouds over Brownsville, as well as a few showers over the Texas coast.
The base of the upper trough is actually in the desert Southwest, so the northern US system will begin to languish. Still, as the jet trough pivots eastward, a secondary low will develop in the southern Plains along the boundary, causing precipitation to amplify along the Texas Coast by Sunday evening into Monday morning, filling south to Brownsville. There might be some thunderstorm activity, including some isolated gusty winds.
Tomorrow – Showers and thunderstorms late, High 81, Low 68
Monday – Morning rain, then clear and cooler, High 79, Low 58

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 83, Low 70
Monday – AM Showers High 80, Low 67

AW: Tomorrow – Warm and humid with times of sun and clouds (rain after 11) High 82, Low 68
Monday – A shower in spots early in the morning; otherwise, clouds yielding to some sun High 79, Low 60

NWS: Tomorrow – A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Partly sunny, High 83, Low 69
Monday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9am. Mostly sunny High 82, Low 61

WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning…then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 83, Low 69
Monday – Mostly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 79, Low 61

Satellite doesn’t really show much structure to the clouds over Texas, but there is a boundary up around Houston and Victoria.
Brownsville

Brownsville, Texas to Las Vegas, Nevada

This is probably the southernmost trek we have ever taken at Victoria-Weather, hugging the Mexican border for most of the trip. It’s a 3 day drive through some gorse and brush covering 1553 miles at a blistering speed of 67.8mph. The speed limit is mostly unnecessary when there is nobody around. That speed will help us cover 542 miles a day on Thursday and Friday. Weekend in Vegas!

DAY ONE

The slog through south and west Texas will begin uneventfully. Nothing but the typical heat, increasingly dry, will accompany our drive through places like Corpus Christi and San Antonio. There aren’t many places to stop at the point in our journey in which we are supposed to stop, so plan on calling it a night at exit 307, between Sheffield and Bakersfield. There is a rest area nearby!

DAY TWO
Believe it or not, but we could actually be in for some weather on this leg of the journey. The last 4 1/2 hours in Texas won’t give us some problems, but an enormous area of low pressure setting up in the Rockies is going to dominate the weather pattern for the Rockies late this week into the weekend, and it may be strong enough to generate a few showers west of Deming, New Mexico and west to Johnson, Arizona, the stop for the night. (Johnson is between Wilcox and Tucson). The shower activity will be very light, and may not even fall at all, given the dry air at the surface, but it is definitely something to think about.

DAY THREE
The cold front, and it will be a legitimate cold front, will lie between Tucson and Phoenix as we begin to make our way northwestward. Showers and thunderstorms, a rarity in this part of the world, are going to be quite possible along our route, but should begin to wrap up after we pass through Phoenix. Chilly conditions… yes, chilly! will be our problem as we move northwest along the Joshua Tree Parkway towards Vegas. In fact, if you look at the mountains surrounding Las Vegas, don’t be surprised to see some freshly fallen snow! When we arrive in Sin City, the temperatures will only be in the 50s, with an overnight low perhaps dropping below 40!

Brownsville, Texas

This is about as far south as you can get and stay in Mainland USA. (Key West is an island, after all)

At 1053AM, CT, Brownsville was reporting a temperature of 82 with sunny skies. There was a swath of very dry air over far southern Texas as a ridge of high pressure built into the lower Mississippi Valley.
The ridge is inducing an easterly flow off the Gulf which will inevitably produce some low level clouds and some fog in the deep south of Texas, but the system is expected to break down to a light pressure gradient over the next 48 hours, which will prevent any precipitation from forming over Brownsville.
Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 87, Low 62
Thursday – Sunny, High 88, Low 65

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny High 88, Low 62
Thursday – Sunny High 87, Low 64

AW: Tomorrow – Partly sunny High 86, Low 60
Thursday – Mostly sunny and breezy High 87, Low 64

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 86, Low 62
Thursday – Sunny, High 87, Low 65

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 87, Low 71
Thursday – Sunny in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. High 87, Low 63

A look at the water vapor imagery shows that swth of dry air.

A cool start

Showers and maybe an isolated thunderstorm were in the forecast for Brownsville on Sunday. There was a bit of rain in the mid morning, as everyone expected, but lingering clouds lasted into the early afternoon, which meant the daily warm up didn’t happen quite as expected. The cool forecast for Sunday, which happened to be our own, was enough to carry Victoria-Weather to victory at the southern tip of Texas.
Actuals: Sunday – .12 inches of rain, High 73, Low 55
Monday – High 84, Low 61

Grade: C

Brownsville, Texas

It’s in the 60s in Minneapolis. How much warmer will it be at the southern tip of Texas?

At 1253PM, CT, Brownsville was reporting a temperature of 57 degrees with cloudy skies. An upper level trough over Texas is generating some surface rotation over the western Gulf. Moisture is wrapping into Texas, and surface convergence is leading to widespread showers and thunderstorms across the state, though over deep south Texas, Brownsville and the surrounding area were seeing a westerly flow, eliminating the chance for showers there, but not the stratus.
The upper trough is undercutting a ridge over the center of the country, and will eventually be pulled north with the prevailing flow. Streaming moisture will continue streaming into the low, with a band of showers and storms extending through much of east Texas, and initial indications are that the rain and clouds will be squeezed out of Texas by tomorrow afternoon, meaning Monday should be more pleasant.
Tomorrow – Morning showers possible, clearing late, High 74, Low 58
Monday – Mostly sunny, warm. High 80, Low 65

TWC: Tomorrow – Isolated thunderstorms in the morning, then skies turning partly cloudy late High 77, Low 60
Monday – Times of sun and clouds high 83, Low 67

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy and warmer with a shower or thunderstorm High 76, Low 60
Monday – Partly sunny High 80, Low 66

NWS: Tomorrow – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, high 76, Low 59
Monday – A 10 percent chance of rain. Partly sunny High 82, Low 65

WB: Tomorrow – Warmer. Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms High 77, Low 59
Monday – Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning… Then slight chance of rain in the afternoon. High 82, Low 65

A ten percent chance of rain! And also, at forecast time, it’s actually warmer here than in Brownsville, Texas. Amazing.

Even warmer than advertised

Things were forecast to be warm in Brownsville the last couple of days, but temperatures were able to climb even higher than anyone had hinted at. Clouds streaming off the Gulf were not to be had, which allowed a couple extra degrees of warmth, and handed the top forecast award to The Weather Channel.
Actuals: Friday, High 82, Low 68
Saturday, High 84, Low 66

Grade: B

Brownsville, Texas

Off to very far south Texas. Funny, because that is exactly where the weather is not.

At 420PM, CT, Brownsville was reporting a temperature of 75 degrees. There were clouds streaming across the Rio Grande Valley from the Gulf of Mexico darkening the sky, but there wasn’t a threat for major synoptic development for the region.
Developing low pressure will generate a return flow, drawing moisture northeast away from Brownsville. Rain may actually develop with convergence, but it would happen over the Gulf, with much dryer air finding it’s way into Brownsville.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 79, Low 65
Saturday – Partly cloudy, High 79, Low 66

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy skies early, followed by partial clearing. High 81, Low 65
Saturday – Mostly cloudy skies High 83, Low 67

AW: Tomorrow – Patchy fog in the morning; otherwise, breezy and warm with clouds breaking for some sun High 79, Low 64
Saturday – Clouds giving way to some sun High 80, Low 64

NWS: Tomorrow – Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny High 82, Low 64
Saturday – Mostly sunny, High 78, Low 66

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog in the morning High 82, Low 64
Saturday – Mostly cloudy in the morning then clearing High 81, Low 66

Not bad, eh? Especially for people expecting to get a foot of snow in northern Iowa tomorrow. Satellite shows some clouds over the Rio Grande Valley.