Tag Archives: Blacksburg

Grimmer and more drizzly than expected

The forecast in Blacksburg called for some cloudy skies and maybe a touch of drizzle. Well, it did if you knew who to ask. Three outlets, Victoria-Weather, Weatherbug, and today’s winner, the Weather Serice, were the trio that successfully called for rain in the Appalachian town. The NWS had an ever so slight temperature forecast advantage to achieve the title.
Actuals: Thursday – High 71, Low 56
Friday – High 73, Low 62

Grade: C

Blacksburg, Virginia to Grand Rapids, Michigan

Road tripping once again. This time, we are backing up and headed to Grand Rapids on a one day trek covering 624 miles. We will be able to do this at a pace of 59.7mph, which isn’t all that quick. Fortunately, they drive fast in Michigan and we should be able to make up time. Let’s make our way to beautiful western Michigan, shall we

Blacksburg
The early part of our dry will be fairly cloud with chances for light rain, from Blacksburg through West Virginia and southern Ohio. Temperatures will still feel nice with some high dew points leading to a warm sensation even if it is dready and cloudy out. This is what happened the past couple of days in Minnesota and it was strange. A cold front will take advantage of the juicy dew points and touch off some heavy thunderstorms in southern Michigan and northwestern Ohio. We will intersect the front right as it is at its strongest, somewhere between Findlay, Ohio and Ann Arbor, Michigan. There will be a few showers northwest of Ann Arbor, but by Lansing, and then west to Grand Rapids, we should see some clearer, cooler conditions.
Grand Rapids

Kankakee, Illinois to Blacksburg, Virginia

Day two of our zig-zagging road trip streak, and this trip will only take one day, albeit a lengthy day. It will take 10 hours to cover 599.6 miles, and travel through some fairly large metropolises and over the Appalachians will slow us down to only 58.8mph. So let’s go, daylight’s wasting.

Kankakee
Model guidance is not really agreeing on what to do with a developing wave over the upper Midwest, and how much it will impact northern Illinois tomorrow morning. If you believe the GFS, which tends to be over aggressive with precipitation some times, then Kankakee will be inundated upon our departure. IF you believe the NAM, which is significantly less aggressive more often than not, will see dry skies as we leave. What both models agree on, however, is a stream of light showers extending from Indianapolis to Charleston, West Virginia, basically buffeting our entire route. The last little bit of the drive from Charleston to Blacksburg should be a bit more favorable, but we will still be moving through a steeper terrain with chances of drizzle, so the issue heading into Blacksburg will be one of traction, rather than visibility, as it will be early in the trip. Get your umbrella. Virginia Tech is playing at home against Marshall on Saturday!
Blacksburg

Blacksburg, Virginia

We are headed into the shadow of the Appalachians for our forecast on this fine September day. Well, let’s see the forecast before we decide whether or not today is all that fine for Blacksburg.

At 1155AM, ET, Blacksburg was reporting a temperature of 60 degrees with overcast skies. On the western slope of the Appalachians, there was a southwesterly flow out of the Gulf, flush with moisture and warm air, leading to the potential for cloudier skies in areas where there was turbidity in the atmosphere. There has been a standing surface trough extending from western Virginia to southeastern Missouri, and its interaction with the moisture rich flow is triggering some showers over southern West Virginia, but will lead to clouds over Blacksburg.
A strong, autumnal wave is moving through the Upper Midwest and will begin to pull the surface trough northeast and shear it apart. While this will lead to some temporary clearing in Blacksburg, it will also introduce a more southeasterly flow off the Bight of Georgia will keep some dammed up moisture over the region, and clouds accompanied by some isolated spots of drizzle will continue to be possible.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, brief spots of drizzle, High 73, Low 53
Friday – Cloudy with some afternoon drizzle, but warmer, High 77, Low 57

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 75, Low 54
Friday – Partly Cloudy High 77, Low 58

AW: Tomorrow – Patchy fog in the morning; otherwise, intervals of clouds and sunshine High 75, Low 53
Friday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a shower or thunderstorm possible High 78, Low 57

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy (showers thru 2AM) High 72, Low 51
Friday – A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, High 76, Low 58

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon. High 73, Low 51
Friday – Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 78, Low 58

It would be nice to see the sun certainly, but all told, this doesn’t sound awful.
Blacksburg

Nailing the changeover

With it being a non-standard day in Blacksburg, the trick is accurately predicting what the temperature will be at midnight, since that will probably be what the high is for the next day. Most outlets were off by a bit, then way too warm for Friday, but Ryan nailed the midnight temperature, propelling VW to a monster victory.

Thursday: 0.01″ of rain in a rain shower. High 65, Low 45.
Friday: 0.60″ of rain in persistent rain showers. High 45, Low 32.
forecast grade: A

Altoona, Pennsylvania to Blacksburg, Virginia

Such a short trip, only 5 and a half hours and 327 miles between the two loci on this trip. Somehow, it’s a 4 state journey. It’s a 58.2 mile an hour pace, but might be slower given the weather we are expecting. Let’s pack up and head south.


It’s going to be drizzly and fairly depressing as we start to head south from Altoona. We should be expecting some rain to be falling everywhere north of the Winchester area, where we will then be south of the Appalachians. After that, we should be making our drive on dry roads, though some high overcast will be possible the rest of the way from Winchester to Blacksburg, which is annoying. Maybe a spit of rain out those clouds, but not enough to seriously alter our plans. That time in Pennsylvania will be a nuisance though, that hasn’t changed.

Blacksburg, Virginia

We are headed to the eastern time zone, like pretty much all of our forecasts this week. What’s it going to be like, all nestled against the Appalachians?

At 1135PM, ET, Blacksburg was reporting a temperature of 60 degrees with clear skies. A slow moving cold front ran astride of the Appalachians, and despite a weak upslope, Blacksburg was clear and warm. Behind the front and west of the Appalachians, cloudy skies and widespread rain indicated what may be to come in Blacksburg for Thursday.
An area of low pressure will develop and become well organized along the boundary and move to the northeast. The front itself will not find it’s way into Blacksburg, so cool enough air for snow will not be likely, as it will be in the higher elevations of New England. The organization will pull moisture away from Blacksburg, and by late tomorrow and through Friday morning, the area looks to be in good shape. A deep low developing over the Gulf Stream will change that though, funneling moisture north through Virginia east of the Appalachians, and Friday evening in Blacksburg will be a little damp.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers early, High 65, Low 45
Friday – Mostly sunny, with cold rain late, High 47, Low 34 (All non-standard)

TWC: Tomorrow – Windy with a few showers developing later in the day High 68, Low 50
Friday – Cloudy with a few showers High 49, Low 39

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with occasional rain and a thunderstorm High 67, Low 47
Friday – Cooler with intervals of clouds and sunshine high 51, Low 33

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers likely, mainly between 2pm and 4pm. Cloudy, High 64, Low 47
Friday – A chance of rain, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy High 47, Low 48

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers High 62, Low 47
Friday – Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain…mainly in the afternoon High 51, Low 39

Ah yes, the season where I go through hourly forecasts to find max and min temperatures. My favorite. Satellite shows clouds over West Virginia, and less so over western Virginia. See what I did there?

Fayetteville, Arkansas to Blacksburg, Virginia

One day before I go on my road trip, it’s time for a forecast for another fictional trip, from the Ozarks to the Appalachians. This trip is about two days in the car and we’ll roll up 944 miles on the odometer. We’ll be able to cover 64.5 miles per hour, indicative of some solid interstate travel. Our first day we will cover 516 miles, leaving the rest for Wednesday.

DAY ONE


The rain will begin picking up in the Ozarks tonight and last through the morning. This almost always leads to fog in northwestern Arkansas along 540, some of which could last right through noon as we leave. The heaviest of the rain will stay south of our route through Arkansas, but after we clear Memphis and begin our drive towards Nashville, we will stay much clearer, though some clouds may obscure the sun a bit. Our day will end on the west side of Nashville.

DAY TWO
There is a decent enough chance that soe showers will filter their way into Tennessee overnight, and leave us in for another drizzly day as we push eastward. The fog we experienced at the outset will return when we hit the Smokies and the Appalachians. The drizzly conditions should leave us behind after we finally get into Virginia and begin working our way into Blacksburg. There will be a chance for some overcast conditions in Blacksburg, but hopefully it means no sunburn.

Blacksburg, Virginia

Our forecast is for the western reaches of Virginia and the Appalachians. Of course, tomorrow, I’ll be headed through the Rockies, so… I don’t know, symmetry or something.

At 1140AM, ET, Blacksburg was reporting a temperature of 46 degrees with clear skies. They were about 5 degrees off from nearby sites, though that was largely due to topography, as their skies have been clear for most of the morning. High pressure dominates the region, though a pair of jet troughs moving in from the west will bring somewhat more unsettled weather by midweek.
A sharp upper trough will swing into the Gulf of Mexico and begin to generate widespread rain and thunderstorms along the Gulf Coast. The moisture will struggle to work very far north, however, as another jet over the northern tier of states will begin to trough over the Great Lakes, allowing steering flow to redirect Gulf moisture towards the Carolinas and out of Blacksburg. Long story short, expect a fairly decent couple of days for Blacksburg.
Tomorrow- Partly to mostly cloudy, High 54, Low 30
Wednesday – Increasing clouds, High 56, Low 31

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy skies. High 54, Low 33
Wednesday – Chance of showers High 54, Low 34

AW: Tomorrow – Partial sunshine High 54, Low 30
Wednesday – Sun and areas of high clouds in the morning followed by clouds and occasional sunshine High 57, Low 28

NWS: Partly sunny, High 52, Low 32
Wednesday – A chance of rain after 2pm. Cloudy, High 50, Low 36

WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, High 52, Low 32
Wednesday – A chance of showers in the afternoon, High 52, Low 36

It will be an interesting day weatherwise on Wednesday, seeing exactly what can come that far north.