Tag Archives: Blacksburg

Blown away

The forecast for Blacksburg came just at the right time, if you are looking for an easy versus a difficult forecast. A cold front had just passed through the region, and in its stead, there was a brisk westerly flow down the Appalachians into the towns along the eastern slope of the old hills. There were winds that gusted as high as 33 miles an hour in Blacksburg on Friday, and these winds helped keep temperatures in the 50s for highs right on through Saturday. The only outlet to predict 50s on both days was The Weather Channel, and that resulted in their forecast victory.
Actuals: Friday – High 53, Low 40
Saturday – High 52, Low 34

Brade: B-C

Hartford, Connecticut to Blacksburg, Virginia

Today’s road trip will be a scenic scoot down the East Coast, from CT to VA. It’s a 619-mile drive, so while it’ll be a very long day, it’s doable. Plus, we gotta get into town before the weekend hits! College towns get a little crazy on the weekends. Pack up tonight, we’re leaving early in the morning!


Strong low pressure continues to sit over southern Quebec. While cloudy skies greet us at dawn, dry conditions are expected over the area as most of the precip gets caught up over western PA/NY. However, gusty winds will be prevalant throughout the day as the strong pressure gradient whips them up, particularly as we make our way through southeastern PA and eventually through MD/Northern VA. Skies will clear up more as we push through VA, in the evening, and we eventually pull into Blacksburg, ending our long day.


Blacksburg, Virginia

Today we venture east, to the home of Virginia Tech, Blacksburg! What weather will greet students this weekend? Let’s find out!

At 955pm EST, the temperature at Blacksburg, Virginia was 56 degrees under fair skies. A cold front worked through the area earlier today, but dry conditions were experienced as the heart of the system is working through the Great Lakes. Gusty westerly winds are anticipated for Friday as the strong low pressure system shifts towards New England, but dry weather is expected. High pressure pushes overhead for Saturday so more sunny skies will be in store for the weekend. Might be a bit chillier than some people would like for the next couple of days, but at least the sun will be out!

Friday: Mostly sunny, quite windy. High 54, Low 37.
Saturday: Sunny, calmer winds. High 47, Low 33.

TWC: Friday: Mostly sunny and windy. High 52, Low 38.
Saturday: Sunny. High 50, Low 34.

AW: Friday: Mostly sunny; breezy, cooler. High 51, Low 38.
Saturday: Sunny, but chilly. High 48, Low 34.

NWS: Friday: Sunny and breezy. High 51, Low 38
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 47, Low 32.

WB: Friday: Sunny. High 51, Low 38.
Saturday: Sunny. High 47, Low 32.

WN: Friday: Sunny. High 50, Low 37.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 46, Low 32.

FIO: Friday: Partly cloudy in morning and breezy until afternoon. High 51, Low 38.
Saturday: Clear throughout the day. High 47, Low 32.

Here we see low clouds caught up on the western side of the Appalachians in PA/WV, with clear skies in VA. More of the same is expected tomorrow!


Grimmer and more drizzly than expected

The forecast in Blacksburg called for some cloudy skies and maybe a touch of drizzle. Well, it did if you knew who to ask. Three outlets, Victoria-Weather, Weatherbug, and today’s winner, the Weather Serice, were the trio that successfully called for rain in the Appalachian town. The NWS had an ever so slight temperature forecast advantage to achieve the title.
Actuals: Thursday – High 71, Low 56
Friday – High 73, Low 62

Grade: C

Blacksburg, Virginia to Grand Rapids, Michigan

Road tripping once again. This time, we are backing up and headed to Grand Rapids on a one day trek covering 624 miles. We will be able to do this at a pace of 59.7mph, which isn’t all that quick. Fortunately, they drive fast in Michigan and we should be able to make up time. Let’s make our way to beautiful western Michigan, shall we

The early part of our dry will be fairly cloud with chances for light rain, from Blacksburg through West Virginia and southern Ohio. Temperatures will still feel nice with some high dew points leading to a warm sensation even if it is dready and cloudy out. This is what happened the past couple of days in Minnesota and it was strange. A cold front will take advantage of the juicy dew points and touch off some heavy thunderstorms in southern Michigan and northwestern Ohio. We will intersect the front right as it is at its strongest, somewhere between Findlay, Ohio and Ann Arbor, Michigan. There will be a few showers northwest of Ann Arbor, but by Lansing, and then west to Grand Rapids, we should see some clearer, cooler conditions.
Grand Rapids

Kankakee, Illinois to Blacksburg, Virginia

Day two of our zig-zagging road trip streak, and this trip will only take one day, albeit a lengthy day. It will take 10 hours to cover 599.6 miles, and travel through some fairly large metropolises and over the Appalachians will slow us down to only 58.8mph. So let’s go, daylight’s wasting.

Model guidance is not really agreeing on what to do with a developing wave over the upper Midwest, and how much it will impact northern Illinois tomorrow morning. If you believe the GFS, which tends to be over aggressive with precipitation some times, then Kankakee will be inundated upon our departure. IF you believe the NAM, which is significantly less aggressive more often than not, will see dry skies as we leave. What both models agree on, however, is a stream of light showers extending from Indianapolis to Charleston, West Virginia, basically buffeting our entire route. The last little bit of the drive from Charleston to Blacksburg should be a bit more favorable, but we will still be moving through a steeper terrain with chances of drizzle, so the issue heading into Blacksburg will be one of traction, rather than visibility, as it will be early in the trip. Get your umbrella. Virginia Tech is playing at home against Marshall on Saturday!

Blacksburg, Virginia

We are headed into the shadow of the Appalachians for our forecast on this fine September day. Well, let’s see the forecast before we decide whether or not today is all that fine for Blacksburg.

At 1155AM, ET, Blacksburg was reporting a temperature of 60 degrees with overcast skies. On the western slope of the Appalachians, there was a southwesterly flow out of the Gulf, flush with moisture and warm air, leading to the potential for cloudier skies in areas where there was turbidity in the atmosphere. There has been a standing surface trough extending from western Virginia to southeastern Missouri, and its interaction with the moisture rich flow is triggering some showers over southern West Virginia, but will lead to clouds over Blacksburg.
A strong, autumnal wave is moving through the Upper Midwest and will begin to pull the surface trough northeast and shear it apart. While this will lead to some temporary clearing in Blacksburg, it will also introduce a more southeasterly flow off the Bight of Georgia will keep some dammed up moisture over the region, and clouds accompanied by some isolated spots of drizzle will continue to be possible.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, brief spots of drizzle, High 73, Low 53
Friday – Cloudy with some afternoon drizzle, but warmer, High 77, Low 57

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 75, Low 54
Friday – Partly Cloudy High 77, Low 58

AW: Tomorrow – Patchy fog in the morning; otherwise, intervals of clouds and sunshine High 75, Low 53
Friday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a shower or thunderstorm possible High 78, Low 57

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy (showers thru 2AM) High 72, Low 51
Friday – A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, High 76, Low 58

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon. High 73, Low 51
Friday – Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 78, Low 58

It would be nice to see the sun certainly, but all told, this doesn’t sound awful.

Nailing the changeover

With it being a non-standard day in Blacksburg, the trick is accurately predicting what the temperature will be at midnight, since that will probably be what the high is for the next day. Most outlets were off by a bit, then way too warm for Friday, but Ryan nailed the midnight temperature, propelling VW to a monster victory.

Thursday: 0.01″ of rain in a rain shower. High 65, Low 45.
Friday: 0.60″ of rain in persistent rain showers. High 45, Low 32.
forecast grade: A

Altoona, Pennsylvania to Blacksburg, Virginia

Such a short trip, only 5 and a half hours and 327 miles between the two loci on this trip. Somehow, it’s a 4 state journey. It’s a 58.2 mile an hour pace, but might be slower given the weather we are expecting. Let’s pack up and head south.

It’s going to be drizzly and fairly depressing as we start to head south from Altoona. We should be expecting some rain to be falling everywhere north of the Winchester area, where we will then be south of the Appalachians. After that, we should be making our drive on dry roads, though some high overcast will be possible the rest of the way from Winchester to Blacksburg, which is annoying. Maybe a spit of rain out those clouds, but not enough to seriously alter our plans. That time in Pennsylvania will be a nuisance though, that hasn’t changed.

Blacksburg, Virginia

We are headed to the eastern time zone, like pretty much all of our forecasts this week. What’s it going to be like, all nestled against the Appalachians?

At 1135PM, ET, Blacksburg was reporting a temperature of 60 degrees with clear skies. A slow moving cold front ran astride of the Appalachians, and despite a weak upslope, Blacksburg was clear and warm. Behind the front and west of the Appalachians, cloudy skies and widespread rain indicated what may be to come in Blacksburg for Thursday.
An area of low pressure will develop and become well organized along the boundary and move to the northeast. The front itself will not find it’s way into Blacksburg, so cool enough air for snow will not be likely, as it will be in the higher elevations of New England. The organization will pull moisture away from Blacksburg, and by late tomorrow and through Friday morning, the area looks to be in good shape. A deep low developing over the Gulf Stream will change that though, funneling moisture north through Virginia east of the Appalachians, and Friday evening in Blacksburg will be a little damp.
Tomorrow – Scattered showers early, High 65, Low 45
Friday – Mostly sunny, with cold rain late, High 47, Low 34 (All non-standard)

TWC: Tomorrow – Windy with a few showers developing later in the day High 68, Low 50
Friday – Cloudy with a few showers High 49, Low 39

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with occasional rain and a thunderstorm High 67, Low 47
Friday – Cooler with intervals of clouds and sunshine high 51, Low 33

NWS: Tomorrow – Showers likely, mainly between 2pm and 4pm. Cloudy, High 64, Low 47
Friday – A chance of rain, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy High 47, Low 48

WB: Tomorrow – Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers High 62, Low 47
Friday – Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain…mainly in the afternoon High 51, Low 39

Ah yes, the season where I go through hourly forecasts to find max and min temperatures. My favorite. Satellite shows clouds over West Virginia, and less so over western Virginia. See what I did there?