Tag Archives: Blacksburg

A smattering of showers and good forecasts

The forecast in Blacksburg was a tale of two seasons. First, there was the threat for frost on Monday morning, though it was not realized and temperatures only dipped to 38. Tuesday brought a slow moving warm front with rain falling through the day, though only a quarter inch fell in town. And the warm front had to wait to bring it’s raised temperatures, as the clouds brought cooler highs than they saw on Monday. The warmer Monday lows, an the dreary Tuesday were good news for a handful of outlets. Victoria-Weather was steady across the board, Accuweather slipped on the Tuesday high, while Forecast.io stumbled with Tuesday’s low. All three drew level atop the leaderboard for the day.
Actuals: Monday – High 62, Low 38
Tuesday – .25 inches of rain, High 56, Low 39

Grade: B-C

Blacksburg, Virginia

Hey, let’s take a trip on the forecasting express to the home of Virginia Tech University.

At 315PM, ET, Blacksburg was reporting a temperature of 57 degrees with clear skies. Winds were blustery from the west, hitting gusts of 20kt. In the wake of an area of low pressure now over the Canadian Maritimes, a cool batch of high pressure within an upper level trough has settled in. There were still a few remnant clouds over the coastal areas of Virginia, but the mountains were clear.
At the base of the upper level trough, there will still be a bit of baroclinicity as it pivots through the beginning of the work week. A trailing surface trough over the Plains will redirect some southerly flow at this boundary, touching off some shower and storms will crop up from near Greensboro northwest to Indianapolis, and won’t move a whole lot through the day on Tuesday. This means there is a threat for showers and storms most of the day in Blacksburg after tomorrow should mostly be enjoyable.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 61, Low 36
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy with periods of rain and thunderstorms, High 58, Low 41

TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 60, Low 39
Tuesday – Rain, High 60, Low 41

AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny and cool High 61, Low 39
Tuesday – Partial sunshine with a passing shower in the afternoon High 60 Low 40

NWS: Tomorrow – Sunny High 58, Low 36
Tuesday – A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy High 58, Low 41

WB: Tomorrow – Sunny, High 59, Low 40
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. High 61, Low 42

WN: Tomorrow – Sunny with areas of frost, High 59, Low 34
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, High 59, Low 41

FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy until morning. High 60, Low 37
Tuesday – Rain starting overnight. Hgh 57, Low 36

There is going to be a bit of a chill in the air tonight, but the rain will be at the leading edge of some warm air. Right now, we just have some fair weather cumulus in the coastal plains.

Blown away

The forecast for Blacksburg came just at the right time, if you are looking for an easy versus a difficult forecast. A cold front had just passed through the region, and in its stead, there was a brisk westerly flow down the Appalachians into the towns along the eastern slope of the old hills. There were winds that gusted as high as 33 miles an hour in Blacksburg on Friday, and these winds helped keep temperatures in the 50s for highs right on through Saturday. The only outlet to predict 50s on both days was The Weather Channel, and that resulted in their forecast victory.
Actuals: Friday – High 53, Low 40
Saturday – High 52, Low 34

Brade: B-C

Hartford, Connecticut to Blacksburg, Virginia

Today’s road trip will be a scenic scoot down the East Coast, from CT to VA. It’s a 619-mile drive, so while it’ll be a very long day, it’s doable. Plus, we gotta get into town before the weekend hits! College towns get a little crazy on the weekends. Pack up tonight, we’re leaving early in the morning!

Hartford

Strong low pressure continues to sit over southern Quebec. While cloudy skies greet us at dawn, dry conditions are expected over the area as most of the precip gets caught up over western PA/NY. However, gusty winds will be prevalant throughout the day as the strong pressure gradient whips them up, particularly as we make our way through southeastern PA and eventually through MD/Northern VA. Skies will clear up more as we push through VA, in the evening, and we eventually pull into Blacksburg, ending our long day.

Blacksburg

Blacksburg, Virginia

Today we venture east, to the home of Virginia Tech, Blacksburg! What weather will greet students this weekend? Let’s find out!

At 955pm EST, the temperature at Blacksburg, Virginia was 56 degrees under fair skies. A cold front worked through the area earlier today, but dry conditions were experienced as the heart of the system is working through the Great Lakes. Gusty westerly winds are anticipated for Friday as the strong low pressure system shifts towards New England, but dry weather is expected. High pressure pushes overhead for Saturday so more sunny skies will be in store for the weekend. Might be a bit chillier than some people would like for the next couple of days, but at least the sun will be out!

Friday: Mostly sunny, quite windy. High 54, Low 37.
Saturday: Sunny, calmer winds. High 47, Low 33.

TWC: Friday: Mostly sunny and windy. High 52, Low 38.
Saturday: Sunny. High 50, Low 34.

AW: Friday: Mostly sunny; breezy, cooler. High 51, Low 38.
Saturday: Sunny, but chilly. High 48, Low 34.

NWS: Friday: Sunny and breezy. High 51, Low 38
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 47, Low 32.

WB: Friday: Sunny. High 51, Low 38.
Saturday: Sunny. High 47, Low 32.

WN: Friday: Sunny. High 50, Low 37.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 46, Low 32.

FIO: Friday: Partly cloudy in morning and breezy until afternoon. High 51, Low 38.
Saturday: Clear throughout the day. High 47, Low 32.

Here we see low clouds caught up on the western side of the Appalachians in PA/WV, with clear skies in VA. More of the same is expected tomorrow!

BCBsat

Grimmer and more drizzly than expected

The forecast in Blacksburg called for some cloudy skies and maybe a touch of drizzle. Well, it did if you knew who to ask. Three outlets, Victoria-Weather, Weatherbug, and today’s winner, the Weather Serice, were the trio that successfully called for rain in the Appalachian town. The NWS had an ever so slight temperature forecast advantage to achieve the title.
Actuals: Thursday – High 71, Low 56
Friday – High 73, Low 62

Grade: C

Blacksburg, Virginia to Grand Rapids, Michigan

Road tripping once again. This time, we are backing up and headed to Grand Rapids on a one day trek covering 624 miles. We will be able to do this at a pace of 59.7mph, which isn’t all that quick. Fortunately, they drive fast in Michigan and we should be able to make up time. Let’s make our way to beautiful western Michigan, shall we

Blacksburg
The early part of our dry will be fairly cloud with chances for light rain, from Blacksburg through West Virginia and southern Ohio. Temperatures will still feel nice with some high dew points leading to a warm sensation even if it is dready and cloudy out. This is what happened the past couple of days in Minnesota and it was strange. A cold front will take advantage of the juicy dew points and touch off some heavy thunderstorms in southern Michigan and northwestern Ohio. We will intersect the front right as it is at its strongest, somewhere between Findlay, Ohio and Ann Arbor, Michigan. There will be a few showers northwest of Ann Arbor, but by Lansing, and then west to Grand Rapids, we should see some clearer, cooler conditions.
Grand Rapids

Kankakee, Illinois to Blacksburg, Virginia

Day two of our zig-zagging road trip streak, and this trip will only take one day, albeit a lengthy day. It will take 10 hours to cover 599.6 miles, and travel through some fairly large metropolises and over the Appalachians will slow us down to only 58.8mph. So let’s go, daylight’s wasting.

Kankakee
Model guidance is not really agreeing on what to do with a developing wave over the upper Midwest, and how much it will impact northern Illinois tomorrow morning. If you believe the GFS, which tends to be over aggressive with precipitation some times, then Kankakee will be inundated upon our departure. IF you believe the NAM, which is significantly less aggressive more often than not, will see dry skies as we leave. What both models agree on, however, is a stream of light showers extending from Indianapolis to Charleston, West Virginia, basically buffeting our entire route. The last little bit of the drive from Charleston to Blacksburg should be a bit more favorable, but we will still be moving through a steeper terrain with chances of drizzle, so the issue heading into Blacksburg will be one of traction, rather than visibility, as it will be early in the trip. Get your umbrella. Virginia Tech is playing at home against Marshall on Saturday!
Blacksburg

Blacksburg, Virginia

We are headed into the shadow of the Appalachians for our forecast on this fine September day. Well, let’s see the forecast before we decide whether or not today is all that fine for Blacksburg.

At 1155AM, ET, Blacksburg was reporting a temperature of 60 degrees with overcast skies. On the western slope of the Appalachians, there was a southwesterly flow out of the Gulf, flush with moisture and warm air, leading to the potential for cloudier skies in areas where there was turbidity in the atmosphere. There has been a standing surface trough extending from western Virginia to southeastern Missouri, and its interaction with the moisture rich flow is triggering some showers over southern West Virginia, but will lead to clouds over Blacksburg.
A strong, autumnal wave is moving through the Upper Midwest and will begin to pull the surface trough northeast and shear it apart. While this will lead to some temporary clearing in Blacksburg, it will also introduce a more southeasterly flow off the Bight of Georgia will keep some dammed up moisture over the region, and clouds accompanied by some isolated spots of drizzle will continue to be possible.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, brief spots of drizzle, High 73, Low 53
Friday – Cloudy with some afternoon drizzle, but warmer, High 77, Low 57

TWC: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 75, Low 54
Friday – Partly Cloudy High 77, Low 58

AW: Tomorrow – Patchy fog in the morning; otherwise, intervals of clouds and sunshine High 75, Low 53
Friday – Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a shower or thunderstorm possible High 78, Low 57

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy (showers thru 2AM) High 72, Low 51
Friday – A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, High 76, Low 58

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon. High 73, Low 51
Friday – Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 78, Low 58

It would be nice to see the sun certainly, but all told, this doesn’t sound awful.
Blacksburg

Nailing the changeover

With it being a non-standard day in Blacksburg, the trick is accurately predicting what the temperature will be at midnight, since that will probably be what the high is for the next day. Most outlets were off by a bit, then way too warm for Friday, but Ryan nailed the midnight temperature, propelling VW to a monster victory.

Thursday: 0.01″ of rain in a rain shower. High 65, Low 45.
Friday: 0.60″ of rain in persistent rain showers. High 45, Low 32.
forecast grade: A