Feature Forecast: Dan Thomas, WSMV Meteorologist, Nashville, Tennessee

Today we’re happy to have Mr. Dan Thomas on the site! Dan is a meteorologist for WSMV in Nashville, TN and is a graduate of Penn State University. After being interested in weather ever since a young age, he has been living out his dream being on TV bringing weather information to the masses, especially when he worked in New Orleans during Hurricane Katrina. To find out more about Dan Thomas, check here for more information, he’s been quite the active one in front of the camera!

With the weekend approaching, here’s what Mr. Thomas has for the lovely Nashville area through the next couple of days:

SATURDAY: A mix of clouds & sunshine, with a 20% chance for a stray afternoon shower or t-storm. Wind, north 5-15 mph. High, 90.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear & warm. Low, 69.

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy, hot, and slightly less humid. Wind, variable 5-10 mph. High, 93.

Outside of a few clouds and hot temperatures, seems like a pretty favorable forecast for residents to go out and enjoy their weekend!

Greenville, North Carolina to Nashville, Tennessee

Today we get a nice long trip across I-40 from the Coastal Plains from NC to one of the hotbeds of country music, Nashville. I’ve actually taken this trip before, and midway we get to enjoy the picturesque Smoky Mountains. But will Mother Nature cooperate and give us some sunny skies to enjoy the scenery? Let’s see what this day-long 621 mile haul brings us!

We head out early today given the length of this trip, making sure to get out of the city before all of the college students from ECU can continue their weekend fun. An area of low pressure has been camping off the Outer Banks for the last few days, keeping scattered shower and thunderstorm activity over the region. This low pressure, however, is starting to drift towards the northeast as a cold front makes its way through the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, drawing the low pressure towards it. We expect a few scattered showers over Eastern North Carolina when we get going, however, with the cold front pushing through the Appalachians at this point, shower and thunderstorm activity is expected to quickly blossom during the late morning hours. By the time we roll past Raleigh towards Greensboro, the Rain-X we applied could be coming in pretty handy as some strong thunderstorms could kick up over the Coastal Plateau. By early afternoon, we should be heading towards Ashville, with much of the thunderstorm activity behind us heading towards the coast. With the front shifting through, skies should be clearing out, leaving us with fairly nice weather as we mosey on through the Appalachians into TN. There might be a couple lingering showers over the southeastern portion of TN during the late-afternoon/early-evening, but for the most part should be clear sailing as we speed on down I-40 towards Nashville. Country music awaits!

The Week Ahead 7/11/10-7/17/10

Good national coverage this week, so we’ll be able to get you a pretty good idea what is going on across the good ol’ US of A

Sunday – Napa, California
Monday – Road Trip from Napa, California to Farmington, New York
Thursday – Norwich, Connecticut
Friday – Wasau, Wisconsin
Saturday – Monroe Louisiana

Holiday Heat Subsides

For everybody on the East Coast who wanted a warm, sunny holiday weekend, they certainly got what they wished for. As mentioned in an earlier post, The Mid-Atlantic up through New England baked earlier this week as monster ridge of high pressure set up shop and didn’t budge for nearly a week. While the actual weekend was pretty toasty, Tuesday and Wednesday were the hottest of this whole episode. Most areas in southeastern NY, CT, NJ, and eastern PA cracked 100 Wednesday, and Newark topped 100 for 4 straight days, only the third recorded instance of that happening (1953 and 1993). What’s more remarkable, given the sheer volume of people living in the area affected by the worst heat, was the fact that (as of last reported count) only 5-6 people died as a direct result of the heat. This goes to show that word got out well ahead of the heat wave about its’ intensity and knew where to go to keep cool. Hopefully that count stays low when the official total comes in. In any event, it’s clear that people have learned from the 1995 Chicago heat wave how to take care of themselves and others. Kudos!

Summertime Swings

As expected, the front shifted through Cheyenne late in the day on Tuesday, bringing a few light showers Tuesday evening into Wednesday, with the stronger thunderstorms developing not too far off to the east of the city. However, what wasn’t expected, was the degree of the temperature drop-off on Wednesday. Most of us were pretty close on the low temperature Wednesday morning, but… it never recovered. Overcast skies kept Cheyenne particularly chilly Wednesday, never making it out of the mid 50’s, an impressive 27-degree drop from Tuesday. Victoria Weather nabbed the top spot, with WB and AW bringing up the rear with their relatively sultry and dry Wednesday predictions.

Tuesday: 0.02 in rain showers. High 81, Low 49.
Wednesday: another 0.02 in rain showers. High 54, Low 49.
Forecast grade: C

Winchester, Virginia

Off to the East Coast where everything is hot. Just plain hot.

At 120PM, ET, Winchester was reporting clear skies and a temperature of 98 degrees. High pressure continues to dominate the east coast, continuing to exasperate the heat wave in the area, and Winchester would certainly reach 100 again today. Obviously, the city was in a heat advisory.
A weak, disorganized area of low pressure off the coast of North Carolina will try to drift towards the Mid Atlantic, and may generate a few thunderstorms over the East Coast, but they won’t reach as far inland as Winchester. Clouds in the area may stave off temperatures tomorrow even if it doesn’t rain, but a real cool down won’t be likely until a cold front arrives on Friday night, bringing with it showers and thunderstorms, which will likely be loud and rainy.
Tomorrow – Partly to mostly cloudy, with temperatures dipping slightly. High 93, Low 70
Friday – Slightly cooler with thunderstorms in the evening, High 88, Low 69

TWC: Tomorrow – Becoming partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms developing during the afternoon. Hot High 97, low 73
Friday – Scattered thunderstorms possible High 93, Low 73

AW: Tomorrow – Sunny to partly cloudy, hot and humid; a thunderstorm in the afternoon High 94, low 72
Friday – Times of clouds and sun with a shower or thunderstorm around, mainly later; humid High 87, Low 73

NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 94, Low 70
Friday – A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, High 89, Low 70

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 94, Low 69
Friday – Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon High 89, Low 70

Still hot, but cooling down a bit for northern Virginia. A look at the satellite shows the two systems bearing down on steamy Winchester.

Warmer without the rain

As one could probably imagine, things warmed up considerably in Wichita when the remnants of Alex finally pushed off on Tuesday. The Weather Channel’s gamble didn’t pay off, and temperatures yesterday pushed 90. This eventually gave Accuweather the top spot for the day, proving that they didn’t take the 4th of July off. Poor saps.
Actuals: Monday – .41inches of rain in thunderstorms, High 82, Low 68
Tuesday – High 89, Low 67

Grade: C

Iceland

Two weeks in a row we take our travels to an island nation, though Iceland is a bit different from last weeks topic country, Cuba. Iceland, of course, is in the north Atlantic just on the outside of the Arctic Circle. They are generally too warm to be icy, at least on the coasts, because the Gulfstream that I constantly refer to in our East Coast forecasts eventually passes just south of the island nation. This keeps the Icelandic winters milder than one might expect for their latitude. The summers, however, don’t tend to be very warm. A hot day in Iceland is one that reaches the mid 70s. The path of systems that bring nasty weather to the northeast eventually takes them to Iceland. In many senses, Iceland is the place where systems go to die, and the country is often cloudy and precipitating in some fashion as an area of low pressure disbands over the area. Winds are also a common concern with the strong pressure gradients with those systems. Generally speaking, they never see any thunderstorms in Iceland, and only get lightning when one of their famous volcanoes erupts.
The Icelandic Met Office is the bureau that keeps Iceland abreast of the weather. Their site’s home page features three maps, one for wind, another for temperature and the last for precipitation. On the surface, Iceland appears to be one of those countries that keeps the weather forecasting behind the scenes, and hides things like radar or model data. With some digging though, the radar and satellite can be found under the “weather” tab, and further on the “observation” option on the sidebar. Further, under the “shipping forecast” option, you can poke around and find the actual surface analyses as well. So, while it seems the Icelanders are doing their meteorology in the background, they do offer a bit of a window into their world.
(I linked to their English site… for fun, check out Icelandic. They use a lot of letters.)

Heat wave


The difference between a summer and winter ridge is that in the winter, clear skies over night mean that temperatures over night plummet to well below zero. This is most common in the interior of the country, where they are far away from the warming effects of the ocean. In the summer, the persistently sunny skies inevitably lead to warming conditions. This is the case along the east coast, as you may have heard, where they haven’t had any rain or cause to break up the sunshine for over a week, and temperatures have responded by climbing into the upper 90s, even triple digits in some of the larger cities which will be aided by the concrete and asphalt in their quest for higher temperatures.
The east coast is also aided by the fact that the atmosphere isn’t as soupy in the mid Atlantic as it is further south in places like Atlanta and Birmingham, so the lower moisture don’t inhibit temperatures looking to skyrocket. Temperatures will continue to be toasty tomorrow for the east coast, and by toasty, I mean dangerously warm, in the neighborhood of 100+ degrees for many cities. Thursday may finally spell relief when a low in the Atlantic could bring some clouds and cooler weather.
It should be noted that with the flow of ridges, it is typically stagnant underneath them, as with the Megalopolis, however on the western flank, there is southerly flow, which could mean warmer temperatures, and almost certainly soupy weather in the Mississippi Valley as well, though there will be more widespread thunderstorms for residents there to cool off with.
Stay cool, residents from Concord to Charlotte! Only a couple more days to go!

Slow moving

As Anthony mentioned in yesterday’s forecast for Cheyenne, there is a huge, hot are of low pressure holding up traffic on the east coast. It’s making things get extremely warm for the the East Coast, and hung things up over the Upper Midwest as well. A boundary that threatened to move through Fargo Saturday night took until early Sunday to expend it’s moisture. The warm air built quickly behind it as a secondary cold front still hasn’t quite made it’s way through Fargo, and things were rather toasty in the city. Accuweather came through with the top forecast, when you realize I transcribed a 69 when I should have put in 59 for their Monday low.
Actuals: Sunday – .24 inches of rain, High 84, Low 63
Monday – High 83, Low 58

Grade: A

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