Category Archives: Verification

No relief

There was hope that a few clouds and some storms in Winchester, and for that matter, the rest of the east coast, would cool things off over the past couple of days. Unfortunately, the storms never came, and it remained very warm in Winchester. 99 hot degrees on Thursday and only a few degrees cooler on Friday. The Weather Channel had the toasty forecast mostly correct and had the top spot. The hot seat, in this case.
Actuals: Thursday – High 99, Low 71
Friday – High 92, Low 75

Grade C

Summertime Swings

As expected, the front shifted through Cheyenne late in the day on Tuesday, bringing a few light showers Tuesday evening into Wednesday, with the stronger thunderstorms developing not too far off to the east of the city. However, what wasn’t expected, was the degree of the temperature drop-off on Wednesday. Most of us were pretty close on the low temperature Wednesday morning, but… it never recovered. Overcast skies kept Cheyenne particularly chilly Wednesday, never making it out of the mid 50’s, an impressive 27-degree drop from Tuesday. Victoria Weather nabbed the top spot, with WB and AW bringing up the rear with their relatively sultry and dry Wednesday predictions.

Tuesday: 0.02 in rain showers. High 81, Low 49.
Wednesday: another 0.02 in rain showers. High 54, Low 49.
Forecast grade: C

Warmer without the rain

As one could probably imagine, things warmed up considerably in Wichita when the remnants of Alex finally pushed off on Tuesday. The Weather Channel’s gamble didn’t pay off, and temperatures yesterday pushed 90. This eventually gave Accuweather the top spot for the day, proving that they didn’t take the 4th of July off. Poor saps.
Actuals: Monday – .41inches of rain in thunderstorms, High 82, Low 68
Tuesday – High 89, Low 67

Grade: C

Slow moving

As Anthony mentioned in yesterday’s forecast for Cheyenne, there is a huge, hot are of low pressure holding up traffic on the east coast. It’s making things get extremely warm for the the East Coast, and hung things up over the Upper Midwest as well. A boundary that threatened to move through Fargo Saturday night took until early Sunday to expend it’s moisture. The warm air built quickly behind it as a secondary cold front still hasn’t quite made it’s way through Fargo, and things were rather toasty in the city. Accuweather came through with the top forecast, when you realize I transcribed a 69 when I should have put in 59 for their Monday low.
Actuals: Sunday – .24 inches of rain, High 84, Low 63
Monday – High 83, Low 58

Grade: A

Gorgeous Weekend

Given that the 4th of July was on a Sunday this year, this meant lots of people would be out and about hoping to score some nice weather with their holiday weekend. Luckily, for the people of San Jose anyways, Mother Nature pulled through. Mostly clear skies and some breezy afternoon winds pushed temperatures into the mid to upper 80’s. Whatever was perplexing VW and others about the cooler Independence Day came to fruition, as the NWS nabbed the top spot with their cooler 4th of July. Hope everybody had a safe and happy weekend!

Saturday: High 88, Low 56.
Sunday: High 85, Low 56.

Forecast grade: A

Surprising chill

That’s a tough title to wrap your head around when, in fact, Jefferson City was in the mid 80s for highs for the past two days. When everyone forecasts highs a few degrees warmer, thanks to the clear skies and southerly flow, it is a little surprising that temperatures don’t get up to the neighborhood we were expecting. Victoria Weather still managed the top forecast.
Actuals: Thursday – High 82, Low 64
Friday – High 86, Low 62

Grade: C

A breath of fresh air

Sioux City successfully made it through the end of June without any more problems, seeing temperatures in the lower 80s with not a drop of rain to be had. Not a bad way to close out the month, especially the way it had been going. Weatherbug had the top forecast for the city.
Actuals: Tuesday – High 82, Low 53
Wednesday – High 84, Low 56

Grade: A

Too many storms

I suspected that Cleveland may be in good shape over the forecast period, avoiding any real severe weather due to the timing of the thunderstorms. Well, instead the storms came through in the middle of the day on Sunday and left a swath of damage in the Cleveland metro. There was a small tornado up in Ashtabula, but most of the damage was the result of straight line winds. The airport in Cleveland reported winds of over 40mph in the early evening. The Weather Channel, as seems to be usual lately, had the top forecast.
Actuals: Sunday – .21 inches of rain in thunderstorms, High 93, Low 73
Monday – .02 inches of rain, High 82, Low 73

Grade: B

Foiled by sprinkles

Only one outlet had the thundershowers properly forecast in Lewiston, Idaho. One little guy snuck into town in the early afternoon on Friday and brought a trace of rain, and the Weather Channel had it in their forecast. TWC’s correct precip forecast gave them the victory, as it knocked V-W out of the top spot. Blast!
Actuals: Friday – Trace of rain, High 84, Low 59
Saturday – High 83, Low 56

Grade: B

Problems with the low

Elmira was a tricky forecast for a few people. There was a thunderstorm in town on Tuesday, and some spotty showers on Wednesday, but the real issue for the Weather Service and Weatherbug were lows. Tuesday, temperatures stayed warmer overnight than expected, while the opposite situation came to be on Wednesday. Actually, the lows were only different by 4 degrees, but the forecast lows from the NWS and Weatherbug were different by 15 degrees. Victoria Weather, with our more baseline forecast had the top spot in Elmira.
Actuals: Tuesday – .19 inches of rain in a thunderstorm, High 79, Low 60
Wednesday – .03 inches of rain, High 87, Low 64

Grade: B