Category Archives: Verification

Unexpected lows

Lafayette was still supposed to see a reasonable southerly flow as a little system swung it’s way north of town over the past couple of days, which would bring some increasing humidity and of course, some warming temperatures. Temperatures didn’t respond as they were supposed to. Sure, everything was warmer than average, but every low was at least 4 degrees off. Unsightly. Then there was a mysterious .01″ of rain seen early Sunday morning, though it was discounted by the observer and no falling precip was ever reported. The Weather Channel and Accuweather had the top two forecasts.
Actuals: Saturday – High 82, Low 57
Sunday – High 87, Low 62

Grade C

Unexplained phenomenon

The temperatures in Redding were wildly different than the common consensus. The high on Tuesday peaked at 90, but the high on Wednesday was 76. The enormously warm temperature is easily explained by the 10mph north wind, which induced some solid downsloping. Why was it so cool on Wednesday though? I have no freaking clue. Anthony’s forecast was the best of the bunch, but that really doesn’t say much, unfortunately.
Actuals: Tuesday – High 91, Low 46
Wednesday – High 76, Low 48

Grade D

A chill to the air

The air has a distinct autumnal feel in eastern Wisconsin at long last. It took until mid-October for the typically fall-like temperatures to return, but they finally did in Green Bay, just in time for our forecast. Clearer than expected skies (for some, anyways) meant temperatures were free to dip to the 30s each of the last two mornings in Green Bay. With the slight chance for some drizzle in the area, many kept temperatures warmer Monday morning, expecting some blanketing clouds. Didn’t happen, obviously, and Victoria-Weather ended up nabbing the top forecast spot.
Actuals: Monday – High 56, Low 36
Tuesday – High 59, Low 35

Grade: B

Sunshine State Fulfills

Normally, scattered showers and thunderstorms are the daily norm for Florida, being nearly surrounded by water and all. However, lovely weather prevailed over Punta Gorda as the work week started, with nary a drop to be had. Victoria Weather took home the top forecast.

Sunday: High 84, Low 55.
Monday: High 82, low 59.
Forecast grade: B

And then the bottom dropped out

Showery conditions were the norm for Benton Harbor to end the week, with Friday being the rainier of the two days. The real surprise was the strength of a cold front that swept through on Wednesday, and more specifically what it did to overnight lows. Temperatures dropped to the 30s for lows in each of those days, considerably cooler than anyone had anticipated. V-W and Accuweather had the top spot for the forecast.
Actuals: Thursday – .01 inches of rain, High 63, Low 37
Friday – .09 inches of rain, High 59, Low 35

Grade: D

I guess it was a cold front

A weak little boundary was supposed to sweep through Tuscaloosa on Tuesday, with the city recovering on Wednesday with temperatures climbing back into the 80s. Well, that’s what we mostly thought was going to happen. As it turned out, the little boundary brought some cooler air along with it. The jet aloft strengthened considerably compared to the expectation which fostered the cooler advection, and the high on Wednesday was 6-8 degrees cooler than expected, depending on who you asked. The top spot went to Victoria Weather and the Weather Service, who lost points for forecasting more showers on Wednesday.
Actuals: Tuesday – .12 inches of rain, High 80, Low 57
Wednesday – High 76, Low 57.

Grade: C

I’ll never understand the mountains

Bend and Redmond Oregon are 17 miles apart. Had the forecast been for Redmond, it would have been a dogfight between ourselves, The Weather Channel and Acuweather. For whatever reason, it was 10 degrees warmer in Bend, and that handed the award to Weatherbug, who nabbed the top spot easily.
Actuals: Monday – High 57, Low 37
Tuesday – High 66, Low 32

Grade: B

Chilly mornings

I brought the temperature up a little bit in York for the Friday morning forecast, because that seemed to be what the rest of the world opined. Oops. Temperatures instead rattled down to below 40 on Friday morning, much cooler than anyone thought. On the heels of their topping us all in September, Accuweather took the top spot in York.
Actuals: Friday – High 73, Low 39
Saturday – High 77, Low 46

Grade B

Gorgeous Start

Typically scattered showers and thunderstorms dot the Gulf of Mexico region on a daily basis. However, a strong area of high pressure has kept the entire region dry as a bone. Houston was no exception, as a couple of warm sunny days were met as we kicked off the week. Victoria-Weather brought home the top spot.

Monday: High 77, Low 53.
Tuesday: High 79, Low 49.
Forecast grade: B

Led astray

The airport in Cumberland has a terribly knack for not reporting rain. At first, I thought it was actually dry the past two days there, however I took a look at nearby stations, and they all reported rain, just like was in the forecast. Anyways, the temperatures remained cool, and only cooled off on Monday with a thick blanket of clouds over the mountain town. Victoria-Weather and Weatherbug ended up with the top forecasts in town.
Actuals: Sunday – Rain, probably, High 64, Low 44
Monday – Probably some more rain, High 53, Low 46

Grade: B