All posts by Anthony

Chicago, Illinois

After seemingly only forecasting for CA cities, I get to forecast for one of my favorite cities in the country, Chicago! Having grown up in sort-of nearby Rochelle, IL, Chicago has always been a favorite of mine, and owns all of my sports allegiances. Hopefully I have more success in this forecast than the Bears did against DeAngelo Hall this past weekend. Oh, burn!

At 2:51pm CDT, the temperature at Chicago O’Hare International Airport was 44 degrees under overcast skies. Chicago is finally settling down from the giant record-setting low-pressure system that plowed through the Central US a couple days ago, as well as pushing a swath of severe weather from the Central Great Lakes down into the TN Valley. The “Chiclone” as it was dubbed, or to steal jargon from last years’ blizzards, “Windpocalypse”, wound up becoming the strongest non-tropical low pressure system ever recorded on land in the United States, bottoming out at 28.21″ in Bigfork, MN. Always fun to see an all-time weather record fall! So why am I talking about the weather Chicago and the rest of the Upper Midwest has gone through in the last couple of days instead of what’s about to happen as we move into the weekend? Well, because with high pressure moving in behind this system, Chi-town will be bathed in sunlight and dry conditions. So, the fine residents of the city can get out and enjoy some pleasant weather and ponder if the Bears will get an offensive line, if the Blackhawks can repeat, or how long one can sit in traffic on Lake Shore Drive!

Friday: Mostly sunny. High 50, Low 33.
Saturday: Continued sunny. High 58, Low 38.

TWC: Friday: Sunny, High 54, Low 31.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. High 62. Low 39.

AW: Friday: Sunshine, poor hunting conditions (um, come again?) High 51, Low 30.
Saturday: Sunny. High 59, Low 37.

NWS: Friday: Clearing and sunny. High 51, Low 31.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 61, Low 39

WB: Friday: Mostly sunny. High 49, Low 32.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. High 59, Low 40.

Here we see the overcast skies still lingering over Illinois. They’ll break up for tomorrow though, and the sun will get to play for a few days

Sunshine State Fulfills

Normally, scattered showers and thunderstorms are the daily norm for Florida, being nearly surrounded by water and all. However, lovely weather prevailed over Punta Gorda as the work week started, with nary a drop to be had. Victoria Weather took home the top forecast.

Sunday: High 84, Low 55.
Monday: High 82, low 59.
Forecast grade: B

Redding, California

Behold, as once again I do a forecast for a California town! However, this one is not along the coast or in Southern CA, so a bit of a treat! Will the weather be a treat as well, or will it trick us with some midweek gloom?

At 6:53pm PDT, the temperature at Redding, CA was 78 degrees under fair skies. High pressure has taken hold over Pacific Northwest and the Northern Rockies, with the southern extend of the high holding firm over Northern CA. Redding is found at the very northern edge of CA’s Central Valley before you get into the more mountainous terrain of far northern CA, so warm temperatures are still commonplace later in the fall season. An upper level low has been camping out over Southern CA making it rainy for LA and San Diego, but is far enough south that only some weak cloud layers have managed to venture over Redding the last couple of days. With high pressure continuing to deflect any systems up into Canada, Redding should continue their streak of pleasant weather into midweek.

Tuesday: Sunny. High 85, Low 52.
Wednesday: More sun. High 81, Low 49.

TWC: Tuesday: Sunny. High 88, Low 55.
Wednesday: Sunny. High 85, Low 53.

AW: Tuesday: Sunny. High 84, Low 46.
Wednesday: More sun, morning low breaking 1996 record of 40. High 80, Low 39.

NWS: Tuesday: Sunny. High 86, Low 55.
Wednesday: Continued sunny. High 82, Low 56.

WB: Tuesday: Sunny. High 84, Low 54.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 81, Low 50.

There’s going out on a limb, and going WAY out on a limb, as Accuweather is forecasting a Wednesday morning low 10-15 colder than everybody else and breaking the record. Well, no guts no glory right? Here we see the relatively benign conditions over northern CA.

Israel

Today we get to profile a country we hear very often in the news, but never for meteorological reasons. Let’s change that today! Israel is a small country located on the eastern end of the Mediterranean Sea and boasts one of the highest life expectancies in the world. Despite its’ small size, the geography of the country varies greatly, from the desert in the south to mountain ranges in the north. Also, Israel is home to the Dead Sea, which boasts the lowest above ground point on Earth at 1,385 feet below sea level. Naturally, Israel has a Mediterranean climate, which has long, hot, dry summers and short, cool, rainy winters. Most of this rain falls along the coastal lowlands and the mountains in the north, with miniscule amounts dropping in the southern deserts.
The aptly named Israel Meteorological Service is the nation’s governing weather body, and has a pretty good website. Once changing it to English, it’s fairly easy to navigate, finding satellite loops and forecast tabs. Also, is a list of hourly observations for the last 24 hours for nearly 2 dozen cities across the country. A climatology page is also found for a few main cities for a wide range of elements. All-in-all, an informative site that should supply you with all you need to know about your impending vacation!

What A Difference A Year Makes

Lately the country has been in an overall stagnant pattern, with much of the activity being deflected up into Canada as strong high pressure took hold over much of the Eastern and Central US. That’s given way over the last couple days as a cutoff low pressure system has been very slowly making its way over the Southern Plains to the Lower MS River Valley kicking up some thunderstorm activity over the region. Here in the Upper Midwest, we’ve been enjoying some very warm weather over the last few days. Yesterday, Minneapolis notched exactly 80 degrees, the 4th consecutive day we hit that here in the Twin Cities. What’s more impressive, is that our September only cracked 80 once (on the 20th). Last year, on this date, Minneapolis was experiencing it’s 1st significant snowfall of the season (2.5″) on the only day of the month where we didn’t make it to at least 40 degrees, topping out at a chilly 36. In fact, only 3 days in October 2009 did MSP hit 60 or higher. So, far, only 2 of the 12 days HAVEN’T hit 60 degrees. What will October 2011 bring for us? Hmmm, perhaps we should worry about the rest of this month first.

Gorgeous Start

Typically scattered showers and thunderstorms dot the Gulf of Mexico region on a daily basis. However, a strong area of high pressure has kept the entire region dry as a bone. Houston was no exception, as a couple of warm sunny days were met as we kicked off the week. Victoria-Weather brought home the top spot.

Monday: High 77, Low 53.
Tuesday: High 79, Low 49.
Forecast grade: B

Cumberland, Maryland

Off we go to the East Coast for today’s forecast. After getting drenched earlier in the week, will they get a reprieve, or does Mother Nature have another cruel trick up her sleeve?

At 7:53pm, the temperature was 54 degrees under fair skies in Cumberland. An upper-level trough is digging in over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, which will eventually form a cut-off low over the region. A mid-level disturbance weakly defined at the surface looks to drop out of Ohio down to the Southern Appalachians. An area of low pressure sitting offshore the Carolinas will slowly lift north along the coast before pushing into the Hudson River Valley later on Monday. This means some increasing clouds tomorrow for Western MD so temperatures should still make it into the low to mid 60’s by afternoon. A few scattered showers will filter into the area late Sunday evening, then with the low off the coast moving northward, combining with the weaker disturbance to the west, creates a chance of showers throughout the day on Monday. Rainfall amounts shouldn’t be too terribly high though, with heavier amounts staying off to the east. Then again, the last thing this region needs is any more rain.

Sunday: Increasing clouds, late evening showers. High 64, Low 45.
Monday: Scattered rain showers. High 56, Low 46.

TWC: Sunday: Afternoon showers. High 65, Low 46.
Monday: Rain and wind throughout the day. High 57, Low 47.

AW: Sunday: Possible rain showers. High 62, Low 42.
Monday: Rain likely, over 3/4″ possible. High 59, Low 47.

NWS: Sunday: Scattered showers in evening. High 63, Low 45.
Monday: Showers likely. High 57, Low 45.

WB: Sunday: Scattered showers. High 62, Low 44.
Monday: Rain likely. High 55, Low 45.

Here we see the system off to the west slowly pushing towards Cumberland, with clouds associated with that low pressure off the Carolina coastline. Looks like the umbrellas will need to be brought out once again.

Making the Quota

Earlier this year, we had a couple of posts talking about the upcoming 2010 Hurricane Season, with predictions all over the place, covering 12-23 named storms (just a small range there). There have been plenty of strong hurricanes this season, with 5 major hurricanes on the tally so far. However, there have been a few storms that have left us scratching our heads, wondering what the NHC was thinking. Tropical Depression Two was active for about 24 hours before moving over land in northeastern Mexico, Tropical Depression Five meandered around the northeastern Golf of Mexico for a day or so as it meandered over land during then too before dissipating. Gaston developed into a tropical storm and dissipated all pretty much within a day. And most recently, in a very bizarre story, Tropical Storm Nicole apparently had tropical storm strength for all of FOUR HOURS before dissipating and getting absorbed into a larger system that’s dumping tons of rain on the East Coast. Seriously now, four HOURS? I didn’t know that was possible. Is this a season of odd timing and coincidences, or is the NHC trying to pad their stats? We’ll find out soon enough, only 2 months left to go in the season!

Mother Nature on Vacation

As mentioned in the Pueblo forecast, there is NOTHING going on out west. The dry forecasts continue to pile up for the western cities, with high temperatures as well. Accuweather took home the top spot for this lovely Colorado city, based on their low temperature forecasts.

Tuesday: High 91, Low 45.
Wednesday: High 94, Low 47.
Forecast grade: A

Sizzling Out West

Well the high pressure ridge out west kept much of the West Coast and Desert Southwest scorching this week, and Redding was no different. Temperatures nearly cracked 100 on Monday, then followed it up with an even hotter Tuesday. However, the calm winds and clear skies did help radiate out temperatures greatly during the night, falling into the mid 50s. That’s where most people got burnt, figuratively speaking of course. That aside, Ryan’s forecast for VW brought home the title, narrowly edging AW. That’s 2 out of the last 3 for yours truly, lets see if we can continue the hot streak to finish out the month!

Monday: High 99, Low 55.
Tuesday: High 103, Low 54.
Forecast grade: C