All posts by Anthony

Salisbury, Maryland

Our string of East Coast forecasts continues. This time we visit one of the hometowns of one of my friends, will she continue to experience the unseasonably warm weather they’ve been having there lately?

At 5:54PM EDT, the temperature was 79 degrees under fair skies. A few high clouds were found overhead as a frontal boundary over the Ohio Valley is lifting northward into the Great Lakes. Remember that large high pressure ridge over the eastern US that’s dominated the last few forecasts? Yup, it’ll keep things nice and toasty here too. The high today was 82 degrees, a new record high (old record: 80 in 1985). The next couple of days have an outside shot of cracking it as well, but I wouldn’t bet the house on it. Some fog is expected during the early morning hours Tuesday and burn off not too long after sunrise, but should keep temperatures a couple degrees higher for lows tonight. Otherwise a run at a possible record is in store tomorrow (88 in 1929), less so on Wednesday since the record is 89. If you’re wondering, the average high is about 64 degrees.

Tuesday: Some morning fog, few AM clouds, then sunny. High 84, Low 54.
Wednesday: Sunny. High 84, Low 59.

TWC: Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High 82, Low 57.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 83, Low 62.

AW: Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 82, Low 50.
Wednesday: Sunny. High 85, Low 58.

NWS: Tuesday: AM fog, afternoon sun. High 85, Low 51.
Wednesday: Sunny. High 85, Low 58.

WB: Tuesday: Sunny. High 83, Low 51.
Wednesday: Sunny. High 84, Low 58.

Some clouds off to the west will lift north into the Northeast for tomorrow. Meanwhile, all that nothingness over the Southeast will move over the Mid-Atlantic tomorrow.

High Pressure Continues

The large scale ridge over the Eastern US continued it’s stranglehold over the region, forcing the upper-level trough into Canada. As Ryan had mentioned, clouds were on the increase, but no precip was able to come close to Altoona over the last couple of days. TWC came out on top thanks to their slightly cooler temperatures.

Saturday: High 75, Low 51.
Sunday: High 70, Low 51.

Forecast Grade: A

Tobacco Road Success

Ryan’s forecast for Greensboro had low temperatures a good few degrees warmer than most everybody else. Turns out, that’s what propelled him to a victory for his weekend forecast! Can Duke duplicate this success in tomorrow’s title game vs. Butler? If he could forecast that as accurately as his Greensboro temperatures, Ryan would be vacationing in Vegas right now instead of the West Coast.

Friday: High 87, Low 51.
Saturday: High 80, Low 56.

Forecast Grade: B

Rome, Georgia

Ryan is off gallivanting around Southern California, earthquakes and all, so naturally, we get to forecast for somewhere completely on the opposite side of the country.

At 9:53PM EDT, the temperature was 66 degrees at Rome, GA under fair skies. Much like the last forecast I did, I would explain the intricacies of the weather pattern, chances of precip, harrowing weather conditions that are imminent, and so on. Sadly, much like my last forecast, this forecast is lacking any of that. While there is a frontal boundary found from the Ohio Valley down into the Southern Plains, this boundary will break up as it approaches the Appalachians. High pressure currently parked from the Carolinas into the eastern Gulf of Mexico is dominating the region, and doesn’t show any signs of letting up over the next couple of days. Not until a rather vigorous cold front moves into the region on Thursday morning will Rome see a chance of showers and thunderstorms. In the meantime, warm temperatures and sunny skies will greet the start of the workweek.

Monday: Sunny, a few clouds. High 86, Low 56.
Tuesday: Continued sunny. High 87, Low 53.

NWS: Monday: Sunny. High 85. Low 55.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 85, Low 57.

AW: Monday: Mostly sunny and warm. High 86, Low 54.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 88, Low 52.

WB: Monday: Sunny. High 86, Low 55.
Tuesday: Continued sunny. High 85, Low 54.

TWC: Monday: Sunny. High 87, Low 55.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 87, Low 55.

As mentioned before, not much to see over the Southeast today. Maybe those storms on Thursday will make things more interesting!

Gainesville, Florida

From coast to coast my forecasts take me this week. Strangely enough, the weather is just as monotonous.

At 1:53pm EDT, the temperature in Gainesville is 76 degrees under fair skies. Normally we have a in-depth writeup about what weather features are affecting the area, if they are going to bring in precip, or huge differences in predictions between our competitors. Today, there’s none of that. A large dome of high pressure has parked itself over the Southeast US and will spread over the East Coast over the next couple of days, pushing that pesky area of low pressure over New England out to sea finally. What does this mean for Gainesville and it’s hoardes of sun-loving college students? Sunny skies and warm temperatures. Bust out the sunscreen!

Thursday: Sunny. High 83, Low 46.
Friday: Continued sunny. High 83, Low 49.

TWC: Thursday: Sunny. High 84, Low 47.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High 83, Low 51.

AW: Thursday: Sunny and nice. High 82, Low 44.
Friday: Sunny and pleasant. High 82, Low 51.

NWS: Thursday: Clear. High 82, Low 44.
Friday: Continued clear. High 82, Low 48.

WB: Thursday: Sunny. High 82, Low 44.
Friday: Sunny. High 83, Low 48.

As you can see, not much going on out there. Enjoy!

Denver, Colorado to Gainesville, Florida

From the foothills of the Rockies to one of the biggest party schools in the nation, our drive is going to cover 1737 miles. Better hit the road!

DAY ONE

A rather vigorous upper-level trough is digging into the Western US, with an area of low pressure intensifying over the Central Plains. This area of low pressure won’t move very much throughout the day, but strong low-level flow out ahead of it is going to make for some VERY windy conditions for nearly the entire route between Denver and Kansas City. A couple of light rain showers are possible in the Denver area during the morning hours as we head our way eastwards into Nebraska, but for the most part the trip today should be dry as the cold front makes its way out of the Four Corners and into the High Plains from Kansas to western Texas.

DAY TWO

The cold front will continue to move through the Central Plains during the overnight into Friday morning, drawing closer to KC. However, most of the precip will remain right along the front, so showers should be of worry as we push eastward through Missouri during the morning hours towards St. Louis. However, winds will continue to be gusty out ahead of the front so keeping the car on the road will require a little bit of attention. By then end of Friday, the cold front will have made its way into Missouri, but winds will be lighter over central TN, where we’re parking in Nashville for the night.

DAY THREE

Once again, it’s a race against the cold front. By morning, rain and thunderstorms will have made their way to Memphis, with a chance of a few spotty showers pushing as far east as Nashville.  Things should dry out as we head southeastward through Atlanta, as high pressure over the East Coast will put the kibosh on any significant amount of showers pushing too far ahead of the front. Winds will be a lot calmer today as well as we push towards FL, due to the high pressure. Mostly clear skies should greet us in Gainesville as we arrive in the late evening. Saturday night in a big college town, surely there will be a couple of parties to relax after a long trip!

Elizabethtown, Kentucky

Sorry, there will be no in-depth analysis featuring Orlando Bloom and Kirsten Dunst here. However, the weather for the next couple of days will be just as beautiful as fans of those stars think they are!

At 12:56pm EDT, the temperature at Elizabethtown, KY was 45 degrees under overcast skies. A large storm system is pummeling the East Coast from NC northward through New England, dropping copious amounts of rain. The main low is found just offshore of the Carolinas, with a bit of a low pressure trough extending northwestward into the Southern Appalachians. This is keeping some cloudy skies over the eastern half of Kentucky, but will burn off during the afternoon as the main cloud deck also pulls off towards the east. As the low shifts up the East Coast, a ridge of high pressure will build over the Ohio Valley, clearing out the skies and bringing warm weather surging back into the region on Wednesday, with winds a bit higher as well in the afternoon. This ridge will expand over the Eastern U.S., keeping Elizabethtown dry not only over the next couple days, but through much of the rest of the week as well.

VW: Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 65, Low 38.
Wednesday: Clear and warmer. High 75, Low 45.

TWC: Tuesday: Sunny. High 64, Low 36.
Wednesday: Sunny and warmer. High 74, Low 42.

AW: Tuesday: Partly cloudy, becoming sunny. High 64, Low 36.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and warmer. High 78, Low 44.

NWS: Tuesday: Sunny. High 64, Low 36.
Wednesday: Continued sunny. High 77, Low 44.

WB: Tuesday: Sunny. High 64, Low 37.
Wednesday: Sunny. High 77, Low 47.

While it’s overcast now, it should become sunny later today, which will stick around for the next few days. Except, of course, at night. Otherwise that’d just be weird.

A 23-hour day?

Our competition all had a chance of showers or thunderstorms late Sunday night for Naples, we figured that they would hold off to the east. If our days lasted 23 hours, we would have stormed (no pun intended) to victory! Sadly, a rogue thunderstorm decided to move into the area after 11pm on Sunday, dropping a quick 4/10ths of an inch before midnight. Curses! AW wound up taking the top spot, with no added embellishment from Joe Bastardi.

Saturday: High 81, Low 55
Sunday: 0.42″ of rain in a thunderstorm. High 81, Low 66

Forecast grade: B

Allentown, Pennsylvania to Santa Cruz, California

Yup, a grueling 2906mile cross-country trip that’ll take 6 days. Best get on our way…

Day 1
Clouds will be streaming over Allentown early in the day as a warm front slowly lifts its way towards the Southern Great Lakes. The first half of the trip should be fairly benign with clouds thickening and lowering, however, light rain showers will begin to show themselves by early afternoon. As we make our way into Ohio and head towards Cleveland, some moderate rains will be possible as the main area of low pressure that’s affecting the region passes off to our south. No thunderstorms are expected for us, as those will remain a decent distance towards the south. We will need to make sure the windshield wipers are in working order though as we finish off the day making our way towards Toledo, the stop for our first night. A few light rain showers will still be possible in late evening, but will continue to dwindle overnight as the system presses eastward.

DAY TWO
Dry weather greets us as we wake up for our next leg of our trip, but will be markedly cooler with morning lows in the upper 20s with high pressure starting to build in during the morning. Mostly sunny skies are expected as we trek into northern Indiana with temps warming into the 40s by midday. Today should be a fairly non-descript day as we continue past the south side of Chicago and towards the Quad Cities. Southerly winds might pick up some towards the latter pary of the day as we make our way to Des Moines, our stop for the day, as another system starts taking shape over the Southern Plains.

DAY THREE
As an area of low pressure ejects into the Southern Plains, the winds could kick up a lil bit during the morning hours as we hop back onto the I-80 and continue our westward march through the Plains. Some light rain is possible during the morning as the low pressure makes its way fully into the Plains, but will increase to a possibly heavier steady rain as we continue west on I-80 through Omaha and through the Cornhusker State. Rain will start to lighten up as we cruise past North Platte and pretty much end as we make our way past Ogallala. Clouds will continue to linger over the area as we make our way to Sidney, NE, the halfway point of our journey.

DAY FOUR
By now the kids are getting restless as the batteries in the Gamy Boy gets low, but soon they’ll have something to keep them entertained, mountains! The topography that we’ve been lacking the last couple of days will show up almost immediately as we make our way into Wyoming and past Cheyenne. High pressure will be moving over much of the Rockies today, so aside from some lingering low clouds early in the day that’ll burn off, just some mostly high clouds will dim the sun from time to time as our exploration of I-80 continues. Again, today should be a fairly non-descript day as we wind our way into the Rockies and finish our day at Salt Lake City. Who’s up for a swim!?

DAY FIVE
A large trough is going to start moving its’ way towards the West Coast, so clouds will be on the increase as we make our way out of Utah and wind our way through Northern Nevada. The view should still be entertaining and clouds will remain high as the thicker ones haven’t quite been able to push over the Sierra Nevada just yet. A couple of isolated showers are possible during the early afternoon north of Battle Mountain and Winnemucca, but our afternoon should continue on the dry side. A couple of stray showers might be able to make their way over the mountains and into Reno as we finish our day, but most of that action should be moving in overnight.

DAY SIX
We finish our exploration, and our trip, today as we make our way up into the Sierra Nevada towards Truckee, CA. Most of the heavier rains will have happened during the overnight, and begin to lighten during the morning hours. It’ll be slow going during the morning with the wet roads and steep grades, but luckily today’s trek is not nearly as long as the rest of the trip. Conditions will dry out as the bulk of the system pushes into the Northern Rockies. A few lingering upslope showers are possible as we head out of the Tahoe National Forest, but for the most part the rest of the day should be on the dry side. Some low clouds will continue to linger over the area as another system will move in towards the overnight hours, but the rest of the drive into Santa Cruz should by dry, but cloudy. Finally, we’ve arrived at the Pacific Ocean! And we didn’t even need to ford a river.

Santa Cruz, California

As Ryan mentioned earlier, i’m covering the forecast and road trip updates today. They’re getting up a little late tonight however, as I encountered something even more difficult to predict on my way back from my CA vacation… airplane delays! Nothing like a 4 hour delay to brighten your day. However, off we go to Santa Cruz. Interesting how my vacation was bookended with forecasts for CA cities.

At 933pm PDT, the temperature was 54degrees with cloudy skies. A cold front is starting to push its’ way through Northern California, with the main low remaining off the coastline of the Pacific Northwest. Some showers are swinging through the San Francisco area ahead of the front, with a few lighter ones lingering behind. Once this band pushes through, conditions should be fairly dry for the remainder of the day, however some clouds should continue to linger through mid-morning. Some sun should break though for the afternoon and evening hours, making for a relatively decent day, albeit a bit on the breezy side. A second disturbance is looking to rotate it’s way through northern CA as well late Thursday into early Friday. Clouds are expected as it moves through, but light shower activity should remain off to the north. When Friday morning comes around, most of the low pressure trough should be building towards the Four Corners region with high pressure reasserting itself along the CA coastline. This means mostly sunny skies to kick off the weekend, with less wind than Thursday.

Thursday: A few early AM showers, then mostly cloudy. High 60, Low 46.
Friday: Clouds decreasing through day, mostly sunny by afternoon. High 65, Low 41.

TWC: Thursday: Slight chance of morning shower. High 61, Low 46.
Friday: Sunny. High 64, Low 42.

AW: Thursday: Possible AM shower, then breezy. High 60, Low 47.
Friday: Partly sunny. High 62, Low 41.

NWS: Thursday: Early AM shower. High 62, Low 44.
Friday: Sunny. High 65, Low 42.

WB: Thursday: Chance of light rain. High 59, Low 42.
Friday: Another chance of light morning rain, then clearing. High 60, Low 40.

Here we see the rain showers moving through the Bay Area. How long will they stick around this morning?