All posts by Anthony

Sioux Falls, South Dakota

Today we venture not terribly far from VW HQ, over to Sioux Falls. What weekend weather can we expect?

At 3:56pm CDT, the temperature at Sioux Falls, SD is 71 degrees under mostly sunny skies. High pressure is sitting over the Upper Midwest and Northern Plains today, making for a very nice day for much of the region. This dome of high pressure will be shifting eastward over the weekend, however, making its way to the Great Lakes by midday Saturday and allowing a mid-level impulse to shift through the Central Plains into the Eastern Dakotas tomorrow. This could kick up some afternoon shower activity, but shouldn’t be a washout at all. Throughout the day tomorrow into Sunday, low pressure will develop and intensify as it pushing out over the Dakotas and in the process create a pretty strong southerly flow. It’ll be breezy on Sunday but temperatures won’t really make too appreciable of a jump. A decent amount of the day should be dry, but the evening to overnight hours look to be pretty soggy as a surface low shifts pretty close to Sioux Falls. The Twin Cities Marathon is being run this Sunday so those runners could see a few showers as well, but luckily it looks like the worst that morning will be to the northwest.

Saturday: Chance of showers, mainly in afternoon. High 66, Low 52.
Sunday: Morning showers expected, possible late night thunderstorms. High 68, Low 56.

TWC: Saturday: Afternoon showers. High 67, Low 50.
Sunday: Morning showers, windy. High 66, Low 56.

AW: Saturday: An afternoon shower or two. High 67, Low 50.
Sunday: Clouds and sun with a thunderstorm. High 67, Low 56.

NWS: Saturday: Chance of showers and breezy. High 66, Low 50.
Sunday: Thunderstorms likely then showers likely and breezy. High 67, Low 56.

WB: Saturday: Chance of rain showers. High 65, Low 52.
Sunday: 70% chance of thunderstorms. High 65, Low 59.

WN: Saturday: Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. High 67, Low 50.
Sunday: Windy with rain showers likely. High 66, Low 56.

FIO: Saturday: Light rain starting in the afternoon. High 65, Low 52.
Sunday: Light rain throughout the day and breezy in the morning. High 64, Low 55.

Here we can see Sioux Falls, on the edge of our picture, under mostly clear skies, but a large mass of clouds festers over the Western Plains. That unfortuantely will be sliding over the region throughout the weekend.

Salt Lake City, Utah

Today we head off to Salt Lake City. I’ve been there once, as a kid, during the summer. Maybe I’d appreciate it more these days. Let’s take a look at how Salt Lake will welcome in Fall, which starts on Friday at 402pm EDT!

At 1015pm MDT, the temperature at Salt Lake City, UT was 64 degrees under overcast skies. There’s a cold front working its’ way throughout the Western US currently, from the Western Daktoas down into the Intermountain West and even down into the Southern CA. Throughout the day Thursday, this cold front is going to shift through northern Utah, bringing some shower activity with it. Cooler temperatures are expected to move through with it as well, which is why a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for higher elevations in the region. As far as the city proper goes, don’t worry, it’ll just be rain. Most of the activity will shift north and east out of the area during the day Friday, but not before a few light showers linger in the area, mainly during the early morning hours. Temperatures will be pretty chilly the next couple of mornings, so be sure to grab that jacket. Fall is here!

Thursday: Showers late in the day. High 61, Low 46.
Friday: Few early morning showers possible, cooler. High 57, Low 41.

TWC: Thursday: Mostly cloudy, isolated showers. High 57, Low 47.
Friday: Showers expected. High 55, Low 40.

AW: Thursday: Cooler with a passing shower. High 57, Low 46.
Friday: Mainly cloudy, showers around. High 55, Low 42.

NWS: Thursday: Rain likely. High 61, Low 44.
Friday: Chance of showers. High 55, Low 40.

WB: Thursday: Chance of rain. High 56, Low 44.
Friday: Chance of rain showers. High 51, Low 42.

WN: Thursday: Mostly cloudy with rain. High 61, Low 44.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. High 55, Low 40.

FIO: Thursday: Rain in the morning and evening. High 62, Low 46.
Friday: Light rain until afternoon. High 53, Low 43.

Here we see Salt Lake City on the leading edge of a frontal boundary starting to slide through the Western US. Better get those umbrellas!

Warm Winners

The forecast for Prescott was pretty clear-cut, lots of sun and pleasant temps. AW and VW had slightly warmer temps than the rest, which led to an easy 1-2 finish, with AW nosing out the victory.

Monday: High 81, Low 48.
Tuesday: High 79, Low 50.
Forecast Grade: A

Prescott, Arizona

Today we head off to the Desert Southwest, seems to be the only place that’s been quiet these last few days. Will they continue to be so or is a pattern shift in the cards for them?

At 915pm MST, the temperature at Prescott, AZ was 57 degrees under fair skies. A fairly quiet pattern continues over AZ on Monday as a large front/upper trough pushes through the Pacific Northwest/Northern Rockies and pushes its way down over the Great Basin by early Tuesday. That’s as far south as it’s going to make it, however, as it stalls out over Southern NV/Utah. Central Arizona will remain fairly quiet and warm throughout the next couple of days, with perhaps a hint of briskness in the air during the morning.

Monday: Sunny. High 80, Low 50.
Tuesday: Continued sunny. High 81, Low 51.

TWC: Monday: Sunny. High 78, Low 52.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 77, Low 53.

AW: Monday: Sunny and pleasant. High 82, Low 48.
Tuesday: Plenty of sun. High 81, Low 49.

NWS: Monday: Sunny. High 78, Low 47.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 77, Low 48.

WB: Monday: Sunny. High 78, Low 49.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 76, Low 49.

WN: Monday: Sunny. High 79, Low 46.
Tuesday: Sunny. High 79, Low 46.

FIO: Monday: Clear throughout the day. High 78, Low 53.
Tuesday: Clear throughout the day. High 78, Low 54.

Here we see, well, pretty much nothing. It’s quiet. Pretty neat to see the Grand Canyon though!

Wichita, Kansas to Kingston, New York

Today we embark on a 1,448-mile road trip from the heartland of the country into the scenic Northeast US. It’s starting to get to the point of year where leaves are changing a bit, will the weather cooperate with us so we can enjoy the scenery?

Aerial of the Downtown Skyline of Wichita, Kansas with the Arkansas River and the Lawrence-Dumont Stadium in the Foreground


We head northeastward out of Wichita towards Kansas City under partly cloudy skies. An area of low pressure is intensifying out over the Central Plains in western Nebraska/Kansas, causing a stronger southerly flow to develop over the region. It’ll be a bit breezy as we make our way into Missouri, but winds should settle down a bit as we head past Columbia and into St. Louis. High pressure found over the Eastern Great Lakes extends its reach down into the OH and TN Valleys, so conditions over southern IL will be mostly pleasant and make for an easy end to the day in Effingham, IL.


High pressure continue to stand stout over the Eastern Great Lakes, which should make for a fairly quiet weather day today. We’ll head east out of Effingham through Indianapolis to Columbus and northeastward until we finish the day in Youngstown, OH, barely a stone’s throw from the PA border.


Once again, high pressure is found over the area to start the day, but will break down some as the day progresses. Some scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to develop over Central PA, which could cause us to slow down a bit as we head eastward on I-80 through much of PA. Some lingering activity could still be found around Scranton by the late-afternoon hours, but activity should trail off the further east we push, and a somewhat quiet end to the trip is expected as we wind our way into Kingston, NY.

Sacramento, California

Today we take a trip to the West Coast where we visit the capital of the most populous state in the country. It’s been sweltering there lately, will they finally see a cooldown?

At 905pm PDT, the temperature at Sacramento, CA was 72 degrees under fair skies. The Western US has been baking lately as an upper ridge sat over the region, sending the area shooting well into the 100s. Luckily for them, an upper low shifted into the area and cooled down things a bit, relatively, and brought in some shower activity to the Central Valley as well. Thunderstorms in the San Antonio area the other night brought about some spectacular images. Over the next couple of days, this upper low will begin an eastward shift, moving over Central CA and eventually over NV before dissipating. With the focus of precip being off to the north and east of the area already, dry weather is expected over the next couple of days, and decreasing temps.

Wednesday: Clouds clearing by afternoon. High 82, Low 65.
Thursday: Mostly clear. High 80, Low 61.

TWC: Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 83, Low 64.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. High 81, Low 60.

AW: Wednesday: Periods of clouds and sun. High 82, Low 62.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. High 78, Low 59.

NWS: Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 84, Low 63.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. High 79, Low 60.

WB: Wednesday: Chance of morning storms. High 81, Low 65.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. High 77, Low 62.

WN: Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 84, Low 63.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. High 79, Low 61.

FIO: Wednesday: Clear throughout the day. High 84, Low 66.
Thursday: Partly cloudy starting overnight, continuing until afternoon. High 82, Low 61.

Here we see a healthy amount of cloud cover northeast of Sacramento, but it’s moving mainly away from the region as an upper low continues to sit offshore. This feature will move eastward over the next couple days, pushing precip off over the Great Basin.

Irma Takes Aim on Florida, Jose Brings Double Whammy

I’m sure you might be on a bit of Irma overload from this site and everywhere else out there, but this storm is truly a major news story and will cause billions upon billions of dollars in damage by the time the weekend is out. Irma underwent an Eyewall Replacement Cycle earlier this morning, temporarily weakening it down to 140mph winds, however, it’s gotten its act together over the last 3-6 hours and intensified back to a Category 5 storm with sustained winds of 160mph. Right now, Irma is making yet another landfall as a Category 5 storm, this time over Central Cuba. Irma is expected to kind of ride along the coastline as it finally starts its’ shift to the northwest over the next 12-24 hours and eventually shift back out fully over water in the very warm waters of the Florida Straits. At that point, it will make a sharp turn towards the north and make landfall over far southern Florida, with the main area of impact now looking like it will be somewhere between Everglades City and Ft. Myers after it rolls over the Florida Keys. It’s expected to be a strong Category 4 or Category 5 hurricane, with sustained winds around 140-160mph and gusts nearing 200mph in spots.

The entire southern half of Florida is under a Hurricane Warning, with the Northern FL Peninsula under a Hurricane Watch (which will no doubt be upgraded in due time as well), and Storm Surge Warnings are found everywhere from Tampa Bay around the peninsula to Melbourne. Another thing to take away from Irma is how WIDE it is. Of course the most wind-driven damage will be right in the powerful eyewall, but hurricane force winds stretch out 70-80 miles away from the eye. So while Miami/Ft. Lauderdale will escape the worst of it, they’ll still get hefty winds and some storm surge as well. Either way you slice it, South FL is going to get hit hard by a historically strong hurricane. Hopefully everybody who can has evacuated further north, or has boarded up as much as they can.

And as if that wasn’t enough Hurricane Jose is about to take aim on the Antigua/Barbuda area, which has already been devastated by Irma. Barbuda has been completely evacuated in advance of Jose, mainly because there’s almost nothing left on the island for residents to take shelter in. Hopefully it veers just off to the north so they can be spared the worst of a double hurricane whammy. With Irma at 160mph and Jose at 155mph, it’s a new record for strongest simultaneous hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin. Certainly a season for the record books this season.

Lows Lead Forecasts Astray

The early morning showers dodged the area as expected in the Terre Haute area, and made for a dry couple of days. Low temperatures were a bit tricky, however, and made a couple of forecasts look a bit foolish. Those of us here at VW were fooled less than almost everybody else, as we tied with the Weather Channel for the victory.

Tuesday: High 74, Low 57.
Wednesday: High 68, Low 43.
Forecast Grade: B

Terre Haute, Indiana

While most of the country is keeping an eye on Hurricane Irma, and rightfully so, it’s still a few days away from possibly affecting mainland US. So in the meantime, let’s take a look at what’s happening in the Hoosier State.

At 1053pm EDT, the temperature at Terre Haute, IN was 76 degrees under overcast skies. It was quite the balmy day in Terre Haute today as it got into the 90s, but then the cold front finally swung through during the later evening hours, ushering in some much cooler air over the next couple of days. A decent line of thunderstorms worked its way through the area this evening as well, but luckily for Terre Haute they just missed off to the northeast. A couple of isolated showers are lingering behind the front but should avoid the Terre Haute area as they trek off towards the east-southeast. As high pressure builds in throughout the Midwest over the next couple days, rather cool and pleasant weather is anticipated over the region. Dry weather is expected to last throughout the week actually, so a nice start to Meteorological Fall looks to be in store!

Tuesday: Clouds decreasing through morning, mostly sunny by afternoon. High 75, Low 54.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 68, Low 47.

TWC: Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High 76, Low 58.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 69, Low 47.

AW: Tuesday: Cooler with periods of sun, an isolated morning shower possible. High 76, Low 59.
Wednesday: Pleasantly cool with some sun. High 70, Low 47.

NWS: Tuesday: Slight chance of some early morning showers, then mostly sunny. High 74, Low 57.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 71, Low 49.

WB: Tuesday: Mostly sunny, chance of early morning storms. High 74, Low 58.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 67, Low 50.

WN: Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 73, Low 59.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 72, Low 48.

FIO: Tuesday: Rain overnight, skies clearing by afternoon. High 73, Low 58.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy starting in the evening. High 68, Low 47.

A broken line of thunderstorms rumbled through the region earlier this evening as a cold front moved on through. The next few days will be much nicer however!

Record Floods, Record Heat, Go Away Irma!

The news continues to be dominated by scenes of the destruction Harvey wrought upon the TX coastline as it make landfall near Rockport, and of course the epic flooding in Houston and places further along the Gulf Coast into Western LA. It’s my hope that these areas in Western LA and where Harvey actually made landfall don’t get ignored as most focus on Houston. Areas around Rockport and Port Aransas were mostly flattened by the sustained hurricane force winds that battered them for nearly half a day.

But as the Gulf Coast continues to start to pick of the pieces, and in many areas, wait for the floodwaters to recede, a new possible threat emerges, Hurricane Irma. Irma is still way out in the Atlantic, but has sustained winds of 115mph (Category 3) and look to take an odd path over the next few days. Most storms out in the Atlantic head on a more west-northwesterly route, maybe sometimes due west. Irma, however, wants to go west-SOUTHwest throughout the weekend. It’s not very often a storm “loses” latitude, but that’s what it’s expected to do. This could be a problem because the further south it goes, the longer it would take for it to recurve out over the Atlantic as it gets closer to the Caribbean. Models have it going anywhere from the Gulf to New England, so it’s still a WAYS out of being any real threat to land, but they do all agree on it being a major hurricane as it pushes into next week. Irma will definitely be a storm to keep an eye on.

And as if THAT wasn’t enough, another weather story that’s been pushed under the proverbial rug that is Harvey is the epic heat wave engulfing the Western US right now. Downtown San Francisco broke their ALL-TIME RECORD HIGH tonight as they topped out at 106 degrees. San Francisco Airport broke their all-time record as well at 104. Places everywhere baked over 100 degrees and crushed records, with Healdsburg and King City peaking at 111. It should start subsiding over the next couple of days, but meanwhile, the West will continue to roast.