All posts by Anthony

Jonesboro, Arkansas

A storm system has been affecting the south the last few days, but will it finally give way to the residents of Jonesboro?! Or will it be a soggy Mother’s Day weekend?

At 953pm CDT, the temperature at Jonesboro, AR was 64 degrees under overcast skies. A slow-moving low pressure system brought plenty of rain and storms to the area over the last couple of days, but as that moves off to the east overnight tonight, high pressure will be building over the region. Clouds should dissipate overnight, giving way to a sunny morning. These clear skies are expected to last throughout the Mother’s Day Weekend, with temperatures perking up a few degrees for Sunday. What a lovely weekend!

Saturday: Sunny. High 78, Low 55.
Sunday: Sunny and warmer. High 83, Low 55.

TWC: Saturday: Sunny. High 77, Low 54.
Sunday: Sunny. High 82, Low 58.

AW: Saturday: Pleasant and warmer. High 77, Low 54.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and pleasant. High 81, Low 55.

NWS: Saturday: Sunny. High 77, Low 55.
Sunday: Sunny. High 82, Low 57.

WB: Saturday: Sunny. High 76, Low 56.
Sunday: Sunny. High 80, Low 57.

WN: Saturday: Sunny. High 77, Low 55.
Sunday: Sunny. High 82, Low 57.

FIO: Saturday: Clear throughout the day. High 79, Low 56.
Sunday: Clear thoughout the day. High 84, Low 56.

Here we see some rain showers off to the south of Jonesboro, the last vestiges of the low pressure system pulling away from the area.

Hagerstown, Maryland to Johnson City, Tennessee

Today’s road trip falls just short of 400 miles, but will traverse 4 states as we travel through Appalachia. It’s just a day trip, but are there storms out there that will slow us down?

It will be mostly cloudy but dry to start the day driving southwards into western VA. However, a boundary that’s been camping out over the Virginias into NC over the last couple of days, and by midday, showers and thunderstorms will develop south of Roanoke. We’ll be dodging these storms for the duration of the afternoon as we continue down I-81 and eventually into Johnson City. We’re not anticipating any severe weather from these storms, but they could slow us down a bit at times.

Brownsville, Texas

Today we venture to one of the furthest south cities in the USA, Brownsville, TX! Sitting right at the USA/Mexico border, this city often sees scorching summer heat. Will these next couple of days see that or will the Gulf cool them off a tad?

At 1253am CDT, the temperature at Brownsville, TX was 80 degrees under overcast skies. High pressure is sitting firmly over the FL Peninsula, extending its’ reach throughout the Gulf of Mexico. A low pressure system attempting to become more organised over the Southern High Plains is kicking off plenty of thunderstorms from western KS to western TX tonight, but are making very little eastern progress. Pieces of energy will continue to eject from this system over the next couple of days, but will ride up and over the high pressure system through the Mid-MS River Valley into the OH Valley, pretty much bypassing eastern and far southern TX. Some very isolated shower activity may spring up during the day, but that activity should remain further inland. Gusty southerly winds are anticipated over the next couple of days, but outside of mostly cloudy skies heading into the weekend, that will be about as bad it gets.

Wednesday: Thinning clouds in afternoon, otherwise mostly cloudy. High 88, Low 76.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, a hint warmer High 90, Low 75.

TWC: Wednesday: Partly cloudy and windy. High 89, Low 74.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. High 91, Low 76.

AW: Wednesday: Partly sunny, breezy, humid. High 89, Low 76.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, humid. High 91, Low 76.

NWS: Wednesday: Decreasing clouds and breezy. High 87, Low 75.
Thursday: Decreasing clouds. High 90, Low 76.

WB: Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 87, Low 76.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. High 88, Low 77.

WN: Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 88, Low 75.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. High 90, Low 75.

FIO: Wednesday: Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 89, Low 76.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy until afternoon. High 92, Low 76.

Here we see just some high clouds over southern TX, meanwhile far western TX/eastern NM continues to see some bright cloudtops, indicative of thunderstorms continuing to affect the area.

Grand Junction, Colorado

At 835am MDT, the temperature at Grand Junction, CO was 55 degrees under fair skies. High pressure found over the Western US is going to keep the Four Corners area dry today and throughout Friday. Saturday will see the storm system currently off the West Coast push inland and into the Rockies. Increasing clouds expected throughout the day on Saturday, with some scattered showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm shifting into the area late Saturday evening into Sunday.

Friday: Sunny and warm. High 84, Low 51.
Saturday: Increasing afternoon clouds, an isolated thunderstorm possible in late evening hours. High 83, Low 54.

TWC: Friday: Sunny. High 86, Low 51.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, and isolated thunderstorm possible. High 83, Low 55.

AW: Friday: Mostly sunny and very warm. High 85, Low 49.
Saturday: A thunderstorm around. High 83, Low 53.

NWS: Friday: Sunny. High 86, Low 50.
Saturday: Partly sunny, isolated thunderstorm in late evening. High 84, Low 55.

WB: Friday: Sunny. High 84, Low 48.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 82, Low 51.

WN: Friday: Mostly sunny. High 86, Low 52.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with isolated storms. High 84, Low 55.

FIO: Friday: Clear throughout the day. High 86, Low 50.
Saturday: Light rain overnight. High 82, Low 55.

Here we see the Western US is very quiet, with a storm system well off the West Coast. This will eventually give us a bit of showery weather later on in the weekend.

Another Cruel Joke

They said April showers bring May flowers, but nobody said what April blizzards bring. A rather potent low pressure system raked the Central US this weekend and isn’t done yet. Flooding rains have inundated northeast OK to central IL/southern IN as well as the Central Gulf Coast. Spots along the MS River at far southern MS/IL could be looking at record crests over the next couple of days.

Meanwhile, further off to the west, an epic blizzard slammed the Plains from the TX Panhandle up into central NE, and the snow is expected to fall all the way to northeastern MN. Several reports of over a foot are found from the NW TX Panhandle to western KS, and videos showed areas with 2-3 foot drifts everywhere. Certainly not what one would want to see with May just minutes away. Luckily the snow will melt off fairly quick with highs in the 50s and 60s coming up in the next few days, but still, it’s going to be a nuisance as people try to go to work and school tomorrow!

Ann Arbor, Michigan

Today we head off to the home of the Wolverines, Ann Arbor! Although the football coach seems to be gallivanting around Europe, let’s see what the students will see for the weekend!

At 853pm EDT, the temperature at Ann Arbor, MI was 56 degrees under overcast skies. An elongated stationary boundary is found camping out from southern New England back through the Ohio Valley and continues to an intensifying area of low pressure over the Southern Plains. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to train along this boundary throughout the early morning hours, keeping the Ann Arbor area mainly dry and we head into midday. One area of low pressure is expected to develop along the boundary in MO and kick up some a round of heavier rain and thunderstorms as it pushes into the Great Lakes during the late evening. As the overall system intensifies and starts to occlude, the center of the system will push further towards the Great Lakes, with the boundary lifting northward ahead of it. This brings southern Michigan pretty much right in the path of heavier rain and thunderstorms throughout the evening hours on Sunday. Overall, unfortunately, it looks to be like a pretty dreary weekend. On the bright side, temperatures will lift noticeably for Sunday!

Saturday: Evening rain showers and thunderstorms. High 54, Low 45.
Sunday: Morning rain, heavy at times. Possible evening thunderstorms. High 64, Low 43.

TWC: Saturday: Showers. High 52, Low 42.
Sunday: Thunderstorms. High 62, Low 40.

AW: Saturday: A shower; cooler. High 50, Low 43.
Sunday: Rain and a t-storm; warmer. High 63, Low 41.

NWS: Saturday: Showers likely. High 53, Low 44.
Sunday: Showers likely. High 62, Low 43.

WB: Saturday: 50% chance of rain showers. High 52, Low 43.
Sunday: Scattered thunderstorms. High 62, Low 42.

WN: Saturday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. High 54, Low 43.
Sunday: Cloudy with thunderstorms likely. High 61, Low 43.

FIO: Saturday: Light rain overnight and in the afternoon. High 59, Low 47.
Sunday: Rain starting overnight. High 77, Low 45.

Here we see some light rain showers passing off to the south of the area. A very heavy swath of rain is found from St. Louis clear through Columbus, which looks to start shifting northward over the weekend.

Carolina Deluge

We’re still a good 5-6 weeks away from hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin (even though we just had our first named storm last week, which didn’t do anything other than annoy some fish and perhaps a shipping lane or two), but that doesn’t mean areas of the US can’t see tropical moisture in mid-Spring. A cut-off area of low pressure is traversing the Southeast US right now, which has taken some Gulf Stream moisture and dumped it over the Carolinas at its’ leisure. Widespread reports of 2-4 inches of rain has fallen from Central TN eastward throughout the Carolinas, with much of the rain falling over the Carolinas in the last 24-36 hours. Some portions of the Smoky Mountains have come in at 6-8 inches over the last couple of days, prompting Flood Warnings and Flash Flood Warnings over most of Central and Southeastern NC and northern SC as well. Here we see the rainfall amounts over the last 3 days and unfortunately, it continues to rain heavily in NC tonight and will into tomorrow.

Morning Mischief

The forecast for Muncie, IN wasn’t too difficult, only the chance of a stray shower was the real wrinkle. However, the temperatures really muddied things up as the Sunday diurnal was far greater than anybody expected, mainly due to conditions really clearing out overnight Saturday. Sunday’s chilly morning temps caused some poor scores, but VW/FIO tied for the win, mainly by keeping things dry all weekend.

Saturday: High 58, Low 40.
Sunday: High 72, Low 34.
Forecast Grade: C

Muncie, Indiana

At 11:53pm EDT, the temperature at Muncie, IN was 47 degrees under fair skies. A dome of high pressure has taken hold from the Northern/Central Plains through the Great Lakes. This is keeping a frontal boundary camped out over the Ohio Valley down into the Southern Plains. An area of low pressure is expected to ride along the boundary throughout the day Saturday, but luckily for us, it should remain south of the Muncie area, sparing them of precip for the day. High pressure continues to linger over the region into Sunday and with mostly clear skies expected, temperatures will warm nicely throughout the area. Looks like a nice end to the weekend is in store!

Saturday: Cloudy, clearing a bit late. High 58, Low 43.
Sunday: Sunny and warmer. High 68, Low 41.

TWC: Saturday: Cloudy, some isolated showers. High 56, Low 43.
Sunday: Sunny. High 68, Low 39.

AW: Saturday: Cloudy and breezy, a shower possible. High 55, Low 42.
Sunday: Sunny and warmer. High 68, Low 39.

NWS: Saturday: Chance of showers. High 51, Low 44.
Sunday: Sunny. High 66, Low 41.

WB: Saturday: Chance of rain showers. High 53, Low 43.
Sunday: Sunny and warmer. High 66, Low 42.

WN: Saturday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. High 52, Low 43.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 66, Low 41.

FIO: Saturday: Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 62, Low 42.
Sunday: Partly cloudy overnight. High 70, Low 40.

Some rain showers are pushing out of the area near Cincinnati, with a fairly dry overnight period ahead. While tomorrow will remain overcast, clearer skies are ahead!

Longview, Texas

Today we take a look at eastern TX, to see what the residents of Longview will encounter for Easter. Will their walk into church tomorrow be full of sun or will they have to dodge some storms?

At 653pm CDT, the temperature in Longview, TX was 80 degrees under fair skies. High pressure controls much of the Southeast US, the effects of which will trail off over eastern TX over the next couple of days. A frontal boundary found from the Great Lakes into the Central Plains won’t be of much concern on Easter, although some scattered shower activity looks to pop up over Central LA during the afternoon hours. The front gets much closer on Monday but still looks like it will stall out to the north of the region. However, scattered shower and thunderstorm activity in the afternoon and evening hours looks possible. Easter shouldn’t be too much of a concern, but some afternoon sports practices should keep an eye to the sky on Monday.

Sunday: Increasing afternoon clouds. High 83, Low 63.
Monday: Mostly cloudy, scattered early evening showers and thunderstorms possible. High 83, Low 65.

TWC: Sunday: Cloudy, slight chance of showers. High 84, Low 62.
Monday: Morning clouds, afternoon sun. Slight chance of showers. High 83, Low 64.

AW: Sunday: A thunderstorm in spots. High 85, Low 63.
Monday: Cloudy, a couple of thunderstorms. High 83, Low 64.

NWS: Sunday: Slight chance of thunderstorms. High 83, Low 64.
Monday: Chance of thunderstorms. High 82, Low 64.

WB: Sunday: Mostly cloudy, 20% chance of showers. High 83, Low 64.
Monday: Chance of thunderstorms. High 81, Low 66.

WN: Sunday: Partly cloudy with isolated storms. High 82, Low 64.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with scattered storms. High 82, Low 64.

FIO: Sunday: Mostly cloudy, drizzle in evening. High 84, Low 64.
Monday: Light rain possible in evening. High 86, Low 66.

Some isolated shower activity is found off to the east over Northern LA this evening. Similar conditions are expected tomorrow afternoon, but more widespread activity looks to be in the cards for Monday.