All posts by Anthony

San Luis Obispo, California

As we dig out of our biggest snowstorm here at VW HQ in 6 years, we head towards the West Coast to see how their midweek weather is faring. I’m guessing a lot better than shoveling a foot of snow.

At 920pm PST, the temperature at San Luis Obispo, CA was 46 degrees under fair skies. Generally quiet weather is found throughout the Southwest currently. However, a large low pressure system centered in the Gulf of Alaska is swinging a cold front into the Pacific Northwest, bringing copious amounts of rain and higher elevation snows to the region. This strong cold front looks to push southward throughout the day on Wednesday, bringing rain to Northern CA and progresses through the Central Valley. Some rain showers look to push into the SLO area, with a couple of showers making it into the area shortly before midnight. This activity lasts into Thursday morning, with the last of the precip departing the area by the mid-morning hours. Skies should clear out some through Thursday afternoon.

Wednesday: Clouds increase throughout the day, isolated showers late. High 62, Low 42.
Thursday: Scattered showers in morning, clouds decrease through afternoon. High 61, Low 43.

TWC: Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 65, Low 42.
Thursday: Partly cloudy, isolated morning showers. High 59, Low 46.

AW: Wednesday: Becoming cloudy, with occasional rain and drizzle late. High 65, Low 40.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, a shower, cool. High 60, Low 44.

NWS: Wednesday: Mostly sunny through afternoon, chance of showers by evening. High 64, Low 43.
Thursday: Slight chance of morning showers, then clearing. High 60, Low 46.

WB: Wednesday: Partly cloudy, rain showers in evening. High 63, Low 44.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. High 59, Low 48.

WN: Wednesday: Partly cloudy with light showers likely. High 64, Low 43.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. High 60, Low 46.

FIO: Wednesday: Mostly cloudy starting in the afternoon, isolated showers late. High 63, Low 43.
Thursday: Rain showers in morning. High 59, Low 46.

While the condition are pretty pleasant right now, we can see the system that will move in over the next 24 hours is currently drenching the Pacific Northwest.

Wenatchee, Washington to Lewiston, Idaho

Today we have a pretty short road trip, only 227 miles from the lee side of the Cascades to just over the Snake River into Idaho. Let’s see what it’ll be like for our jaunt of a few hours.

The Cascades continue to get some higher elevation snows due to a warm front that’s pushing onshore from central BC down to Washington. Luckily, the only thing affecting Wenatchee is just some lingering fog and overcast skies. Cloudy conditions are expected to last throughout the day as we head southeastward and the fog should burn off by midday. That’s about the only trouble conditions we’ll have as temperatures lift into the upper 40s for a high as we pull into Lewiston.

Lewiston, Idaho

No big pre-amble today, but let’s take a look at how it’s going along the Idaho/Washington border today. At least they’ll be much warmer than we are here at VicWX HQ!

At 905pm PST, the temperature in Lewiston, ID was 41 degrees under overcast skies. Strong arctic high pressure is once again taking a stranglehold on the Central US. This is causing a couple areas of low pressure found over the Northern Rockies to get held up and pushed southeastward along the spine of the Rockies over the next 24-36 hours. Scattered rain shower (and higher elevation snows) are found throughout the region and will continue to affect the area throughout the day on Friday. Luckily, most of this activity will shift southeastward by the time Saturday rolls around and while the day will still be cloudy, no shower activity is anticipated. Temperatures look to remain fairly steady as well, so while Lewiston enjoys their balmy upper 40s, we get to have fun with -20 wind chills here at HQ. Oh well.

Friday: Scattered showers. High 48, Low 39.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. High 47, Low 38.

TWC: Friday: Morning rain showers. High 45, Low 40.
Saturday: Partly cloudy, isolated morning shower. High 49, Low 37.

AW: Friday: A morning shower in places, some sun. High 48, Low 41.
Saturday: Partly sunny. High 49, Low 39.

NWS: Friday: Chance of rain showers. High 47, Low 39.
Saturday: Slight change of rain, then mostly cloudy. High 45, Low 36.

WB: Friday: chance of rain. High 47, Low 42.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. High 46, Low 40.

Saturday: NONE GIVEN.

FIO: Friday: Mostly cloudy, some morning rain showers. High 52, Low 44.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 54, Low 40.

Scattered rain showers are pushing through the region currently. Unfortunately, these are expected to continue across the region for the next day or so.

Deltona, Florida to Muskegon, Michigan

Today we embark on a 1,257-mile, 3-day road trip from nearly coast to coast! The Atlantic Coast to Lake Michigan coast that is. One of my oldest friends lives in Muskegon, so let’s go pay her a visit, shall we??


Okay, I know I was using the Atlantic Coast moniker a bit loosely, with Deltona being found a good 20-miles or so inland from Daytona. But that’s just a quick jaunt to the warm waters of the Gulf Stream! A boundary that’s been lingering over the FL Peninsula is keeping overcast skies around the Deltona area and we can expect some morning fog as we make our way towards Daytona. After that, however, skies should clear up and mostly sunny skies will greet up as we head towards Jacksonville, then head west/north on I-75 and continue into Georgia, with mostly clear skies all the way to Atlanta, our stop for the night.


A strong area of high pressure continues to push down into the Midwest/Ohio Valley, bringing increasing frigid temperatures with it. This is keeping skies mostly clear as well, and today should be more of the same from yesterday. Sunny skies greet us as we push towards Chattanooga and eventually past Nashville before finishing the day in Louisville, much colder than when we started. Put on your party hats, it’s New Years Eve!


Happy New Year! We’re gonna get a late start on the day because, well, hangovers are no fun. Also, the temperature this morning is going to be sub-zero, so lets let things warm up a bit before we head even further north. Mostly sunny skies will start our final leg, but clouds will increase as we head into Lower Michigan and eventually we’ll get caught up in some lake effect snow as north-northwest winds prevail over the region. It’ll be a slower drive throughout the afternoon hours thanks to these bands, but we eventually make it to Muskegon by early evening. Time for more celebrating!

Decatur, Illinois

It’s a Forecast 2-fer! That’ll happen when i’m on vacation for a day down in, ironically, Illinois. I wasn’t very close to Decatur, but at least I was in the ballpark! Let’s see how long this arctic blast sticks around for.

At 1054pm CST, the temperature at Decatur, IL was 2 degrees under fair skies. High pressure has firmly gripped much of the Eastern US in its’ icy clutches. Sub-zero temperatures were found throughout the region this morning, a Christmas present I’m sure nobody asked for. There is a disturbance working its way trhough the Midwest, however, and the associated cloud cover will keep temperatures from getting too low tonight. It’s unlikely it’ll drop much from where it is now as it moves in from the east. Returns are showing up on radar, but they’re not currently reaching the ground. This activity should stay off to the north of the area today, with temperatures rebounding into the teens. A slightly better chance of some late afternoon snow showers is expected for Friday as another quick moving ripple of energy follows on the heals of the last one, so keep an eye out for some accumulating snows from that. Another round of bitter Arctic air looks possible in the long-term, so keep that on the brain as we head for 2018!

Thursday: Cloudy, getting a bit warmer. High 17, Low 1
Friday: Chance of afternoon/evening snow showers. High 24, Low 10.

TWC: Thursday: Cloudy. High 19, Low 2.
Friday: Afternoon snow showers. High 22, Low 12.

AW: Thursday: Mainly cloudy, not as cold. High 19, Low 6.
Friday: A little snow, mainly later. High 21, Low 12.

NWS: Thursday: Mostly cloudy then slight chance of afternoon snow showers. High 19, Low -3.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with chance of snow. High 21, Low 10.

WB: Thursday: Mostly cloudy. High 19, Low 3.
Friday: 50% chance of snow. High 21, Low 12.

WN: Thursday: (Website down)
Friday: (Website down)

FIO: Thursday: Foggy starting in the evening, continuing until night. High 18, Low 2.
Friday: Snow starting in the evening. High 20, Low 7.

The leading edge of light snow showers are starting to push into far Western IL, although most of that isn’t hitting the ground yet.

Tallahassee, Florida

Today we head somewhere MUCH warmer than it’s been around here in the Midwest. The Florida Panhandle can’t possibly be below zero right? RIGHT?!?!

At 953pm EST, the temperature at Tallahassee, FL was 50 degrees under overcast skies. As strong Arctic high pressure grips the Midwest/Great Lakes region, it extends pretty much over the entire eastern half of the US. However, there is the tail end of a boundary that’s lingering over Northern Florida, kicking up a few rain showers in the process. These aren’t terribly heavy, but they will affect the area overnight and flare up again late Thursday afternoon. As the high pressure builds further south and shifts east a bit, the main ridge axis of it will shift through the area, helping to clear out conditions as we head into the weekend. Tallahassee won’t see anywhere close to the low temperatures we’re seeing currently, but a high temp in the low 50s is still a bit brisk for those dwelling near the Gulf Coast.

Thursday: Scattered showers, especially in afternoon. High 51, Low 44
Friday: Small chance of early morning shower, otherwise dry, warmer. High 58, Low 41.

TWC: Thursday: Showers. High 48, Low 43.
Friday: Morning clouds, afternoon sun. High 58, Low 41.

AW: Thursday: Mostly cloudy, a little rain. High 48, Low 44.
Friday: Partial sunshine. High 56, Low 41.

NWS: Thursday: Chance of rain showers. High 48, Low 41.
Friday: Gradual clearing. High 55, Low 39.

WB: Thursday: Chance of rain. High 48, Low 43.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High 56, Low 42.

WN: Thursday: Mostly cloudy with light rain likely. High 50, Low 42.
Friday: Partly cloudy. High 57, Low 40.

FIO: Thursday: Light rain in the afternoon. High 49, Low 43.
Friday: Isolated early AM shower, mostly cloudy until evening. High 56, Low 42.

Some light shower activity is shifting eastward through the area with the heaviest stuff already off to the east. Some showers are expected to return tomorrow before drying out for the weekend.

The Disappearing Solstice Storm of 2017

A few days ago, us here at VicWX HQ were cautiously optimistic about a big storm taking aim at the Upper Midwest. The GFS model from late Sunday had quite the swath of snow coming down from Southwest MN/Northwest IA into Northern WI, with the Twin Cities metro on the northern side of it. Possibly over a foot of snow!

Naturally with amounts like that, we can be hopeful (for us snow lovers anyways) but always view models like this with trepedation. A LOT of things have to come together a few days out to make amounts like this happen over a wide area. So, we wait and see what the trends are for the next couple of days. By Midday Monday, this is what the same model had…

Not… quite as impressive. I mean sure, multiple swaths of 6+” is still pretty good, but not nearly as fun as over a foot. And as the week went on, the models kept bringing the overall amounts down and down. Not just around the Twin Cities, but as a whole. The surface features just never phased up with upper-level dynamics in such a way that would produce those big snowfall amounts that were projected at the start of the week. Oh well, it happens. But maybe we’ll get a couple of inches out of it so we can have a White Christmas, right?

The storm is nearly entire out of Minnesota right now, and what did we see here in the south metro of the Twin Cities? Nothing. LITERALLY not a single flake fell from the sky today. We did get about 40min of some light snow at Real Job Inc yesterday from the 1st initial band that was always projected to give the worst off to the north, but nothing to really cover the roads or write home about today.

Situations like this is often why the public makes fun of meteorologists because we’ll mention the possibility of a storm a few days into the future, then take that “forecast” and say we were wrong when it fizzles out or shifts 100 miles in another direction. In the meantime, we continue to look at model trends and past analogs and alter our forecasts to better reflect what’s going to happen so when it comes to a day out we’ll have a much more accurate picture of what’s going to happen. Sadly, people still point to a model run we mentioned 4 days ago and go “Ha! You were wrong!”.

2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Mercifully Draws to a Close

As we tick away the final few days of November, the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season will draw to a close. While storms can form and be named at any point of the year, the “official” period of hurricane season is June 1 – November 30, so I figured it’d be prudent to recall what we’ve gone through this season.

Tropical Storm Arlene jumped the gun and developed all the way back in Mid-April, starting the clock on the season quite early. Luckily it didn’t do much of anything and just swirled away in the North Atlantic. A parade of tropical storms ensued from Mid-June to the start of August, getting us all the way to Emily before we finally got a hurricane in the form of Franklin in early August. It briefly attained hurricane status in the Bay of Campeche after moving across the Yucatan. Damage was mostly minimal, though flooding in areas was the primary impact. Gert didn’t do much either out over the Atlantic and seemed like everything was going alright.

…Then came Harvey. Harvey’s spectacular intensification from a tropical storm early on August 24th to a Category 4 hurricane in the evening of the 25th. While there was massive damage along the TX coastline where Harvey made landfall, the thing everybody will remember will be the historical amounts of rain it dumped over East Texas and Western LA. Due to it’s interaction with a blocking high pressure and constant onshore moisture feeding into the system, the Houston area was inundated by unfathomable amounts of rain. By the time Harvey was finally able to shift inland, Some areas in east TX recorded 45-60 inches of rain, with the official high amount being 60.58″, a new US record for rainfall from a tropical cyclone. Massive flooding throughout the city, and surrounding areas, dominated the news for weeks.

Right behind that was Irma, which devastated portions of the Caribbean before taking sights on the Bahamas, Cuba and eventually Florida. Barbuda and St. Martin were completely destroyed as the eye made direct landfall on those locales, which had max sustained winds of 185mph, tying the record of the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane as the strongest landfalling cyclone on record in the Atlantic.

On it’s heels was Maria, which also experienced explosive intensification, ballooning from a 80mph storm to 160mph in a 24hr period, right when it struck Dominica head-on. After devastating that island, it further intensified to 175mph and recorded a pressure of 908mb, pushing it into the top 10 of most intense hurricanes in Atlantic Basin history. Maria directly hit Puerto Rico, destroying nearly the entire island’s infrastructure.

Overall, the 2017 hurricane season was by far the costliest on record, with current estimates around $367 BILLION as still going upwards as claims and further damage evaluations come in from Harvey, Irma, and Maria. At least 320 died directly from the storms, though that number is likely hundreds higher as incomplete data from Puerto Rico reguarding Maria is causing discrepancies.

Thank goodness this season is drawing to a close, because this year won’t be one anybody forgets, not for a very very long time.

Tuscaloosa, Alabama to Lewiston, Idaho

Today we depart on a lengthy road trip, from Tuscalosa, AL to Lewiston, AL. It’s a 2,258-mile trek that will take 5 days to cover. Hope you’re not tired from all the Thanksgiving weekend activities, we have quite the drive ahead of us!


High pressure is found throughout the Deep South, keeping conditions in the entire region very quiet. We can expect mostly sunny skies and perhaps some increasing winds later in the day as an area of low pressure intensifies out over the Northern Plains. We’ll get a good view of the Memphis skyline as we drive on by then continue through Jonesboro, AR as we head into southern Missouri and end our day in Springfield, MO.


A cold front has pushed over today’s route during the overnight hours, but we shouldn’t fret too much about it. Temperatures behind it will be somewhat cooler, but not as bad as we’d imagine as we approach December. The front will be lingering around the Kansas City area as we pass northward through the metro and we MIGHT see a couple of rain showers, but shouldn’t be anything that’ll slow us down. The rest of the day should be a fairly quiet trip northwards up I-29 past Omaha and Sioux City before ending the day in Sioux Falls, SD


High pressure shifted through the Northern Plains overnight and as we head westward out of Sioux Falls towards Rapid City, a new cold front is pushing its way into the region. Once again, luckily, as we traverse it, it will be a dry frontal passage. Some spotty snow showers are likelier over ND, but our trip on I-90 through SD should be void of such precip, and while it’ll be colder as we push into southeast Montana, it’ll still be dry as high pressure builds in behind the front. We finish our day in Broadus, MT


It’s going to be a day full of Montana sights and sounds as we make our way back to I-90 and continue westward the entire way. High pressure is found over the Northern Rockies so it will be a quiet and calm day past Bozeman and Butte before finishing the day in Missoula.


A short day today! We’ll be cutting through the Nez Perce – Clearwater National Forests en route to our final destination of Lewistown. A front is sliding its way into the Pacific Northwest, but isn’t expected to make much headway towards our neck of the woods. Mostly cloudy skies are anticipated throughout the day, but should overall be dry and fairly quiet as we push into our destination around midday!

Lewiston, Idaho

Today we head off to the WA/ID border where we find Lewiston. Humorously, just across the border into WA we find Clarkson. I’m sure that’s totally a coincidence, right? Right.

At 605pm PST, the temperature at Lewiston, ID was 52 degrees with light rain falling. A cold front is shifting through the Pacific Northwest associated with an area of low pressure found over western Alberta. This front will continue pushing eastward through the region during the overnight hours and while widespread rain showers are found in the area currently, those will become fewer and further between as we pass midnight and into early Monday morning. A ridge of high pressure will nose over the region Monday afternoon into early Tuesday, but another frontal system looks to push into the Pacific Northwest Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening and will bring another round of rain to the Lewiston area by the late evening hours.The surrounding mountains will likely see some snow from this system, but Lewiston, lying lower in the valley floor, will likely just see a cold rain.

Monday: Isolated early morning shower possible, then becoming mostly sunny for the afternoon. High 48, Low 37.
Tuesday: Increasing chance of showers in evening. High 47, Low 32.

TWC: Monday: Light rain early, then becoming sunny. High 48, Low 37.
Tuesday: Afternoon showers. High 47, Low 34.

AW: Monday: Clouds and sun with a shower. High 50, Low 39.
Tuesday: Rather cloudy. High 50, Low 35.

NWS: Monday: Early morning rain shower possible, then mostly sunny. High 49, Low 37.
Tuesday: Increasing chances of rain throughout the day. High 46, Low 37.

WB: Monday: Chance of morning rain shower, then mostly sunny. High 48, Low 39.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, chance of evening frozen mix. High 47, Low 35.

WN: Monday: Mostly sunny, slight early morning shower. High 49, Low 37.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with light rain likely. High 47, Low 36.

FIO: Monday: Partly cloudy until morning. High 49, Low 38.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy starting in the morning, light rain in afternoon. High 47, Low 32.

A decent amount of rain showers are moving through the area this evening, but most of them should depart before we get past midnight.