All posts by Anthony

Boring in Boulder

The forecast for Boulder, CO was pretty boring, and that’s how it panned out. Boring is good though! The isolated storms we figured would stay off to the south did just that and temperatures remained fairly steady as well. Not sure what Darksky was seeing though, they were… significantly behind the pack. Weather Channel and Accuweather tied for the win, just 1 degree ahead of Vic-WX.

Wednesday: High 88, Low 59.
Thursday: High 86, Low 59.
Forecast Grade: A

Monroe, Louisiana to Boulder, Colorado

We embark on a 2-day, 1,103-mile trip from the rural lands of northern Louisiana to right up again the Rocky Mountains. Will be quite the change of scenery from one day to the next, so let’s see what the weather will be like on this excursion!

DAY ONE

As a system works into the Mid-MS River Valley, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected from IA down into AR. Luckily, we’ll just be greeted with some morning clouds as we depart Monroe as the morning precip stays off to the north. Activity will continue lingering off to the north as we push into northern Texas, with just partly cloudy skies anticipated as we cruise past the Dallas-Fort Worth area in the midday hours and Wichita Falls in the late afternoon. We end our fairly uneventful day in Childress, TX.

DAY TWO

It’s going to be a bit of a long day, but the scenery will be worth it once we make it to the end! While the region looks to be dry at dawn, there could be an isolated shower or two lingering in the area due to overnight activity festering over Oklahoma. Whatever there is should be short-lived and eventually shift towards the northeast as we head towards Amarillo to start the day. Dry weather continues into the midday hours as we push into far northeastern New Mexico and eventually into southern Colorado on I-25 by the afternoon. As the afternoon progresses, shower and thunderstorm activity looks to pop off over the mountains and make their way eastward. The further north we get before activity develops, the better it will be for us to avoid encountering these storms, but we’ll probably see a couple of them regardless into the evening. With the worst of the storms off to the south, we make our way into Boulder to finish our long day!

Boulder, Colorado

Today we take a trip to the gorgeous front range of the Rockies and visit the city of Boulder, CO! Let’s see what’s happening in this picturesque locale…

At 1036pm MDT, the temperature at Boulder, CO was 63 degrees under fair skies. A disturbance is exiting the Central Plains out into the Mid-MS River Valley and a weak low is dropping from SD to NE. Meanwhile, the monsoon continues to affect much of the Four Corners region, as it normally does this time of year. Much of the monsoon activity looks to affect southern Colorado tomorrow, bypassing the Boulder area. Thursday will be more of the same but it looks like the monsoonal moisture will push a bit further north. Thursday will most likely be dry, but a couple stray showers or thunderstorms can’t be ruled out. Otherwise, it looks to be a fairly pleasant couple of days!

Wednesday: Partly cloudy in afternoon. High 87, Low 58.
Thursday: Partly cloudy, isolated storms in late afternoon. High 86, Low 60.

TWC: Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 89, Low 59.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, isolated storms. High 86, Low 60.

AW: Wednesday: Clouds and sun. High 88, Low 60.
Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 87, Low 61.

NWS: Wednesday: Sunny then slight chance of thunderstorms. High 89, Low 59.
Thursday: Mostly sunny then slight chance of thunderstorms. High 86, Low 61.

WB: Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 86, Low 60.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. High 85, Low 63.

WN: Wednesday: Partly cloudy with isolated storms. High 89, Low 59.
Thursday: Partly cloudy withisolated storms. High 86, Low 61.

FIO: Wednesday: Clear throughout the day. High 93, Low 62.
Thursday: Partly cloudy starting in the evening. High 89, Low 64.

Some thunderstorms are rolling off the Rockies down into Colorado Springs and Pueblo, but are avoiding the Boulder area tonight. This will probably be the theme for the next couple of days.

Hurricane Season Quiet So Far

We’re 2 months through the official hurricane season now for the Atlantic Basin, and this is usually when things start ramping up. Upper-level shear starts to significantly weaken and waves off the African coastline have better odds of finding favorable conditions to develop. Looking out at the Atlantic, however, there really isn’t much to write home about. There’s a disturbance which the NHC has listed at a 30% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours, but given the relatively cool waters around 35N/50W and it’s slow northeastward movement, odds look slim at this system developing into anything of real concern. There’s been a significant African dust layer over the more tropical areas of the Atlantic over the last couple of weeks which has really put the kibosh on anything getting revved up. For the next several days, looks like things are pretty benign!

In the Pacific, however, things are a LOT more active. Ileana and John are spinning their way not far from the Mexican coastline, the latter looking like it could be a major hurricane as it approaches Baja CA. The storm should remain off to the west of it so that’s encouraging news.

Of even more importance is Hurricane Hector out over the Central Pacific. It looks to keep a mainly westward trajectory over the next several days, which is good for Hawaii since it currently has maximum sustained winds of 155mph, just a tick below Category 5 strength. The big island has a tropical storm watch out for it and given model forecasts, a brush from Hector is all that it looks like it will get. Given its intensity, I’m sure they’re more than okay with that.

A Week of Extremes

As we push our way into the Dog Days of August, Summer is in full swing throughout the country. Well, it seemed that way anyways last week. The Desert Southwest and Southern Plains were absolutely scorching with temperatures pushing their way into the 110’s! Waco hit an all-time record high of 114F, breaking the previous record of 112F. Austin and Dallas-Fort Worth also broke daily high temperature records during the heat wave, cracking 107 and 105 respectively. As if that wasn’t hot enough, Southern CA and the rest of the Desert Southwest was an inferno. Palm Springs hit an incredble 121 degrees while Death Valley even set a new daily high record (which is impressive for them), topping out at a ridiculous 127 degrees. In fact, Death Valley set a record for the hottest month on record anywhere in the world for July, with an AVERAGE temperature of 108.1 degrees as 21 days in July hit 120+ degrees. July 2018 broke the previous record for hottest average month in the world set… just last July, when Death Valley averaged 107.4F in 2017. Hopefully July 2019 spares Death Valley a bit, but let’s not hold our breath.

A bit of an extreme on the other side was felt this morning as unusually chilly high pressure system shifted through the Upper Midwest. MSP dipped to 57 this morning and could only muster a high of 72, 11 degrees below normal. That’s nothing compared to what happened at International Falls though, the Icebox of the Nation. It lived up to its’ moniker today, bottoming out at a downright chilly 34 degrees, crushing the previous record of 41 set exactly 100 years ago. In fact, between July 1 and August 2nd in International Falls history, only 1 other morning has ever gotten that cold, July 11, 1911 got down to 32F. Certainly not summer-like this morning over the northland!

Billings, Montana to Bismarck, North Dakota

Today we’re taking another one-day trip between neighboring states. Today, however, is a much further north trip as we head from Montana to North Dakota! Let’s see how this Northern Plains trip will go!

High pressure is settling in over the Northern Plains after a cold front worked its way through the Dakotas and into the Upper Midwest. The route between Billings and Bismarck tomorrow is expected to be dry and filled with sunshine, a most enjoyable day to see the wide open plains!

Bismarck, North Dakota

Today, we head off to celebrate our nation’s birthday in the capital of North Dakota! Let’s find out how the rest of the workweek is going to go… that is if anybody didn’t take a couple days vacation and turn it into a 5-day weekend.

At 1052pm CDT, the temperature at Bismarck, ND was 62 degrees under fair skies. An area of low pressure continues to lift into Ontario with a trailing cold front working its way through the Upper Midwest. High pressure is settling in nicely behind it over the Dakotas, bringing in much cooler air that had been seen over the region earlier in the week. This high pressure sticks around through Thursday before shifting towards the Great Lakes on Friday. There’s a slight chance of some morning activity in the region, but it should stay south of Bismarck before clearing out for the rest of the day.

Thursday: Sunny. High 81, Low 53.
Friday: Partly cloudy, warmer. High 86, Low 62.

TWC: Thursday: Sunny. High 82, Low 54.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High 88, Low 62.

AW: Thursday: Sunny; delightful. High 82, Low 54.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High 88, Low 62.

NWS: Thursday: Sunny. High 80, Low 54.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High 88, Low 61.

WB: Thursday: Sunny. High 81, Low 55.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High 86, Low 64.

WN: Thursday: Sunny. High 80, Low 54.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High 88, Low 62.

FIO: Thursday: Clear throughout the day. High 81, Low 56.
Friday: Partly cloudy starting overnight, continuing until evening. High 86, Low 63.

It’s pretty quiet over ND tonight, whereas Iowa and Nebraska are seeing their fair share of nighttime storms.

Deltona, Florida to Augusta, Georgia

Today’s road trip is really a day trip, as only 370 miles separate Deltona, FL and Augusta, GA. Maybe we’re gonna sneak in a midweek round at fabled Augusta National? Let’s find out what the en route weather will be like!

There looks to be a few morning showers moving in from the Atlantic during the morning hours as we start our trip northward, but they should shift past our route by 9-10am. Sun peaks back out for the midday hours as we continue up the east side of Florida before passing by Jacksonville and into southeastern Georgia. Once we head northwest from Savannah, some early afternoon convection looks to fire, but by the time we get there, it should already be west of our route, so we’ll just be driving behind them as conditions clear out in their wake. Not too bad of a day!

Jackson, Michigan to Little Rock, Arkansas

Today we embark on a 824-mile road trip from Lower Michigan to the capital of Arkansas. This will be a 2-day trek for adventure seekers. Let’s hit the road!

DAY ONE

High pressure sitting over the Great Lakes should make for a pleasant start to the day as we head west out of Jackson, MI on I-94 towards Lake Michigan. Increasing clouds are expected as we head through northwest IN past Gary and into northeastern IL. We’ll head south on I-57 and through early afternoon the conditions will remain dry. As we head into central IL during the late afternoon hours, we could see some isolated showers as a boundary lingers from the OH Valley into the Central Plains. Any rain we see should be short-lived as we pull into Mt. Vernon, IL for the night.

DAY TWO

Low pressure hanging out near Sioux Falls will shift through the Midwest during the day, bringing more widespread shower/thunderstorm activity around Southern IL as we start the day. We’ll have to dodge this activity until we get into Arkansas where conditions should finally start to dry out, but clouds should remain. The rest of the day will be smooth sailing as we head into Little Rock in the late afternoon!

Calm and Steady Along the Gulf

We were anticipated a fairly quiet pattern for New Orleans as kicked off the weekend, and the weather didn’t disappoint. Dry conditions were felt both days with temperatures nearly identical both days as well! There was a 4-way tie at the top of the leaderboard as VW, TWC, the NWS, and WN all tied with just 3 degree error points!

Friday: High 93, Low 78.
Saturday: High 94, Low 78.
Forecast Grade: A