All posts by Anthony

One-Two Punch For Northern Plains

The Northern Plains/Upper Midwest had been persistently cold the last couple of weeks until a change in the pattern finally warmed things up a bit over the last 2-3 days. An arctic boundary moved through and temperatures tonight are expected to plummet to near zero here in MSP and well below zero further north. The big story, however, is what the models are churning out for Sunday into Tuesday. An area of low pressure that’s currently over the Aleutian Islands will finally shift into the Pacific Northwest Saturday afternoon then continue eastward over the Northern Plains on Sunday. The main track of snow associated with this system will be over ND and into Northern MN and current model guidance is churning out 6-12″ with it. A second system looks to affect the region Sunday night through Monday, but with it still 72-96 hours out, the confidence on this system has been less than stellar, with the main swath happening anywhere from IA/Southern WI to SD/Northern MN. Another 6-10″ looks possible from this second system, but it remains to be seen who will get the bulls-eye from this activity.

Port St. Lucie, Florida

Well, that was certainly a thrilling football game today, wasn’t it?! Now we head off to South Florida, one of the only things hotter than the offenses in Minneapolis were tonight!

At 135am EST, the temperature at Port. St. Lucie, FL was 63 degrees under overcast skies. A storm system is pushing away from the East Coast today, with a potent low pressure system bringing plenty of misery to New England (too soon?) while the tail end of the associated cold front is clearning the FL Peninsula. Some isolated showers along the front have shifted off to the east already, and with high pressure building in behind the front, dry weather is expected today and into Tuesday as well. More sunshine is expected on Tuesday, with temperatures inching up a couple of degrees.

Monday: Cloudy early, then clearing. High 74, Low 62.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High 76, Low 60.

TWC: Monday: Isolated AM shower, then becoming sunny in afternoon. High 74, Low 64.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High 78, Low 59.

AW: Monday: A little morning rain, then variable cloudiness. High 75, Low 63.
Tuesday: Partly sunny and pleasant. High 79, Low 59.

NWS: Monday: Early morning showers, then mostly cloudy. High 74, Low 61.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 80, Low 59.

WB: Monday: Partly sunny, chance of morning storm. High 72, Low 64.
Tuesday: Partly sunny. High 76, Low 59.

WN: Monday: No Data
Tuesday: No Data

FIO: Monday: Light morning rain, then mostly cloudy. High 71, Low 63.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy overnight. High 76, Low 63.

Just a few showers are left over south Florida as the system departs the region. Dry weather ahead!

Chilly On Top

Well it looked like a messy start to the weekend in Bangor as a system shifting by the region brought a couple inches of morning snow. Thankfully, it scooted out pretty quickly and was dry for the rest of the weekend, albeit much colder. VW’s more aggressive forecast for being cold spurred us to victory!

Friday: 1.9″ of snow. High 33, Low 2.
Saturday: High 13, Low -4.
Forecast Grade: A

Bangor, Maine

Tonight we take a trip to the far northeastern corner of the US, the great state of Maine! Let’s see how this weekend will shape up in preparation for The Big Game!

At 953pm EST, the temperature at Bangor, ME was 31 degrees under overcast skies. A strong cold front is pushing through New England tonight, bringing plenty of snow to the area. A couple inches of accumulation is expected by the early afternoon hours when activity wanes as the system pushes out to sea. Much colder air will spill into the region as arctic high pressure builds over the Eastern Seaboard heading into the weekend. Temperatures will plummet Friday night before only rebounding into the teens for Saturday. Luckily, plenty of (cold) sunshine will help things seem fairly nice. Brrrrr.

Friday: Morning snow, clearing out in evening. High 32, Low 2
Saturday: Partly cloudy, much colder. High 16, Low -3.

TWC: Friday: Morning snow. High 29, Low 4.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 15, Low -3.

AW: Friday: Morning snow, clouds breaking. High 29, Low 4.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 16, Low -1.

NWS: Friday: Snow. High 34, Low 4.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 14, Low -1.

WB: Friday: Snow. High 30, Low 4.
Saturday: Partly sunny. High 15, Low -1.

WN: Friday: Partly cloudy with light snow. High 30, Low 5.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. High 14, Low -1.

FIO: Friday: Snow (2-4″) starting in morning, continuing until afternoon. High 37, Low 4.
Saturday: Partly cloudy starting in the afternoon. high 17, Low 4.

Here we see some light precip starting to slide along the Maine coastline, even though much of what we see isn’t hitting the ground yet.

Toledo, Ohio

Today we visit the historic city of Toledo. Fun Fact: Toledo was originally part of Michigan before it was given to Ohio in a compromise where they got 3/4 of the land that became the Upper Peninsula. Woo facts!

At 1153pm EST, the temperature at Toledo, OH was 23 degrees with a few clouds. High pressure is shifting out of the region as a strong area of occluded low pressure pushes over central Ontario. A warm front is lifting through Lower Michigan and while the radar might look like snow is on the way for Wednesday morning, none of it has been reaching the ground. Temperatures look to push into the 40s for Wednesday as southwesterly flow ahead of an impending cold front warms the area. Cold front finally moves through on Thursday, possible kicking up a mix of rain/snow showers across the area, but should be light in nature if they do develop. Temperatures will drop quickly Thursday evening behind the front as the flow switches to northwesterly. The weekend will be much cooler than the next 36 hours, so enjoy the relative warmth while you can!

Wednesday: Cloudy. High 41, Low 22.
Thursday: Continued cloudy, spotty rain/snow showers possible in afternoon. High 35, Low 12.

TWC: Wednesday: Cloudy, windy. High 44, Low 22.
Thursday: Cloudy. High 37, Low 13.

AW: Wednesday: An afternoon rain or snow shower. High 43, Low 24.
Thursday: Cloudy. High 39, Low 15.

NWS: Wednesday: Breezy, cloudy then slight chance of rain then rain/snow late evening. High 41, Low 22.
Thursday: Chance of rain/snow. High 38, Low 17.

WB: Wednesday: Chance of rain in afternoon, changing to snow late. High 42, Low 22.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy. High 37, Low 15.

WN: Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. High 41, Low 25.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with slight chance of light wintery mix. High 38, Low 16.

FIO: Wednesday: Mostly cloudy throughout the day and breezy starting in morning, continuing until afternoon. Light showers later. High 43, Low 23.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy throughout the day, some showers early. High 36, Low 15.

A system is shifting through the Great Lakes, though it looks worse on radar than will be really happening at the surface.

NOAA/NESDIS/STAR GOES-16 ABI BAND 07 OR_ABI-L1b-RadC-M3C07_G16_s20180310017253_e20180310020038_c20180310020073.nc

San Luis Obispo, California

As we dig out of our biggest snowstorm here at VW HQ in 6 years, we head towards the West Coast to see how their midweek weather is faring. I’m guessing a lot better than shoveling a foot of snow.

At 920pm PST, the temperature at San Luis Obispo, CA was 46 degrees under fair skies. Generally quiet weather is found throughout the Southwest currently. However, a large low pressure system centered in the Gulf of Alaska is swinging a cold front into the Pacific Northwest, bringing copious amounts of rain and higher elevation snows to the region. This strong cold front looks to push southward throughout the day on Wednesday, bringing rain to Northern CA and progresses through the Central Valley. Some rain showers look to push into the SLO area, with a couple of showers making it into the area shortly before midnight. This activity lasts into Thursday morning, with the last of the precip departing the area by the mid-morning hours. Skies should clear out some through Thursday afternoon.

Wednesday: Clouds increase throughout the day, isolated showers late. High 62, Low 42.
Thursday: Scattered showers in morning, clouds decrease through afternoon. High 61, Low 43.

TWC: Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 65, Low 42.
Thursday: Partly cloudy, isolated morning showers. High 59, Low 46.

AW: Wednesday: Becoming cloudy, with occasional rain and drizzle late. High 65, Low 40.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, a shower, cool. High 60, Low 44.

NWS: Wednesday: Mostly sunny through afternoon, chance of showers by evening. High 64, Low 43.
Thursday: Slight chance of morning showers, then clearing. High 60, Low 46.

WB: Wednesday: Partly cloudy, rain showers in evening. High 63, Low 44.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. High 59, Low 48.

WN: Wednesday: Partly cloudy with light showers likely. High 64, Low 43.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. High 60, Low 46.

FIO: Wednesday: Mostly cloudy starting in the afternoon, isolated showers late. High 63, Low 43.
Thursday: Rain showers in morning. High 59, Low 46.

While the condition are pretty pleasant right now, we can see the system that will move in over the next 24 hours is currently drenching the Pacific Northwest.

Wenatchee, Washington to Lewiston, Idaho

Today we have a pretty short road trip, only 227 miles from the lee side of the Cascades to just over the Snake River into Idaho. Let’s see what it’ll be like for our jaunt of a few hours.

The Cascades continue to get some higher elevation snows due to a warm front that’s pushing onshore from central BC down to Washington. Luckily, the only thing affecting Wenatchee is just some lingering fog and overcast skies. Cloudy conditions are expected to last throughout the day as we head southeastward and the fog should burn off by midday. That’s about the only trouble conditions we’ll have as temperatures lift into the upper 40s for a high as we pull into Lewiston.

Lewiston, Idaho

No big pre-amble today, but let’s take a look at how it’s going along the Idaho/Washington border today. At least they’ll be much warmer than we are here at VicWX HQ!

At 905pm PST, the temperature in Lewiston, ID was 41 degrees under overcast skies. Strong arctic high pressure is once again taking a stranglehold on the Central US. This is causing a couple areas of low pressure found over the Northern Rockies to get held up and pushed southeastward along the spine of the Rockies over the next 24-36 hours. Scattered rain shower (and higher elevation snows) are found throughout the region and will continue to affect the area throughout the day on Friday. Luckily, most of this activity will shift southeastward by the time Saturday rolls around and while the day will still be cloudy, no shower activity is anticipated. Temperatures look to remain fairly steady as well, so while Lewiston enjoys their balmy upper 40s, we get to have fun with -20 wind chills here at HQ. Oh well.

Friday: Scattered showers. High 48, Low 39.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. High 47, Low 38.

TWC: Friday: Morning rain showers. High 45, Low 40.
Saturday: Partly cloudy, isolated morning shower. High 49, Low 37.

AW: Friday: A morning shower in places, some sun. High 48, Low 41.
Saturday: Partly sunny. High 49, Low 39.

NWS: Friday: Chance of rain showers. High 47, Low 39.
Saturday: Slight change of rain, then mostly cloudy. High 45, Low 36.

WB: Friday: chance of rain. High 47, Low 42.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. High 46, Low 40.

WN: Friday: NONE GIVEN.
Saturday: NONE GIVEN.

FIO: Friday: Mostly cloudy, some morning rain showers. High 52, Low 44.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 54, Low 40.

Scattered rain showers are pushing through the region currently. Unfortunately, these are expected to continue across the region for the next day or so.

Deltona, Florida to Muskegon, Michigan

Today we embark on a 1,257-mile, 3-day road trip from nearly coast to coast! The Atlantic Coast to Lake Michigan coast that is. One of my oldest friends lives in Muskegon, so let’s go pay her a visit, shall we??

DAY ONE

Okay, I know I was using the Atlantic Coast moniker a bit loosely, with Deltona being found a good 20-miles or so inland from Daytona. But that’s just a quick jaunt to the warm waters of the Gulf Stream! A boundary that’s been lingering over the FL Peninsula is keeping overcast skies around the Deltona area and we can expect some morning fog as we make our way towards Daytona. After that, however, skies should clear up and mostly sunny skies will greet up as we head towards Jacksonville, then head west/north on I-75 and continue into Georgia, with mostly clear skies all the way to Atlanta, our stop for the night.

DAY TWO

A strong area of high pressure continues to push down into the Midwest/Ohio Valley, bringing increasing frigid temperatures with it. This is keeping skies mostly clear as well, and today should be more of the same from yesterday. Sunny skies greet us as we push towards Chattanooga and eventually past Nashville before finishing the day in Louisville, much colder than when we started. Put on your party hats, it’s New Years Eve!

DAY THREE

Happy New Year! We’re gonna get a late start on the day because, well, hangovers are no fun. Also, the temperature this morning is going to be sub-zero, so lets let things warm up a bit before we head even further north. Mostly sunny skies will start our final leg, but clouds will increase as we head into Lower Michigan and eventually we’ll get caught up in some lake effect snow as north-northwest winds prevail over the region. It’ll be a slower drive throughout the afternoon hours thanks to these bands, but we eventually make it to Muskegon by early evening. Time for more celebrating!

Decatur, Illinois

It’s a Forecast 2-fer! That’ll happen when i’m on vacation for a day down in, ironically, Illinois. I wasn’t very close to Decatur, but at least I was in the ballpark! Let’s see how long this arctic blast sticks around for.

At 1054pm CST, the temperature at Decatur, IL was 2 degrees under fair skies. High pressure has firmly gripped much of the Eastern US in its’ icy clutches. Sub-zero temperatures were found throughout the region this morning, a Christmas present I’m sure nobody asked for. There is a disturbance working its way trhough the Midwest, however, and the associated cloud cover will keep temperatures from getting too low tonight. It’s unlikely it’ll drop much from where it is now as it moves in from the east. Returns are showing up on radar, but they’re not currently reaching the ground. This activity should stay off to the north of the area today, with temperatures rebounding into the teens. A slightly better chance of some late afternoon snow showers is expected for Friday as another quick moving ripple of energy follows on the heals of the last one, so keep an eye out for some accumulating snows from that. Another round of bitter Arctic air looks possible in the long-term, so keep that on the brain as we head for 2018!

Thursday: Cloudy, getting a bit warmer. High 17, Low 1
Friday: Chance of afternoon/evening snow showers. High 24, Low 10.

TWC: Thursday: Cloudy. High 19, Low 2.
Friday: Afternoon snow showers. High 22, Low 12.

AW: Thursday: Mainly cloudy, not as cold. High 19, Low 6.
Friday: A little snow, mainly later. High 21, Low 12.

NWS: Thursday: Mostly cloudy then slight chance of afternoon snow showers. High 19, Low -3.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with chance of snow. High 21, Low 10.

WB: Thursday: Mostly cloudy. High 19, Low 3.
Friday: 50% chance of snow. High 21, Low 12.

WN: Thursday: (Website down)
Friday: (Website down)

FIO: Thursday: Foggy starting in the evening, continuing until night. High 18, Low 2.
Friday: Snow starting in the evening. High 20, Low 7.

The leading edge of light snow showers are starting to push into far Western IL, although most of that isn’t hitting the ground yet.