For the first time since September, the forecast is for a site where something is actually going on!
At 1229pm, ET, Benton Harbor was reporting a temperature of 59 degrees with light rain. A cold front had just passed through town, with wind reorienting to become northerly. The leading edge of the heavy rain lay from Lansing to Michigan City, Indiana, so the the steady march of the boundary suggested that the backfill currently in Benton Harbor will be short lived, and the town would clear out nicely this afternoon, though there was a batch of heavier rain over southern Lake Michigan to contend with first.
The upper level trough associated with the system is strong and is digging deeply into the east. This means that the system, after it departs from southern Michigan, will develop intensely and rapidly as the supporting trough aloft strengthens. A ripple at the back edge of the jet will mean some instability across Michigan, and showers will stream through the Lower Peninsula on Friday. In the meantime, expect a more seasonable feel to the air.
Tomorrow – Partly to mostly cloudy, with showers late, High 62, Low 44
Friday – Chance of showers, mostly east of town, High 58, Low 44
TWC: Tomorrow – Sunny, along with a few afternoon clouds (late PM rain). High 63, Low 45
Friday – Morning showers High 58, Low 46
AW: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 62, Low 45
Friday – Intervals of clouds and sun with a passing shower; breezy High 59, Low 44
NWS: Tomorrow – A 30 percent chance of showers before 2pm. Partly sunny, High 62, Low 49
Friday – Partly sunny, High 61, Low 45
WB: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy a 30 percent chance of showers in the morning, High 62, Low 47
Friday – Partly cloudy, High 61, Low 43.
Once again, the Weather Service and Weatherbug are straying from the common consensus. We’ll see how that works out for them. Here is the radar, showing things sliding out of town. (The radar image is from about an hour later than was described in the forecast. Technical flaws and all).