Bay City, Michigan

Let’s stay in the Great Lakes today, with a trip to the south side of Saginaw Bay. If you couldn’t establish, that’s the Bay in Bay City.

At 218PM, ET, Bay City was reporting low clouds, fog and heavy rain. There was a smattering of showers and embedded storms from the Thumb southwest through Bay City and extending towards Lansing. This is all in association with an inverted trough dangling to the southwest of a large area of low pressure now centered in southern Ontario. Cold air is lingering to the northwest, and Bay City is riding the sharp gradient, with 50s as nearby as Bad Axe, and snow and the low 30s around Grayling AFB, east of Traverse City.
The upper level trough associated with the system is vast, and while it is contributing to the strength and broad scope of the storm, it is also going to lead to an exit plan. The storm is going to continue to taper off in Bay City overnight tonight, with a slight chance at a few flurries before sunrise on Monday. A weak embedded ridge will override the broader trough and will help usher out the last vestiges of the weekend storm by late in the day tomorrow. Overcast skies are still an unfortunate possibility on Tuesday, along with chillier air, as the new short waved ridge won’t be terribly strong. 
Tomorrow – Scattered showers turning to snow, High 38, Low 28
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy to overcast, High 35, Low 24

TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy with snow showers mainly during the morning. High 36, Low 28 
Tuesday – A mix of clouds and sun early, then becoming cloudy later in the day High 32, Low 25

AW: Tomorrow – Mainly cloudy, some snow with little or no accumulation; storm total snowfall 1-3 inches High 36 Low 28
Tuesday – More clouds than sun; chilly High 34, Low 25

NWS: Tomorrow – Rain and snow likely before 8am, then a chance of snow between 8am and 1pm. Cloudy, High 37, Low 28
Tuesday – Partly sunny, High 32, Low 25

WB: Tomorrow – Colder. Mostly cloudy. Snow likely possibly mixed with rain in the morning. High 37, Low 30
Tuesday – Partly sunny, High 32, Low 26

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy with chance of light wintry mix. High 36, Low 33
Tuesday – Partly cloudy, High 32, Low 26

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain overnight.High 36, Low 27
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy starting in the morning. High 32, Low 24

Man, it takes forever to put together forecasts with non-standard days. A look at the radar shows a big thatch of rain right over the mouth of Saginaw Bay. 

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