We are getting a heck of a backlog on the forecast verification department, because we are peeling forecasts off in a rapid fire manner. Let’s see what we can see out of Lynchburg.
At 354PM, ET, Lynchburg was reporting a temperature of 70 degrees with clear skies. Where there was a light west wind, there were a few clouds, but generally speaking, the state of Virginia was enjoying southerly flow and clear skies ahead of diminutive wave moving northeast from the Lower Mississippi Valley. Guidance suggests there should be more precipitation from Tennessee south to the Gulf Coast than is actually materializing, as weak upper level support charges quickly to the northeast. Instead, there are only a few light showers showing up in western North Carolina.
As this feature continues to march to the east, expect the northern half of the precipitation to be caught in the Smokey Mountains and rain out, while the southern portion of the energy will revitalize offshore upon encountering the tail of a cold front extending from Newfoundland. This boundary will usher activity out of the region quickly, with a sharp ridge of high pressure building for Sunday afternoon, and continuing through Monday.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy early, clearing, High 68, Low 47
Monday – Sunny, High 69, Low 41
TWC: Tomorrow – A mainly sunny sky. High 71, Low 48
Monday – Sunny. High 70, Low 42
AW: Tomorrow- Mostly sunny and pleasantly warm with the temperature approaching the record of 76 set in 1939 High 73, Low 45
Monday – Mostly sunny and remaining warm High 71, Low 43
NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, High 72, Low 46
Monday – Sunny, High 70, Low 41
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny, High 70, Low 52
Monday – Sunny, High 69, Low 44
WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Sunny, High 72, Low 46
Monday – Mostly sunny, High 70, Low 41
FIO: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy in the morning. High 73, Low 48
Monday – Partly cloudy starting in the afternoon. High 72, Low 48
Obviously, this one is going to come down to temperatures. The deciding factor will likely be those clouds tomorrow morning. Will they keep it even warmer than expected? Will they keep high temperatures at bay? Only one way to find out. Satellite shows that tumult to the west that is going to be falling apart quickly.