Good evening! Let’s take a quick break form Patricia coverage and turn our attention to the Mid-Atlantic.
At 954PM, Richmond was reporting a temperature of 58 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. A weak cold front lies over the Carolinas, and a cool north wind is covering Virginia. There may be a bit of lingering low level moisture leading to patchy fog overnight, though that should be an issue primarily confined to the higher terrain of western Virginia.
Of primary concern is the remnants of Patricia, which don’t look much like remnants at this point. There is still very good circulation as the low makes another landfall, this time in southern Louisiana. As the center of circulation drags along the Gulf Coast, moisture will be pulled north towards the Carolinas. A ridge over New England will help suppress that moisture and keep it out Monday, but by Tuesday afternoon, Patricia will arrive in Richmond. Thanks to a broad upper level trough moving through the center of the country, the ridge will kick east, and Patricia will disorganize, but its orphaned moisture will begin to pump north towards the mid-Atlantic, inundating Richmond.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 61, Low 50
Tuesday – Cloudy, becoming extremely rainy latte, High 59, Low 46
TWC: Tomorrow – Cloudy, High 60, Low 47
Tuesday – PM Showers, High 60, Low 45
AW: Tomorrow – Cloudy in the morning; intervals of clouds and sunshine in the afternoon High 60, Low 47
Tuesday – Mainly cloudy High 58, Low 44
NWS: Tomorrow – Partly sunny High 59, Low 48
Tuesday – A chance of showers, mainly after 2pm. Cloudy High 59, Low 46
WB: Tomorrow – Partly sunny, High 59, Low 48
Tuesday – Cloudy, a chance of showers in the afternoon, High 58, Low 46
WN: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 59, Low 48
Tuesday – Mostly cloudy with isolated showers, High 59, Low 46
FIO: Tomorrow – Overcast throughout theDday. high 66, Low 47
Tuesday – Light rain starting in the afternoon. High 68, Low 48
Wow, a couple of weird ones here. Like Accuweather just leaving rain out of the forecast? FIO going really warm with their forecast? I think this is a case of people relying too much on computer output and being to coarse with the rainfall coverage forecasts. Here is the current satellite, showing a lot of clouds. Everything in the southeastern third of this map is Patricia related.