The HRRR was inaccurate in northern Louisiana, and what happened in the short term in Monroe. A weak boundary, modeled to develop over southern Arkansas had, as I discussed in the video, actually developed in Louisiana, south of Monroe. This was a primary reason for the city remaining dry on Thursday. Of course, the longer ranger output had some rain working back into Monroe. That was also accurate, with a splash of rain coming in the afternoon and evening. Forecast.io dominated this forecast, owing to a warm forecast.
Actuals: Thursday – High 94, Low 71
Friday – .27 inches of rain/thunderstorms, High 93, Loww 70