The dormant spring tornado season continues

In 2012, the United States was beset by a terrible early season for tornadoes. There were 154 twisters in March alone, the highest total seen in the last several years. The rough year continued through April when over 200 tornadoes were confirmed across the country. This was the culmination of a 5 year run that was particularly active. 2012 seemed as through it would be a repeat of a destructive and terrible 2011 (in April alone, there were 758 confirmed tornadoes in 2011). In 2012, though, things slowed down, and the mid to late spring followed the course of a slightly more docile than normal season.
Just as soon as America was starting to grow accustomed to a terrible trend of an active 4 month tornado season, 2013 rolled around. In the past 2 seasons, there have been a combined 38 tornadoes. Since 2008, only in 2010 were there fewer tornadoes in March, heck, February 2011, 2012, and even 2013 and 2014 had more twisters. The past two Marches were extraordinarily quiet, especially when held in comparison to the 5 previous years.
If 20 and 18 are low monthly totals, consider just how bizarre 2015 is. There have been 0 tornadoes reported nationwide this year. None. Not a one. Two caveats to that statement. This doesn’t portend to a quiet season overall. Both 2013 and 2014 nearly caught up to 2012 thanks to a more active late season, with a busy May in 2013, and an even busier June in 2014. Second, this is only the middle of March, and things are liable to change. Still, it appears that there won’t be a good threat for widespread tornadoes until perhaps next Wednesday, the 25th. Take a look at this set up.
maybenaders
Even if this is how things play out (this is still 8 days away, after all) the bigger story will be the potential for snow in New England. The center of low pressure will be moving through the Upper Midwest, and temperatures won’t favor the kind of instability for a major tornadic event.
Personally, I’m in favor of this slow start. Let’s hope that we can break some records (especially if we can finally couple it with some rain in the Plains!)