OK, so when we plan ahead for these forecasts, we do so without looking at the forecast, so as to make the “competition” aspect of everything as fair as possible. We’re not just out to avoid the massive systems, it’s just lucky, I guess. Let’s see what we have going on in south Texas.
At 653PM, CT, Brownsville was reporting a temperature of 67 degrees with overcast skies. Much of the border region was covered in overcast, as an area of low pressure over the Gulf of California is inducing flow off the Gulf, thereby producing mid level overcast. Fortunately, there isn’t much to work with in terms of a trigger, and the area will be rain-free.
Upper level ridging will squelch the cut off trough over Mexico, which will help to end the easterly flow in Brownsville. The flow will be rather meandering through Sunday morning, which will result in more morning fog and ceilings through Sunday. An undercutting jet will assist in the production of a low level wave. That wave will produce a surface boundary producing heavy rain and generating a vigorous, warm flow through Brownsville on Sunday evening.
Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy, High 74, Low 60
Sunday – Cloudy early, then warming, High 76, Low 61.
TWC: Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 75, Low 58
Sunday – Mostly cloudy, High 76. Low, 60
AW: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy and comfortable High 75, Low 56
Sunday – Mostly cloudy and breezy with a shower in places High 75, Low 60
NWS: Tomorrow – Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, High 75, Low 58
Sunday – Mostly cloudy High 75, Low 61
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. High 75, Low 58
Sunday – Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain HIgh 75, Low 62
WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy with Patchy Fog High 75, Low 59
Sunday – Mostly Cloudy High 75, Low 61
FIO: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 75, Low 61
Sunday – Mostly cloudy throughout the day. High 76, Low 62
Boy, I feel a little out of place without a forecast high of 75 tomorrow. I don’t think I noticed anything special, that’s just the number I came up with. This was an easier forecast than, say, Boston. Here is the satellite, showing high topped clouds produced by the system over the Baja Peninsula.