Missoula, Montana

Into the mountains for tonights forecast. There’s been a bit of a warm up for Montana recently. Will it last?

At 953PM, MT, Missoula was reporting a temperature of 48 degrees with overcast skies. The Pineapple Express has set itself up and is importing a great deal of moisture into the Pacific Northwest. An area of low pressure in southwestern Canada is tapping into this moisture and redistributing it through the northern Rockies. This is leading to the widespread overcast and fairly warm temperatures for Missoula, though the topography of the region is helping prevent rain.
Moist flow will continue to rush into western Montana through day tomorrow. A particularly heavy round of rain will arrive in the area in the early morning tomorrow, and will be laden with enough moisture to lead to rain in Missoula. Tomorrow won’t be a wash by any stretch of the imagination, but there will be a chance for showers through the day. The chance for rain will continue into the early morning Sunday, but a strong surface low developing within the Express will emerge off the northern California coast. It will work to draw flow towards itself, and thereby bring dry air to the city. Ultimately, expect the system to slam back into Missoula on Monday, but for this forecast’s purposes, expect a greatly improved day on Sunday.
Tomorrow – Rain likely, breezy in the evening. High 49, Low 37
Sunday – Light showers in the morning, clearing late, High 44, Low 36

TWC: Tomorrow – Showers, High 45, Low 38
Sunday – AM Showers, High 51, Low 36

AW: Tomorrow – Periods of rain High 45, Low 38
Sunday – Some sun, then turning cloudy (early showers) High 47, Low 32

NWS: Tomorrow – Rain. High 47, Low 39
Sunday – A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, High 49, Low 38

WB: Tomorrow – Rain likely. Chance of rain near 100 percent High 45, Low 40
Sunday – Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. High 45, Low 35

WN: Tomorrow – Mostly Cloudy with Light Rain High 46, Low 39
Sunday – Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers High 48, Low 37

FIO: Tomorrow – Light rain until evening. High 46, Low 37
Sunday – Mixed precipitation overnight. High 44, Low 34

Currently, models aren’t doing great with temperatures (too cold) and then, tomorrow, forecasters are doubting what the guidance is suggesting, and forecasting well below model guidance. I am splitting the difference and going closer to what the super computers are suggesting. Here is the satellite imagery, showing the very active picture for the northwest.

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