This is the time of year that things start to get a little crazier in west Texas, as cold air more efficiently spills down the Plains and creates the clashing of air masses that we need for thunderstorms. Will it be active this week too?
At 1053AM, CT, Lubbock was reporting a temperature of 75 degrees with mostly cloudy skies. A broad surface ridge still dominated the western US, and warmer temperatures were still being seen over the Texas Panhandle. Still, at the lower levels a westerly flow was leading to an area of surface low pressure across west Texas. This dry, dusty air was leading to a dry line setting up southeast of Lubbock.
The remnants of Simon will still have enough influence as they arrive in the southwestern US to induce a weak mid-level trough. This will allow moisture to break through the dry line and spread west at the surface, allowing Lubbock to get a bit more humid, and for showers and storms to develop to the north and west. Guidance suggests that the precipitation won’t start to fill in until late Thursday night near town, however, so in Lubbock through the forecast period the only issue will be rising humidity, which shouldn’t be too terrible, as dew points are only in the upper 30s right now.
Tomorrow – Partly cloudy, High 91, Low 57
Thursday – Increasing clouds, a bit cooler but more humid, High 88, Low 61
TWC: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 88, Low 60
Thursday – Sunny HIgh 86, Low 61
AW: Tomorrow – Sun and areas of high clouds High 88, Low 58
Thursday – Variable clouds High 86, Low 62
NWS: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 88, Low 57
Thursday – Mostly sunny High 86, Low 60
WB: Tomorrow – Mostly sunny High 88, Low 55
Thursday – Mostly sunny High 85, Low 58
WN: Tomorrow – Partly Cloudy High 88, Low 57
Thursday – Partly Cloudy High 86, Low 61
Looks like a pretty decent couple of days in Lubbock, and as a look ahead, most of the rain will pass to the north of Lubbock. Here is the satellite, showing the breadth of clearing over the center of the country today.