Elmira, New York

There is a pretty solid snow storm roaring through the Upper Midwest right now. What will it bring to western New York?

At 1253PM, ET, Elmira was reporting a temperature of 24 degrees with clear skies. A massive winter storm has developed over the northern tier, with heavy snow falling from Detroit to the Twin Cities and west into Wyoming. Ice and rain were found to the south, and in anticipation of this storm’s arrival, the Weather Service has issued a winter weather advisory.
An impressive ridge of Canadian high pressure is parked over eastern Canada is preventing moisture and the system from rising north as most systems in this type of pattern are wont to do, and the wintry precipitation is forecast to stream into Elmira tomorrow. The high pressure is actually going to sink south, and the wave fostering this low at the upper levels will flatten. Expect an initial burst of a heavy wintry mix tomorrow with rain, snow and some ice possible, before it turns to all snow. With the cold air chasing the system south, things should wrap up before midnight, leaving Tuesday to cold sunshine.
Tomorrow – Snow likely especially in the morning, High 25, Low 12
Tuesday – Sunny and colder at night, High 24, Low 5

TWC: Tomorrow – A wintry mix in the morning will taper to a few snow showers in the afternoon. High 25, Low 12
Tuesday – Partly cloudy (early AM flurries). High 21, Low 4

AW: Tomorrow – Snow of varying rates in the morning, accumulating an additional 1-2 inches; considerable clouds High 29, Low 11
Tuesday – Mostly sunny High 20, Low 1

NWS: Tomorrow – Snow, mainly before noon High 31, low 14
Tuesday – A chance of snow showers. Mostly sunny High 23, Low 7

WB: Tomorrow – Mostly cloudy. Snow and freezing rain in the morning. Total snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches. High 32, low 16
Tuesday – Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of snow showers. high 23, Low 8

Snowy, to be sure in Elmira. I for one am going to call for 3-6″ through the entire event, hedging closer to 3. A look at the satellite indicates exactly how vast the snow field is.

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